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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369669

    #31
    MLB Odds and Picks
    By: Micah Roberts
    Sportingnews

    LAS VEGAS - The Pittsburgh Pirates have had some of the best outfields in baseball history, and based on the way this new version is starting out, there is plenty of reason to be excited about what lies ahead. In the immediate future -- today's game at Miami -- the Pirates can reach .500 on the season for the first time since being 8-8. They're currently in the middle of a 15-7 run and will rely on Charlie Morton this afternoon to get the job done.

    Based on what we have been seeing with the Bucs' outfield lately, it should be expected that Morton will have plenty of support. Pittsburgh's top prospect Gregory Polanco has hit safely in all four of his games since being called up from Triple-A Indianapolis, where he hit .347 with 49 RBIs. Last night, the right fielder had his coming out party with a 5-for-7 night, including the deciding two-run homer in the 13th inning. The victory was their third in a row.

    The buzz around Polanco has been infectious and gave just the type of nudge needed to get left fielder Starling Marte going. Last season, Marte was instrumental in getting the Pirates to their first playoff appearance since 1992, but prior to Monday, he had been mired in an 0-for-23 slump and was hitting only .230. Since news of Polanco being called up, Marte has hit .522 over his last five games.

    Mix in the production of center fielder and reigning NL MVP Andrew McCutchen who has hit .408 this month, and there's plenty of reason to be excited about the Pirates' chances of not only getting to .500 today, but also making a major run for the division.

    When looking over the production of the Pirates outfield over the past four days, it's hard not to be reminded of some of the greats that have patrolled the allies in the Steel City. The 1927 Pirates had Hall of Famers Lloyd and Paul Waner, known as 'little poison' and 'big poison'. The 1971 outfield had Hall of Famers Roberto Clemente and Willie Stargell, along with Al Oliver, who deserves more consideration for the Hall than he ever got. And then there's the group from 1990-91 that had Barry Bonds, Andy Van Slyke and Bobby Bonilla.

    We'll have to wait to see how this outfield turns out before we realistically start putting them into the greats category, but the potential is definitely there.

    Last season the Pirates got a major boost for their playoff run when they called up then-top prospect Gerrit Cole in June and he contributed immediately. Polanco could have that same effect this time around, and with the NL Central not looking nearly as tough as it was last season, the Bucs have a great shot to take control which makes 50-to-1 to win the World Series very attractive at this juncture.

    Morton (3-7, 3.14 ERA) is coming off one of his better outings of the season where he allowed one run through seven innings in a 6-2 win against the Cubs. The right-hander has been baffling hitters of late, giving him a high strikeout total. Through his first 11 starts of the season, he was averaging only 4.1 strikeouts per game. In his last two starts -- both wins -- he's whiffed 16 batters. He hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of his past four turns.

    This is a spot where the Pirates really need Morton to step up and shoulder the load with Francisco Liriano and Cole both on the disabled list. And so far, he's done just that.

    Randy Wolf will be making his fourth start of the season for the Marlins. The 37-year-old left-hander has given up four runs each during two losses and allowed only one run against a struggling Rays squad on June 2. The Marlins 22-12 home record is the best in baseball, but they're currently on a two-game losing streak.

    Saturday selections:

    Pirates (Morton) -110 at Marlins

    Nationals (Strasburg) -121 at Cardinals

    Red Sox (Peavy) -133 vs. Indians

    Royals (Duffy) -105 at White Sox

    Reds (Latos) +118 at Brewers

    Yankees (Kuroda) +160 at A's
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369669

      #32
      Advanced sports investments

      perry’s soccer
      fifa – world cup
      1x- columbia -115 greece (12pm)
      2x- uraguay -245 costa rica (3pm)
      1x- england/italy – over 2 +104 (6pm)
      1x- japan/ivory coast – over 2.5 +115 (9pm)
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369669

        #33
        Five to Follow MLB Betting: Saturday June 14, 2014 Opening Line Report
        by Alan Matthews – DOC Sports

