5-14-14

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Game of the Day: Canadiens at Bruins

Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins (-173, 5)

The Montreal Canadiens and Boston Bruins have been before - with the last time being three years ago. The Original Six rivals will compete in a Game 7 on Wednesday for the ninth time in history as the Canadiens and host Bruins decide their Eastern Conference second-round series. Carey Price recorded his fourth postseason shutout against Boston on Monday, turning aside all 26 shots he faced as Montreal staved off elimination by cruising to a 4-0 triumph in Game 6.

Reigning Norris Trophy winner P.K. Subban didn't score in that contest, but he did tally with 1:57 to play in the teams' last Game 7 meeting - on April 27, 2011. The then-rookie defenseman tied the contest before Nathan Horton beat Price 5:43 into overtime as the Bruins began a surge that culminated in a Stanley Cup title. "It's going to be great," Subban said of Wednesday's winner-take-all game. "I can't wait for the crowd, the noise, the energy in the building. I can't wait to take that all away from them."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, RDS

LINE HISTORY: Pinnacle Sports opened the Bruins as -183 home faves, but that has been bet down to -173. The total has opened at 5.

INJURY REPORT: Canadiens: C Alex Galchenyuk (Questionable, knee). Bruins: D Dennis Seidenberg (Out indefinitely, knee), C Chris Kelly (Out indefinitely, back).

WHAT THE CAPPERS SAY: "This series seemed destined to go the distance from the get-go, and here we are, staring at a winner-take-all matchup on Wednesday night in Beantown. I'm still a believer in momentum when it comes to the NHL Playoffs - just ask the Kings and Ducks. Here, all of the 'mo is in Montreal's corner after a resounding Game 6 victory on home ice. This will undoubtedly be a battle, and it ultimately comes down to goaltending, particularly for Montreal. The Habs need Carey Price to outperform Tuukka Rask - it really is as simple as that. I'm not anticipating much value with the Bruins as contrary to popular belief, home ice hasn't meant a great deal in this matchup over the years." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "The Bruins have played in eight previous Game 7's since 2008 and they are 3-3 at home and 4-4 overall. They key to this series so far has been scoring the first goal, each of the six games has been won by the them that scores first. All the early action is on the Bruins to take Game 7." Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

ICEGIRL WAR:



ABOUT THE CANADIENS: Thomas Vanek has proven himself to be a thorn in the side of the Bruins - and this series has been no exception. The 30-year-old Austrian scored twice on Monday to double his goal total for the series and has tallied 34 times in 61 career games versus Boston. Max Pacioretty (one goal, three assists in the series) admitted that he was getting outplayed by Boston captain Zdeno Chara in the set's first four contests, but the Connecticut native chimed in with a goal and an assist in Game 6.

ABOUT THE BRUINS: David Krejci led Presidents' Trophy-winning Boston in the regular season with 69 points, but has just one (an assist in Game 2) in the series and three in the postseason. Despite his struggles, the Czech Olympian remains optimistic that he and fellow struggling linemate Milan Lucic (one goal, two assists in the series) will get it in gear. "Yeah, we had some good looks out there," Krejci said. "They didn't go in for us, but we're going to stay positive in here."

TWEET BEAT:



TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Boston.
* Canadiens are 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Boston.
* Bruins are 11-4 in their last 15 Conference Semifinals games.
* Bruins are 1-4 in their last five Wednesday games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 75 percent of wagers are coming in on the Bruins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Cueto is 3-2, 1.43 in eight starts this year. Kennedy is 1-1, 2.16 in his last four starts.
-- Peralta is 4-2, 2.43 in his last six starts.
-- Hammel is 2-0, 2.00 in his last four starts.
-- Teheran is 1-1, 1.15 in his last five starts. Bumgarner is 2-0, 1.29 in his last couple outings.

-- Verlander is 4-1, 3.38 in his last six starts.
-- Kluber is 1-0, 1.84 in his last couple starts. McGowan is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
-- Milone is 1-0, 1.93 in two home starts. White Sox are 4-0 when Rienzo starts (3-0, 5.09) scoring 26 runs.
-- Feldman is 2-1, 2.20 in five starts this season.

