7-4-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HOT CHICKS PICKS / Britney DeLuca

Happy 4th of July...much thanks to all our servicemen past and present...
Take Washington and the Cubbies to stay UNDER 7.5!
Take KANSAS CITY +105 to feel like royalty today!
Take MIAMI +135 to avoid being eaten for dinner!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Betting Cheat Sheet

Diamondbacks Bust Under Streak

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+139, 7.5) used a big ninth inning to end a lengthy Under streak in a 10-2 win over host Pittsburgh. The Diamondbacks racked up seventh runs in the ninth after it appeared they were headed to their seven consecutive Under result.

California Lows

Expect offense to be at a premium Friday when the San Francisco Giants (-116, 6.5) visit the San Diego Padres in the opener of a three-game series at Petco Park. The teams have combined to go 1-7-1 O/U in their nine meetings this year, a big reason for the Padres' 26-55-4 overall O/U mark.

Here We Go Again

Cubs hurler Jeff Samardzija is still finding it hard to rack up victories as he prepares to take the hill Saturday against the host Washington Nationals. Samardzija has just two wins on the season despite a 2.83 ERA, and is 0-4 against the moneyline over his last four starts.

Low, Low Price

Tampa Bay ace David Price has increased his trade value exponentially of late, recording seven straight quality starts while racking up 68 strikeouts against just nine walks over that span. It's no surprise, then, that Price is 1-6 O/U in that stretch entering Sunday's showdown with host Detroit.

Pitching Notes

Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw has been unstoppable of late, allowing just 11 hits over 24 scoreless innings while striking out 36 in his previous three starts. Kershaw carries a six-start winning streak into Friday's encounter with the host Colorado Rockies (+151).

Nights have been kind to Baltimore starter Ubaldo Jimenez - at least, compared to days - as he gets ready to face the visiting Los Angeles Angels on Saturday evening. Jimenez is 3-3 with a 2.53 ERA under the lights compared to 0-5 with a 10.55 ERA during the day.

New York Yankees hurler Hiroki Kuroda looks to preserve his recent string of Unders as he takes the mound Sunday afternoon against the host Minnesota Twins. Kuroda has put together six consecutive Under outings, though he has just one victory to his credit in that stretch.

Hitting Notes

Houston second baseman Jose Altuve had three hits in Thursday's 5-2 loss to the Angels to increase his average to .347. Altuve has just four hits in 18 career at-bats against C.J. Wilson, who starts for Los Angeles (-175, 7.5) on Friday night.

Detroit designated hitter Victor Martinez belted his 21st home run of the season in the Tigers' 8-1 drubbing of Tampa Bay on Thursday. Martinez will face Rays right-hander Chris Archer on Saturday night; Martinez is 1-for-3 in his career against him.

Royals left fielder Alex Gordon went 0-for-4 in Wednesday's win over Minnesota and finds himself in the clutches of a 2-for-32 slump. Gordon may not find much relief Sunday, as he's just 4-for-22 with eight strikeouts against Cleveland probable starter Corey Kluber.

Totals Streak

San Diego Padres (3-13-1 O/U): With most teams alternating Overs and Unders with at least some regularity, the Padres can be counted upon to provide a reliable source of low totals. The Padres are far and away the class of the league when it comes to the Under, going 26-55-4 to date.

Injury Notes

New York Yankees left-hander CC Sabathia will visit Dr. James Andrews after an MRI revealed swelling in his injured knee. Sabathia is 3-4 with a 5.28 ERA in eight starts this season; New York is 3-5 S/U and 5-3 O/U in those outings.

Oakland Athletics third baseman Josh Donaldson missed his second straight game Thursday with back stiffness. Oakland is 2-1 S/U, 2-1 O/U and +100 units with Donaldson out of the lineup so far this season; he has 18 homers and 61 RBIs on the campaign.