        Apparently you can already crown the San Francisco Giants as NL West champions, and they are the big -600 favorites on Sportsbook.ag. Interesting stat from ESPN: One of their statisticians compiled the standings from every season in the divisional era on June 13. A total of 27 teams had a division lead of six games or greater, and of those 27 teams only three ended up losing that lead. The Giants are up 8.5 games as of Friday the 13th. Here’s a look at their game and four other matchups Saturday on one of the best non-football sports weekends of the year (U.S. Open, World Cup, NBA Finals, maybe another Stanley Cup Finals game).

        Rockies at Giants (-166, 7.5)

        Colorado’s rotation is decimated, so it called up Christian Bergman for his major-league debut last time out, and he was pretty good, allowing two runs and six hits over six innings in a loss to Atlanta. Obviously no Giants have faced him. Ryan Vogelsong (4-3, 3.84) starts for San Francisco. The team had won four straight of his starts before he was roughed up for six runs over six innings last time out against Washington. His worst start of the season was April 21 at Colorado, allowing five runs — three homers — in 1.1 innings. Rockies catcher Wilin Rosario is 4-for-12 with three homers off him. Troy Tulowitzki is 0-for-10.

        Key trends: The Giants are 4-1 in Vogelsong’s past four home starts against Colorado. The “under” has hit in four of those five.

        Early lean: Colorado can’t hit on the road. Take the Giants +130 on the runline.



        Rays at Astros (-102, 8)

        Don’t expect to see one of Houston’s best players, second baseman Jose Altuve, in the lineup for this game. He was hit on the hand with a pitch on Thursday and left the game. The good news is that X-rays were negative, but Altuve is likely to miss a few days. He’s hitting .319 on the season. Chris Archer starts for the disappointing Rays. Archer (3-3, 3.42) blanked the Mariners over 6.1 innings last time out but the Rays lost the game because they aren’t scoring lately. They have lost Archer’s past three even though he has pitched well. Jarred Cosart starts for Houston. Cosart (5-5, 4.19) has allowed three runs or less in nine straight starts.

        Key trends: The Rays are 2-5 in Archer’s past seven against teams with a losing record. Houston is 2-5 in Cosart’s past five at home. The “under” is 5-0 in Archer’s past five.

        Early lean: Go “under” at -115.



        Cubs at Phillies (-129, 8.5)

        The Cubs lost Emilio Bonifacio to a rib cage injury Thursday. He’s unlikely to play here and in fact may need a DL stint. You might be asking: Why are you telling me about Emilio Bonifacio? He actually has been one of Chicago’s better players, hitting .266 with 13 stolen bases. The Cubs are offensively challenged as it is. Edwin Jackson starts for Chicago on Saturday. Jackson (4-6, 4.70) seems to alternate between terrible and pretty good. He allowed four runs over seven innings in a loss at Pittsburgh last time out and has a 6.10 ERA on the road. Jimmy Rollins is 5-for-9 with two homers off Jackson career. David Buchanan (1-3, 6.08) starts for the Phillies. They have lost his past three outings. He has never faced the Cubs.

        Key trends: The Cubs are 1-5 in Jackson’s past six road starts against teams with a losing record. The “over” has hit in five of those six.

        Early lean: Phillies rough up Jackson. Go with a Rollins hitting prop.



        Diamondbacks at Dodgers (-136, 7)

        L.A. might have to put shortstop Hanley Ramirez on the DL as he just had to get a cortisone shot in his troublesome shoulder. Now you see why the team didn’t give him a long-term extension. Ramirez is a good player but injury prone. That Dodger lineup faces arguably Arizona’s best pitcher right now, Josh Collmenter (4-3, 3.65). He is 1-1 with a 5.84 ERA in two starts against L.A. this year. Adrian Gonzalez is 4-for-7 with a homer off him. Dan Haren (6-4, 3.49) starts for the Dodgers. He has faced Arizona three times already this year, going 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA. Aaron Hill is a career .321 hitter off him with a home run and six RBIs in 28 at-bats.

