5-23-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Boston at Tampa Bay

Looking to bounce back after getting swept at home by the Blue Jays, the Red Sox travel to Tampa Bay tonight to face a Rays team that is 2-9 in its last 11 home games. Boston is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, MAY 23 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.636; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.711 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Over

Game 953-954: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.239; Philadelphia (Hernandez) 14.894 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-180); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-180); Under

Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.206; Miami (Koehler) 15.021 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Miami (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-110); Under

Game 957-958: Arizona at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Anderson) 15.275; NY Mets (Colon) 14.321 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 6 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+115); Under

Game 959-960: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 15.710; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.444 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Over

Game 961-962: Colorado at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 14.926; Atlanta (Floyd) 16.338 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-125); Under

Game 963-964: Chicago Cubs at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 14.555; San Diego (Stauffer) 16.211 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: San Diego (-145); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-145); Over

Game 965-966: Texas at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Baker) 15.486; Detroit (Sanchez) 14.678 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-180); 8 Dunkel Pick: Texas (+160); Under

Game 967-968: Oakland at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Kazmir) 17.275; Toronto (Hendriks) 15.715 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Under

Game 969-970: Cleveland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (House) 14.455; Baltimore (Norris) 16.164 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-135); Over

Game 971-972: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 15.731; Tampa Bay (Archer) 14.301 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Over

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.825; White Sox (Noesi) 15.949 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 9 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Under

Game 975-976: Kansas City at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 15.166; LA Angels (Wilson) 16.684 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 7 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Over

Game 977-978: Houston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 16.011; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.112 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Seattle (-260); 7 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+220); Over

Game 979-980: Minnesota at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 16.150; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.125 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 6 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-160); 7 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+140); Under

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Game of the Day: Rangers at Tigers

Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers (-170, 8)

The Texas Rangers had no trouble scoring runs without Prince Fielder in the series opener with the host Detroit Tigers and may have to do without his services for a long time. The first baseman who was acquired from the Tigers – with this four-game series slated to be his first trip back to the Motor City – will undergo neck surgery on Tuesday that may sideline him for the remainder of the season. Not having Fielder wasn’t a hindrance as Texas rolled to a 9-2 win on Thursday.

Fielder will undergo surgery to repair a herniated disk and the recovery time is approximately four months, which would probably put him on the shelf for the rest of the campaign. “We’re looking forward to getting this guy healthy and seeing what he can do,” Texas general manager Jon Daniels told reporters after Thursday’s victory. “But that’s in 2015 and beyond. We’re going to miss this guy.” Detroit has lost a season-worst four straight games after being clobbered in the opener.

TV: 7:08 p.m. ET, MLB Network, KTXA (Texas), FSN Detroit

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened as -170 home favorites. The run total opened at 8.

INJURY REPORT: Texas: 1B Prince Fielder - out for season (neck)

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Texas -137, Detroit (-204)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "It's been a number of years since we've seen a Rangers club struggle at the dish the way this one has." - Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "A tale of two opposites, the Rangers are struggling to start the year scoring only 181 total runs, facing the Central leading Tigers who have only gave up a 156 total runs good for second best in the in the AL." - Michael Stewart of Carbon Sports.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers RH Scott Baker (0-0, 3.38 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (1-2, 2.89)

Baker is making his second major-league appearance of the season as the Texas starting rotation continues to be besieged by injuries. He received a no-decision against Colorado on May 7 when he allowed two runs and four hits in 5 1/3 innings and is 7-5 with a 4.71 ERA in 23 career starts against Detroit. Baker, who went 38-22 from 2008-10 with Minnesota, last won a big-league game on July 23, 2011 when he defeated the Tigers.

