6-26-14

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SPORTS WAGERS

USA +875 over Germany

The Americans have certainly earned the four points they have accumulated in their group stage up to this point. Thirty seconds separated them from pulling off a historic victory against the fourth ranked Portugal. Even more impressive is the fact that America would take the lead after trailing one to nil five minutes into the fixture. Despite the early goal, America would not accept defeat. Group G will be settled on Thursday. Germany virtually has clinched advancement to the next stage given their remarkable goal difference (+4). Entering the tournament and after their dismantling of Portugal, Germany was a regarded as a favorite to win the entire tournament, rightfully justifying their top two ranking. The Germans are now the highest ranked team remaining in the tournament, in light of Spain’s early exit. However, the Germans struggled against Ghana and in similar fashion were forced to survive a Ghanian onslaught for ninety minutes, resulting in a draw. This result embellished the American victory against Ghana, due to the fact that Ghana was apparently better than expected. Germany no longer seems superior to the field.

Many wonder if America is capable of handing Germany a loss. Odds makers speculate it is a long shot but we`re suggesting otherwise. Why? Tim Howard. Tim Howard has been exceptional in the net and America also has a fellow named Clint Dempsey. Dempsey has scored two goals in the World Cup and played through with a broken nose. This is a testament to the determination and resilience of this American team and why they should never be counted out. America for the win.

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Cappers Access

Astros +105

Cardinals -120

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Hondo

In what could be a first in the annals of baseball handicapping, Hondo, who won via the no-hitter last week with Kershaw, was the beneficiary of a second no-no Wednesday when Tim Lincecum cuffed the Pods to trim the deficit to 1,355 vander meers.

Mr. Aitch is of the belief that two no-hitters in eight days ought to be worth some bonus bucks, maybe about 1,360. Anyone want to second that emotion?

Thursday night: Hondo doesn’t expect a no-no from Koehler but will settle for a flush job — 10 units on the Marlins to burn Cole.

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Thursday

Nationals -130

Phillies - 160

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SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Chicago @ TORONTO

Chicago +152 over TORONTO

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.04)

It's not customary for us to make a play on a cold team but J.A. Happ cannot be in this price range and that prompts us to step in. Furthermore, the Blue Jays aren't exactly setting the world on fire either with just six wins in their past 18 games and now Brett Lawrie, Jose Bautista and Steve Tolleson are out. Furthermore, the Jays pen is reeling and they figure to get more work in here. Happ is a fly-ball pitcher with poor control in a HR hitting park so don't expect the disasters to stop anytime soon. Happ has been tagged for 15 hits and 10 runs over his past two starts at Rogers Center over 11.1 frames. Over his last five starts (three on the road), Happ has posted an ugly 1.56 WHIP and has walked 14 batters over 35 innings. His WHIP on the year now stands at 1.64 while his ERA stands at 4.87. More notably, Happ's xERA over his past six starts is 5.76. The South Side has won five of their past seven games in Toronto and this one is very winnable.

Scott Carroll is the reason the Jays are so heavily favored. Carroll has been working out of the pen since May 25, after he allowed six runs in four innings against the Royals. The start previously, Carroll lost an 11-0 decision to the A's. Carroll should be ready to return to the rotation, as he worked three or more innings in five of his six appearances as a long reliever. After getting pounded for 17 earned runs in his past three starts, he allowed only four earned runs in 19.2 IP of relief. Carroll has mostly been a starter for his career. He was originally drafted by the Reds in the third round of the 2007 draft before being signed by the White Sox off of release waivers midway through 2012. Carroll missed the majority of 2013 after Tommy John surgery after the 2012 campaign. He doesn’t throw very hard, but induces a high number of groundballs with his two-seam fastball. He exhibits loose arm action to produce movement to his 87-93 mph fastball that he locates quite well. Carroll has two breaking balls in a hard slider and slow curveball, though neither are anything more than fringe-average. Carroll has an ideal pitcher’s frame with size and strength, but he doesn’t have the velocity or aggressive demeanor to match. Thing is, we've seen the Jays struggle against this type of pitcher many times with the latest coming against Mike Leake in Cincinnati. Like Leake, Carroll has a strong groundball rate of 50% and low line-drive rate of 18%. He's walked too many batters this season but that is due to him trying to be too fine. He has good control of his pitches and if he trusts his stuff and goes right after hitters like he did in relief, he has a chance to be successful. Having said that, this one is all about fading J.A. Happ, a pitcher that has a much better chance of losing every time he takes the hill than he does of picking up a win and that is an instant fade when he's priced this high.