        Key trends: L.A. is 1-5 in Haren’s past six against teams with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in Collmenter’s past six in Game 2 of a series.

        Early lean: Arizona is good value at +126.



        Yankees at A’s (-148, 7)

        Being as this is my last story of the weekend I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention the Yankees visiting Oakland. I believe Derek Jeter is quite overrated. Clutch guy in the playoffs, no doubt, and a first-ballot Hall of Famer. But because he plays shortstop for the Yankees he’s a bit overhyped. That said, perhaps the best defensive play I ever saw was his immortal flip throw to catcher Jorge Posada in the bottom of the seventh inning in Game 3 of the 2001 ALDS at Oakland. The Yankees led that game 1-0 but were down 2-0 in the series. Without that shocking play, which caught Jeremy Giambi at the plate, the A’s tie the game and maybe sweep. Instead the Yankees won 1-0 and took the series in five. This weekend will be his final trip to Oakland unless they meet in the playoffs. Jeter hasn’t had much career success off A’s starter Scott Kazmir, going 6-for-45 career, with two of those six knocks being home runs. Kazmir (7-2, 2.20) has allowed just three runs over 22.1 innings in his past three starts, all Oakland wins. New York goes with Hiroki Kuroda (4-4, 4.12). He faced Oakland on June 3 and allowed a run over 6.2 innings.

        Key trends: The Yankees are 2-10 in Kuroda’s past 12 road starts. The “under” is 4-1 in Kazmir’s past five at home.

        Early lean: Kazmir has been terrific. Go Oakland.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369669

          #34
          Simon Green

          Free Play

          5* Yankees +148
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369669

            #35
            West capper

            College World Series

            3* UC Irvine +1.5 runline -160

            0.5* Under 6 total runs -130

            0.5* Texas under 3.5 team total -130

            I've been waiting for this line all week, because Irvine should be the favorite here. Andrew Morales goes for Irvine, and the 1st Team All-American is one of the most difficult pitchers in college baseball to beat. He's 43-3 over his four year collegiate career, and is coming off a complete game shutout of Oklahoma State on the road. For the season he has a 11-2 record with a 1.53 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP (the 2nd lowest in Omaha). He is a matchup nightmare for the Longhorns because he pitches backwards and throws strikes. He can go deep into games and Irvine plays solid defense, and they are playing at such a high level right now. I really like this Longhorns team, and Thornhill on the mound is tough to beat as well. Texas is young though, and I could see some early games jitters playing apart for the Longhorns here. I like Irvine to win, and if your book doesn't offer runlines then I would suggest Irvine as a 1-2* moneyline play. I'll gladly take the +1.5 runline in a game that should be very close and very low scoring.


            2** Louisville/Vanderbilt under 8.5 runs (-150)

            0.5* Vanderbilt -140

            I was surpsied when I saw Vegas lay a 8.5 on this game, because there are two elite arms on the mound and the shadows are difficult on hitters at TD Ameritrade for the night games. All-American Funkhouser goes for Lousiville, and he has a 1.73 ERA and is very good. He does battle the occasional wildness, but Vanderbilt isn't an extremely patient offensive club. Both teams do have speed, but both have great defensive clubs that I think will keep the game tight and low-scoring. TD Ameritrade is a huge ballpark, so very rarely does a ball get out of the ballpark. Fulmer goes for Vanderbilt, and if you like to see 1st round arms, this is the game for you. Funkhouser goes 92-96 mph, and Fulmer has a quirky motion but still runs it up mid 90s. Both teams have outstanding bullpens, so this should be low scoring.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369669

              #36
              Vip-picks

              bonus

              Columbia -0.5 odds: 193
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369669

