6-2-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

500* Pirates -110
100* Redsox -110
50* Over 8 - Twins/Brewers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

3 UNITS - PITT vs SD OVER 7

The Pirates appear to be playing some of their best baseball of the season, highlighted by a Sunday win over Zach Greinke and the Dodgers to take three out of four games in that series. The Bucs look to continue the momentum tonight as they send Charlie Morton (1-7, 3.29 ERA) to the mound to face the Padres Tim Stauffer (2-1, 4.50 ERA) Stauffer was shelled in his last start against the Diamondbacks, giving up seven runs in the first inning. Both of these teams, most notably the Padres, started the year off struggling from the plate, but both offenses appear to be headed in the right direction. We may see some bullpen fatigue tonight for the Pirates as Clint Hurdle was very liberal with his use of the pen during the Dodgers series, so that may be a story if the Padres can get past Morton. For us, the story of this game is that based on our systems, this total is too low and we're going to make a play on the OVER 7.0 in this spot.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

BOSTON REDSOX -120
(Lackey/Masterson)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

3 STAR SELECTION: (954) Cleveland Indians +$100
(Risking $300 to win $300)
(Action)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

10* MLB HOME COOKING
NY Mets vs. Philadelphia
Money Line: -103 Philadelphia Phillies

This play features the 27-29 Mets at the 24-30 Phillies. This has been a very long series with the last 3 games going into extra innings. I will be in person at this game right behind home plate row 5. I’ve talked to several guys with Philly connections and they tell me this game is a high priority tonight for the Phillies. Bartolo Colon has been down right average this season he is 4-5 with a 4.73 ERA I love the over tonight since both bullpens are messed up but the stronger play is the Phillies with the very low juice. Roberto Hernandez has been ok with a 2-2 3.76 ERA there are worse pitchers out there. Take the Phillies straight for a 10* winner!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rangers (series) while on vacation and likes the Mets on Monday.

The deficit is 350 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday’s MLB betting cheat sheet: Marlins struggling at home

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for Monday’s major league games:

Mets Rally to Push (Again)

The New York Mets once again left totals bettors frustrated, rallying for two runs in the ninth while allowing one of their own to settle for a push in a 4-3 win over Philadelphia. The Mets already have 10 pushes in 2014; only two teams reached double digits (Miami, New York Yankees) all of last season.

Marlins Swimming in Reverse

Miami began the season as one of the hottest moneyline and Over plays at home, but those numbers have cooled of late. The Marlins are 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 O/U in their last five games at Marlins Park entering Monday’s home tilt with the in-state rival Tampa Bay Rays (-142, 7.5).

Kershaw Comes Through

Clayton Kershaw is the favorite of the night on Monday’s eight-game sked, coming in at -207 as his Dodgers face Jose Quintana and the Chicago White Sox. Kershaw has been dominant in the role, allowing just three earned runs in his last four starts as a fave of -185 or better.

Pitching Notes

* Cleveland right-hander Justin Masterson has struggled as an underdog of late, going 0-4 in his last five starts in the role. Masterson and the Indians (+103, 8) open a three-game set Monday afternoon against his former team, the Boston Red Sox.

* Seattle hurler Felix Hernandez has quelled one of the league’s stronger Over trends, allowing just two runs over his last two starts to go 0-1-1 O/U following six straight Overs. Hernandez and the Mariners (-129, 7.5) visit the New York Yankees on Monday.

Hitting Notes

* Minnesota star Joe Mauer looked like a shell of his former self in May, batting just .258 with a .290 OBP for the month. That contributed to the Twins’ 11-17-1 O/U record for May, a trend they hope to see halted as they visit the Milwaukee Brewers (-155, 8).

* Philadelphia first baseman Ryan Howard is heating up, with four homers and 14 RBIs over his last seven games. The Phillies are 6-5 S/U and 7-2-2 O/U in games where Howard goes deep entering Monday’s showdown with the visiting Mets (-105, 7.5).

Totals Streak

Boston Red Sox (0-5 O/U): Boston has followed a nine-game losing skid with a seven-game winning streak on the strength of some sensational pitching. The Red Sox have allowed just six runs over their last five games, including a sweep of Tampa Bay in which the Rays scored just three times.

Prop of the Day

The St. Louis Cardinals could be a strong play at +800 to beat the Kansas City Royals by exactly three runs. The Cardinals are 11-5 against their geographical rivals over the past three seasons, with four of the last seven victories coming by three runs.

Injury Notes

* Baltimore Orioles outfielder Nelson Cruz is considered day-to-day after he was hit in the hand by a pitch Sunday. Cruz leads the majors with 20 home runs; the Orioles are 9-9 S/U and 11-7 O/U in games in which Cruz has gone deep at least once.

* Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout is expected to return Tuesday from a back injury after sitting out the entire weekend. The Angels were 1-1 S/U, 1-1 O/U and +100 units without Trout, who has three homers and 10 RBIs over his last nine games.

Weather Watch

* The wind at Yankee Stadium will be blowing out to left field at 10 mph for Monday’s game between the Yankees and Mariners. Teams averaged 8.6 runs and a whopping 3.6 homers in five games under similar wind conditions last season.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 12-3-1 in umpire Doug Edding’s last 16 games behind home plate. Eddings will call the balls and strikes for Monday’s series finale between the Mets and Phillies.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:10 a.m. ET Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Royals vs Cardinals
Pick: Over 7.5 runs
Risk:$100 to win $100
Time: 5:00 PM PT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GOODFELLA

Monday Night MLB Team Total

MINNESOTA TWINS – OVER 3.5 RUNS

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Play

Monday card has the 100% MLB Dog of the Year from an Undefeated League wide system that has won all 14 times. There are also a Pair of totals systems from 13-1 and 11- 1 systems. Free MLB Preview Play below



On Monday the MLB Preview Play is in the Chicago White Sox and LA. Dodgers game at 10:10 eastern. The Dodgers apply to the 15-1 League Wide power system below that has won 15 of 16 times. However its hard to unit rate favorites in this range. It is worth noting that these home favorites are winning by over 3 runs in this system. We want to do is play on home favorites in this range that were at home and favored in their last game, vs an opponent, which is the White Sox in this game, that are off a home favored win at -140 or higher. This very simple set of parameters have produced solid results since 2004. The Dodgers have done well in the Inter League as they average 5.6 runs. LA has their ace on the mound in Clayton Kershaw tonight. In his last 9 home starts Kershaw has allowed just 11 earned runs, spanning 62 innings. Tonight he will oppose J. Quintana for Chicago who has been decent despite pitching for a mediocre team. The White Sox are off the win at home vs the Padres on Sunday. However, they are a terrible 1-15 on the road off a home game. They have also lost 4 of 5 as a road dog in this range. While its hard to lay such a high number with the Dodgers, they do have a plethora of Solid indicators on their side tonight. See the Power system Below. On Monday we have 3 Powerful Play up, one is the MLB Dog of the Year from an Incredible 100% System where dogs have won all 14 times. There are also a pair Of totals systems that are 13-1 and 11-1. Jump on now and Start the week big with this Triple pack. For the free play take the LA. Dodgers. GC

SU: 15-1

Runs
Team 7.2
Opp 3.9

Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
Aug 31, 2004 box Tue home Red Sox Curt Schilling - ? Angels John Lackey - R 10-7 3 W 7.5 O 16-15 0-2 9-0 -200 9.5 9
Sep 13, 2004 box Mon home Athletics Tim Hudson - R Rangers Juan Dominguez - R 7-6 1 W 4.0 O 8-12 1-1 1-2 -250 9.0 10
Apr 22, 2005 box Fri home Cardinals Jason Marquis - R Astros Brandon Duckworth - R 8-7 1 W 5.5 O 9-11 0-1 7-0 -210 9.5 9
Sep 20, 2005 box Tue home Angels Bartolo Colon - R Rangers Juan Dominguez - R 2-1 1 W -5.5 U 7-5 3-0 2-0 -210 8.5 9
Sep 23, 2005 box Fri home Yankees Shawn Chacon - R Blue Jays Ted Lilly - L 5-0 5 W -5.0 U 8-4 0-1 5-0 -220 10.0 9
Aug 15, 2006 box Tue home Twins Johan Santana - L Indians Jake Westbrook - R 4-1 3 W -3.5 U 8-4 0-0 4-0 -200 8.5 9
May 11, 2007 box Fri home Twins Johan Santana - L Tigers Mike Maroth - L 3-7 -4 L 2.0 O 11-13 0-1 0-4 -200 8.0 9
Jun 05, 2007 box Tue home Blue Jays Roy Halladay - R Rays Andy Sonnanstine - R 12-11 1 W 14.5 O 12-17 3-1 1-7 -240 8.5 9
Oct 24, 2007 box Wed home Red Sox Josh Beckett - R Rockies Jeff Francis - L 13-1 12 W 5.5 O 17-6 0-0 12-0 -210 8.5 9
Oct 01, 2008 box Wed home Phillies Cole Hamels - L Brewers Yovani Gallardo - R 3-1 2 W -4.5 U 4-4 1-1 3-0 -200 8.5 9
May 06, 2009 box Wed home Dodgers Clayton Kershaw - L Nationals Daniel Cabrera - R 10-3 7 W 3.5 O 11-6 0-2 8-0 -205 9.5 9
Jun 09, 2009 box Tue home Dodgers Chad Billingsley - R Padres Chris Young - R 6-4 2 W 2.5 O 11-10 0-1 3-2 -200 7.5 9
Apr 16, 2010 box Fri home Phillies Roy Halladay - R Marlins Anibal Sanchez - R 8-6 2 W 6.0 O 12-14 1-0 7-0 -260 8.0 9
Jul 22, 2010 box Thu home Yankees CC Sabathia - L Royals Bruce Chen - L 10-4 6 W 5.0 O 14-14 1-1 6-2 -325 9.0 9
Jul 27, 2010 box Tue home Rangers Cliff Lee - L Athletics Gio Gonzalez - L 3-1 2 W -4.0 U 8-6 1-0 2-0 -235 8.0 10
Jul 02, 2013 box Tue home Braves Kris Medlen - R Marlins Tom Koehler - R 11-3 8 W 6.5 O 16-11 1-2 8-2 -255 7.5 9