Colorado @ MILWAUKEE

MILWAUKEE -1½ +107 over Colorado

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.14)

Colorado is and always have been the Jekyll and Hyde in MLB. They win at home consistently but get them on the road and they turn into one of the worst teams in baseball. The Rockies have 15 road wins this season in 39 games. They just completed a six-game home stand and lost five of them, which included getting swept by these Brewers. Overall, the Rocks have dropped nine of 10 and now battered, bruised and not playing well, they take their dreadful road record back on the road with Christian Friedrich starting. How Friedrich received a call up to the majors is a mystery, as in 13 starts with AAA-Colorado Springs this season, he was 1-8 with a 7.89 ERA, a 1.72 WHIP and an oppBA of .324 in 67.1 IP. He managed to make it through six innings in his first start last week although he allowed nine runs and that was against these same Brewers. He also walked three batters while striking out the same amount.

Wily Peralta allowed four runs (three earned) in 7.2 innings in his last start in that same game that Friedrich started. However, he was outstanding despite the pitching line, which made him look average. Peralta induced 23 groundball outs to just seven fly-balls at Coors Field. Over his last five starts, Peralta has one of the best profiles in the game. Peralta's 57%/17%/26% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rates over that span is spectacular. His 95 MPH four-seamer velocity is also one of the best in the game. Peralta goes right after hitters, choosing to induce groundballs as oppose to striking batters out and what that does is keep his pitch count down and allows him to work deeper into games. He has a 3.18 ERA at Miller Park, the Brewers have won his last four starts and now this red-hot team and pitcher get one of their easiest assignments to date. Yeah, we'll step in.

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River City Sharps

The Nationals are coming off a successful series against the NL Central leading Milwaukee Brewers where they took two of three games. They now open up a four game series with the Chicago Cubs as they send Doug Fister to the mound against Travis Wood. The Nationals have actually won 14 of their last 21 games against these Cubbies and Fister has really enjoyed a solid start to his season. In seven of his nine starts this year, he has allowed two runs or less. The Nationals are 7-1 in Fister's last eight starts and it is apparent that the Cubs offense has sputtered against the better pitchers they have faced. Chicago is 16-40 in their last 56 games where they faced a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15. The Sharps are not big fans of big priced road favorites here, but we really like the spot we have here tonight. We really like the way the Nationals are playing right now and think Fister shuts the Cubs down here tonight. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - WASHINGTON NATIONALS ML -135

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EZWINNERS

3 STAR SELECTION

Game: Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

(957) Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-$125)

(Risking $375 to win $200) (Action)

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CHASE DIAMOND

15* MLB RUN LINE LOCK
Minnesota vs. LA Angels
Minnesota Twins +1½/-118

This game has the 36-40 Twins at the 43-33 Angels. Angels have won 5 straight and are due for a off game the Twins have dropped two straight so look for a determined Twins team I love the plus money in this game but feel the Run line is the safe bet here. Ricky Nolasco’s job as a starter has to be on the line as his numbers have not been good so look for him to be pitching for his job today. Big time line movement in this game as 76% of the public is backing the Angels here yet this line has moved 13 cents the other way. Take the Twins +1.5 for a 15* play.

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HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Angels(-181)

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Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee won (3 in a row) on Wednesday in MLB in the American League with the Angels -$190/Twins.

E&B likes three plays in World Cup Soccer he posted two on Wednesday and added one for Thursday.

(1) $100 on the Draw +$200 USA/Germany

(2) $100 Germany-$150 /USA

(3) $25 USA +$860/Germany

For Thursday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Fightin Phillies -$155/Marlins.

Ben lee is 3-0 +$150 for week thirty five 156-184-5 -$3306

"Mr Chalk" is 38-33 -$631 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

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ROBERT FERRINGO (World Cup Soccer)

2* GHA (+225)
3* GHA +0.5 (-120)
1* GHA/POR = Draw (+310)
1* GHA/POR – OVER 3

5* GER (-160)
1* GER/USA – OVER 2.5 (-120)

1* ALG (+260)
1* ALG/RUS = Draw (+275)

1* BEL (-145)

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY’S SELECTIONS
(June Results -3.20)
FIFA WORLD CUP
1x- Ghana vs Portugual – Over 2.5 -210 (12pm)
1x- Germany/USA = Draw +195 (12pm)
1x- Russia PK -201 Algeris (4pm)
1x- Beliguim Pk -315 S Korea (4pm)

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

TENNIS
PJ’S SELECTIONS
(June Results +4.10)
ATP – WIMBLEDON @ WIMBLEDON, GREAT BRITAIN
12:30PM S GIRALDO -120 vs M GRANOLLERS
WTA – WIMBLEDON @ WIMBLEDON
3:30PM V DUVAL +130 vs B BENCIC

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Tampasports

free play Houston m.line

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Indian Cowboy

World Cup Soccer

5* Under 2.5 Goals USA vs. Germany

4* Portugal/Ghana Over 2.5

2* (Over 3 goals If you do not have access to Over 2.5 )