                #37
                Soccer Plays

                bernardtips
                League WORLD: World Cup
                Ivory Coast - Japan
                TIPS : Over 2.0


                getmybet
                League: WORLD: World Cup
                Uruguay - Costa Rica
                Tips : Over 2.0


                mysecretbets
                League: WORLD: World Cup
                Ivory Coast - Japan
                Tips: Over 2.0


                goforwinners
                League: WORLD: World Cup
                Uruguay - Costa Rica
                Tips : Over 2.0
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369669

                  #38
                  SB Professor

                  MMA

                  Rory MacDonald (-105) over Tyron Woodley

                  Andrei Arlovski (+150) over Brendan Schaub

                  Mike Easton (-200) over Yves Jabouin
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369669

                    #39
                    Robert Ferringo

                    Soccer

                    2* bet GRE/COL u2 (-120)
                    1* bet GRE (+420)
                    1* bet GRE/COL draw (+230)

                    2* bet URU (-210)

                    1* bet ITA/ENG draw (+205)

                    3* bet JAP/IVO o2 (-135)
                    1* bet IVO (+170) 3-Way
                    1* bet IVO (-110) 2-Way
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369669

                      #40
                      Ecks and Bacon

                      E&B lost both plays on Friday in World Cup soccer with Cameroon +$260/Mexico for $25 and $25 on the Draw +$220.

                      Ben lee won on Friday in the Stanly Cup Finals Game Five in double over time with the Stanley Cup Champion Los Angeles Kings -$170/Rangers.

                      "Mr Chalk" lost on Friday in MLB in the American League with the Mariners -$200/Rangers.

                      For Saturday in World Cup Action E&B has two plays

                      (1) Uruguay -$220/Costa Rica

                      (2) A play on the Draw +$190 between Italy/England

                      For Saturday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Tigers -$175/Twins.

                      Ben lee is 3-7-$234 for week thirty three 145-170-5 -$3038

                      "Mr Chalk" is 30-29 -$710 for the 2014 MLB season.

                      All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369669

                        #41
                        Sports Cash System

                        extra pick:

                        Baltimore Orioles -103 over the Toronto Blue Jays (Money Line Bet) (MLB Basebal) - Game Starts at 4:05 PM EST
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369669

                          #42
                          Umpire Streakers


                          CIN/MIL UN 7.5 -120 Onora L10gms 2ov/8un 80% 1 unit
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369669

                            #43
                            DOC SPORTS

                            5* Pittsburgh Pirates-130
                            4* Seattle Mariners-115
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369669

                              #44
                              ALLEN EASTMAN

                              4* LA Angels-110
                              3* Under 7 - nyy vs oak
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369669

                                #45
                                SPORTSWAGERS

                                MLB

                                San Diego @ N.Y. METS

                                N.Y. METS -120 over San Diego

                                (Risking 2.4 units - To Win: 2.00)

                                4:10 PM EST. We’re not in the habit of playing favorites because it’s not often that you find value in doing so but if the Giants are -160 (or thereabouts) over the Rockies than the Mets should be -180 over the Padres. We see lots of games at a higher price than this one and that's so wrong because thiis a significant pitching mismatch in the Mets favor and the Padres are dead last in the majors in several key offensive categories. The Padres have lost five in a row and nine of their past 11 games. Over that span they are hitting a pathetic .159 and it’s not just because they play in an extreme pitcher’s park. On the road, San Diego is batting a league low .212. Prior to this series they played three in Philly and scored five times and now they’ll face one of MLB’s most undervalued pitchers in Zack Wheeler. Wheeler cruised through three straight starts before a small road bump against the Giants earlier this week (4 ER in 3.2 IP on 86 pitches). Still, his 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP have huge room for improvement because Wheeler has some of the best skills in the game. Wheeler posts a strong K-rate of 9.2 K’s/9 through 13 starts and a 55% ground ball percentage. He does a great job of keeping balls in the park (0.6 HR/9) and the only reason his ERA is high is because of a low strand rate of 70%. Wheeler has the third best xERA in all of baseball over his last seven starts, which sits at 2.46. Expect a run at double-digit strikeouts and a win against the Padres today.

