5-16-14

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Game of the Day: Kings at Ducks


Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks (-116, 5)


Southern California fans couldn't ask for a better way for the first-ever Stanley Cup playoff series between the Los Angeles Kings and Anaheim Ducks to culminate. With a trip to the Western Conference final on the line, the Pacific Division-champion Ducks host the rival Kings in Game 7 of their second-round matchup on Friday. Fresh off its historic comeback against San Jose in the opening round, Los Angeles kept rolling by winning the first two games of this set on the road before dropping the next three contests.


Anaheim jumped into the driver's seat thanks in part to rookie sensation John Gibson, who posted a shutout in his postseason debut to even the series before improving to 5-0-0 (regular season included) during his brief time in the NHL with another strong effort in Game 5. Los Angeles drew from recent experience and staved off elimination Wednesday by recording a 2-1 triumph at home. Defenseman Jake Muzzin and Trevor Lewis scored while Jonathan Quick made 10 of his 21 saves in the third period, including several during a frenzied comeback attempt by the Ducks during the final minutes of the session.


TV: 9 p.m. ET, NBCSN, TSN, RDS


LINE HISTORY: Pinnacle Sports opened the Ducks as -113 home faves with a total of 5.


INJURY REPORT: Kings - D Willie Mitchell (Questionable, hand), D Robyn Regehr (Questionable, upper body). Ducks - RW Tim Jackman (Questionable, hand), G Frederick Andersen (Questionable, lower body).


WHAT THE CAPPERS SAY: "I think this game is going to be decided by the men between the pipes. L.A. obviously has the advantage in that department as Jonathan Quick has been around the block and has a ton of recent experience to draw upon. The oddsmakers would agree, despite Anaheim's best regular season in team history and home ice advantage for the all important Game 7, this line has opened at a near "pick-em" price." Covers Expert Nick Parsons.


WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "This is the 3rd game seven in the conference semi finals, in the other 2 semi final game sevens the road team has come out the victor. Will this trend continue in this game? 58% of the money is on the kings money line and 77% of the action is on the Ducks -1.5 puck line." Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.


ABOUT THE KINGS: Los Angeles likely wouldn't be one victory away from the conference final without the tremendous play of Anze Kopitar. The 26-year-old Slovenian has registered at least one point in all but one of the Kings' 13 playoff games and leads the league in postseason scoring with 17 points. Kopitar made a nifty cross-slot backhand pass to set up Muzzin's goal on Wednesday and was very efficient in the faceoff circles, winning 15 of his 23 draws.


ABOUT THE DUCKS: Captain Ryan Getzlaf has been producing against the Kings, collecting a goal and six assists, but Anaheim needs more from Corey Perry. The former Hart Trophy winner has registered only a tally and two assists versus Los Angeles after recording two tallies and five assists against Dallas in the first round. Anaheim dropped from first overall to sixth in playoff power-play efficiency, failing on all five opportunities in Game 6 to fall to 25.5 percent (12-for-47).


TRENDS:


* Under is 7-2-3 in the last 12 meetings.
* Kings are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. Pacific.
* Road team is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Ducks last five Friday games.


COVERS CONSENSUS: 65 percent of Covers Consensus wagers are on the Ducks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Samardzija has a 1.93 RA in eight starts, but no wins.
-- Niese is 2-1, 1.65 in his last five starts. Roark is 1-1, 2.63 in his last four.
-- Santana is 4-0, 1.99 in his six starts.
-- de la Rosa is 4-0, 2.63 in his last four starts.
-- Greinke is 4-1, 2.36 in his last six starts.
-- Alvarez is 2-1, 2.91 in his last five starts.

-- Gray is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Scherzer is 5-0, 1.64 in his last five starts. Lester is 2-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Darvish is 2-0, 1.80 in his last two starts.
-- McHugh is 2-1, 3.16 in four starts for Houston.
-- Young is 3-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 4-0, 1.71 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lohse is 0-0, 3.93 in his last three starts; Brewers are 6-2 when he starts.
-- Kendrick is 0-3, 5.25 in his last six starts. Simon is 0-1, 7.20 in his last two.
-- Lynn is 0-3, 4.63 in his last four starts.
-- Stults is 0-3, 7.13 in his four road starts.
-- Miley is 0-2, 5.06 in three starts vs LA this season.
-- Petit has a 6.97 RA in his first two starts.

-- McAllister is 0-3, 6.20 in his last four starts.
-- Hutchison is 0-2, 5.59 in his last three starts.
-- Gibson is 0-3, 8.68 in his last four starts.
-- Tillman is 1-1, 6.75 in his last four starts. Guthrie is 0-2, 5.06 in his last five.
-- Quintana is 0-3, 4.50 in his last five starts.
-- Archer is 0-1, 6.97 in his last four starts.


