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DeSclafani takes the mound against Samardzija as Turner moves to the bullpen. It may be hard to back an unproven pitcher vs Samardzija who is arguably one of the best in baseball but we are making the play. Our system likes the spot and the Marlins tonight at home. DeSclafani has only started two games and owns a record of 1-1 and an ERA north of 5.5. Our system she DeSlafani as very undervalued and a good play tonight. DeSclafani is very dependent on the fastball and slider as he throws these pitches on 94% of his pitches and should lead to some success against one of the worst slider hitting teams in baseball. One of Jeff's two wins came against the Marlins back on June 7th. According to our system, Jeff is a little over valued and should have trouble holding the Marlins to two runs like on June 7th. Our system believes the Marlins should be favored in this contest and loves the value of getting them as a dog.
Texas and Oakland Over 7
It might be tough to take the over in any game that Darvish is pitching in but we believe this game sails over the total hitting close to 9 runs. Both pitchers are coming off very strong starts with Darvish's first career shutout and Milone allowing 1 run over 6 2/3 however both are due for a regression as both pitches especially Milone are due for a rough night. Our system shows both pitchers being overvalued specifically Milone. The A's have always roughed up Darvish and we think he gets charged with at least 2 or 3 runs while Milone will be lucky to get a quality start. Like mentioned before we see this total heading over 9 easily.
Over Reds/Pirates
Under Brewers/Diamondbacks
Over Rockies/Dodgers
Under Angels/Indians
Under Yankees/Blue Jays
Over Tigers/Royals
Over Rays/Orioles
Over Rangers/A's
Under Giants/White Sox
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