6-26-14

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CHASE DIAMOND

10* MLB DIAMOND DOG

Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Chicago White Sox +152

This play has the 36-43 White Sox and the 44-36 Toronto. No one has more to pitch for then Steve Carroll tonight as the Sox have given him another shot in the rotation. I believe Vegas has way overvalued Toronto tonight as we are getting I believe the better pitcher in Carroll for big plus money. Happ for the Jays has been very mediocre as he sports a 4.87 ERA. This line has not budged even though a ton of public money has come in on the Jays. Take the White Sox for a big 10* plus money play

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Los Angeles Angels -180 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)

Jered Weaver has won 11 of the last 15 day games and he has won 12 of the last 17 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents.Jered Weaver has won 10 consecutive home games when pitching as a favorite of -175 to -250 and he has won 22 of the last 36 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season.

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50* Play Philadelphia -140 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Chicago White Sox +150 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY BASEBALL

•Play Chicago White Sox +150 over Toronto----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
7:00 PM EST

JA Happ has lost 12 of the last 16 games when pitching on a Thursday and he has lost 34 of the last 58 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season. JA Happ has lost 25 of the last 43 home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has lost two of the last starts with an ERA of 7.24.


•Play Cincinnati +110 over San Francisco----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
10:15 PM EST

Mike Leake has won 16 of the last 27 games when pitching in the month of June and he has won 14 of the last 25 games vs. NL West Division Opponents. Mike Leake has won 22 of the last 41 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has an ERA of 3.59 in all starts this season.

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BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL

10* Play New York Mets +140 over Pittsburgh (MLB TOP PLAY)

Vance Worley is 10-17 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Vance Worley is 9-15 when pitching in the 1st half of the season
Vance Worley is 0-3 vs. NL East Division Opponents


10* Play Cincinnati +110 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY)

Cincinnati is 53-39 vs. NL West Division Opponents the last three seasons
Cincinnati is 79-54 with an on-base percentage of .310 or worse the last twenty games
Cincinnati is 86-73 in road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs

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5* Play Houston +110 over Atlanta (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Chicago White Sox +150 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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Kyle's Pick(s)

2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers - OVER 10 RUNS (+104)

Listed Pitchers: Porcello vs. Martinez

(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.08 units)

We needed 2 runs in four innings of play but only got 1. The Yankees had the bases loaded with no outs and only managed to score a run. Tough break last night.
There have been plenty of runs to enjoy in this series, in the type of baseball many people expected from these two teams this season. For the greater part of the season the Tigers have. Unfortunately for them, though, their bullpen has been an absolute mess. Conversely, however, it has led to plenty of runs being scored against them. The Tigers have now won six straight games after a tough stretch of losses, but look unstoppable at the plate lately. Note that Detroit has scored 26 runs in their last three games! The last time they've scored less than 5 runs was six games ago against the Royals on the 19th. They should be able to destroy Nicholas Martinez who has had a tough go of it. Martinez has been getting shellacked at home and I find it hard to believe it'll change against this offense. He brings tonight an ERA of 6.38, coupled with a 1.91 WHIP and .407 OBP at home. In his last start at home against Cleveland, Martinez allowed 8 runs in only 2 innings. Additionally, his ERA of 7.20 in his past three starts is tough for the Rangers to swallow as well. Rick Porcello has been shaky lately as well, putting forth an effort of a 4.00 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, and .321 OBP his last three. Porcello's worst start this season came against the Rangers on May 24th, getting hammered for 7 runs and 12 hits in 5.1 innings pitched. If the total is in the balance late in this one, I expect the Tigers' bullpen to get it over the number. Look for the runs to keep coming in Texas tonight, as the Tigers and Rangers should get OVER 10 runs.

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Kevin's Pick(s):

I kept my daily winning streak going with the OVER again between the Tigers and Rangers last night, as the game made it over the total pretty early in an 8-6 final score. I've got one play here today and it is an afternoon game.

2 UNIT = Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels - ANGELS -1.5 (+125) *afternoon game

Listed Pitchers: Nolasco vs Weaver

(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.50 units)

The Angels have won the first two meetings of this series by scores of 8-6 and 6-2 last night. They have now won 5 straight and six of their last seven games overall to improve to 43-33 on the season and 25-14 at home. The Twins are 36-40 overall and 17-23 on the road. Tonight Ricky Nolasco will pitch for Minnesota and he is 4-5 with a 5.52 ERA, .316 OBA and 1.56 WHIP on the year. He has been awful on the road with a 7.11 ERA, .369 OBA and 1.91 WHIP. Over his last 4 starts in June his ERA is 5.01 with a .298 OBA and 1.46 WHIP. On the other hand we've got Jered Weaver on the mound for the Angels, and he has been solid this year with a 3.47 ERA, .223 OBA and 1.13 WHIP. Although his overall numbers are pretty good, he has been great at home with a 2.92 ERA, .198 OBA and 1.04 WHIP. He had a stretch of below average starts in June, but went 8 innings giving up just 4 hits and 1 earned run in his latest start vs Texas. Take note that the Twins are 0-7 in their last 7 road games, 4-17 in their last 21 vs AL West opponents, and 1-4 in Nolasco's last 5 road starts. The Angels are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200, 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs a right handed starter, 23-8 in their last 31 home games overall, and 38-13 in Weaver's last 51 home starts. I'll take the Angels by 2 or more this afternoon.