-- Volquez is 0-3, 6.85 in his last four starts. Phelps is 0-0, 4.36 in two starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Lohse 4-8; Samardzija 3-8
-- Niese 2-7; Roark 2-7
-- Simon 3-7; Kendrick 3-7
-- Santana 2-6; Lynn 2-8
-- Stults 3-8; de la Rosa 3-8
-- Greinke 1-8; Miley 2-9
-- Alvarez 3-8; Petit 0-2

-- Gray 2-8; McAllister 2-8
-- Scherzer 2-6; Lester 1-8
-- Hutchison 2-8; Darvish 1-7
-- Tillman 3-8; Guthrie 3-8
-- Quintana 1-8; McHugh 1-4
-- Young 1-6; Gibson 2-7
-- Archer 2-8; Weaver 2-8

-- Volquez 3-7; Phelps 0-2

Totals
-- 11 of last 14 Milwaukee road games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Washington home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve Atlanta games. Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals' last seven games.
-- Five of last seven games at Coors Field went over. 15 of last 18 San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Arizona games stayed under; last five Dodger games went over the total.
-- Last six Miami games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Under is 9-4 in Boston's last thirteen games./
-- Five of last seven Texas games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Orioles' last seven road games.
-- Five of White Sox' last seven road games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Minnesota home games stayed under.
-- Four of last six Tampa Bay road games stayed under.

-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Pirate road games.

Hot teams
-- Brewers won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last ten games.
-- San Diego won five of its last six games.
-- Giants won 16 of their last 21 games.

-- A's won six of their last seven games. Cleveland won seven of its last nine home games.
-- Tigers won their last eight road games. Red Sox won four of their last five home games.
-- Blue Jays won three of their last four games.
-- Astros won three of their last four games.
-- Twins won four of their last five home games.
-- Tampa Bay won six of last nine on road. Angels won six of their last seven games overall.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Mets lost ten of their last fourteen games. Washington is 3-5 in its last eight.
-- Phillies lost seven of last nine games. Reds lost their last five away games.
-- Braves lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Colorado lost five of its last six games.
-- Miami lost six of its last seven road games.
-- Dodgers are 4-8 in last 12 games. Arizona lost 14 of its last 17 home games.

-- Texas lost six of its last eight home games.
-- Kansas City lost five of last seven home games. Orioles lost four of last five games, but are 7-2 in last nine on road.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five road games.
-- Seattle lost three of last four games, but won seven of last nine on road.

-- Bronx lost six of its last seven home games. Pirates lost 11 of their last 14 road games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at Anaheim

The Kings head to Anaheim for the deciding Game 7 and come into tonight's contest with a 7-1 record in their last 8 Friday games. Los Angeles is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+105). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

FRIDAY, MAY 16 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 81-82: Los Angeles at Anaheim (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 13.059; Anaheim 11.741 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 3 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-125); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+105); Under

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THE FACTSMAN

Friday MLB Video Pick

UNDER 7 - NY. Mets vs Washington Nationals
(Listed pitchers)

** Overall Record: 0-8 L-8

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Cappers Access

Astros -120
Kings +120

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play FRI: Angels -153 w/ Weaver

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Today's MLB Picks

Detroit at Boston

The Tigers head to Boston tonight where they are 0-4 in Max Scherzer's last 4 starts against the Red Sox. Boston is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, MAY 16 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.285; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.722 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); N/A

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 16.209; Washington (Roark) 15.101 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 7 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Under

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Simon) 14.120; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.233 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105); Under

Game 907-908: Atlanta at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 14.088; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.626 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Over

Game 909-910: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 14.545; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.974 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Under

Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 14.946; Arizona (Miley) 15.822 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Over

Game 913-914: Miami at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 16.071; San Francisco (Petit) 15.210 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 7 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+155); Over

Game 915-916: Oakland at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gray) 15.897; Cleveland (McAllister) 15.299 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-145); Under

Game 917-918: Detroit at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.139; Boston (Lester) 16.628 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 14.058; Texas (Darvish) 15.723 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Texas (-170); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-170); Over

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 15.794; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.262 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 15.732; Houston (McHugh) 14.123 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Over

Game 925-926: Seattle at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 15.634; Minnesota (Gibson) 14.220 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 8 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under

Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.894; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.762 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 8 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+130); Over

Game 929-930: Pittsburgh at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Volquez) 15.056; NY Yankees (Phelps) 16.544 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-135); Under

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Minnesota at Washington

The defending champion Lynx open the WNBA season tonight in Washington and come into the contest with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 road games. Minnesota is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, MAY 16 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: New York at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 106.321; Connecticut 106.324 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 136 Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 3; 147 Dunkel Pick: New York (+3); Under

Game 603-604: Minnesota at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 121.914; Washington 112.914 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 9; 161 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 156 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: San Antonio at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 102.914; Atlanta 115.790 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 13; 160 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 155 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-8); Over

Game 607-608: Indiana at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.914; Chicago 117.324 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 139 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 145 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-2); Under

Game 609-610: Los Angeles at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 114.975; Seattle 113.790 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 143 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4 1/2; 150 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+4 1/2); Under

