6-18-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" lost on Tuesday in MLB in the American League with the Tigers -$145/Royals.

E&B had Np on Tuesday.

For Wednesday in World Cup soccer E&B like Croatia -$170/Cameroon.

For Wednesday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Dodgers -$195/Rockies.

Ben lee is 1-9 -$128 for week thirty four 147-176-5 -$3421

"Mr Chalk" is 31-31 -$823 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

World Cup Soccer

1* Chile +500
1* Draw +350 Chile/Spain
1* Under 2.5 +125 Chile/Spain

2* Netherlands -1 -240

3* Croatia -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

World Cup Soccer

3* Chile +1

4* Croatia -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

(951) Philadelphia Phillies +$135

(Risking $200 to win $270) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers

(963) Kansas City Royals +$125

(Risking $200 to win $250) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox

(967) Minnesota Twins +$142

(Risking $200 to win $284) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

Game: New York Mets @ St. Louis Cardinals

(915) New York Mets +$135

(Risking $200 to win $270) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Texas Rangers @ Oakland A's

(969) Texas Rangers +$155

(Risking $200 to win $310) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals

(977) Houston Astros +$145

(Risking $200 to win $290) (Action)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

nba professor guarantee picks

World Cup: Chile+1

Basketball: German Alba vs Münih: Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

#951 PHILADELPHIA @ #952 ATLANTA - 12:10 PM ET
•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (2-5, 4.26 ERA, WHIP: 1.492) - Winless since May 4, Hernandez fell to 0-4 in his last eight appearances after allowing two runs on three hits in 5 2/3 innings versus the Chicago Cubs on Friday. The 33-year-old Dominican was ejected after hitting Starlin Castro, who belted a two-run homer earlier in the contest. Hernandez continues to struggle with his control, issuing 34 walks in 67 2/3 innings this season while handing out eight free passes in 13 frames in his career versus Atlanta.

--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 5-14 (-9.8 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.7, OPPONENT 5.4.

--HERNANDEZ is 7-17 (-11.2 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.3, OPPONENT 4.8.

•Braves RH Aaron Harang (5-5, 3.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.269) - Harang recorded his first victory since May 11, permitting one run on four hits in six innings against the Los Angeles Angels on Friday. One reason the 36-year-old is on the cusp of passing last season's win total is his ability to keep the ball in the park this year. After yielding 26 homers in as many starts last season with Seattle and the New York Mets, Harang has allowed just four in 84 1/3 innings in 2014.

--KEY STAT: HARANG is 1-10 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 3.0, OPPONENT 6.0.

--HARANG is 4-13 (-11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 3.4, OPPONENT 5.1.

--HARANG is 32-18 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 5.1, OPPONENT 4.3.

#953 CHICAGO CUBS @ #954 MIAMI - 12:40 PM ET
•Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (2-1, 2.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.256) - Arrieta was brilliant his last time out, allowing only two hits over seven scoreless frames in a win at Philadelphia and matching his career high with nine strikeouts. The 28-year-old has tossed 13 shutout innings over his last two starts and has permitted one or zero runs in six of his eight outings this season. Arrieta is facing the Marlins for only the second time and looking for his first decision against them.

•Marlins RH Nathan Eovaldi (4-2, 3.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.214) - Eovaldi has won his last two decisions, but the Marlins have lost the last three games he has started despite the 24-year-old turning in quality starts in two of them. One of those outings was against the Cubs, whom he limited to three runs over 7 2/3 innings while compiling eight strikeouts in a no-decision. He was not sharp last time out, allowing six runs and 10 hits — both matching season-highs — in 4 2/3 innings against Pittsburgh.

#955 NY METS @ #956 ST LOUIS - 1:45 PM ET
•Mets RH Bartolo Colon (6-5, 4.15 ERA, WHIP: 1.264) - Colon is 4-0 with a 1.78 ERA in his last five starts after yielding two runs on four hits in 7 1/3 innings in a 6-2 win over San Diego on Friday. The 41-year-old Dominican improved to 3-0 in his career against St. Louis following a scintillating performance on April 24. Colon permitted one run on four hits and struck out eight without walking a batter in seven innings en route to a 4-1 triumph.

--KEY STAT: COLON is 14-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.6, OPPONENT 2.4.

--COLON is 13-2 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 6.4, OPPONENT 3.6.

--COLON is 16-4 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 5.7, OPPONENT 2.6.

•Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (7-4, 3.16 ERA, WHIP: 1.301) - Lynn snapped a modest two-game skid with a gem, scattering two hits and striking out eight in as many innings en route to a 1-0 victory against the Nationals on Friday. The 27-year-old was outperformed by Colon and fell to 1-2 versus the Mets on April 24 despite striking out a season-high nine over 6 1/3 innings. Lynn has limited New York to a .192 batting average in five career appearances (three starts).