-- Richards is 1-0, 2.77 in his last four starts. Burnett is 2-0, 1.53 in three home starts.
-- Tanaka is 4-0, 2.31 in his last five starts.
-- Vargas is 3-1, 3.50 in his last seven starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Liriano is 0-3, 5.89 in his last seven starts, but Pirate bullpen won last four.
-- Wacha is 0-3, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- Maurer is 1-1, 8.44 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 1-6, 6.32 in his last seven starts. Fister allowed seven runs in 4.1 IP in his first '14 start.
-- Maholm is 1-2, 4.94 in his last four starts. DeSclafani is making MLB debut; he is 3-4, 4.19 in eight AA starts.

-- Gausman is making his first '14 start; he was 3-5, 5.68 in 20 MLB games LY (five starts).
-- Doubront is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts. Correia is 1-3, 8.10 in his last four outings.
-- Tepesch is making first '14 start; he was 4-6, 4.84 in 17 MLB starts LY. He is 6-1, 1.58 in seven AAA starts this year.
-- Romero allowed no runs in 4.2 innings in his only '13 start; he is 2-4, 5.02 in seven AAA starts this year. This is his second MLB appearance.

-- Montero is making MLB debut; he was 4-1, 3.67 in eight AAA starts.
-- Chacin is 0-1, 4.91 in two starts this season.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Kennedy 3-8; Cueto 1-8
-- Liriano 3-8; Peralta 0-7
-- Hammel 1-7; Wacha 2-8
-- Fister 1-1; McCarthy 2-8
-- DeSclafani 0-0; Maholm 1-6
-- Teheran 1-8; Bumgarner 1-8

-- Kluber 3-8; McGowan 4-7
-- Verlander 2-8; Gausman 0-0
-- Doubront 2-7; Correia 1-7
-- Tepesch 0-0; Feldman 1-5
-- Rienzo 1-4; Milone 3-6
-- Romero 0-0; Maurer 1-4

-- Richards 1-7; Burnett 1-8
-- Chacin 2-2; Vargas 1-8
-- Tanaka 2-7; Montero 0-0

Totals
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Milwaukee games.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen St Louis home games.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in Arizona's last thirteen home games.
-- 14 of last 20 Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Atlanta games.

-- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven Cleveland road games.
-- Four of last five Minnesota home games stayed under.
-- Under is 12-5-1 in Baltimore's home games.
-- Seven of last nine Houston games stayed under.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Oakland's last eight games.
-- Five of last seven Seattle games stayed under total.

-- Mets' last four games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Angel road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Kansas City home games went over.

Hot teams
-- Padres won their last four games.
-- Milwaukee won its last three games.
-- Arizona won five of its last seven games.
-- Dodgers won three of their last four games.
-- Giants won 14 of their last 19 games.

-- Cleveland won five of its last seven games. Blue Jays won seven of last ten.
-- Angels won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Detroit won their last seven road games.
-- Red Sox won six of their last nine games.
-- Oakland won its last six games, allowing eight runs.
-- Mariners won eight of their last twelve games.

-- Mets won their last seven games against Bronx.

Cold teams
-- Cincinnati lost four of its last six games.
-- Pirates lost ten of its last twelve road games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games. St Louis is 6-8 in its last 14 games.
-- Washington lost six of its last seven road games.
-- Miami lost 15 of its 18 road games.
-- Braves lost five of their last six away games.

-- Minnesota is 6-8 in its last fourteen games.
-- Baltimore lost its last three games.
-- Astros lost seven of thier last ten games. Texas lost 11 of last 15.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games.
-- Tampa Bay lost six of its last eight games.

-- Phillies lost six of their last eight games.
-- Bronx lost six of its last seven home games.
-- Kansas City lost four of its last five home games. Rockies lost four of their last five games overall.