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Marc Lawrence

Belgium vs. South Korea

Free Play: Belgium

Prior to the tournament's start, Belgium took lots of money as a likely candidate to reach the World Cup's Final Four. The Europeans really haven't knocked anybody off their feet in tight matches against Algeria and Russia. Could this be Belgium's day to shine? South Korea in winless in two matches, and while it has scored three goals, it has allowed five. Unless the Asians come out with a great deal of energy, this could be a rocking chair match for Group H's already qualified leader. We recommend betting 1-unit on Belgium to win.

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Sam Martin

Ghana at Portugal

Free Play: Over

While the United States and Germany control their own destiny, both Ghana and Portugal need to win and win by a sizable margin to have any hope of advancing to the next round. Both teams will be looking to attack at all times, which will result in a number of scoring and counter-attack opportunities.

This type of expected game style should result in an easy Over play, and the linesmakers have taken notice having the Over at the normal 2.5 line with a heavy price of -225. In fact, the actual over/under number is 3 goals with a -150 price, which is the play we recommend here.

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Scott Spreitzer


Winnipeg +5

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Andre Gomes

Germany / USA

3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 2.5 Goals -123

There are a lot of conspiracy theories about this contest favoring a draw between these two teams = both would qualify for the next round.

In normal conditions, at this price, I would blindly make a play w/ Germany to win but because of this, I’ve decided to pass sides…

However, I think that this contest has all conditions to be a low scoring affair!

I expect this contest to be played @low tempo! We can expect the USA team to bring a conservative mindset for today facing the superior talented German side, but I also think that the Germans will be happy to keep the tempo low – they’ll save some energy for the knockout stages.

NOTE: I’ve checked the weather for this contest and it’s raining! The field won’t be good for a fluid wide-open game, so I’m happy to take my chances w/ UNDER in here!

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BEHIND THE BETS

Germany/USA = Draw +212
Portugal -125

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Play

Thursday card has the 6* Highest Rated World Cup total of the tournament, with Powerful Historical and Statistical Angles. MLB Card has a 20-0 5* MLB Power system Game of the Week and a Rare Undefeated late night totals system. World Cup and MLB Cash out on Wednesday. MLB System Play below




On Thursday the MLB system play is on the Toronto Bluejays. Game 966 at 7:05 eastern. Toronto is averaging 5.7 runs the past week and takes on a Chicago Whitesox team that has lost 6 straight times on the road off a 1 run road loss. Chicago has also lost 6 of 8 on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5. For our power system the Jays and all home favorites with a total that is 10 or higher are 15-4 off a home loss where they scored 4 or less runs on 5+ hits, vs an opponent like Chicago that is off a road loss where they scored 4 or less runs on 5 or more hits. S. Carrol goes for Chicago and he has a dis,al 7.20 road era. His Counter part J. Happ has an average 4.12 home era. The Jays Vaunted lineup should give Carrol a tough time here. Look for Toronto to take the opener of the series. On Thursday there are a trio of Powerful selections up. In early Afternoon action its the 6* Highest rated World Cup Total of the Tournament up and it has powerful Historical and Statistical angles. In MLB its the 5* MLB 20-0 System Game of the Week and a rare Undefeated totals system in late night action. MLB Top total cashes easily going over Mets and A/s and World Cup has been dominant. Message to Jump on now and Put the Most Powerful data in the industry on your side. For the free MLB play Take Toronto. GC

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Bookie Zapper

Houston Astros

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Vegas SI

THURSDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)

20* MLB Pirates -150 and 10* MLB UNDER 8
20* MLB Braves -120 and 10* MLB UNDER 8
20* MLB Rangers +115 and 10* MLB OVER 9.5
20* MLB Reds +105 and 10* MLB UNDER 7.5
20* MLB Nationals -130 and 10* MLB OVER 7.5

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Jimmy Boyd

Boyd's MLB Main Event ***65% (90-48) SYSTEM SINCE 1997***

Chicago Cubs +124

The Cubs are showing excellent value as a home underdog against the Nationals. Starter Travis Wood has been consistently strong at home, where he's 3-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.093 WHIP over 7 starts. Washington's Doug Fister has been strong overall, but he's clearly been more vulnerable on the road. Fister has a 2.56 ERA and 1.041 WHIP overall and a 3.34 ERA and 1.281 WHIP on the road (5 starts). Last time he took the mound on the road, he gave up 4 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in just 6 innings of work. Chicago is 9-3 in their last 12 against the NL East, 8-3 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series, 4-1 in Wood's last 5 starts following a team loss and 6-2 in his last 8 starts as an underdog. Adding to this is a solid system telling us to fade the Nationals. Road teams who are hitting team .250 or worse as a team against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are just 48-90 since 1997. That's a 65% long-term system in favor of the Cubs.