                                Jesse Hahn's promotion was as short-lived as expected. Hahn was sent to AAA-El Paso after his June 3rd start against the Pirates in which he was tagged for six hits and four earned runs in 3.2 innings. Hahn gets an emergency start here because Eric Stults was put on the bereavement list. His first start was at Petco and he was hammered. His second start isn’t likely to be much better, as Hahn takes the step from Double-AA San Antonio to the majors and it’s not like he was dominating the Double-AA Texas League. He posted a .252 BAA and pitched just 35 innings over eight starts. Hahn was yanked almost every game after pitching four innings or less, as the (San Antonio) Missions tried to bring him along slowly. His chances of pitching deep into this game are slim and his chance of success are just as slim.


                                Kansas City @ CHICAGO

                                Kansas City -1 +115 over CHICAGO

                                (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)

                                2:10 PM EST. After yesterday’s 7-2 victory, Kansas City has not only won five in a row but they’ve won nine of the past 10 games they’ve played at this venue. We mentioned yesterday that the Royals, based on their numbers, should be scoring a lot more runs than they were and they made us look good by hanging up a crooked number in the first inning and going on to an easy win. More of the same is a distinct possibility here against Hector Noesi. This is Noesi's third team in 2014. Noesi went 0-1 with a 6.59 ERA in 21 innings for the Mariners last year. He spread out those 21 innings over five of the six months of the season but the abuse he took at Tacoma (5.83 ERA) indicates that his promotions were not merit-based. This year, Noesi is 2-4 with an ERA of 5.40. He has a unacceptable WHIP of 1.50 and a shaky 36%21%/44% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile. He has poor control, he’s been extremely hittable at this level and he’s put up those awful numbers (both on the surface and under) with an unsustainable 80% strand rate over his last five starts. We've seen worse base skills but Noesi needs some extra fastball juice or a more of a groundball lean to take the next step. We're not optimistic.

                                Danny Duffy has shown some flashes of the upside he displayed prior to his Tommy John surgery a couple of years ago, including a near no-hitter. While his overall skills do not support his current 3.26 ERA, his raw stuff gives him much more strikeout upside than he is showing. Besides, this one is about backing Duffy. The bet here is based on the hot Royals winning again, at a place they win often, against one of MLB’s worst starters.


                                Colorado @ SAN FRANCISCO

                                Colorado +150 over SAN FRANCISCO

                                (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.00)

                                4:05 PM EST. The Giants are cooling off a bit with four losses in their past five games including the opener of this series last night, 7-4. San Fran is always tough to beat at home, especially in day games but wagering against Ryan Vogelsong cannot be ignored when he’s priced this high. Vogelsong is having a decent year with a 4-3 record to go along with a respectable 3.84 ERA but his skills still say he’s a risky proposition. Vogelsong has a weak 38%/23%/39% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile. His K rate is up but so are his walks, which has led to a below average 1.32 WHIP. Vogelsong significantly outpitched his skills during 2011-12 resurgence but it caught up to him and he was exposed last year. This year’s he’s outpitching his skills again and he’ll be facing a hot-hitting Rockies team that has won three in a row and has scored 35 runs over their last four games. Wagering on Vogelsong is a dart throw.

                                In his first major-league start five days ago, Christian Bergman didn’t set the world on fire but what he did do was hold the Braves to six hits and three earned runs in six innings. That was at Coors Field and the kid showed he deserves another shot. Bergman is hoping to translate some of his minor league success to the major leagues. He set a Triple-A Colorado Springs franchise record with 24 consecutive scoreless innings and an improbable 0.30 ERA in the month of May. We profiled Bergman in our MLB call-ups section so you can read more about him there. At this price against Vogeslong, Bergman and the Rockies most certainly offer up some nice value.
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