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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369673

    #16
    Sunday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Harang's still got it

    Harang Hurling Unders

    Aaron Harang started the season on fire, but has since faded from the spotlight. In his 13 starts this season. Harang has allowed no more than two runs 11 times and has only given up 26 runs. He is carrying a 4-8-1 O/U record and with the Braves' bats going silent as of late a low-scoring affair could be on-tap against the Diamondbacks.

    The Jekyll and Hyde tale of Cleveland

    The Cleveland Indians are currently treading water in the middle of the American League Central and that has a lot to do with their road record. Despite a 21-11 record at home (second-best in MLB), the Indians have a 9-20 record away from Progressive Field. The Indians have scored five or more runs nine time on the road this season compared to 17 times at home.

    Bay Area Bank

    Both the San Francisco Giants and the Oakland A's have been beating up on their respective divisions and cashing for bettors. The Giants have won eight of 10 and are the best money team in baseball by a wide margin at $1937, while the A's have won seven of 10 and are the fourth best money team at $870. The Giants (-148) host the Mets and the A's (-145) visit the Orioles.

    Pitching Notes

    * The Oakland Athletics will send Scott Kazmir to the mound with a smile on their face. The A's are 10-2 in Kazmir's 12 starts this season. Kazmir let's runners get on base, allowing at least five hits in eight of his stars, but has the seventh-best WHIP in the MLB (.99) giving bettors a 4-8 O/U.

    * Right-hander Hiroki Kuroda has been flat outside of Yankee Stadium. Kuroda's last 11 starts on the road have seen him give up at least seven hits nine times. Needless to say the Yankees have been far from spectacular in those starts holding a 2-9 S.U. and 6-4-1 O/U.

    Hitting Notes

    * SS Jordy Mercer has been quietly performing solidly for the Pittsburgh Pirates. In Mercer's last six starts he has recorded multiple hits five times and has six RBI. That span has also seen the Pirates go 5-1 S.U. and 3-3 O/U.

    * Though a career revitalization has been talked about, Justin Morneau is started to look like a flustered batter we've seen over the past few seasons. Morneau has only four hits in his past nine games for the Rockies, but has five strikeouts. If the slumping Rockies (0-9 S.U.) can be expected to turn it around, so to will Morneau.

    Totals Streak

    Tampa Bay Rays (2-7 O/U): The mediocre at-best Rays offense and a sudden surge in pitching has created low-scoring games. In the past nine contests, the Rays have scored a measly 20 runs while dropping eight of their last nine.

    Injury Notes

    * Cincinnati Reds' Joey Votto is set to make his first rehab start for the Louisville Bats Sunday. Votto has not been himself and if the season ended today, he would have career lows in both batting average and slugging percentage. Votto has been on the DL since May 16 with a strain quad.

    * Yasiel Puig left Saturday's game against the Colorado Rockies with an undisclosed injury. The Los Angeles Dodgers have him officially listed as questionable for Sunday's series finale.

    Weather Watch

    High winds are expected in Chicago which could greatly affect the Marlins-Cubs game. No precipitation is expected, but their is a projected wind of 17 miles per hour blowing in-towards home plate from left field.

    Umpire of the Day

    Alan Porter will calling balls and strikes when the New York Mets take on the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. The last eight games with Porter behind home plate have seen a perfect 0-8 O/U record.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369673

      #17
      Red Sox at Tigers: What bettors need to know

      Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers (-150, 7.5)

      The Boston Red Sox can’t stop streaking. The Red Sox lost 10, won seven and will try to end their latest skid at five and avoid a sweep when they visit the Detroit Tigers for the finale of a three-game series on Sunday. The Tigers came into the set in a rough patch but are taking advantage of Boston’s starting pitching slump while gaining some small revenge against the Red Sox after falling to them in the American League Championship Series last fall.

      Detroit took three straight at Fenway Park last month and dominated the first two games of this series, including knocking Boston ace Jon Lester around for five runs and 12 hits in 4 1/3 innings in Saturday’s 8-6 triumph. That sweep by the Tigers from May 16-18 marked the first of seven straight series that would end in sweeps for the Red Sox (three on the positive side), a string they will try to snap on Sunday. Boston came alive in the late innings on Saturday and received strong production from the top of the order in a 15-hit performance.

      TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

      PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH John Lackey (6-4, 3.28 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (2-2, 2.15)

      Lackey suffered a complete-game loss at Cleveland on Monday, surrendering three runs on eight hits and coming out on the wrong end of a 3-0 final. The veteran had combined for 13 1/3 scoreless innings over his previous two starts and has issued a total of three walks in his last three turns. Lackey had a string of four straight quality starts come to an end against Detroit on May 17, when he was reached for six runs – five earned – and nine hits in 5 1/3 frames.

      Sanchez has yet to allow more than three earned runs in an outing and went seven scoreless frames while yielding two hits and striking out five against Toronto on Tuesday. The 30-year-old is 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA in his last four starts, a run that began with a solid turn at Boston. Sanchez earned a win on May 18 while holding the Red Sox to two runs – one earned – and five hits in five innings.

      TRENDS:

      * Road team is 5-0 in Hamaris last five games behind home plate.
      * Red Sox are 0-5 in the last five meetings.
      * Tigers are 2-6 in Sanchez's last eight home starts.
      * Under is 9-1 in Lackey's last 10 starts as an underdog.

      WALK-OFFS:

      1. Red Sox RHP Clay Buchholz (knee) had a scheduled simulated game pushed back from Saturday to Sunday due to field availability.

      2. Tigers C Alex Avila, who was hit on the backswing by David Ortiz in Friday’s series opener, was held out of Saturday’s lineup as a precaution. He is considered day-to-day.

      3. Boston 1B Mike Napoli (finger, calf) is expected to be activated from the 15-day disabled list on Sunday.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369673

        #18
        WNBA Basketball Picks

        Washington at New York

        The Liberty host a Washington team that is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 games between the two teams. Washington is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.
        SUNDAY, JUNE 8
        Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
        Game 601-602: Washington at New York (3:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.520; New York 108.935
        Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 140
        Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 144 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2); Under
        Game 603-604: Minnesota at Los Angeles (3:30 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.843; Los Angeles 119.939
        Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 6; 168
        Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3 1/2; 161
        Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-3 1/2); Over
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369673

          #19
          Hondo

          Oakland A's
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369673

            #20
            MLB

            Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies

            The Colorado Rockies solving Zack Greinke and the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday snapped an eight game losing streak that had cost backers -$910 at the betting window. Rockies will look to lefty Jorge De La Rosa (6-4, 3.68 ERA) in the finale. He'll square off against Dodgers southpaw Clayton Kershaw (4-2, 3.32 ERA). Although the betting market has Dodgers favored were not in the same camp knowing Rockies have flourished when De La Rosa takes the ball in the game-three. Rockies sport a super-sweet 10-1 record in this spot with the hurler. Those digging deeper will have uncovered a few more betting gems in Colorado`s favor. The Rockies have won 10 straight day games with De La Rosa and have won 6 consecutive rubber matches with the southpaw starting. While Colorado has struggled of late, the baseball handicapping numbers in Rockies favor with De La Rosa hurling are too much to overlook. Play Colorado.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369673

              #21
              StatFox Super Situations

              MLB | HOUSTON at MINNESOTA
              Play Against - Home teams (MINNESOTA) poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL
              114-70 since 1997. ( 62.0% | 47.0 units )
              2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

              StatFox Situational Power Trends

              MLB | NY METS at SAN FRANCISCO
              SAN FRANCISCO is 14-3 (+11.7 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games this season.
              The average score was: SAN FRANCISCO (5.2) , OPPONENT (3.4)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369673

                #22
                Paul Leiner

                100* Seattle Mariners -125

                50* Miami Marlins -120
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369673

                  #23
                  EZWINNERS

                  1 STAR SELECTION

                  Game: Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays

                  (969) Seattle Mariners -$125

                  (Risking $125 to win $100) (Action)


                  1 STAR SELECTION

                  Game: Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins

                  (972) Minnesota Twins -$115

                  (Risking $115 to win $100) (Action)