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NHL

Friday, May 16

Los Angeles won four of last five road games after getting trounced in first two games of San Jose series. Visitor won four of six series games, seven of last nine games overall in rivalry. Ducks won three of last four games after falling behind 2-0 in series; they had only 12 shots on goal in first two periods of Game 6. Kings have now gone 3L-6W-3L-W in playoffs. Five of 11 Ducks' in last five games have come on power play (5 of 17). Los Angeles is 3-17 on power play in series. League-wide, over is 38-24-12 in the playoffs, 9-12-5 in this round. LA is 27-20 on road this season; Anaheim is 4-2 at home in playoffs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
St. Louis Cardinals -108 over Atlanta Braves
(System Record: 26-0, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 26-19


Hockey Crusher
Los Angeles Kings +111 over Anaheim Ducks
(Playoff Record: system 18-1: overall 18-8, won last 4 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 109-82-2


Basketball Crusher
no play
(Playoff Record: 12-11-3, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 90-96-8


Soccer Crusher
All Boys + Belgrano UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 572-21, won last 7 games)
Overall Record: 572-481-84


Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today…

Baseball
Los Angeles Angels -137 over Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies +101 over Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins -102 over Seattle Mariners


Hockey
no play

Basketball
no play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

Afternoon ANNIHILATOR!
Chicago Cubs ML -108 – 220pm

MLB Personal Favorite!
Texas Rangers ML -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

Today’s Top Picks

(MLB) Toronto +160
(MLB) Miami +160
(MLB) Tampa Bay +130
(*Listed Pitchers)

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PAUL LEINER

100* Over 7.5 Royals/Orioles
50* Redsox -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Fireworks expected for Padres-Rockies

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Friday's major league games:

Lowest of the Low

Unders dominated the Thursday sked, with teams combining to go 3-7 O/U. Only three clubs managed to score more than five runs: the Angels, who beat Tampa Bay 6-5; San Francisco, which prevailed 6-4 over Miami; and San Diego, which routed Cincinnati 6-1.

One-Run Wonders

The Baltimore Orioles (+127) are at it again, improving to 10-3 in one-run games with a 2-1 triumph over the Kansas City Royals. Baltimore, which put together a 29-9 mark in one-run games en route to a playoff berth in 2012, are +103 underdogs Friday in Kansas City.

Total Surprise

It's not often the San Diego Padres find themselves as part of the day's highest total - but that's the case Friday as they visit Colorado. The Rockies (-154, 10.5) have been unstoppable at Coors Field this season, batting .353 and averaging 7.7 runs over their first 18 games.

Pitching Notes

* Detroit ace Max Scherzer has had issues pitching in Boston; the hard-throwing right-hander has lost his last three games as an underdog, all at Fenway Park. Scherzer returns as a -102 underdog Friday against Jon Lester and the Red Sox (-106, 7.5).

* Chicago Cubs righty Jeff Samardzija can make a solid grievance against his teammates this season, racking up the fifth-worst money line among starters ($-609) despite a minuscule 1.45 ERA. Samardzija looks for his first win as the Cubs (-111) host Milwaukee.

Batting Notes

* Toronto first baseman Edwin Encarnacion belted a pair of homers in Thursday's 4-2 win over Cleveland. The Blue Jays, who are 5-1 against the moneyline and 5-1 O/U when Encarnacion hits at least one home run in 2014, open a series Friday in Texas (-170, 8.5)

* Minnesota Twins first baseman Chris Colabello went 0-for-5 with two strikeouts Thursday against Boston and is hitting just 7-for-52 with 23 strikeouts in May. The Twins are 4-10 O/U in that stretch as they prepare to host Seattle (+100, 8).

Totals Streak

St. Louis Cardinals (5-1-1 O/U): The offense has come alive of late, scoring four or more runs in six of the past seven games. The Cardinals carry an 18-19-4 O/U record for the season into Friday's date with visiting Atlanta (-101, 7).

Prop of the Day

Bettors could fare handsomely if the Padres somehow find a way to tame the Rockies at Coors Field. Oddsmakers are offering +550 for a total of 5 or lower and +500 for a total of 6 or 7, but be wary: the teams combined for double-digit runs five times in seven meetings at Colorado last season.

Injury Notes

* New York Yankees outfielder Carlos Beltran may miss up to 12 weeks if he decides to undergo elbow surgery. New York is 2-2 against the moneyline, 2-2 O/U and +44 units on the season with Beltran out of the lineup.

* Chicago White Sox lefty Chris Sale will make a minor-league rehab start Friday with an eye toward a late-May return. The White Sox are 3-1 against the moneyline in Sale's four starts in 2014, after going just 14-16 a season ago.

Weather Watch

* High totals could be on the docket at Citizens Bank Park, with wind expected to blow out to right field for the game between the Phillies (+100, 8) and the visiting Cincinnati Reds. Philadelphia went 6-1 while teams averaged 2.71 homers under similar conditions last season.

Umpire of the Day

Under is 8-1 in umpire Doug Eddings' last nine games behind home plate. Eddings will call the balls and strikes at Kauffman Stadium as the Royals resume their series with the Orioles.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:05 a.m. ET Friday.