Colorado Rockies outfielder Carlos Gonzalez expects to be activated from the disabled list prior to the All-Star break as he continues his recovery from finger surgery. The Rockies are just 10-23 SU, 18-11-4 O/U and a whopping -1,123 units with Gonzalez on the sidelines.

Weather Watch

Wind at Progressive Field will blow in from right field at 9 mph for Friday's game between host Cleveland (-116, 8) and Kansas City. The Indians were a perfect 4-0 under similar wind conditions in 2013.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 16-5-1 in umpire Angel Hernandez's last 22 home games behind home plate involving the Angels. Hernandez will call the balls and strikes when Los Angeles entertains Houston on Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

***** Friday, 7/4/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #14
•Red Sox, Lester Ice Cold Vs. O's: In Boston Red Sox pitcher Jon Lester's previous nine starts versus the Baltimore Orioles, the Sox are a paltry 1-8. Lester will try to reverse that trend when he takes the mound against the Orioles at Fenway Park (1:35 PM EST) Friday afternoon. BetOnline.com presently lists the Red Sox as -148 favorites with a total of 8.5.

•Rourk, Nats Cashing In For Under Bettors At Home: In Washington Nationals pitcher Tanner Rourk's last nine home starts, the Under is 7-1-1. Rourk gets the ball when the Nationals host the Chicago Cubs (11:05 AM EST) on Friday. BetOnline.com currently has the Nationals as -158 favorites on the moneyline with an Over/Under of 7.5.

•RHP Aceves Suspended 50 Games: New York Yankees minor league right-handed pitcher Alfredo Aceves received a 50-game suspension after a second positive drug test, the Office of the Commissioner of Baseball announced Thursday. The league said the suspension without pay is in violation of the Minor League Drug Prevention and Treatment Program and effective immediately. Aceves is currently on the roster of Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre of the International League. He tossed 19 2/3 innings in the majors this season, posting a 6.52 ERA.

•Yangervis Solarte Sent To Triple-A: Rookie Yangervis Solarte, who was an early-season sensation for the New York Yankees, has been sent down to Triple-A Scranton, the team announced Thursday. Solarte, a non-roster invitee, seemingly came out of nowhere during spring training to beat out Eduardo Nunez for the 25th spot on the team. He then won the third-base job over Kelly Johnson, hitting .299 with six homers and 29 RBIs over the first two months of the season when he was arguably the Yankees' best offensive player. Since June began, Solarte's hit just .162 in 22 games. He will be replaced by Zelous Wheeler, a right-handed hitting utility infielder who was hitting .299 at Triple-A. The Yankees designated for assignment infielder Dean Anna to make room for Wheeler on the 40-man roster.

•Strange Challenge: The Toronto Blue Jays used a replay challenge to have their own runner called out in order to score a run Thursday. Toronto loaded the bases with one out in the second inning against the Oakland Athletics. Anthony Gose hit a grounder to first baseman Nate Freiman. Freiman appeared to tag Munenori Kawasaki as he ran for second base, but umpire Vic Carapazza ruled Freiman missed the tag and Kawasaki was safe. Freiman threw to catcher Stephen Vogt, who stepped on home plate for a forceout with Edwin Encarnacion, the runner on third, approaching. Blue Jays manager John Gibbons argued that Kawasaki was out and that Encarnacion should be allowed to score because there would have been no force play at the plate. After a delay of 4 minutes, 27 seconds, the call was overturned and the Blue Jays were given a run. The A’s played the remainder of the game under protest, but that was moot because they won 4-1.

•A’S To Stay At Coliseum: The Oakland Athletics have finalized an agreement on a 10-year extension to play at the Coliseum through the 2024 season. The deal was approved by the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum Authority. The deal still needs to be formally approved by the Oakland City Council and Alameda County Board of Supervisors later this month. The deal settles all outstanding issues between the two sides, including a dispute of past rent owed by the A’s. The A’s will spend more than $10 million on a new scoreboard and the Coliseum Authority will pay for any structural improvements that will be in place by opening day 2015. The rundown Coliseum has had multiple sewage problems in the past year and an outage affecting the outfield lights on June 14.

