6-6-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Brewers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | BOSTON at DETROIT
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season, after a game where their bullpen blew a save
221-151 since 1997. ( 59.4% | 75.8 units )
4-7 this year. ( 36.4% | -2.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | ST LOUIS at TORONTO
TORONTO is 27-12 (+15.9 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.
The average score was: TORONTO (5.7) , OPPONENT (4.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Houston at Minnesota

The Astros head to Minnesota tonight to face a Twins team that is 8-0 in Phil Hughes' last 8 starts. Minnesota is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JUNE 6 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Miami at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 15.801; Cubs (Hammel) 17.367 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-130); N/A

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 16.135; Pittsburgh (Cumpton) 14.342 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-120); Under

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.194; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.089 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-155); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-155); Under

Game 957-958: LA Dodgers at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.375; Colorado (Butler) 15.489 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 11 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 10 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over

Game 959-960: Atlanta at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 16.413; Arizona (McCarthy) 17.314 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over

Game 961-962: Washington at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 15.930; San Diego (Ross) 13.674 Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100); Under

Game 963-964: NY Mets at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 12.594; San Francisco (Cain) 14.978 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-155); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-155); Under

Game 965-966: Oakland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 17.323; Baltimore (Chen) 15.483 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 10 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 9 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Over

Game 967-968: Boston at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (De La Rosa) 14.279; Detroit (Smyly) 13.111 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+110); Under

Game 969-970: Seattle at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 15.106; Tampa Bay (Bedard) 13.219 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 9 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Over

Game 971-972: Cleveland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Bauer) 15.328; Texas (Darvish) 16.211 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 8 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-180); Under

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Whitley) 16.931; Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.996 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100); Over

Game 975-976: Houston at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 14.542; Minnesota (Hughes) 15.918 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under

Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Rienzo) 15.717; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.846 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-200); 8 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+170); Over

Game 979-980: St. Louis at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 17.658; Toronto (Stroman) 16.556 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | MINNESOTA at SEATTLE
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play Against - Home underdogs vs. the money line (TULSA) after 2 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins
121-45 since 1997. ( 72.9% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning record on the season
221-133 since 1997. ( 62.4% | 74.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

3* White Sox +180

1* Marlins +114

1* Red Sox +1.5 -175

1* Astros +108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Rays -140

50* Twins -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Braves -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FiveHoleFreddy

Phillies ML (x1)
Mairners ML (x1)
Padres ML (x1)
Orioles ML (x2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's Late Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider

Braves at Diamondbacks

Probable Pitchers:
ATL: Teheran (5-3, 1.83 ERA)
ARZ: McCarthy (1-7, 5.20 ERA)

Previous series results: The Diamondbacks return home after pulling off a three-game sweep over the struggling Rockies. Arizona plated 28 runs in the final two victories at Coors Field, while sweeping its first series of the season. The Braves will be happy not to play an American League opponent after dropping a pair of home contests to the Mariners. Atlanta owns an 0-6 record in interleague play, which includes four losses at Turner Field.

What to watch for: The Braves have lost four of their past five road series openers, while posting an 8-1 mark to the ‘under’ in the last nine starts made by Teheran. The Diamondbacks are 1-5 in McCarthy’s six starts in the role of an underdog, while Arizona’s pitching has allowed at least four runs in six of the past seven games played at Chase Field.

White Sox at Angels

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Probable Pitchers:
CHW: Rienzo (4-2, 4.26 ERA)
LAA: Weaver (6-4, 3.33 ERA)

Previous series results: The White Sox remain in Southern California after grabbing two of three from the Dodgers earlier this week. Chicago cashed in each of the final two wins as underdogs of +158 and +165, while improving to 6-3 in the past nine contests. The Angels have been going backwards of late by dropping six of nine games on their road trip, while losing two of three at Houston, all as a favorite.

What to watch for: Los Angeles is 6-1 to the ‘over’ in the past seven contests, while allowing at least five runs six times in this span. The White Sox have won each of the last four road starts made by Rienzo, while Chicago has cashed the ‘under’ in eight of the previous nine contests overall.

NNationals at Padres

Probable Pitchers:
WSH: Roark (3-4, 3.25 ERA)
SD: Ross (6-4, 2.85 ERA)

Previous series results: The Nationals swept the struggling Phillies at home, while scoring 19 runs in those three victories. The Padres continue their homestand as San Diego avoided a sweep by knocking off Pittsburgh on Wednesday, 3-1 in spite of racking up only one hit. Washington has won five of the past seven meetings with San Diego, but the two teams split a four-game set at Nationals Park in late April.

What to watch for: Washington has lost each of the last three starts made by Roark, but the Nationals scored just three total runs in those outings (all ‘unders’). The Padres are 1-5 in the last six series openers at Petco Park, but San Diego has won four of the last five home starts made by Ross. San Diego’s offense continues to be the worst in baseball, cashing the ‘under’ in five of the past six games overall.

Mets at Giants

Probable Pitchers:
NYM: Niese (3-3, 2.69 ERA)
SF: Cain (1-3, 3.66 ERA)

Previous series results: The Mets head to the West Coast after losing all three games to the suddenly surging Cubs, including last night’s 7-4 defeat. San Francisco returns home following a very successful road trip, capped off by taking two of three from Cincinnati. The Giants compiled a 5-2 mark against the Cardinals and Reds, while continuing to stay atop the NL West race at 39-21.

