6-1-14

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | NY METS at PHILADELPHIA
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season, after a game where their bullpen blew a save
220-150 since 1997. ( 59.5% | 75.6 units )
3-6 this year. ( 33.3% | -2.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | LA ANGELS at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 79-39 (+44.9 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.7)

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June Good Month/Bad Month Pitchers

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of June. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in June team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each June over the last three years. Note: * designates pitcher was on this list last year.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Buchholz, Clay • 9-0

The Boston right-hander is in the midst of a horrific season at 2-4 with a Godzilla-sized ERA of 7.02. On May 28 he was placed on the DL for a hyperextended left knee and his return is not known.

Burnett, A. J. • 9-4

After escaping the pressure of the Yankees, Burnett has evolved into a more complete pitcher and really mixes his pitches well. No reason he cannot continue his success of the past this month if he does a better job either working further inside or staying away from left-hand hitters, who are batting .297 against Burnett.

Colon, Bartolo • 9-2

The rotund righty from the Dominican just turned 41 years old and has not had the same kind of success in New York as the past couple of seasons in Oakland. He can have another strong June if he spots his fastball better to hit the catcher’s target.

Dickey, R. A. • 12-4

While the knuckleballer has not been terrific, he’s lowered his ERA a run and been part of the reason Toronto leapfrogged into first place in the AL East. With the Rogers Centre having the roof open more frequently with summer here, that should add a little more “dance” to Dickey’s main pitch to help his club keep posting wins.

Sabathia, C. C. • 12-4

The big left-hander was placed on the DL on May 14 with degenerative changes in his right knee and according to manager Joe Girardi, the soonest Sabathia will be back with New York is July.

Scherzer, Max • 11-4

While Scherzer has not been as devastating as he was in 2013, he’s still allowing fewer hits to innings pitched and on pace to have well over 200 strikeouts. Right-hand hitters are right on the Mendoza Line with a .204 batting average against him. Expect the positive results to continue.

Verlander, Justin • 13-5

It has been unusual season to say the least for Verlander. For the first time since 2008, he’s well below a punch-out per inning (27.2 percent lower) and if he continues to dole out free passes at this rate, he could set a career high for walks. The velocity and command have not been there, will the warmer weather help Verlander heat up, or is something simply not right?

Wilson, C. J. • 13-3

Though he’s behind the pace that made him a 17-game winner a season ago, Wilson’s other numbers are all better to this point of the season which suggests he could be a big winner the rest of the way. In his past 10 outings he has a sharp 2.54 ERA and he’s devouring those to the left side of the plate in the batter’s box, holding them to a .194 average.

Zimmermann, Jordan • 13-3

The Wisconsin native season has gone like his team, not so hot, surrendering 38 base hits in 26.2 innings in May, not once getting beyond the sixth inning. This is uncharacteristic for Zimmermann who is usually very consistent. Let’s see if he turns it around this month and throws like he has in the past compared to opposing hitter’s raking him for .307 BA this season.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Bailey, Homer • 2-9

The Reds righty might be 5-3 as the month starts, but his winning record will not last long if his ERA is still remains around 5 and opposing batters continue to club him at a .295 BA rate. Bailey’s been like a batting practice pitcher versus lefties, who are hitting an astonishing .380 against him.

Fister, Doug • 3-10

Fister did not join the Washington rotation until May 9 because of injury and has thrown fairly well to this point. A good chunk of the losses in June were thanks to sorry Seattle clubs he toiled for. But given the Nationals scoring woes and disturbing defense, Fister might have to be great to alter his previous fortunes.

Guthrie, Jeremy • 4-9

A middle of the rotation starter, Guthrie had a couple poor outings in May to help ‘raise’ his ERA to 4.14; however, he’s also been a victim of lack of run support and should have a better record than 2-4. While it is not a vast number of starts, be aware Guthrie has an ERA of over 6 in day games this season.

Nolasco, Ricky • 4-12

Minnesota must have no pitching prospects ready to join the big club because how else could you explain starting Nolasco with a 6.12 ERA, with opponents hitting a robust .322 against his very hittable tosses.

Norris, Bud • 4-10

No hiding from this fact, any baseball bettor would at least consider Norris when he’s pitching at home, but put a road uniform on him and he is 15-32 for his career and definite play against material.

Sanchez, Anibal • 4-8

Throughout his career, Sanchez has never been a pitcher who has received proper run support. Though the Tigers offense has been solid most of the season, Sanchez has a .500 record with a stellar 2.49 ERA and opposing batters have a feeble .183 BA against him. If Detroit scores, he could reverse past indiscretions. If not, another losing month could occur.