•Cardinals Send Giants to 17th Loss in 22 Games: Jhonny Peralta hit a two-run homer, Carlos Martinez earned his second win as a starter, and the visiting St. Louis Cardinals beat the reeling San Francisco Giants, 7-2, on Thursday. Martinez also drove in a run for the Cardinals, who won their second straight after losing three in a row. Martinez allowed a run and five hits in five innings. He walked one and struck out six. Madison Bumgarner fell to 0-3 over his past four home starts, allowing five runs — four earned — and six hits over five innings. He walked three and struck out six. Bumgarner also drove in a run for the Giants, who have lost 17 of 22 and fallen out of first place in the National League West.

Betting Notes - Friday

National League
•Cubs-Nationals - 11:05 AM
--Hammel is 7-0 when starting against Washington with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.088.
His team's record is 8-1 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The Under is 5-4 (+0.5 units).

--Roark is 0-1 when starting against Chicago with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The Under is 0-1 (-1.1 units).

--Cubs are 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the Nationals this season.
3 of 4 games in this series have gone Over the total this season. (Over= +2.2 Units).

--Nationals are 5-2 (+1.3 Units) against the Cubs over the last 3 seasons.
5 of 7 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons. (Over= +3.1 Units).

--Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
--Cubs are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Washington.

•Phillies-Pirates - 5:05 PM
--Hernandez is 1-0 when starting against Pittsburgh with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The Under is 0-1 (-1.1 units).

--Cole is 0-1 when starting against Philadelphia with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.689.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The Under is 0-1 (-1.3 units).

--Pirates are 8-6 (+2.9 Units) against the Phillies over the last 3 seasons.
8 of 13 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons. (Over= +2.8 Units).

--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

•Giants-Padres - 6:40 PM
--Cain is 7-13 when starting against San Diego with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 12-21 (-13.1 units) in these starts. The Under is 14-17 (-5.4 units).

--Stults is 7-5 when starting against San Francisco with an ERA of 5.52 and a WHIP of 1.445.
His team's record is 10-7 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The Over is 10-6 (+3.4 units).

--Giants are 27-19 (+3.6 Units) against the Padres over the last 3 seasons.
26 of 45 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons. (Over= +6.2 Units).

--Padres are 5-4 (+2.4 Units) against the Giants this season.
6 of 8 games in this series have gone Under the total this season. (Under= +3.7 Units).

--Padres are 4-1 in Stults' last 5 home starts vs. Giants.
--Over is 21-8-1 in the last 30 meetings in San Diego.

•Brewers-Reds - 7:10 PM
--Lohse is 5-4 when starting against Cincinnati with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 8-8 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The Over is 6-9 (-3.6 units).

--Simon is 0-0 when starting against Milwaukee with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The Over is 0-1 (-1.1 units).

--Reds are 24-17 (+1.8 Units) against the Brewers over the last 3 seasons.
25 of 40 games in this series have gone Under the total over the last 3 seasons. (Under= +7.2 Units).

--Reds are 5-2 (+3.0 Units) against the Brewers this season.
4 of 7 games in this series have gone Over the total this season. (Over= +0.9 Units).

--Under is 5-0 in Lohses last 5 starts vs. Reds.
--Brewers are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Cincinnati.

•Marlins-Cardinals - 7:15 PM
--Eovaldi is 0-0 when starting against St. Louis with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The Over is 1-1 (-0.2 units).

--Lynn is 2-0 when starting against Miami with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The Over is 1-1 (-0.3 units).

--Cardinals are (+4.7 Units) against the Marlins over the last 3 seasons.
7 of 12 games in this series have gone Under the total over the last 3 seasons. (Under= +1.0 Units).

--Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in St. Louis.
--Marlins are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.

•Diamondbacks-Braves - 7:35 PM
--Collmenter is 1-2 when starting against Atlanta with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.873.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The Over is 1-2 (-1.3 units).