Jun 02, 2014 Mon home Dodgers Clayton Kershaw - L White Sox Jose Quintana - L -210 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

MONDAY BASEBALL

• Play New York Yankees +120 over Seattle---Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  7:00 PM EST

David Phelps has won 9 of the last 13 home games and he has won 7 of the last 10 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. David Phelps has an ERA of 2.50 over his last three starts and he has an ERA of 1.50 vs. Seattle over his career.

• Play Pittsburgh +100 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  10:00 PM EST

Tim Stauffer has lost 11 of the last 18 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and he has lost 7 of the last 11 games when pitching in the month of June. Tim Stauffer has lost 7 of the last 11 games when pitching on a Monday and he has an ERA of 11.82 over the last three starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie


MONDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Miami +120 over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY)

Tampa Bay is 11-20 in road games this season

Tampa Bay is 6-15 when batting .250 or worse over the last twenty games
Tampa Bay is 8-16 coming off an UNDER the total in their last game


10* Play Pittsburgh +100 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

Pittsburgh is 34-19 when playing in the month of June the last two seasons
Pittsburgh is 75-60 when playing in the 1^st half of the season the last two years
Pittsburgh is 107-81 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs

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5* Play NY Yankees +120 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play NY Mets +100 over Philadelphia (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Chris Sale pitched a great game and I picked up a White Sox run line winner yesterday afternoon. Today we've got a smaller board on a Monday, but I'm taking a small road favorite.
2 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Indians - RED SOX TO WIN (-112)
Listed Pitchers: Lackey vs Masterson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)

The Red Sox enter this game winners of 7 straight as they swept the Rays at home over the weekend. The Indians had lost 4 straight before sweeping Colorado at home over the weekend. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season. Last year the Red Sox went 6-1 vs the Indians in their seven meetings. John Lackey will be on the mound for Boston and he is 6-3 on the year with a 3.27 ERA, .266 OBA and 1.24 WHIP. He is coming off two straight starts where he allowed 0 earned runs, and he posted a 2.56 ERA over 5 May starts. Justin Masterson will counter for Cleveland and he is just 2-4 with a 5.21 ERA, .272 OBA and 1.54 WHIP on the season. He posted a 5.63 ERA over 6 May starts. Take note that the Indians are 1-4 in Masterson's last 5 starts as an underdog and 1-7 in his last 8 starts vs AL East opponents. The Indians are also 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog overall. Boston is 30-13 in their last 43 games as a road favorite between -110 to -150, and 4-1 in Lackey's last 5 starts as a favorite. Boston has won 4 straight in Cleveland and I look for them to keep their winning streak going given the pitching match up we will see tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play St. Louis -150 over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)

Danny Duffy has lost 5 consecutive games after giving up two or more home runs in his last outing and he has lost 10 of the last 13 games when pitching as an underdog of +125 to +175.Danny Duffy has lost 16 of the last 26 games coming off a team loss and he has lost two of the last three starts with an ERA of 5.29.

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50* Play Milwaukee -150 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play LA Dodgers -230 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Plays

19.20 CET - Sweden Superettan:
Sirius - Hammarby, both team to score (GG) @ 1.57 (Bet365)

20.45 CET - Ireland Premier League:
Dundalk - UC Dublin, 1 (-1.5)AH @ 1.75 (Bet365)

19.30 CET - Austria Ersteliga:
Parndorf - LASK Linz, over 2.5 @ 1.80 (Bet365)