7-4-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Sox, Lester ice cold vs. O's
Stephen Campbell


In Boston Red Sox pitcher Jon Lester's previous nine starts versus the Baltimore Orioles, the Sox are a paltry 1-8. Lester will try to reverse that trend when he takes the mound against the O's at Fenway Park Friday.

Sportsbooks currently list the BoSox as -148 faves with a total of 8.5.



Rourk, Nats cashing in for Under bettors at home


In Washington Nationals pitcher Tanner Rourk's last nine home starts, the Under is 7-1-1. Rourk gets the ball when the Nats host the Chicago Cubs Friday.

Sportsbooks currently have the Nats as -158 faves on the moneyline with an O/U of 7.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rangers on Thursday and likes the Nationals on Friday.

The deficit is 241 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo bounced back from Wednesday’s double-flusher by scoring with Tanaka and the Yankees Thursday night to lower the accounts payable to 1,445 reeses.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch will give the nod to another ace — 10 units on Kershaw to provide a smokeless Rocky Mountain high.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Dodgers -1.5 +115

Cubs +141

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play 11-2 run FRI Cards w/ Lynn -150

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Joey Chestnut -2000 to obliterate field in Hot Dog Eating contest
Andrew Avery Jul 3, 2014


One of the staples of the Fourth of July holiday is, of course, Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest.

The hot dog celebration was dominated from 2001 to 2006 by the legendary Kobayashi who won each event in that span. Since 2006 however, it has been all Joey Chestnut.

Chestnut has won seven-straight events since 2007 and he is the overwhelming favorite to take home the prize again this year.

The defending champ is favored at -2000 versus the field to win the event with "the field" coming in at +1000 at 5Dimes.

You can also wager the over/under on hot dogs eaten by Chestnut. The current line is 70 dogs (over +325, under -475) or you can bet O/U 69 dogs (over +125, under -165).

Chestnut broke the record in 2013 by eating 69 hot dogs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League

Cubs-Nationals
Hammel is 2-2, 2.82 in his last six starts.
Roark is 4-1, 2.37 in his last five starts.

Cubs won six of their last seven road games.
Washington won its last five games.

Six of last eight Washington games went over total.

Phillies-Pirates
Hernandez is 2-3, 4.73 in his last six starts.
Cole is 3-1, 4.50 in his last five starts.

Philly lost seven of its last nine games.
Pirates won nine of their last twelve games.

Six of last eight Pittburgh games stayed under.

Giants-Padres
Cain is 0-3, 6.66 in his last four starts.
Stults is 0-8, 6.19 in his last nine starts.

Giants lost eight of their last ten games.
San Diego won its last four games.


Eight of last nine Stults starts stayed under total.

Brewers-Reds
Lohse is 2-0, 3.12 in his last four starts.
Cincinnati won last six Simon starts (4-0, 2.66).

Milwaukee lost its last three games.
Reds also lost their last three games, but won four of last five at home.

Five of last seven Brewer games went over.

Marlins-Cardinals
Eovaldi is 1-1, 6.00 in his last four starts.
Lynn is 2-4, 5.01 in his last six starts.

Miami lost five of its last seven games.
St Louis won seven of its last ten home games.

Five of last seven Miami games went over total.

Diamondbacks-Braves
Collmenter is 2-0, 1.74 in his last couple starts.
Santana is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four starts.

Arizona lost three of its last four games.
Atlanta won its last seven games.

Six of last eight Collementer starts stayed under.

Dodgers-Rockies
Kershaw is 6-0, 0.82 in his last six starts; he's thrown 28 consecutive scoreless innings- he allowed one run in five IP here June 8.
de la Rosa is 2-2, 8.76 in his last five starts, but he won his last two.

Dodgers won 14 of their last 20 games.
Colorado lost 15 of its last 17 games.

Last four de la Rosa starts went over the total.


American League

Orioles-Red Sox
Gonzalez is 1-2, 5.23 in his last four starts.
Boston won last four Lester starts (3-0, 2.10).

Baltimore is 11-5 in its last sixteen games.
Red Sox lost three in row, nine of last thirteen games.

13 of last 15 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Bronx-Twins
Whitley lost his last two starts, allowing 13 runs in 7.1 innings.
Gibson is 3-1, 2.13 in his last five starts.

Bronx lost nine of its last twelve games.
Minnesota lost eight of their last ten games.

Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Gibson starts.

Blue-Jays-A's
Stroman is 1-0, 1.84 in his last two starts, but five of his six starts have been at home-- he allowed two runs in 3.2 IP (98 PT) in his only road start.
Oakland won seven of last eight Milone starts (5-0, 3.70).

Blue Jays lost six of their last seven road games.
Oakland lost three of its last four games.

Seven of last eight Toronto games stayed under.

Rays-Tigers
Cobb is 1-2, 5.82 in his last three starts.
Smyly is 1-3, 3.38 in his last four starts.

Tampa Bay won seven of its last nine games.
Tigers won nine of their last eleven games.

Nine of last thirteen Detroit games went over the total.

Royals-Indians
Ventura is 3-1, 2.90 in his last five starts.
Tomlin is 0-3, 8.57 in his last four home starts.

Royals won ten of their last twelve road games.
Cleveland lost four of its last five home games.

Four of last five Ventura starts stayed under.

Mariners-White Sox
Elias is 2-1, 3.20 in his last three starts.
Sale is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts; Sox are 6-2 in his home starts.

Seattle won ten of its last twelve games.
White Sox lost six of their last nine home games.

Six of last eight Seattle games stayed under the total.

Astros-Angels
Keuchel is 2-3, 3.55 in his last five starts.
Wilson is 1-1, 6.23 in his last four starts.