--Santana is 2-0 when starting against Arizona with an ERA of 0.82 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The Over is 1-2 (-1.1 units).

--Braves are 10-6 (+3.5 Units) against the Diamondbacks over the last 3 seasons.
8 of 14 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons. (Over= +1.4 Units).

--Diamondbacks are 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against the Braves this season.
2 of 3 games in this series have gone Under the total this season. (Under= +0.8 Units).

--Over is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta.
--Diamondbacks are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta.

•Dodgers-Rockies - 8:10 PM
--Kershaw is 12-5 when starting against Colorado with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 17-8 (+7.3 units) in these starts. The Over is 12-13 (-2.0 units).

--De La Rosa is 3-10 when starting against Los Angeles with an ERA of 6.17 and a WHIP of 1.617.
His team's record is 3-12 (-9.7 units) in these starts. The Under is 8-6 (+1.1 units).

--Rockies are 21-25 (+3.1 Units) against the Dodgers over the last 3 seasons
24 of 44 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons. (Over= +2.9 Units).

--Dodgers are 6-3 (+1.8 Units) against the Rockies this season.
4 of 7 games in this series have gone Under the total this season. (Under= +0.6 Units).

--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Colorado.
--Dodgers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Colorado.
--Dodgers are 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 road starts vs. Rockies.

American League
•Orioles-Red Sox - 1:35 PM
--Gonzalez is 3-0 when starting against Boston with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.179.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The Over is 0-2 (-2.3 units).

--Lester is 15-4 when starting against Baltimore with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 17-9 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The Over is 10-11 (-1.7 units).

--Orioles are 29-18 (+14.2 Units) against the Red Sox over the last 3 seasons.
27 of 45 games in this series have gone Under the total over the last 3 seasons. (Under= +6.4 Units).

--Orioles are 5-5 (+0.4 Units) against the Red Sox this season.
7 of 10 games in this series have gone Under the total this season. (Under= +3.7 Units).

--Red Sox are 0-4 in Lesters last 4 home starts vs. Orioles.
--Under is 4-1-1 in Lesters last 6 starts vs. Orioles.

•Yankees-Twins - 3:10 PM
--Whitley is 0-0 when starting against Minnesota with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The Under is 0-1 (-1.2 units).

--Gibson is 1-1 when starting against New York with an ERA of 8.71 and a WHIP of 2.033.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The Over is 2-0 (+2.0 units).

--Twins are 7-10 (+0.9 Units) against the Yankees over the last 3 seasons.
9 of 15 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons. (Over= +3.0 Units).

--Twins are 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against the Yankees this season.
2 of 3 games in this series have gone Under the total this season. (Under= +0.8 Units).

--Over is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.
--Yankees are 37-14 in the last 51 meetings in Minnesota.

•Blue Jays-Athletics - 4:05 PM
--Stroman has no recent starts against Oakland.

--Milone is 0-2 when starting against Toronto with an ERA of 7.62 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The Under is 0-2 (-2.2 units).

--Blue Jays are 10-9 (+2.1 Units) against the Athletics over the last 3 seasons.
9 of 17 games in this series have gone Under the total over the last 3 seasons. (Under= +0.0 Units).

--Blue Jays are 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against the Athletics this season.
3 of 3 games in this series have gone Under the total this season. (Under= +3.1 Units).

--Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
--Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Oakland.

•Rays-Tigers - 7:05 PM
--Cobb is 0-1 when starting against Detroit with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The Over is 0-3 (-3.3 units).

--Smyly is 1-0 when starting against Tampa Bay with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The Over is 0-1 (-1.1 units).

--Tigers are 8-5 (+1.5 Units) against the Rays over the last 3 seasons.
10 of 12 games in this series have gone Under the total over the last 3 seasons. (Under= +7.5 Units).

--Rays are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.
--Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Detroit.

