7-3-14

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MLB

'Make or Break'

It's make or break for Toronto Blue Jays who embark on a ten game road swing that will see the club play four in Oakland, three in Anaheim and three in Tampa. Jays have had success away from the friendly confines of Rogers Center posting a 22-18 record but are just 3-7 the past ten on the road. Opening the series in Oakland with Dickey (6-7, 4.24 ERA) the Jays have a tough one. The knuckler has lost three straight surrendering 6 long-ball, 12 runs over 20 1/3 innings of work and heads to the mound 1-5 on the road with Jays 1-6 over his seven starts. Stroman (4-2, 4.01 ERA) in GM2 Toronto has a shot as the right-hander has allowed just three earned runs over his last two starts and the hurler has surrendered 2 or less in five of his six since moving into the starting rotation. Tough-luck Burhrle (10-5, 2.50 ERA) gets the call in GM3. The lefty is winless over his last five outings, but does have a 3.44 ERA over that stretch. Those choosing to side with Toronto can take comfort in knowing Jays are 2-0 vs A's w/Buehrle. In the finale, Hutchison (6-6, 3.81 ERA) off his best outing of the season hurling 7 innings of 1 run ball in a win over Brewers tries for a repeat performance. Hutchison splits make him an interesting choice, Jays are just 2-5 at home with the righty but shine on the road when he takes the ball posting a 7-2 mark.

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Thursday

Yankees -160

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Oakland -160 over Toronto (MLB TOP PLAY)

Oakland has won 88 of the last 129 games when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have won 34 of the last 50 games when playing in the month of July.Oakland has won 48 of the last 68 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have won 57 of the last 100 games vs. AL East Division Opponents.

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50* Play Philadelphia +110 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play New York Yankees -145 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY BASEBALL

• Play Philadelphia +110 over Miami----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

6:00 PM EST

Brad Hand has lost 10 of the last 13 games vs. division opponents and he has lost 11 of the last 14 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Brad Hand has lost 6 of the last 8 home games and he has an ERA of 11.37 over the last three starts.

• Play Arizona +130 over Pittsburgh----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  7:00 PM EST

Vance Worley has lost 17 of the last 28 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 7 of the last 11 games when pitching in the 2^nd half of the season. Vance Worley has lost 7 of the last 10 games after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing and he has lost 10 of the last 17 games when the line posted is between -100 to -150.

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BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play St. Louis +135 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY)

St. Louis is 90-62 in day games over the last three seasons
St. Louis is 29-20 after having lost five or six of the last seven games
St. Louis is 49-26 games after batting .240 or worse over the last ten games


10* Play Philadelphia +110 over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)

Miami is 13-27 when playing on a Thursday the last three seasons
Miami is 23-30 when playing in the month of July the last three seasons
Miami is 60-83 after having lost five or six of the last seven games

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5* Play Arizona +130 over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Houston +160 over LA Angels (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | TULSA at CONNECTICUT
Play On – Home favorites (CONNECTICUT) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%)
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% | 23.6 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

WNBA | TULSA at CONNECTICUT
Play Against – Any team vs the money line (TULSA) good shooting team (43.5-46%) against an average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) after 15+ games, after 4 straight games – allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher
28-13 since 1997. ( 68.3% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at SEATTLE
Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a losing record
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | LA DODGERS at COLORADO
Play Against – Any team (COLORADO) very good NL hitting team (AVG >=.280) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities
205-140 since 1997. ( 59.4% | 72.2 units )
27-16 this year. ( 62.8% | 7.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | LA DODGERS at COLORADO
LA DODGERS are 21-8 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in Road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: LA DODGERS (5.9) , OPPONENT (3.8)

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HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Pirates(-142)

If Vegas is gonna give us this kind of value with a hot home team(Pirates have won 9/11) vs a cold road team(Dbacks have the worst record in baseball and have lost 6/10), then we are gonna take it every time.
Worley (2-0, 1.74 ERA) should help Pittsburgh keep rolling against McCarthy (2-10, 5.11) whose only 2 wins come against the Padres.

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY’S SELECTIONS (July -3.20)
UEFA – EUROPA LEAGUE
10:30AM LITEKS LOVECH -215 @ FC VERIS
1:45PM FK HAUGESUND @ AIRBUS UK BROUGHTON – OVER 2.5 -135

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EZWINNERS

3* (908) Rockies RL+1.5 (-$130)

3* (916) A’s -$165

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PAUL LEINER

100* Over 7.5 – A’s/Blue Jays
50* Marlins -115

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BOB BALFE

SELECTION
TEXAS RANGERS -120

(Darvish/Chen)
I feel like the Orioles got away with one last night. Baltimore couldn’t hit a below average pitcher and now have to face Darvish. Good luck with that. Texas does hit left handed pitching well and I expect them not to get swept today with their ace on the hill. Take the Rangers.

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GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Dodgers
Team B: Rockies
Pick: Under 10.5
Risk:$100 to win $105
Time: 5:00 PM PT

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RIVER CITY SHARPS

The Rangers will send their ace to the hill this evening in hopes of salvaging a game in their four-game set with the Baltimore Orioles. Yu Darvish (8-4, 2.42) gets the call for the Rangers against W.Y. Chen (7-3, 4.19) and the Orioles. While this season has been a struggle for the Rangers, Darvish has been terrific and produced six starts already where he has not surrendered a run. The Rangers are 14-3 in Darvish’s last 17 starts as a favorite and 9-1 in his last 10 starts when he has four days rest. The Orioles haven’t handled the role of a home underdog lately, where they are 3-9 in their last 12 games in that situation. This is a bit of a value play as well as you will not be able to get Darvish at -115 very often and Chen is coming off a performance last time out which was less than stellar, surrendering five runs in just over three innings in a loss to Tampa Bay. We think Darvish helps the Rangers salvage a game in this series and as a side note, we would also recommend sprinkling in a little bit on the Under here as well. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – TEXAS RANGERS (-115)

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Vegas SI
THURSDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)

20* MLB Tigers -1.5 and 10* MLB UNDER 8
20* MLB Angels -180 and 10* MLB OVER 8.5
20* MLB Rockies +125 and 10* MLB OVER 10.5
20* MLB Giants -155 and 10* MLB UNDER 7
20* MLB Tigers -1.5 and 10* MLB UNDER 8