Umpires
-- Chi-StL-- Favorites won six of eight Little games.
-- Wsh-Az-- Favorites won seven of eight Miller games.
-- SD-Cin-- Five of six Johnson games went over total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- All six Iassogna games went over total.
-- Mia-LA-- Last five Barry games stayed under total.
-- Atl-SF-- Over is 4-1-1 in LBarrett games this year.

-- Det-Balt-- Four of last five Timmons games stayed under.
-- Tex-Hst-- Three of last four Hoberg games stayed under.
-- Chi-A's-- Last five Gonzalez games went over the total.
-- TB-Sea-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Danley games.
-- Cle-Tor-- Underdogs won five of last six Meals games.
-- Bos-Min-- Five of six Cooper games went over the total.

-- LA-Phil-- Last four Blaser games stayed under the total.
-- Col-KC-- Home team won six of seven Bellino games.
-- NY-NY-- Visitors won six of seven Dimuro games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS
91-31 RUN NHL SIDES (75%)

8* Boston -170 over Montreal

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Today's MLB Picks

Cleveland at Toronto

The Indians look to bounce back from yesterday's 5-4 loss to Toronto as they face a Blue Jays team that is 0-4 in Dustin McGowan's last 4 home starts. Cleveland is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Washington at Arizona (3:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Fister) 15.644; Arizona (McCarthy) 13.999 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Over

Game 903-904: Atlanta at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 14.561; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.908 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); Under

Game 905-906: San Diego at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 14.719; Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.322 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-170); 7 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-170); Under

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.721; Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.877 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105); Over

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hammel) 13.747; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.900 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Under

Game 911-912: Miami at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (DeSclafani) 15.602; LA Dodgers (Maholm) 14.721 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 913-914: Detroit at Baltimore (12:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.227; Baltimore (Gausman) 16.120 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Rienzo) 13.941; Oakland (Milone) 16.688 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Oakland (-200); 9 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-200); Under

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 14.949; Seattle (Maurer) 14.062 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 15.767; Toronto (McGowan) 14.899 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+100); Over

Game 921-922: Boston at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 14.743; Minnesota (Correia) 15.622 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 923-924: Texas at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 15.402; Houston (Feldman) 14.311 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Texas (-110); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-110); Over

Game 925-926: LA Angels at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 14.383; Philadelphia (Burnett) 15.899 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); Under

Game 927-928 Colorado at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.513; Kansas City (Vargas) 14.622 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+110); Over

Game 929-930: NY Mets at NY Yankees (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Tanaka) 16.788; NY Mets (Montero) 15.233 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-170); Under

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Today's NBA Picks

Portland at San Antonio

The Spurs look to close out the series tonight at home where the Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. San Antonio is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 737-738: Brooklyn at Miami (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 118.375; Miami 129.936 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11 1/2; 184 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 188 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7); Under

Game 739-740: Portland at San Antonio (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.033; San Antonio 131.167 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 11; 212 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 208 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Over

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Today's NHL Picks

Anaheim at Los Angeles

The Ducks look to close out the series and come into tonight's contest with a 5-0 record in their last 5 games in Los Angeles. Anaheim is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+120). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 75-76: Montreal at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.607; Boston 12.996 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-175); 5 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Under

Game 77-78: Anaheim at Los Angeles (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.882; Los Angeles 11.918 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-140); 5 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+120); Over

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Brewers -125

Rockies +110

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play WED Spurs -7

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Nets at Heat: What bettors need to know

Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat (-7, 188.5)

LeBron James has put Miami in position to close out the Eastern Conference semifinals and he will have a hard act to follow when the Heat host the Brooklyn Nets on Wednesday. James tied his personal playoff career high and set a Miami franchise record with 49 points in Game 4 as the Heat produced a 102-96 victory to take a 3-1 lead. Brooklyn won all four regular-season meetings but needs to come up with a strong effort to force a Game 6 at home.

