6-15-14

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Hondo

Slumping Hondo, who dropped three games Thursday and two Friday, added another one to the loss column Saturday night when the Yankees failed to carry out their mission, causing the deficit to grow to 1,395 herzogs.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will go with a 10-unit play on Mister Fister to punch out the Cards. Also, 10 on that Bumgarner and the Giants to climb past the Rockies, and 10 on the one and only Jimmy Shields to hit all the right notes against the White Sox.

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Game of the Day: Heat at Spurs

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (-6, 196)

The San Antonio Spurs are one victory away from their fifth NBA title and can claim their first championship since 2007 when they host the Miami Heat in Sunday’s Game 5. San Antonio rolled to back-to-back dominating wins in Miami to take a 3-1 series lead and is in good shape when you consider no NBA team has ever recovered from that deficit in NBA Finals play. The Spurs’ three victories are by an average of 18.3 points.

Heat standout LeBron James was among the stunned players over how easily San Antonio dismantled Miami the past two games. “I mean, they smashed us,” James told reporters. “Two straight home games, got off to awful starts. They came in and were much better than us in these two games. It’s just that simple.” Spurs veteran Tim Duncan expects a fierce effort from the Heat as San Antonio attempts to avenge last season’s finals loss to the Heat. “We’re going to use our home court and we’re going to come with the same focus that we did in these last two games, and hopefully close it out at home,” Duncan told reporters.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The Spurs opened at -5 before moving to -5.5 and now currently sit at -6. The total opened at 197 before being bet down to 195.5.

INJURY REPORT: N/A

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Heat hadn't lost back-to-back games in the postseason since 2012, but that string of excellence came to an abrupt halt in Game 4. Miami's role players are "M.I.A.", the Spurs' incredible depth has played a big part in their lop-sided 3-1 lead. I said after Game 2 that this series would be decided by the head coaches. Eric Spolestra is getting out-maneuvered by Gregg Popovich, who with one more coaching masterpiece will cement his legacy as one of the greatest in the history of the league." Covers Expert Nick Parsons.

ABOUT THE HEAT: James is averaging 27.5 points in the series and is very much aware that no team has ever recovered from a 3-1 deficit to win the NBA Finals. He asserts that the players only have themselves to blame for the hole Miami finds itself in but doesn’t want to look past Sunday and ponder the historical aspect. “It’s never been done before but we’re still a confident bunch, even though our heads are lowered down right now,” James told reporters. “Of course, being down 3-1 and losing two straight games at home, that’s just human nature. But we’ve still got to go out and play on Sunday.”

ABOUT THE SPURS: Small forward Kawhi Leonard produced back-to-back stellar efforts in Miami – averaging 24.5 points and nine rebounds in the two games – but versatile Boris Diaw has also been a valuable performer since San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich inserted him into the starting lineup for Game 3. Diaw had a solid all-around game with eight points, nine rebounds and nine assists in Game 4 and is averaging 6.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 5.8 assists in the series. “He knows what’s going on most all the time,” Popovich told reporters. “At the offensive end he’s a passer. He understands mismatches. He knows time and score. At the defensive end, he knows when to help. He’s active. So he just helps the whole team have a better IQ, I think.”

TRENDS:

*Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NBA Championship games.
*Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
*Under is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
*Under is 26-12 in the last 38 meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-four percent of Covers users are backing the Heat +6.

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

Kansas City -145

Pirates/Marlins under 8

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play Sun SF Giants -175

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Cappers Access

Spurs -6
Reds -110

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SPORTS WAGERS

Switzerland +159 over Ecuador

For unfathomable reasons the Swiss are only a slim favorite against an Ecuador team that they are clearly superior to. The price being offered is a silver lining. Without question, this is a fortuitous happenstance for gamblers and Swiss supporters alike. The speculation is admirable but mistaken. The Swiss enter the FIFA World Cup as the sixth ranked team in the world and rightfully so. Switzerland was sparkling in winning group E of UEFA qualification en route to their third consecutive World Cup. The Swiss went undefeated, as they won seven of 10 contests while drawing three. The Swiss have not lost a fixture in years. Its last noteworthy result was a draw against 11th ranked Croatia in an international friendly.

Still, Ecuador hauntingly is viewed as a potential upset artist with the Swiss. Perhaps, oddsmakers fear that Switzerland will make any early exit from the World Cup as they did in 2010. However, that type of prophesizing is unwarranted and unnecessary. Switzerland will dominate this group and exit as the Group Winner ascending to the knockout round. Ecuador cannot be taken lightly and we can’t imagine for a second that the Swiss will take anyone lightly after being eliminated early in this event in 2010. Invest.