Sanchez has been roughed up badly in three previous career starts against the Rangers as he has allowed 24 hits and seven walks in just 12 1/3 innings while going 0-3 with a 9.49 ERA. He returned from an absence related to a blister issue to beat Boston in his last outing, giving up two runs (one earned) and five hits in five innings. Sanchez has struggled with his command with 14 walks in only 28 innings.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Detroit
* Rangers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
* Rangers are 1-7 in their last eight games as an underdog.
* Over is 4-0 in the Tigers last four games overall.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-seven percent of the wagers are on the Tigers at -170.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Washington won last four Zimmerman starts (2-0, 3.27).
-- Koehler is 2-1, 1.40 in his last four starts.
-- Hernandez is 1-0, 0.73 in his last couple starts.
-- Anderson is 2-0, 5.06 in his first two MLB starts; Arizona scored 23 runs in his two starts.
-- Miller is 5-0, 2.48 in his last five starts.
-- Lyles is 1-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
-- Jackson is 1-1, 1.80 in his last three starts.

-- Kazmir is 3-1, 3.20 in his last fove starts.
-- Norris is 2-2, 3.06 in his last five starts.
-- Duffy is 1-1, 0.69 in his last couple starts. Wilson is 3-1, 2.43 in his last five outings.

Cold pitchers
-- Morton is 0-6, 5.16 in his last seven starts.
-- Kershaw is 0-1, 10.38 in his last two starts.
-- Estrada is 1-1, 4.70 in his last four starts.
-- Colon is 1-2, 3.15 in three home starts.
-- Bailey is 1-1, 5.29 in his last three starts.
-- Floyd is 0-1, 4.34 in his last three starts.
-- Stauffer is making first '14 start; he is 27-32, 3.86 in 70 career starts, 1-0, 2.41 in 12 relief stints this year (18.2 IP)- this is his second start since 2011.

-- Baker is 63-48, 4.14 in 162 career starts, but he's made only three since 2011; he allowed two runs in 5.1 IP in two relief appearances. Sanchez is 1-2, 4.28 in six starts this season.
-- Hendriks is 2-13, 6.06 in 28 career starts, all with Minnesota; this is his first '14 start- he was 5-0, 1.48 in seven AAA starts.
-- House is making first MLB start; he was 1-2, 2.40 in seven AAA starts. He threw one scoreless inning in his MLB debut.
-- Lackey is 1-1, 4.91 in his last three starts. Archer is 1-1, 5.47 in his last five starts.
-- Kuroda is 1-2, 6.53 in his last five starts. Noesi is 0-3, 6.10 in four starts this season.
-- Hernandez is 1-1, 5.95 in his last three home starts. Peacock is 1-3, 5.09 in six starts this season.

-- Gibson is 1-3, 6.66 in his last five starts. Lincecum is 1-2, 4.08 in his last three starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Zimmerman 1-9; Morton 2-9
-- Kershaw 1-4; Hernandez 3-7
-- Estrada 2-9; Koehler 0-9
-- Anderson 0-2; Colon 3-9
-- Miller 0-9; Bailey 3-9
-- Lyles 3-9; Floyd 0-3
-- Jackson 3-9; Stauffer 0-0

-- Baker 0-0; Sanchez 3-6
-- Kazmir 2-9; Hendriks 0-0
-- House 0-0 Norris 2-8
-- Lackey 3-9; Archer 2-9
-- Kuroda 4-9; Noesi 2-4
-- Duffy 0-3; Wilson 2-9
-- Peacock 2-6; Hernandez 1-10 (0 of last 9)

-- Gibson 2-8; Lincecum 4-9

Totals
-- Six of last eight Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Dodger games.
-- Nine of last twelve Miami games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati home games stayed under.
-- Under is 13-4-2 in last nineteen Atlanta home games.
-- Last six Cub games stayed under the total.

-- Eight of last ten Texas games stayed under.
-- Over is 12-4-1 in last seventeen Toronto home games.
-- Over is 11-1-2 in last fourteen Cleveland games.
-- Last three Boston games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten White Sox games went over. Last eight Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Angel games.
-- Seven of last nine Houston road games stayed under.

-- Six of last nine Minnesota road games stayed under.