--KEY STAT: LYNN is 14-3 (+10.0 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 5.6, OPPONENT 2.9.

--LYNN is 11-1 (+10.3 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 6.1, OPPONENT 3.0.

#957 CINCINNATI @ #958 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM ET
•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (9-3, 2.95 ERA, WHIP: 1.093) - Simon continued his breakout season in Thursday’s 4-1 triumph over the Los Angeles Dodgers, outdueling Greinke while collecting his third victory in as many turns. The former Baltimore Oriole allowed a run on seven hits and did not issue a walk for the second straight outing while matching a career high by logging eight innings. Simon permitted two runs over 6 2/3 innings in a win at Pittsburgh on April 23, improving to 2-3 with a 2.57 ERA in 15 career appearances (one start) against the Pirates.

--KEY STAT: SIMON is 11-1 (+11.1 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.7, OPPONENT 2.2.

--SIMON is 11-1 (+11.1 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.7, OPPONENT 2.2.

•Pirates RH Edinson Volquez (4-5, 3.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.182) - Collecting his third win in four decisions, Volquez registered his finest outing in his first season with Pittsburgh, holding the Chicago Cubs to seven hits over seven frames in a 4-0 victory. The outing marked the second time in nine tries the 2008 All-Star, who pitched for Cincinnati from 2008-11, was able to last more than six innings. Volquez has faced his former team four times – going 1-1 with a 3.55 ERA – and took the loss in his most recent meeting against the Reds on April 22, yielding two runs over seven innings.

--KEY STAT: VOLQUEZ is 14-4 (+11.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 5.1, OPPONENT 3.2.

--VOLQUEZ is 21-9 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 3.6, OPPONENT 3.0.

#959 MILWAUKEE @ #960 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM ET
•Brewers RH Matt Garza (4-4, 4.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.332) - Garza managed to extend his unbeaten streak to five starts Friday as he escaped with a no-decision against Cincinnati after allowing five runs - one earned - in seven innings. The 30-year-old has yielded fewer than three runs once in his last nine outings and only three times in 14 turns this season. Garza improved to 4-1 in five career starts against Arizona on May 5, when he gave up three runs over six frames.

•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (3-6, 4.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.292) - Miley is looking to snap his six-start winless streak after having this start pushed back a day. The 27-year-old is 0-3 since defeating the Chicago White Sox on May 10 for his only victory in his last 12 outings. Miley, who is 1-5 in eight turns at home this season, owns a 3-1 record in four career starts against the Brewers despite posting a 5.70 ERA.

#961 COLORADO @ #962 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM ET
•Rockies LH Jorge De La Rosa (6-5, 4.12 ERA, WHIP: 1.265) - De La Rosa left after three innings of Colorado's 7-4 victory at San Francisco on Friday, but was relieved after being worked on by the trainers."It felt like something was definitely really bad, but I came in (to the training room) and had some treatment, then I was better," the 33-year-old Mexican told reporters Saturday. De La Rosa is 3-9 with a 5.74 ERA in 18 games against Los Angeles, but 3-1 in his last four turns against the Dodgers, the loss coming against Kershaw on June 8.

--KEY STAT: DE LA ROSA is 23-11 (+12.1 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 4.8, OPPONENT 3.6.

--DE LA ROSA is 18-1 (+18.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.8, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (6-2, 2.93 ERA, WHIP: 1.066) - Kershaw yielded one run and eight hits while striking out seven in seven innings of a 4-3 victory over Arizona on Friday. The 26-year-old Dallas native, who leads National League starters with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings, has struck out 71 and walked eight in 55 1/3 innings this season. Kershaw is 11-5 with a 3.54 ERA in 24 starts against Colorado - 5-2, 1.58 in 11 turns at Dodger Stadium - after striking out nine in five innings of a rain-shortened 6-1 victory at Coors Field on June 8.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Portfolio

MLB

Under 7 -115 Chicago Cubs/Miami Marlins

Over 9 -103 Kansas City Royals/ Detroit Tigers

Boston Red Sox -164

Over 7.5 +100 New York Mets/ St. Louis Cardinals

Over 7.5 -102 Texas Rangers/ Oakland Athletics

Seattle Mariners -126

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Toronto @ N.Y. YANKEES

N.Y. YANKEES -108 over Toronto

(Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)