Honduras +1032 over France

France and Honduras have never met before on any pitch. This is the inaugural collision between the European dynasty and their up and coming South American counterparts. Astonishingly, betting on Honduras can net any taker a handsome bounty if they dare offer at the massive take-back.

Comparing the FIFA Rankings, France is slotted at number 17 overall. Honduras is ranked 33rd. This by no means implies that France is twice as good as Honduras or does this cast a shadow of impunity in Honduras’ qualification. The presumption is that France will win the match because they are a perennial European power, however not so long ago, the expectation of French superiority greatly diminished. Teams like Belgium and Greece usurped the French in the rankings and were suddenly held in higher distinction. With these notions considered, Greece and Belgium on average are lesser of a favorite against less quality opponents overall. Honduras should by no means be a heavy underdog, as their body of work en route to the World Cup was exquisite.

The Hondurans pummeled fellow qualifier Costa Rica, they defeated America in the aggregate and they were a problem for Mexico. None of the three teams could come up with a win against Honduras. In fact, Honduras outscored these opponents 5-3. America is a 13th ranked football club, Mexico is ranked 19th respectively. Without question, Honduras can compete against top twenty opponents and France is no different. On a neutral pitch, Honduras is very capable of pulling off an upset. With a better than 10-1 incentive to the bold souls willing to place the bet, a victory by Honduras could be a sweet return on an enticing investment. Choosing Honduras with these odds may very well turn out to be the steal of the first week of the FIFA World Cup. Huge overlay.

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 after scoring 75 points or more against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game 67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

WNBA | ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) off an home win scoring 85 or more points, with a winning record on the season 45-22 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | SEATTLE at TULSA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

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Baseball Crusher
Miami Marlins -138 over Pittsburgh Pirates
(System Record: 42-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 42-33

Basketball Crusher
Miami Heat +6 over San Antonio Spurs
(Playoff Record: system 20-1: overall 20-19-3, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 98-104-8

Soccer Crusher
France + Honduras UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in FIFA
(System Record: 589-21, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 589-493-85

Here are the rest of his baseball and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers -120 over Cincy Reds
Washington Nationals +101 over St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays +110 over Baltimore O's


Basketball
Miami Heat + San Antonio Spurs OVER 195.5

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | KANSAS CITY at CHI WHITE SOX
Play On – Road teams (KANSAS CITY) with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games
31-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.9% | 22.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.8 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | NY YANKEES at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 85-38 (+42.3 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.5)

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Advanced sports investments

perry's soccer
fifa - world cup
1x- switzerland/ecuador - under 2 +110 (12pm)
1x- france -320 honduras (3pm)
2x- argentina/bosnia & herzegovina - over 2 -270 (alternate total)

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Robert Ferringo

World Cup

2* bet SWI (+150) 3-way
2* bet SWI (-140) 2-way

1* bet FRA -1.5 (+105)


3* bet BOS/ARG o2.5
1* bet ARG -1.5 (+120)

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wc2014tips
League :World Cup
Switzerland - Ecuador
Tips : Switzerland 0

bernardtips
League WORLD: World Cup
Argentina - Bosnia & Herzegovina
TIPS : Over 2.5

getmybet
League: WORLD: World Cup
Argentina - Bosnia & Herzegovina
Tips : Over 2.5

mysecretbets
League: NORWAY: Division 1
Ranheim - Alta
Tips: Over 2.5

goforwinners
League : NORWAY: Division 1
Bryne - Nest-Sotra
Tips : Over 3.0

myperfectbets
League : NORWAY: Division 1
Tromsdalen - Baerum
Tips : Over 3.0

totalwintips
League : NORWAY: Division 1
Bryne - NestSotra
Tips : Over 3

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ANDRE GOMES

1* Heat/Spurs Under 196

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Brandon Lang

150 DIME
-MAX WAGER-
PLAYOFF WINNER
#3 IN A ROW
Spurs

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CHASE DIAMOND

15* MLB HOME COOKING
NY Yankees vs. Oakland
Money Line: -175 Oakland A’s

This game features the 35-32 Yankees at the 41-27 Oakland. We backed Yankees yesterday and that was the wrong side today even at this high juice price we are getting good value. Let’s face it Vidal Nuno is no Major League pitcher and his numbers prove that. Jesse Chavez has been solid going 5-4 with a 3.04 ERA. Oakland won yesterday expect them to carry that over to a easy winner today public is backing Oakland and so will we for a 15* winner take Oakland.