
5-9-14
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Game of the Day: Thunder at Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers (-4, 214.5)
Kevin Durant received his MVP award and then played like one, and now he looks to guide Oklahoma City to a 2-1 series lead when the Thunder visit the Los Angeles Clippers for Friday’s Game 3 of the Western Conference semifinals. Durant was named MVP for the first time in his career on Tuesday and recorded 32 points, 12 rebounds and nine assists to help Oklahoma City even the series on Wednesday. Clippers point guard Chris Paul was unable to follow up his terrific Game 1 showing.
Paul stunned everybody by going 8-of-9 from 3-point range and scoring 32 points in the opener but was just 2-for-5 from behind the arc in Game 2. More troublesome for Los Angeles was the inability to slow either Durant or point guard Russell Westbrook (31 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists). “It’s hard, but you know, that’s why their names are Westbrook and Durant,” Clippers coach Doc Rivers said after the 112-101 defeat. “They’re very good players. I still believe that’s only 63 points. You can still win the game and we’ve beaten them before when they’ve both had great games. I didn’t like how they scored. It was too easy.”
TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
LINE HISTORY: The Clippers opened as 3-point home faves and have been bet to -4. The total opened at 213.5 and is up to 214.5.
INJURY REPORT: Oklahoma City: G Derek Fisher - questionable (shoulder). Los Angeles: F Hedo Turkoglu - questionable (back).
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "After a historical night Wednesday from Durant and Westbrook the series shifts to LA. The Clippers have to be happy coming home with the series tied at 1. We opened the Clippers -3 and took nothing but Clippers money at that number, forcing us to go to Clippers -4. We have the Clippers at +105 to win the Series." - Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag.
WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Los Angeles was in a predictable flat spot for Game 2. The Clippers came in off their 17-point win in Game 1 after playing a grueling and emotional 7-game series against the Warriors. The Clippers were due for regression, but Game 3 should now provide a more true perspective on how this series will play out going forward as both teams are now settled and recovered from their previous 7-game series in the opening round." - Covers Expert Steve Merril.
ABOUT THE THUNDER: Westbrook was a force in Game 2 and recorded his third triple-double of the postseason. The last assist was tainted – call it a gift from the Oklahoma City stat crew – but Westbrook controlled the pace of the game and easily outplayed Paul after putting forth an average performance in the opener. “That’s what I look for every game,” Thunder coach Scott Brooks told reporters. “He’s going to give you everything he has. He’s not going to make every shot, but he’s going to compete.” Westbrook has made 22-of-36 field-goal attempts over the first two contests and has refrained from jacking up the untimely 3-point attempts that plagued him early in the first-round series against Memphis.
ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Power forward Blake Griffin placed third in the MVP balloting but didn’t look like one of the league’s top players with pedestrian totals of 15 points (on 5-of-13 shooting) and six rebounds in Game 2. Griffin has yet to post a double-double in nine postseason games and is averaging just 6.1 boards since the playoffs began. Though Griffin appeared tentative at times, Rivers feels he’s not far off his game. “He missed point-blank looks at the rim, open shots,” Rivers told reporters. “He’ll get those shots and make them nine times out of 10 on most nights, so you live with those.”
TRENDS:
* Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
* Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference semifinal games.
* Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Over is 6-0 in the Clippers last six home games.
COVER CONSENSUS: Fifty-one percent of the wagers are on the Clippers -4. -
Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with the Heat (-8) on Thursday and likes the Pacers on Friday.
The deficit is 311 sirignanos.Comment
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MLB
Hot pitchers
-- Hernandez is 1-0, 2.95 in his threee home starts.
-- Cueto is 3-0, 0.79 in his last four starts.
-- Teheran is 1-1, 1.16 in his last four starts. Hammel is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three outings.
-- Fernandez is 2-0, 1.17 in his last three starts.
-- Feldman is 2-1, 2.02 in four starts this season. Chen is 3-1, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- Richards is 1-0, 2.84 in his last three starts. McGowan is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
-- Detroit won last five Verlander starts (4-0, 3.55). Hughes is 3-0, 3.26 in his last three outings.
-- Kluber is 1-1, 2.49 in his last three starts.
-- Texas is 5-1 when Darvish starts (2-1, 2.87). Buchholz is 2-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.
-- Tanaka is 4-0, 2.74 in six starts this season.
-- Ex-White Sox McCarthy is 1-1, 1.29 in his last two starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Wacha is 0-3, 3.86 in his last four starts. Liriano is 0-0, 7.11 in his last three.
-- Mejia is 0-0, 12.60 in his last couple starts.
-- Chacin allowed four runs in five IP in his first '14 start.
-- Maholm is 1-1, 5.00 in his last three starts. Bumgarner is 1-3, 3.86 in his last four outings.
-- Ross is 1-1, 8.76 in his last three starts.
-- Odorizzi is 0-3, 8.59 in his last five starts.
-- Vargas is 0-1, 7.79 in his last three starts. Maurer allowed nine runs in 8.2 IP in his last two starts.
-- Gallardo is 0-1, 5.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Rienzo has a 5.19 RA in three starts, but White Sox won all three, scoring a total of 17 runs.
-- Oakland is 0-5 when Milone starts (0-3, 6.83). Fister is making first '14 start; he was 2-0, 2.95 in his last three starts.
Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Wacha 1-7; Liriano 3-7
-- Hernandez 2-6; Mejia 0-6
-- Chacin 1-1; Cueto 1-7
-- Hammel 1-6; Teheran 1-7
-- Bumgarner 1-7; Maholm 1-5
-- Fernandez 1-7; Ross 2-7
-- Feldman 1-4; Chen 2-6
-- Richards 0-6; McGowan 4-6
-- Hughes 2-6; Verlander 2-7
-- Kluber 3-7; Odorizzi 0-6
-- Buchholz 3-6; Darvish 1-6
-- Vargas 1-7; Maurer 0-3
-- Tanaka 2-6; Gallardo 2-7
-- McCarthy 2-7; Rienzo 1-3
-- Fister 0-0; Milone 3-5
Totals
-- Six of last nine Pittsburgh games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight games at Citi Field stayed under; six of Philly's last seven road games went over.
-- Four of last five Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Ten of last twelve Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen San Francisco road games.
-- Seven of last eight Miami road games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Baltimore games.
-- Nine of last ten Toronto home games went over.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Boston games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Kansas City games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Over is 12-6 in White Sox home games this season.
-- Nine of last twelve Washington road games went over.
Hot teams
-- Pittsburgh won four of its last six games. Cardinals won three of last four.
-- Rockies won nine of their last twelve games. Cincinnati won six of its last eight home games.
-- San Francisco won 11 of its last 14 games.
-- Marlins won eight of last nine games; they're 3-10 on road.
-- Orioles won six of their last eight games.
-- Blue Jays won their last five games.
-- Detroit won eight of its last nine games.
-- Boston won four of its last five games.
-- Mariners won four of their last five home games.
-- Bronx won five of its last seven road games.
-- Arizona won five of its last seven games. White Sox won four of last five.
-- Washington is 7-4 in its last eleven games.
Cold teams
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games. Phillies lost last four games.
-- Braves lost eight of their last nine games. Cubs lost four of their last five.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games.
-- San Diego lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Angels are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
-- Minnesota lost its last three games, allowing 17 runs.
-- Rays lost their last five home games. Cleveland is off a 5-2 homestand, but they've lost last seven road games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five home games.
-- Royals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last eight games.
-- Oakland lost six of its last seven home games.Comment
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Today's MLB Picks
St. Louis at Pittsburgh
The Cardinals open their NL Central series in Pittsburgh tonight against a Pirates team that is 2-6 in its last 8 games as an underdog. St. Louis is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, MAY 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. ESTGame 951-952: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wacha) 15.950; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.499
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); UnderGame 953-954: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.697; NY Mets (Mejia) 17.193
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); OverGame 955-956: Colorado at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.658; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.732
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-190); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+170); OverGame 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hammel) 14.925; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.385
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-200); UnderGame 959-960: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.996; LA Dodgers (Maholm) 16.449
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+105); OverGame 961-962: Miami at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Fernandez) 16.503; San Diego (Ross) 14.943
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Miami (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-145); UnderGame 963-964: Houston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Feldman) 13.267; Baltimore (Chen) 14.881
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-170); UnderGame 965-966: LA Angels at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 16.547; Toronto (McGowan) 15.301
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); OverGame 967-968: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 13.857; Detroit (Verlander) 15.405
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-240); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-240); UnderGame 969-970: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 15.291; Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 14.395
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+100); OverGame 971-972: Boston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 16.694; Texas (Darvish) 15.891
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+140); OverGame 973-974: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 15.463; Seattle (Maurer) 14.607
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-125); UnderGame 975-976: NY Yankees at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Tanaka) 15.525; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.134
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-135); UnderGame 977-978: Arizona at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 14.038; White Sox (Rienzo) 14.806
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105); OverGame 979-980: Washington at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Fister) 15.946; Oakland (Milone) 17.313
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); UnderComment
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Today's NBA Picks
Oklahoma City at LA Clippers
The Thunder are coming off a 112-101 win in Game 2 and head to LA tonight to face a Clippers team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+4). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
FRIDAY, MAY 9
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. ESTGame 717-718: Indiana at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 120.417; Washington 122.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 184
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4); OverGame 719-720: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.686; LA Clippers 126.028
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 210
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+4); UnderComment
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Today's NHL Picks
Chicago at Minnesota
The Blackhawks look to bounce back from their 4-0 loss to Minnesota in Game 3 as they face a Wild team that is 3-12 in its last 15 Friday games. Chicago is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-130). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
FRIDAY, MAY 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. ESTGame 55-56: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.179; Pittsburgh 11.064
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+155); OverGame 57-58: Chicago at Minnesota (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.035; Minnesota 11.481
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-130); UnderComment
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Cappers Access
Wizards -4
Thunder +4
Wild +130Comment
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Gamblers Data
Free Plays Friday
Cards -135
Phillies over 7.5Comment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Free Play FRI Miami w/ Fernandez -150Comment
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StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
MLB | NY YANKEES at MILWAUKEE
Play On – All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) bad NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20), after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
27-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.5% | 21.7 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.0 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets
MLB | COLORADO at CINCINNATI
COLORADO is 12-2 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
The average score was: COLORADO (6.0) , OPPONENT (2.6)Comment
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StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at LA CLIPPERS
Play Under – All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 in the 3rd game of a playoff series
68-32 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 32.8 units )
2-4 this year. ( 33.3% | -2.4 units )
NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at LA CLIPPERS
Play On – Any team vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game
159-127 since 1997. ( 55.6% | 65.1 units )
19-17 this year. ( 52.8% | 9.9 units )
NBA | INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play Over – Any team vs. the 1rst half line revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite
76-37 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.3% | 35.3 units )
5-8 this year. ( 38.5% | -3.8 units )Comment
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THE FACTSMAN
OVER 7.5 - Kansas City vs Seattle
(T. Ross vs B. Maurer)Comment
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SWEETJONES55
Washington Wizards -3 -120 (x1.5)Comment
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J.R. Stevens SMOOTH44
Today's Top Picks:
(MLB) Pittsburgh +115
(NBA) Indiana +4Comment
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