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | TULSA at SEATTLE
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread against opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread
109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units )

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, team that had a winning record last season
21-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 77.8% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | ATLANTA at CONNECTICUT
Play Against - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) very good shooting team - shooting >=46% on the season, hot shooting team - 5 straight games making >=42% of their shots
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

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Hondo

Hondo held his ground Saturday when he bounced back from a loss with the Rangers by hitting with the Reds to remain 965 hammakers below the equator.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch is guessing the Cards will be up the creek against Hudson — 10 units on the Giants. Also, 10 on Gray to goose the Angels. Cheers!

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BeatYourBookie

SUNDAY



NHL HOCKEY


10* Play Chicago -150 over Los Angeles (Top NHL Play)

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BeatYourBookie

SUNDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play San Francisco +115 over St. Louis (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Francisco is 29-13 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
San Francisco is 7-1 when playing on a Sunday
San Francisco is 17-6 after having won two of the last three games


10* Play New York Mets +130 over Philadelphia (MLB TOP PLAY)

Philadelphia is 22-34 when playing in the month of June the last two seasons
Philadelphia is 46-61 coming off two or more OVER the totals
Philadelphia is 32-52 coming off a loss by two runs or less in their last game

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5* Play Colorado +110 over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Houston +110 over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime

SUNDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

NO BASKETBALL PLAYS TODAY


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NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Chicago -150 over Los Angeles (NHL TOP PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Detroit -135 over Seattle (MLB TOP PLAY)

Seattle has lost 72 of the last 121 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game and they have lost 97 of the last 172 games coming off a win in their last game.Seattle has lost 32 of the last 54 games when playing in the month of June and they have lost 98 of the last 163 games when playing as an underdog of +100 to +150.

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50* Play Los Angeles Dodgers -170 over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Chicago White Sox -170 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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Kevin's Pick(s):
2 UNIT = San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox - WHITE SOX -1.5 (+122)
Listed Pitchers: Stults vs Sale
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.44 units)
-- No write up on a Sunday. Have a good day!
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ L.A. Dodgers - DODGERS -1.5 (+129)
Listed Pitchers: Volquez vs. Greinke
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.58 units)

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XpertPicks

SUNDAY


NHL HOCKEY

• Play Chicago -150 over Los Angeles (NHL)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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XpertPicks

SUNDAY BASEBALL

• Play Tampa Bay +150 over Boston---Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  1:30 PM EST

Jon Lester has lost 9 of the last 12 games when pitching on a Sunday and he has lost 14 of the last 21 games coming off two or more team wins. Jon Lester has lost 22 of the last 38 games vs. division opponents and he has lost two of the last three starts and has an ERA of 5.71.

• Play San Francisco +115 over St. Louis----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  2:15 PM EST

Tim Hudson has won 9 of the last 10 games when pitching on a Sunday and he has won 14 of the last 20 day games. Tim Hudson has won 8 of the last 10 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has won 33 of the last 47 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

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CHASE DIAMOND

15*St. Louis Cardinals-123

Big time matchup between the 36-20 Giants at the 30-26 Cardinals. Nice pitching matchup also as Tim Hudson 5-2 1.92 era faces off with Lance Lynn who is 6-2 with a 3.13 era. I'm not sold the Hudson is 100% healty and this line kind of speaks to that as Vegas looks to bait a public play on the Giants and so far 65% of the public are backing them yet this line has moved 8 cents the wrong way. Cardinals want to win this series Ill take the more motivated Cards at home on a getaway day for the Giants. Take the Cardinals for a 15* winner.

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DENVER MONEY

MLB Totals
Mets @ Phillies - Under 7

Giants @ Cardinals - Over 7

Royals @ Blue Jays - Over 9

Orioles @ Astros - Over 8.5

Rockies @ Indians - Under 8.5

Rangers @ Nationals - Under 7

Pirates @ Dodgers - Over 7

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EZWINNERS

2* Braves -110

1* Red Sox -165

1* Rangers -130

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WORLD CLASS CAPPER

MLB- 3* Yankees -1.5 run line @ +160
Starts at 1:00 PM est

MLB- 3* Angels moneyline @ +127
Starts at 4:00 PM est

MLB- 3* Pirates vs Dodgers - Over 7 runs @ +105
Starts at 8:00 PM est