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Game: San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Time: Sunday 06/22 4:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Arizona +135 (moneyline) at 5Dimes
Fifth straight road game for San Francisco, a team in a huge slump on a 2-9 run. The Giants are 2-6 against a right-handed starter, and face Mike Bolsinger, who has walked just eight in 30 innings with 28 strikeouts. In fact, he's only walked two at home in 14+ innings. The Giants are 3-8 in Madison Bumgarner's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Arizona has plenty of offensive punch, 12th in runs scored, 11th in slugging, and batting average. The Diamondbacks are 9-4 against the NL West, so grab the home dog. Play the Diamondbacks.
The Marlins are 11-0 since May 16, 2004 within 20 cents of pickem after being shutout and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1160.
PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:
When Tommy Milone starts the Athletics are 11-0 since April 24, 2012 at home after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $1115.
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
The Royals are 0-12 (+$1,230) in database history with a total under 10 after a game where they left 0 or 1 runners on base as a team.
CHOICE TREND:
The Blue Jays are 0-10 since May 21, 2009 as a 140+ dog after a 5+ run loss and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.
ACTIVE TRENDS:
When Max Scherzer starts the Tigers are 13-1 since May 30, 2010 as a favorite after giving up 2 or more home runs for a net profit of $1165.
Washington ML (-128) vs Atlanta Tanner Roark takes the hill today against Atlanta and he has been pitching well lately. In his last 8 starts, covering 51.2 innings he has given up just 41 hits, 1.00 WHIP and a 1.92 ERA. During the month of June he is 3-1 with a 1.38 ERA. He has been a bit of a tough luck loser at home this year, with a 3-3 record, but just a 1.58 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 2.34 BAA. Against Atlanta, he had a rough outing at Turner Field but that was back in April and he has been pitching much better of late. In his only other appearance against Atlanta (again in Turner Field) last year, he surrendered 1 hit in 4 innings of relief pitching. Atlanta starter Ervin Santana has been going the other way. He started lights out this season, but in his last 7 starts (covering 42.1 innings) he has allowed 29 ER (6.17 ERA), on 51 hits and a WHIP of 1.61. Washington would like to salvage a split in this series and hold onto first place in the NL East. Today I think they get it done.
This one appears to be a huge pitching mismatch to me. The Nats broke the Bravos' strangle-hold on them at home last night and today could get ugly, IMO. Roark has been an absolute beast at home holding a tiny 1.58 ERA pitching there. I have a lot of key numbers to back this play, but there is one that REALLY stands out....(.212). The Braves road BA. I could add the fact that Atlanta has a combined team BA of .184 against Roark, but why bother?
Let's talk about Santana a bit; LHBs have pasted him to the tune of a .373 OB% and the Nats have a team BA of .293 facing him. L/M is what I expected and I personally will be adding a "half-value" Washington Nationals -1½ (+170) play. I do not expect a ton of scoring here, though. Mostly one-sided, but I'd be very careful if considering the Under. The Nationals may just take out some frustrations here?
Josh Daniels - 1* White Sox
Play we are Taking the Chicago White Sox at plus money. We are looking at Danks (6-5) 3.97 ERA Vs Hughes (7-3) 3.09 ERA. When we look deeper into the numbers we see that Danks on the road over the last 3 years in 4.79 on the road and 2.89 in June. while he has struggled against Minn last 3 season with an ERA of 5.63 his hitters splits are only .278/.347/.444, tells me while he has given up some hits has ran into a little bad luck. Danks is good at going deep into games when he gets over 50 pitches his hitters splits actually go down to .241/.310/.375.
Hughes on the other hand has really struggled against the CWS. He has an ERA this year against them of 7.20, and in the last 3 years at home he is 5.35 at home but this year his first year calling Target Field home his ERA isn't very good either its 4.25. Hughes when he gets deep into games (over 50 pitches) doesn't fair as well as Danks does, his hitters splits actually get a lot higher .304/.346/.544. He gives up a lot of long balls, and that is what the CWS are good at. Today we have 4 premium plays at the site below for only $19, sign up today. Back to this game I see a lot of value in the White Sox. Final Score CWS 7 Min 5.
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