What to watch for: Matt Cain is back from the disabled list, as the Giants have won three of his last four starts since beginning the season at 0-4 in his first four outings. The Mets are 5-1-1 to the ‘over’ in the past seven games, while New York is 2-4 in its last six road series openers. New York has seen plenty of success at AT&T Park over the last few seasons, winning each of the last five visits to San Francisco.

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Totals Play

Friday card has the National League Game of the Month from a tremendous 100% system with a subset that wins by over 5 runs per game. There are also 3 Perfect pitching angles. We also have a 20-1 Late night Snacker system play + the Belmont Stakes Analysis. Big 6* cashes with Spurs last night. Free 88% MLB Totals system below.


On Friday the free MLB Totals system play is on the over in the Chicago Whitesox at LA. Angels game. Rotation numbers 977/978 at 10:05 eastern. We have a nice 88% totals system in this game pertaining to the over. We want to play over the total for home favorites like the Angels if the total is 8 or less and they are off a road favored loss, which they are in Houston last night in an 8-5 loss, and are taking on an opponent, like the Whitesox that are off a road dog win in which they scored 4 or less runs. These games average a shade over 10 runs per game. The Angels have flown over in 7 of the last 8 overall and 10 of 12 at home off a road favored loss the last few seasons. Chicago has played over 8 of 9 times on Friday and 6 of 8 times as a road dog from +175 to +200. In the series here 3 of the last 4 have posted over the total. LA has Weaver going and they have gone over in 9 of his 12 starts this season. Chicago counters with A. Rienzo and he has struggled of late with a 5.65 era. Look for this one to go over the total tonight. On Friday we have a Huge card with the National League Game of the Month from a Powerful League wide system that's winning by over 5 runs per game on average. This game also has 3 Perfect Pitching angles. In late night action we have a 20-1 MLB System Snacker and the Belmont analysis in the evening. NBA Top play cashes out with a 6* on the Spurs. Message to Jump on and start the weekend big with the most powerful data in the industry. For the free play take the Over in the Chicago at LA. Angels game. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

FRIDAY BASEBALL

• Play St. Louis +125 over Toronto---Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  7:10 PM EST

Lance Lynn has won 26 of the last 43 road games and he has won 31 of the last 44 games when pitching in the 1^st half of the season. Lance Lynn has won 23 of the last 35 games coming off a team loss and he has an ERA of 2.95 over the last three games.

• Play Washington +105 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  10:10 PM EST

Tyson Ross has lost 18 of the last 26 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and he has lost 12 of the last 18 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. Tyson Ross has lost 21 of the last 32 night games and he has lost 13 of the last 21 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play San Francisco -130 over New York Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Francisco has won 37 of the last 61 games when playing on a Friday and they have won 83 of the last 135 games when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175.San Francisco has won 19 of the last 28 home games and they have won 93 of the last 163 games after having won two of the last three games.

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50* Play Los Angeles Angels -185 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Texas -160 over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play St. Louis +125 over Toronto (MLB TOP PLAY)

St. Louis is 112-69 coming off a loss in their last game
St. Louis is 65-47 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs
St. Louis is 120-83 coming off an UNDER the total in their last game


10* Play Houston +110 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)

Minnesota is 22-36 when playing on a Friday the last three seasons
Minnesota is 53-82 at home when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Minnesota is 32-52 coming off two or more OVER the totals


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5* Play Washington +105 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play New York Yankees +110 over Kansas City (MLB BONUS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Boston @ DETROIT

Boston +120 over DETROIT

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)

The Tigers have dropped five in a row while scoring a measly 10 runs over that span. Chris Young, Roenis Elias, Drew Hutchison, R.A. Dickey and J.A. Happ are the last five starters the Tigers ran into and they made all five look good. Now they’ll run into Rubby De La Rosa. De La Rosa was one of the most enticing young arms in the LA organization a few years back. He went under the knife for TJS in August 2011 and has worked his way back. He has electric mid-90s stuff and has shown the ability to induce groundballs at a high rate. That was on full display in his first start of the year when he induced 63% grounders while striking out eight in seven full innings. De La Rosa didn’t walk a batter and his swing and miss rate was elite at 16%. That was just one start but this is a premium arm that could make a big splash and move up the ranks very quickly. Now is the time to buy low on De La Rosa.

Drew Smyly worked in 63 games last season and they all came as a reliever. In total, Smyly worked just 76 innings the entire year. There is a huge difference from coming into face three or four batters and throwing just a handful of pitches as opposed to working against an entire lineup two or three times through the order and throwing 100+ pitches. Smyly has yet to make the adjustment and is getting worse with each passing start. Over his past two starts in Oakland and Seattle, two pitcher-friendly venues, Smyly was tagged for 15 hits and nine runs in nine innings combined. At Oakland he was taken deep four times. In his last start in Seattle, Smyly needed 104 pitches to get through four innings before being yanked. The previous game he threw 105 pitches in five innings before being yanked. When you see a pitcher walking around on the mound after every pitch and taking a lot of time between pitches, it’s a sure sign of a pitcher who has no idea what he wants to do out there. This is an unsure pitcher that is struggling big time and he’s pitching for an offense that is also struggling. That’s not the time to spot a tag.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

MLB

3* San Diego Padres -125

3* Houston Astros +105