•Royals-Indians - 7:05 PM
--Ventura is 1-0 when starting against Cleveland with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.026.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The Over is 0-1 (-1.3 units).

--Tomlin is 5-2 when starting against Kansas City with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.229.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The Over is 6-2 (+4.0 units).

--Royals are 22-21 (+0.4 Units) against the Indians over the last 3 seasons.
27 of 40 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons. (Over= +13.8 Units).

--Royals are 3-3 (+0.0 Units) against the Indians this season.
3 of 6 games in this series have gone Over the total this season. (Over= -0.2 Units, Under= -0.7 Units).

--Royals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Cleveland.
--Over is 4-1 in Tomlins last 5 home starts vs. Royals.
--Indians are 4-1 in Tomlins last 5 home starts vs. Royals.

•Mariners-White Sox - 7:10 PM
--Elias has no recent starts against Chicago.

--Sales is 2-0 when starting against Seattle with an ERA of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The Over is 1-1 (-0.1 units).

--White Sox are 11-4 (+6.9 Units) against the Mariners over the last 3 seasons.
8 of 13 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons. (Over= +2.9 Units).

--Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
--Mariners are 15-41 in the last 56 meetings in Chicago.

•Astros-Angels - 9:05 PM
--Keuchel is 3-1 when starting against Los Angeles with an ERA of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.483.
His team's record is 3-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The Over is 3-2 (+0.9 units).

--Wilson is 5-3 when starting against Houston with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.292.
His team's record is 7-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The Over is 6-3 (+2.8 units).

--Astros are 14-15 (+8.3 Units) against the Angels over the last 3 seasons.
15 of 27 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons. (Over= +2.3 Units).

--Angels are 6-4 (-0.1 Units) against the Astros this season.
6 of 10 games in this series have gone Over the total this season. (Over= +1.6 Units).

--Over is 4-1 in Wilsons last 5 starts vs. Astros.

Interleague
•Rangers-Mets - 7:10 PM
--Tepesch has no recent starts against New York.

--Niese is 1-0 when starting against Texas with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The Over is 1-0 (+1.0 units).

--Rangers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
The Chicago White Sox are 21-3 as a host versus Seattle. The teams split six meetings last season but Chicago is 27-7 against Seattle since 2010, including 16-3 at home. LH Chris Sale, who gave up a career-high 11 hits while earning a no-decision against Baltimore in his previous outing, is 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA in five games (three starts) against the Mariners.

Diamond Trends - Friday
•SEATTLE is 13-1 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games versus a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.
The average score was SEATTLE 5.4, OPPONENT 3.2.

•SAN DIEGO is 23-6 UNDER (+15.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 2.2, OPPONENT 3.7.

•KANSAS CITY is 23-6 (+16.7 Units) against the run line in road games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 4.8, OPPONENT 3.4.

•ALFREDO SIMON is 12-0 (+13.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season.
The average score was SIMON 4.2, OPPONENT 1.9.

•JON LESTER is 12-2 UNDER (+9.6 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LESTER 3.6, OPPONENT 2.7.

•ERVIN SANTANA is 0-12 (-12.2 Units) against the run line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SANTANA 3.3, OPPONENT 4.7.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL.
(82-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +50.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -187.1
The average score in these games was: Team 5.3, Opponent 2.8 (Average run differential = +2.5)

The situation's record this season is: (13-6, +1.3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (41-12, +18 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (154-58, +45.8 units).

•Play On - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (National League) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
(71-16 since 1997.) (81.6%, +44.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (41-46)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -164
The average score in these games was: Team 4.2, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +0.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 41 (47.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (12-3, +7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-9, +18.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (52-14, +29.1 units).