                  1 STAR SELECTION

                  Game: New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals

                  (974) Kansas City Royals -$130

                  (Risking $130 to win $100) (Action)


                  1 STAR SELECTION

                  Game: Cleveland Indians @ Texas Rangers

                  (975) Cleveland Indians -$115

                  (Risking $115 to win $100) (Action)


                  1 STAR SELECTION

                  Game: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

                  (964) Colorado Rockies +$130

                  (Risking $100 to win $130) (Action)


                  1 STAR SELECTION

                  Game: Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers

                  (965) Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-$165)

                  (Risking $570 to win $300) (Action)
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369673

                    #24
                    Jeff Clement

                    8 Units Seattle Mariners -140

                    Seattle(32-29) vs. Tampa Bay(24-39). F.Hernandez(8-1) vs. C.Archer(3-3) ERA 3.73. The Mariners are 6-2 last 8 Hernandez starts and 7-2 last 9 Hernandez starts against Tampa Bay. The Rays have lost 11 of last 12 games. Seattle is a 8 Unit Play!
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369673

                      #25
                      ACCUSCORE - MLB


                      SV-Home Wins 65% or More 34-14, 70.8%
                      STL 979 vs TOR 980 -- Value on Toronto Blue Jays -140


                      ML-Home Wins 65% or More 34-14, 70.8%
                      STL 979 vs TOR 980 -- Over 50% on Toronto Blue Jays -140


                      SV-Home Line is -130 to -149 STREAK 9-4, 69.2%
                      STL 979 vs TOR 980 -- Value on Toronto Blue Jays -140
                      PHI 951 vs CIN 952 -- Value on Philadelphia Phillies +136
                      NYM 957 vs SF 958 -- Value on San Francisco Giants -148


                      3 STAR MONEY LINE STREAK 7-3, 70%
                      STL 979 vs TOR 980 -- Over 50% on Toronto Blue Jays -140
                      CLE 975 vs TEX 976 -- Over 50% on Cleveland Indians -111
                      NYM 957 vs SF 958 -- Over 50% on San Francisco Giants -148
                      LAD 963 vs COL 964 -- Over 50% on Colorado Rockies +132


                      SV-Home Line is +130 or More STREAK 2-0, 100%
                      LAD 963 vs COL 964 -- Value on Colorado Rockies +132
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369673

                        #26
                        Gamblers Data

                        Free Plays Sunday

                        Nationals -130

                        NYY +110
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369673

                          #27
                          Bob Balfe

                          Washington Nationals -130

                          The Padres can't generate runs and are going against a team that really has been hitting the ball as of late. Zimmermann is the better pitcher here and I like the Nationals chances this afternoon. Take Washington.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369673

                            #28
                            HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

                            San Francisco Giants -145

                            The Giants have been on fire at home(MLB best record) mostly because of dominant pitching, and with their bats heating up makes them all the more dangerous. Giants pitcher Tim Lincecum has been strong against the Mets going 5-0 where four of those outings have came at home, where he’s gone 3-0 with a 1.55 ERA.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369673

                              #29
                              bookiemonsters



                              ATL under 8.5 POD

                              MGs
                              PHI under 8

                              SDG +115

                              SDG over 7
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369673

                                #30
                                River City Sharps

                                3 Units Cleveland Indians -115

                                The Indians are playing some of their best baseball of the entire season and will send Justin Masterson (3-4, 4.72 ERA) to the mound this afternoon to face off with Joe Saunders (0-1, 3.68 ERA) and the Texas Rangers. While masterson has struggled for much of the season, he really pitched well in his last start vs. Boston, where he struck out ten Red Sox. Saunders has only faced the Tribe twice in his career, both as a member of the Mariners, and was really hit hard in both of those starts. The Indians have beaten the Rangers six of the last seven times they have gotten together, so they clearly have a comfort level in playing them. In looking at some early public betting here on Sunday morning, Joe Public is pounding the Rangers, which makes us like this play even more. The Tribe are a perfect 4-0 in Mastersons last four starts as a road favorite and the Sharps think that success continues today.
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