After setting the world on fire with an offense that looked unstoppable for a month long stretch, Toronto is now pressing at the plate and swinging for the fences in every AB. Over the past 10 games the Blue Jays are batting .218. Jays’ batters combined to strike out 15 times last night against Masahiro Tanaka and two relievers. After being kept off balance the entire evening, the struggling Jays will now face a pitcher they’ve never seen in Chase Whitley. Whitley was called up to make his major league debut for the Yankees on May 15. He has some deception in his delivery, he throws a lot of strikes and he commands his pitches well. Whitley has looked really good after six starts and 34 frames with a BB/K split of 3/24 to go along with a groundball bias profile. Even more promising is his 12% swing and miss rate, a mark that is normally associated with 9½+ K’s per nine. Over his last 29 innings, Whitley has walked one batter while whiffing 20. The Yankees have won five of Whitley’s six games with their only loss occurring at home against the Twins in which he went five full and allowed just one run with a groundball/fly-ball split of 60%/20%. Whitley had a 32/7 K/BB in 26 IP at Triple-A prior to his recall so this might be more than a blip. Whitley’s 2.40 ERA comes with full skills support.

Mark Buehrle has rewarded his backers with 10 wins and a sub-2.50 ERA after 95 IP. The real reason for his success has been his effectiveness with runners on base that has led to an unsustainable 82% strand rate. Digging deeper, his avoidance of hits and home runs with guys on base has fueled his tiny ERA. He has a crazy low 21% hit rate and 2% hr/f with runners on. Both marks are among the top-10 lowest marks in MLB. Once those regress, and they will, his ERA and WHIP will head north quickly. How long he can keep avoiding disasters remains unknown but the safe bet is that regression is on the way. At age 35, Buehrle has never been an ace, he’s still not an ace and he’s not going to keep winning games at the pace he won games in the first two months. Mark Beuhrle is one of the most overvalued pitchers in the game and now is the time to sell high. Wrong side favored.


Kansas City @ DETROIT

Kansas City +123 over DETROIT

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.46)

1:05 PM EST. At some point the Royals are going to cool off but you would have to go deep into the baseball archives to find the last time a team put up numbers like the Royals just did over a 9-game stretch. Kansas City has scored 67 times over that span while batting a hefty .355. They’ve also gone yard 12 times in their past nine games and it’s interesting to note that the Royals hot streak coincided with the hiring of a new hitting coach (Dale Sveum). Since Sveum took over the duties, the Royals are 13-4 and have 17 jacks after having only 21 bombs through 53 games prior. This team is red-hot, they can’t wait to get back to the park and as long as they’re paying off at the window, we’ll continue to play them.

We’re not going to try and make a case for Jeremy Guthrie over Drew Smyly but if the better pitcher won every game, we’d all be rich. What we know for sure is that Guthrie is pitching for the hottest team in baseball while Detroit’s pitching staff is shell-shocked. The Tigers pen is a mess and Smyly may be left in there longer than he normally would because of that brutal and overtaxed pen. Furthermore, Smyly is not in great form to begin with. He’s had extreme outcomes the entire year with a dominant start/disaster split of 50%/50% after 10 starts. The Tigers have dropped five of the last six games that Smyly has started and his 1.33 WHIP suggests he’s going to get into several jams every game he starts. Smyly has not pitched past the sixth inning in any of his starts this year and he’s certainly up against it here. The Royals are once again much too hot to ignore taking back a price and that’s all there is to it.


Minnesota @ BOSTON

Minnesota +153 over BOSTON

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.06)

1:35 PM EST. John Lackey is having a mighty fine year with 11 pure quality starts in 14 attempts. Lackey has a skills supported 3.24 ERA and deserves every bit of it with a good K rate, outstanding control, a steady groundball bias profile and normal hit and strand rates. He’s also been very good at Fenway. However, the team he pitches for is not scoring runs. Boston scored two last night and they scored one time the previous night. The Red Sox have score two runs or less in four straight and in seven of their past nine. Over the past 10 games, Boston is in the bottom three in the major leagues in several offensive categories, which makes them far too big a risk when spotting a tag like this.