Hot teams
-- Pirates won six of their last eight home games.
-- Miami won 13 of its last 15 home games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eight games.
-- Braves won six of their last eight home games.
-- Cubs won four of their last five games.

-- Texas won three of its last four games.
-- Oakland won 11 of its last 13 games. Blue Jays won six of last seven.
-- Indians won their last four games.
-- White Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games. Royals are 6-4 in their last ten road games.
-- Seattle won three of its last four games.

-- Minnesota won five of its last six games. Giants won nine of their last thirteen home games.


Cold teams
-- Washington is 7-11 in its last 18 games.
-- Dodgers are 5-7 in their last dozen road games. Phillies lost six of last nine games overall.
-- Reds are 0-5 in game following their last five wins.
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games. Arizona lost five of its last seven.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last eleven road games
-- Colorado lost five of its last six road games.
-- Padres lost five of their last six games.

-- Detroit lost its last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost nine of last eleven home games. Red Sox lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Baltimore lost eight of its last eleven games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost three of their last four games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last twelve road games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo plunged deeper into the red Thursday when the A’s rallied to tie in the ninth then choked it away in the 11th, and the Yankees were hosed by the White Sox to put the negative numeral at 1,135 garagiolas.

Friday: It’s Miller time for Hondo, who expects the Cardinals to get their Irish up and cream Bailey — 10 units on St. Louis.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Marlins -110
50* Yankees -130

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Cappers Access

Yankees -138
Angels(RL) -1.5(+128)

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Guaranteed picks

Twins
Yankees
Diamondbacks
Braves
Athletics
Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Nationals -105

2* Brewers -110

2* D-Backs +1.5 -200

2* Reds -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty’s pick on Thursday, the Giants, was suspended and likes the Dodgers on Friday.

The deficit remains is 450 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

NY Mets -119

The Mets Bartolo Colon (3-5, 5.34 ERA) has been up and down this year, but appears to be pitching better over the last several outings. He will be opposed tonight by Chase Anderson (2-0, 5.06) who is undefeated on the season even though he has a higher ERA. That's mainly because the D'Backs have given him really good run support in those starts. The D'Backs are really struggling right now and fresh off getting swept by the Cardinals in St. Louis. These two teams played a series back in Phoenix back in April and were swept and outscored 21-5 during the series. The NL East has been a particular problem for Arizona, who are 8-20 in their last 28 games vs. that division. The Mets are feasting against the cellar-dwellers in MLB and are 7-1 in their last eight games over sub-.400 teams. We think the Mets pick up some home momentum tonight and get the series opening win over the D'Backs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

Oakland A's vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: Oakland A's -120

This game features the 30-17 Oakland at the 26-22 Toronto. The Blue Jays have been playing good ball lately having won 8 of their last 10 but so has the Oakland A's winning 8 of their last 10. Oakland is 18-7 on the road this year and Scott Kazmir is on the mound at 5-1 and 2.39 ERA we are getting a steal at these odds as he faces Liam Hendriks who is 1-3 with 6.85 ERA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer

vip-picks

Bonus SVP
Bulgaria - Canada
Tip: Bulgaria -1
Odds: 1,88

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Felix is no sure thing

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Friday's major league games:

NL East a Push Party

The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies played to a push Thursday, with the Marlins scoring the game-winning run in the bottom of the ninth to prevail 4-3. That gives the National League East a combined 25 pushes so far this season; no other division has more than 16.

Too Good to Be True?

Bettors should be wary of Seattle Mariners ace Felix Hernandez and his -248 pricetag for Friday's home encounter with the Houston Astros. Hernandez is just 1-6 against the moneyline in his last seven starts as a favorite of -160 or greater, including a woeful 0-3 mark so far in 2014.

Battle of the Basement

The teams with the worst money records do battle Friday as the Tampa Bay Rays ($-1,418) and Boston Red Sox ($-1,269) do battle in the series opener at Tropicana Field. The Rays (+106, 7.5) haven't finished in the red since 2009, while Boston won an AL East-best $1,864 last season.