•Play Over - Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (MINNESOTA) - terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) - American League, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games.
(51-19 since 1997.) (72.9%, +30.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-108.4
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 5.5 (Total runs scored = 10.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 42 (60.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-3, -0.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-10, +6.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-13, +18.9 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PowerPlayWins

POD

Detroit Tigers -117 (Smyly)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Minnesota

The Yankees look to follow up last night's 7-4 win over the Twins and come into today's contest with a 5-1 record in Chase Whitley's last 6 road starts. New York is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 4 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Washington (11:05 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hammel) 13.874; Washington (Roark) 17.715 Dunkel Line: Washington by 4; 9 Vegas Line: Washington (-160); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-160); Over

Game 953-954: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (5:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.443; Pittsburgh (Cole) 14.619 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-180); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+160); Under

Game 955-956: San Francisco at San Diego (6:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 13.988; San Diego (Stults) 15.654 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Under

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 15.028; Cincinnati (Simon) 16.458 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Over

Game 959-960: Miami at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 13.487; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.765 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-150); Over

Game 961-962: Arizona at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 14.780; Atlanta (Santana) 13.864 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Under

Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.958; Colorado (Jurrjens) 14.665 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-170); 9 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-170); Over

Game 965-966: Baltimore at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.152; Boston (Lester) 14.221 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+145); Under

Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Minnesota (3:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Whitley) 15.740; Minnesota (Gibson) 13.097 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105); Under

Game 969-970: Toronto at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Stroman) 15.957; Oakland (Milone) 17.253 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-140); Over

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.638; Detroit (Smyly) 16.920 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Over

Game 973-974: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 17.071; Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.830 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-105); Under

Game 975-976: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 16.580; White Sox (Sale) 18.238 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-180); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-180); Over

Game 977-978: Houston at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 16.252; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.071 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 6 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-185); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+165); Under

Game 979-980: Texas at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 14.738; NY Mets (Niese) 13.256 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (+110); Under

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BigBaseballBets

July 4th Early 5* plays

Chc/Was Over 7 5*

Bal/Bos Under 8.5 5*

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Boston/Baltimore game PPD

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SPORTBOOK GURU FREE TRIAL

MLB

San Diego +110
Washington -1.5
Baltimore +160 & Baltimore +1.5
Colorado +160 & Colorado +1.5
Philadelphia +160 & Philadelphia +1.5

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INDIAN COWBOY (World Cup Soccer)

3-Unit play. Take Colombia "Pk" over Brazil

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River City Sharps

We think the linesmakers are trying to sucker everyone into an easy Detroit play, but we're going to look the other way (which often works well) and back Cobb (3-6, 4.20) and the Rays tonight in Detroit against Smyly (4-7, 3.57) and the Tigers. Cobb has pitched really well vs. the Tigers in posting an 0-1 mark with a 2.41 ERA. Smyly really was hit hard in his last start vs. the Astros. While the Tigers got game one of this series on Thursday, the rays are currently getting some things together and are 6-2 on their current road trip. One trend line to consider here...the Tigers are 2-9 in Smyly's last 11 starts vs. team with a losing record. We think a smaller position with the road dog is more than advisable here. The Sharps say...

2 UNITS - TAMPA BAY RAYS +105

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SHAKER’S SHORTS

#952 Cubs/Nats – UNDER 7 +100

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MLB

LAS VEGAS -- Happy Independence Day from all of us here at The Linemakers and thank you for visiting us on a day when so much is going on. Outside the 24-hour city of Las Vegas, most people have the day off and have stacked their itinerary around barbeques and gatherings with friends and family that usually end with some kind of fireworks celebration. And in many places around America, the best places to view those fireworks are at minor league and major league ballparks.

Baseball is about as American as anything we have to offer the world, so it's all too fitting that on the day we annually flaunt our patriotism with the most unity that we also get an intense schedule offering from baseball. There won't be a moment throughout the day's celebration that a game can't be on in the background, which also brings us to another great pastime -- gambling.

The games begin with Cubs-Nationals from our nation's capital at 11:05 a.m. ET and ending with the Astros-Angels from Anaheim at 9:05. In between, there are layers of start times that give bettors roughly four quarters of action throughout the day. That helps them structure their parlays and straight bets in a way that allows for a big day -- or else have a fall back plan if things start out slow. In that case, they still have a "get back" opportunity in the same manner like Monday Night Football acts for a week of games during football season.