One could argue that the Twins aren’t scoring either and that argument would be valid if they were the one’s spotting a big tag or even taking back a small one. Sometimes the price dictates the play and this is one of those times. Minnesota is relatively healthy, they’re very capable of putting up some runs and they are ahead of Boston in almost every key offensive category after playing half of their games in a less hitter-friendly venue. Kyle Gibson has not allowed an earned run in three of his past four starts. In 13 starts, he’s only been taken yard four times and his ERA has dropped from 4.74 after his May 10th start to 3.55 after his last start. Gibson has an elite 55% groundball rate on the year and over his last five starts his GB rate is even higher at 59%. Gibson has just 38 K’s in 76 innings and that has him undervalued but his 12% swing and miss rate over his last 10 games strongly suggests that a significant uptick in strikeouts is coming. This former first round pick (2009) may have been rushed to the big leagues a little too quickly but he has the best raw stuff on this Twins staff and he’s finally starting to figure it out. At this price, Gibson and the Twins offer up some great value and we’re on it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

2* nationals/astros – over 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

15* MLB HIDDEN GEM
San Francisco vs. Chi White Sox
Money Line: -128 Chi White Sox

This game has the 43-28 Giants and the 34-37 White Sox. We cashed yesterdays plus money play on Chicago White Sox and I think they get it done today as well. Giants have lost 4 straight and the White Sox have stud pitcher Chris Sale on the mound today. this guy is simply amazing at 5-1 with a 197 era and with the public taking the bite on the plus money Giants at 61% how can you not go with Chicago here. Take the White Sox for a big 15* play to win today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Goble – Against the Number

Chile vs Spain – Chile +.5 (+162)

Croatia vs Cameroon – UNDER 2.5 -119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet

Tanaka a Top-3 Option

Yankees ace Masahiro Tanaka continued his impressive start to his major-league career, improving to 11-1 with six innings of 10-strikeout ball in a 3-1 win over Toronto. Tanaka ranks third in the majors in value at $876, behind only Minnesota's Phil Hughes ($950) and Oakland's Scott Kazmir ($882).

Phillies (Finally) Pay Off

Philadelphia (+167) ended a long run of disappointing showings as a big underdog, cruising past host Atlanta 5-2 Tuesday night. The Phillies had dropped five consecutive games as a dog of +150 or greater, and scored a combined seven runs in those contests.

Simon Says: Follow the Trends

Alfredo Simon has been one of the most pleasant surprises in the betting world to date. The Cincinnati pitcher is 10-3 against the moneyline and 3-10 O/U as he and the Reds (+106, 7.5) visit Pittsburgh; he is also a sizzling 6-1 SU and 1-6 O/U in seven starts as a road underdog.

Pitching Notes

Beware Toronto starter Mark Buehrle, who leads the Blue Jays (-105, 8.5) into a rare favorite role at Yankee Stadium. Buehrle is just 1-10 with a 6.02 ERA in 16 career starts against New York, which has won 24 of its last 27 home games versus the Blue Jays.

Don't expect many home runs with Felix Hernandez on the mound. The Seattle ace enters Wednesday's interleague tilt with host San Diego (+116, 6) having gone 10 starts without allowing a longball - a dizzying stretch of 72 2/3 innings - and has surrendered just three all season.

Hitting Notes

Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout homered twice in Tuesday's 9-3 victory over Cleveland and is batting .380 with five home runs and 16 RBIs in 50 June at-bats. Despite the surge, the Angels are just 7-6 SU for the month entering Wednesday's tilt with the Indians (+110, 8.5).

Milwaukee catcher Jonathan Lucroy belted a pair of homers and had five RBIs in Tuesday's 7-5 triumph in Arizona. Lucroy is batting a scorching .397 with six homers so far in June, helping the Brewers to a 10-6 record for the month entering Wednesday's game against the Diamondbacks (+102, 9).

Totals Streak

Toronto Blue Jays (0-10-1 O/U): The beat goes on for the Blue Jays, who have scored two runs or fewer in seven of their last 10 games - and unsurprisingly, lost all seven. The Blue Jays are now 34-35-3 O/U for the season.

Prop of the Day

Taking either the Mariners (+450) or Padres (+325) to win by exactly one run is a strong bet Wednesday, with both Hernandez and Padres counterpart Andrew Cashner among the stingiest pitchers in the majors and neither lineup considered a major threat. Expect a close, low-scoring affair.

Injury Notes

The Toronto Blue Jays are expected to activate center fielder Colby Rasmus (hamstring) from the 15-day disabled list Wednesday. The Blue Jays went 22-11 against the moneyline, 10-21-2 O/U and won 1,023 units with Rasmus on the sidelines, but have dropped seven of their last 10.

Arizona right-hander Bronson Arroyo has been diagnosed with a sprained UCL in his right elbow and will be shut down for the next 10 days. Arroyo had pitched through pain for the last few weeks but showed no ill effects, reeling off three straight wins to move up to 35th in pitcher value ($+276).

Weather Watch

Wind at Fenway Park will be blowing from left to right field at a robust 14 mph for Wednesday afternoon's game between the host Boston Red Sox (-166, 8.5) and the Minnesota Twins. Teams averaged a combined 10 runs and batted .269 in eight games under similar conditions in 2013.