The Nets had no answer from the outset for James, who was 16-of-24 from the field while matching the 49 points he scored against Orlando in 2009 while playing for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Even with all those points, it was center Chris Bosh who drained the tiebreaking 3-pointer with 57.3 seconds left as James spotted him wide open in the right corner. “He just showed great poise and trust to make the right basketball play,” coach Erik Spoelstra told reporters of James’ decision to pass. “He reads the game as well as anybody that’s played the game.” Brooklyn set a franchise playoff record with 15 3-pointers in its Game 3 win before dropping off to 5-of-22 in Monday’s loss.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE NETS: Only eight teams have rebounded from a 3-1 deficit to win an NBA playoff series and the task is harder for Brooklyn when you factor in it needs to win three straight against the two-time defending champs. The veteran club knows it is on the verge of elimination but continues to vow the series will tighten up. “We just got to get one game,” forward Paul Pierce told reporters after Game 4. “That’s the mindset. The series is far from over.” Getting a solid performance from Deron Williams would help the cause as the point guard is just 8-of-34 shooting over the past three games after being a solid 7-of-10 for 17 points in Game 1.

ABOUT THE HEAT: James could have reached 50 points but he split two free throws with 1.1 seconds left. He had 25 points in the first half and 15 more in the third as Brooklyn struggled to defend him. James was rubbed wrong by some trash talking from Pierce after the Nets won Game 3 and now has his focus on ending the series in five games and not making a return to Brooklyn until next season. “Play with a sense of urgency defensively, help one another, communicate, try to get the ball moving offensively from one side to the other and attack,” James told reporters of the Game 5 plan. “If we do those things, and do it with a clear mind but at the same time an aggressive mind, we give ourselves a good chance to win.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Miami.
* Home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Nets last five overall.
* Heat are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 Wednesday games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. SG Dwyane Wade, who is averaging 15.8 points in the series, held the former Heat playoff record of 46 points, set in 2010.

2. Brooklyn F Mirza Teletovic missed all three of his 3-point attempts in Game 4 after going 10-of-16 over the previous two games.

3. James has scored 30 or more points in four of Miami’s eight postseason games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R. Stevens SMOOTH44

Today’s Top Picks
(MLB) Chi White Sox +175
(MLB) San Diego +155
(MLB) Pittsburgh +110

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ANTHONY MICHAEL (Play of the Day)

#740 San Antonio Spurs -8 (9:35 edt) TNT

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StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

NBA | PORTLAND at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under – All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
37-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 74.0% | 22.7 units )
11-8 this year. ( 57.9% | 2.2 units )

NBA | PORTLAND at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against – Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more
68-40 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.0% | 27.4 units )
19-18 this year. ( 51.4% | -1.2 units )

NBA | PORTLAND at SAN ANTONIO
Play On – Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (PORTLAND) excellent free throw shooting team (>=79%) against a good free throw shooting team (76-79%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO’s) after 42+ games
60-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.0% | 30.3 units )
3-9 this year. ( 25.0% | -6.9 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | SAN DIEGO at CINCINNATI
Play Against – Any team (CINCINNATI) with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts
203-161 since 1997. ( 55.8% | 77.1 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | DETROIT at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 57-38 (+31.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Colorado Rockies +113 over Kansas City Royals
(System Record: 26-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 26-17


Hockey Crusher
Los Angeles Kings -140 over Anaheim Ducks
(Playoff Record: system 17-1: overall 17-8, won last 3 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 108-82-2


Basketball Crusher
Brooklyn Nets +7 over Miami Heat
(Playoff Record: 11-10-3, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 89-95-8


Soccer Crusher
Cruzeiro + San Lorenzo UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 570-21, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 570-481-84


Rest of Crusher's Plays Today:

Pittsburgh Pirates +112 over Milwaukee Brewers
Tampa Bay Rays -105 over Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels -106 over Philadelphia Phillies

Montreal Canadiens +158 over Boston Bruins
Montreal Canadiens + Boston Bruins UNDER 5
Anaheim Ducks + Los Angeles Kings OVER 5

Portland Trail Blazers +8 over San Antonio Spurs
Miami Heat + Brooklyn Nets OVER 188.5
Portland Trail Blazers + San Antonio Spurs OVER 208.5