To get the day of MLB wagering started, first identify a few of the possible sides that look attractive. Check out all the streaks going on in the game. There are currently seven teams that have winning streaks of three games or more (Orioles, Tigers, Mariners, Braves, Nationals, Cubs and Padres) and seven teams that have lost three or more (Red Sox, Rangers, Astros, Mets, Brewers, Reds, Rockies) heading into today's games.

The first game of the day has two of those streaking teams with Washington riding a five-game win streak against the Cubs, who have won three straight. The Nationals, behind Tanner Roark at -158, might be priced a little too high against Jason Hammel, who has allowed only two runs in each of his last two starts. It's either Cubs or no play, and stay away from the run-line on Washington if looking to get greedy with the favorite.

At Boston today -- one of the best places to celebrate the Fourth with the Freedom Trail, Paul Revere, Sam Adams and the Boston Pops -- the Red Sox are riding a three-game losing streak against the Orioles, who have won three straight. Jon Lester is a -155 favorite against Miguel Gonzalez. Lester started his career with a 14-0 record against Baltimore, but has gone 1-4 in his last nine starts against them, including a loss on March 31. Gonzalez, meanwhile, has won all three of his career starts against Boston. It's either Baltimore or a pass here.

In San Diego this afternoon, the Padres will try for a season-high fifth straight win, while the Giants are reeling in the midst of a 5-17 stretch. Matt Cain is a -115 favorite here and comes off his best outing of the season, but the Giants have still lost his last four starts. On the other side is Eric Stults, who has pitched well of late, but has lost his last six starts. Brandon Belt returns to the Giants lineup, but it's still not enough to pick the Giants. It's either the Padres or nothing, with maybe a look at UNDER 7 runs.

Cincinnati and Milwaukee have each lost three straight heading into tonight's big NL Central meeting, but Alfredo Simon at -118 is what makes the difference here. All the guy does is win and he's rewarded bettors more than any pitcher this season with +11.2 units of profit as the Reds have gone 13-3 behind him. Cincy has won six straight behind Simon and he allowed only one run in each of his last two. The play is on the Reds to keep it going behind Simon.

Ervin Santana had been struggling for Atlanta until his last outing broke a three-start losing streak. He's -145 tonight against the visiting Diamondbacks and Josh Collmentor, who has won his in last three appearances. Arizona ended a three-game losing streak last night at Pittsburgh, but have lost nine of their last 10 in Atlanta. The big key here -- beyond the starters -- is the Braves playing their best ball of the season as they're riding a seven-game win streak. Meanwhile, the Nationals have been matching them win-for-win the last six days. A case can be made for Arizona, but the Braves lineup has been producing too well to go against here.

Have a great holiday and may your day of wagering produce some explosive profits for your wallet.

Friday's picks:

Padres (Stults) +105 vs Giants

Reds (Simon) -118 vs Brewers

Orioles (Miguel Gonzalez) +145 at Red Sox

A's (Tommy Milone) -136 vs Blue Jays

Tigers (Drew Smyly) -120 vs Rays

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EZWINNERS

1* (951) Cubs +$135

1* (967) Yankees -$105

1* (975) Mariners +$145

1* (978) Astros +$157

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Harry Bondi

Free Play 7:00 p.m. ET

TAMPA BAY RAYS +120 over Detroit

Both of these teams have been red hot with Detroit having won 8 of their last 10 and the Rays winning 7 of their last 9. We think the difference tonight will be Tampa hurler Alex Cobb who has been inconsistent but has outstanding stuff. His biggest problem has been lack of run support but with the Rays finally finding their bats over the last two weeks and Cobb sporting a 2.41 career ERA vs Detroit, we expect the Rays to roll.

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Larry Ness 10* Total G.O.M: San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres over.