Pitching Notes

* New York Mets starter Bartolo Colon has already surrendered nine home runs through his first nine starts; the veteran right-hander allowed just 14 longballs all of last season, and hasn't surrendered more than 21 in a campaign since 2005. Colon and the Mets (-119, 7.5) host Arizona on Friday.

* Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw, coming off the worst start of his career in a loss to the Diamondbacks, is 7-2 O/U in his last nine starts after going 3-11-2 O/U in his previous 16 outings. Kershaw will look to bounce back Friday against the host Philadelphia Phillies (+160, 7.5).

Hitting Notes

* The Toronto Blue Jays swatted three home runs in Thursday's sweep-capping win over Boston and now has 67 dingers on the season - the most in the majors and the fourth-highest total through 48 games in team history. Toronto is 28-18-2 O/U as it opens a weekend series against visiting Oakland (-106, 9).

* Cleveland Indians slugger Carlos Santana lifted his average to .153 with a pair of hits in Thursday's 8-7 win over Baltimore. Santana has just seven multi-hit games all season; the Indians are 4-3 S/U and 7-0 O/U in those games entering Friday's showdown with Baltimore.

Totals Streak

New York Yankees (0-8 O/U): The loss of outfielder Carlos Beltran to an elbow injury appears to have had an adverse effect on the Yankees' offense; they've scored more than four runs just once in their past eight games, though they're an impressive 5-3 over that stretch.

Prop of the Day

A late rally could pay off when the Pittsburgh Pirates (-106, 7) and Washington Nationals face off at PNC Park. The prop for the team scoring first losing the game is +215; the teams rank third in the majors in batting average from the seventh inning on (.261), while the Pirates are second in homers (19) and the Nationals fifth (17) over that span.

Injury Notes

* Baltimore Orioles shortstop Manny Machado was removed from Thursday's game as a precaution after experiencing tightness in his groin. The Orioles are 13-12 SU, 12-12-1 O/U and +214 units for the season with Machado on the sidelines as they gear up for a Friday

* Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Ryan Braun left Thursday's game against Atlanta in the fifth inning after feeling tightness in his side. Braun missed 14 games with a similar injury earlier this season, a stretch during which Milwaukee went 6-8 S/U, 10-4 O/U and lost 222 units.

Weather Watch

* The wind at PNC Park will blow out to center field at 8 mph for Friday's game between the Pirates and Nationals. Teams combined to average 1.58 home runs - slightly better than the average of 1.35 - in 12 games under similar conditions last season.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:15 a.m. ET Friday.

[golden contender]

GC: MLB PLay

T.G.I.F and there are 3 MLB Plays going. One is the 5* 100% Game of the Week, There is also a 91% Road warrior and a Perfect dog system. MLB Power system play below in the Milwaukee at Miami game


On Friday the Free MLB System Play is on the Miami Marlins. Game 956 at 7:10 eastern. The Marlins are averaging 6 runs per game at home and are a solid 8-1 at home the last few seasons off a 1 run home win. Tonight they fit a powerful 88% system that plays on any home team that is off a home dog win and scored 4 or less runs on 5 or more hits, vs an opponent like Milwaukee that is off a road dog loss that also scored 4 or less runs on 5 or more hits. Miami has Koehler on the mound and he has been dominating at home going 5-0 allowing just 2 earned runs in 28 innings. Milwaukee will counter with M. Estrada and he has lost both career starts in Miami and he is 1-4 in his last 5 road starts in May. Look for Miami to take the Opener. On Friday we have 3 Big MLB System Plays up. The lead play is the 5* Game of the week from a 100% Dominator system. There is also a dog system that is perfect since 2008 and a 91% MLB Road warrior system. Jump on and see the Most Powerful data available in MLB as all systems are direct from the League wide database systems and Pitching database. For the free MLB System Play take Miami. GC