Houston lost 13 of its last 17 games.
Angels won ten of their last thirteen games.

Seven of last nine Keuchel starts stayed under.


Interleague game

Darvish is 1-2, 5.68 in his last three starts; he's allowed no runs in four of his last nine starts.
Niese is 2-1, 3.54 in his last six starts.

Texas lost last five games overall, nine in row on road.
Mets lost seven of their last eight games.

Six of last nine Darvish starts stayed under the total.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hammel 3-16; Roark 3-16
-- Hernandez 7-15 (3 of last 5); Cole 5-13
-- Cain 5-13; Stults 6-17 (3 of last 5)
-- Lohse 7-16; Simon 5-16
-- Eovaldi 7-17 (3 of last 4); Lynn 5-17
-- Collmenter 7-14 (3 of last 4); Santana 6-15 (3 of last 3)
-- Kershaw 2-12; de la Rosa 5-17


-- Gonzalez 6-13; Lester 5-17
-- Whitley 2-9; Gibson 5-16
-- Stroman 2-6; Milone 7-15 (3 of last 3)
-- Cobb 3-11; Smyly 6-13
-- Ventura 4-15; Tomlin 3-10
-- Elias 5-17; Sale 1-12
-- Keuchel 4-15 (3 of last 5); Wilson 4-17

-- Darvish 2-15; Niese 4-16 (0 of last 7)

Umpires
LA-Colo-- Eight of last eleven Blaser games stayed under.

NY-Minn-- Seven of last nine West games went over.
Tor-A's-- Seven of last ten Carapazza games stayed under.
TB-Det-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Wolcott games.
Hst-LAA-- Favorites won six of last eight Hernandez games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Handzelek

Friday, July 04, 2014
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels (MLB) - 9:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -172 Los Angeles Angels Play Title: Fireworks Grabber

Handicapper: Mike Handzelek
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -113 Cincinnati Reds Play Title: Out Of Slumber Play

Handicapper: Mike Handzelek
Miami Marlins vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB) - 7:15 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -148 St Louis Cardinals Play Title: Second Half Fader

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Rangers +105
50* Indians -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY'S SELECTIONS
FIFA WORLD CUP
12:00PM GERMANY vs FRANCE - OVER 2 -130
4:00PM COLUMBIA vs BRAZIL -115

IRELAND - EIRCOM LEAGUE
2:45PM DROGHEDA UTD @ BRAY WANDERERS - OVER 2.5 -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | BALTIMORE at BOSTON
Play On – Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (BALTIMORE) with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, where team’s hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season
43-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.2% | 27.4 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -0.5 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was: SAN FRANCISCO (4.4) , OPPONENT (3.2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS


FIFA World Cup

Germany -½ +153 over France


July 4, 12:00 PM EST. The French have been excellent in this tournament so far, as they have accumulated 10 goals in four games and could have potentially struck for even more. France’s most impressive feat was their 5-2 dismantling of Switzerland in the group stage. There is no need to question to quality on the French side, as they have some exquisite footballers in Mathieu Valbuena and Karim Benzema.

Germany, despite some lackluster outings against Algeria and Ghana, has always scored when they needed to. The Germans entered the tournament with a bang, routing Portugal four to nil in their opening match. Since then, the Germans have struggled against their group stage opponents and narrowly escaped America in their final contest. However, the scores are not indicative of the quality brand of football that the Germans play. The Germans dominate possession and find ways to create opportunities. France plays a different style, as they are very vertical-oriented and create goals of aesthetic pleasure. France also enjoys set pieces and for a German team that has seemed a bit porous on the back-end, this could spell trouble.

Nevertheless, the Germans have always been a reliable and steadfast club. The Germans have reached at least the top four in their last three World Cups and it would be hard to see them going out in the quarterfinals to the French team. The tag on Germany to win in regulation time is a delicious opportunity to bet on the world’s top team and one we’re not about to pass on.


FIFA World Cup

Colombia +½ +108 over Brazil

Columbia +368 over Brazil

July 4, 4:00 PM EST. We’re going to split this up and play 1 unit on Columbia @ +368 and 1 unit on them @ +½ +108 for a total bet of 2 units.

Despite a wonderful World Cup campaign consisting of a top-10 world ranking and a flawless Group Stage, Colombia has been sullied heading in to their quarterfinal bout with Brazil. This is further aggravated by the fact that the hosts narrowly escaped defeat when a closing stages Chilean attempt on goal careened off the crossbar, which ultimately propelled Brazil to a penalty shootout victory. Even more eerily was the manner in which Chile was eliminated, a penalty which bounced out of the net and secured Brazil’s advancement. Brazil will not be so lucky against a Colombian team that dominated a traditional power in Uruguay. Many can argue that the absence of Luis Suarez played a role in the affair, however Colombia thoroughly controlled possession. This same strategy can spell defeat for a Brazilian team that struggled to find its rhythm in the second half against a club that is far inferior to Colombia. The problem Brazil faces here is that Colombia is the best team they will face in this tournament.

This bet could be the best value of the entire tournament so far. Colombia has a great chance to send the hosts home and continue on to the semi-finals. This is a dynamic team and a very potent and proficient club when it comes to procuring opportunities and maintaining possession. Possession teams have proven to be extremely difficult to knock off and that’s what the Columbians bring to the table. Neymar is one of the best players in the world for Brazil and he and the rest of their attacking forwards but cannot do much without the ball. Look for Colombia figures to strip Brazil of opportunities and play sound defense just like they do every time they step on the pitch. Definite upset possibility.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Cubs+140
Twins-115

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GAMBLING GOD

Germany/ France Pick: Over 2.5
Risk:$100 to win $141

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play of the Day
Detroit Tigers -117 (Smyly)