Busch Stadium will see wind blowing out to center field at 10 mph when the host St. Louis Cardinals (-155, 7.5) face the New York Mets. The Cardinals went 7-2 while averaging a whopping 6.22 runs under similar conditions a season ago.

Umpire Note of the Day

The home team is 7-0 in umpire D.J. Reyburn's last seven games behind home plate. Reyburn will call the balls and strikes Wednesday as the visiting Kansas City Royals (+123, 9) look to extend their winning streak to 10 games against Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Reds at Pirates

Probable Pitchers:
CIN: Simon (9-3, 2.95 ERA)
PIT: Volquez (4-5, 3.89 ERA)

Series recap: The Reds outlasted the Pirates, 6-5, as Cincinnati beat Pittsburgh for the third time this season when Johnny Cueto starts. Cincinnati cashed as -115 favorites, while improving to 6-1 in its last seven road contests. The Pirates lost for just the second time in their last six home series openers.

What to watch for: Cincinnati has had its way with Pittsburgh this season, posting a 6-2 mark, including a 4-1 record at PNC Park. The Pirates are 0-5 in Volquez’s starts when they won in his previous outing, while the Bucs have cashed the ‘over’ in five of the last eight games at PNC Park.

Angels at Indians

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Wilson (7-6, 3.50 ERA)
CLE: Masterson (4-5, 5.05 ERA)

Series recap: Cleveland’s 10-game home winning streak came to a screeching halt last night in a 9-3 defeat to Los Angeles. The Indians won the series opener on Monday, 4-3, as the two teams play the rubber match tonight. In five meetings this season, the Angels have grabbed four victories, as the Indians haven’t scored more than four runs in any of these matchups.

What to watch for: Wilson has struggled on the road of late for the Angels, dropping each of his past four starts on the highway, but the southpaw did limit the Tribe to two hits and one run in eight innings of work in a 7-1 victory in late April. The Indians have won four of Masterson’s last five starts at home, while Cleveland owns a solid 6-2 record in the last eight Game 3’s of a series at home.

Blue Jays at Yankees

Probable Pitchers:
TOR: Buehrle (10-3, 2.28 ERA)
NYY: Whitley (2-0, 2.41 ERA)

Series recap: The Yankees beat the Blue Jays at home for the 14th straight time on Tuesday, 3-1 to cash as -175 favorites. The last time Toronto won in the Bronx was back in August of 2012, while the Jays have stumbled to a 3-7 record in the previous 10 games overall.

What to watch for: After Toronto won 11 of Buehrle’s first 12 starts to begin the season, the Jays have dropped each of his last two outings against the Orioles and Cardinals. Last season, the Jays lost all four starts made by Buehrle against the Yankees, including three defeats in the Bronx. New York is 5-1 in Whitley’s six starts this season, as amazingly all five wins came on the road and the lone loss came at home to the Twins.

Astros at Nationals

Probable Pitchers:
HOU: Feldman (3-4, 3.98 ERA)
WSH: Gonzalez (3-4, 4.62 ERA)

Series recap: The Nationals held off a late Astros’ rally in the series opener last night, 6-5 to cash as -150 home favorites. Washington improved to 3-0 in three meetings with Houston this season, while winning nine of the last 10 matchups with its former National League counterpart since 2012.

What to watch for: Gonzalez is off the disabled list and making his first start since May 17 with an inflamed left shoulder. The final two starts for Gonzalez were nothing to write home about, allowing 12 earned runs and 16 hits in 7.1 innings in losses to the Mets and A’s last month. The Astros have won just once in Feldman’s five road outings, but Houston owns a terrific 8-3 away record in the last 11 tries despite last night’s setback.

Brewers at Diamondbacks

Probable Pitchers:
MIL: Garza (4-4, 4.17 ERA)
ARZ: Miley (3-6, 4.71 ERA)

Series recap: The Brewers grabbed the first two contests of this four-game set, including a 7-5 triumph as a short road favorite last month. Milwaukee erased an early 3-0 deficit, as the road team is now 4-1 in five matchups between these clubs this season.

What to watch for: The Diamondbacks have cashed the ‘over’ in six consecutive games, while Miley makes the start tonight after getting scratched last night. Arizona is 6-1 to the ‘under’ in his last seven starts, while the D-Backs have won just once in the lefty’s past five trips to the mound. Milwaukee is riding a 7-2 stretch to the ‘over’ in Garza’s past nine trips to the mound, but the Brewers are 1-3 in his previous four road starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

National League Value Chalk

1000* St. Louis Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

MLB *VERY EARLY* Burns' BREAKFAST CLUB Blowout!

Detroit Tigers -133