7-7-14

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Trend you need to know for White Sox/BoSox
Stephen Campbell

The Chicago White Sox have been struggling against teams with losing records on the road recently, posting a 0-7 record in their last seven games through Sunday. The Southsiders face off against the Boston Red Sox (owners of a sub .500 record) Monday at Fenway Park.

BetOnline.com currently has the Red Sox as -175 faves with a total of 10.

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Baseball Crusher
New York Mets +116 over Atlanta Braves
(System Record: 56-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 56-41

Rest of the Plays
Los Angeles Angels -165 over Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies -103 over Milwaukee Brewers
Houston Astros +102 over Texas Rangers

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Soccer Crusher
TPS + MyPa OVER 2
This match is happening in Finland
(System Record: 604-21, lost last game)
Overall Record: 604-497-86

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MLB

National League
Braves-Mets
Minor is 0-1, 7.52 in his last five starts.
Matsuzaka is 0-3, 6.06 in his last three starts.

Braves won nine of their last ten games.
Mets lost eight of their last eleven games.

Four of last five Minor starts went over total.

Cubs-Reds
Jackson is 1-3, 6.33 in his last five starts.
Leake is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.

Cubs are 0-2 since Samardzija trade, scoring one run; overall, they're 7-3 in last ten road games, but lost last two. .
Cincinnati won four of its last five home games.

Six of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under total.

Phillies-Brewers
Hamels is 0-2, 4.19 in his last three starts.
Estrada is 1-1, 2.92 in his last couple starts.

Philly lost ten of its last twelve games.
Milwaukee lost five of its last six games.

Seven of last eight Estrada starts went over total.

Pirates-Cardinals
Morton is 4-2, 3.55 in his last six starts.
Wainwright is 3-1, 0.93 in his last five starts.

Pirates won 12 of their last 15 games.
St Louis is 5-7 in its last twelve games.

Under is 6-2-1 in Cardinals' last nine home games.

Padres-Rockies
Kennedy is 1-3, 5.46 in his last five starts.
Colorado lost last four Matzek starts (0-2, 4.76).

Padres won five of last seven games, but lost last two.
Colorado lost 17 of its last 20 games.

Under is 12-5-1 in Kennedy starts this season.

Marlins-Diamondbacks
Koehler is 1-1, 1.89 in his last three starts.
Anderson is 0-4, 5.49 in his last four starts.

Miami is 12-7 in its last nineteen road games.
Diamondbacks lost five of their last seven games.

Eight of last ten Arizona games stayed under total.

American League
Bronx-Indians
Greene is making first MLB start; he is 5-2, 4.61 in 13 AAA starts this year. He allowed three unearned runs in 1/3 of an inning in his MLB debut.
Masterson is 0-1, 7.88 in his last four starts.

Bronx Bombers won four of their last five road games.
Indians won four of their last five games.

Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Cleveland games.

Royals-Rays
Former Ray Shields is 0-1, 6.63 in his last three starts.
Former Royal Odorizzi is 2-2, 2.05 in his last five starts.

Royals won 12 of their last 15 road games, but lost last two.
Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 12 games.

Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Tampa Bay games.

White Sox--Red Sox
Carroll is 0-5, 9.60 in his last six starts.
Buchholz is 1-0, 3.29 in two starts since coming off DL.

White Sox won three of their last four games.
Red Sox lost 11 of their last 16 games.

14 of last 18 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Astros-Rangers
Cosart is 4-1, 3.48 in his last five starts.
Mikolas allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in his first MLB start.

Houston lost 15 of its last 19 games.
Rangers lost seven of their last eight games.

Five of last six Cosart road starts stayed under.

Blue Jays-Angels
Happ is 1-0, 2.45 in his last couple starts.
Angels won last three Weaver starts (2-0, 3.05).

Blue Jays lost nine of their last ten road games.
Angels won 12 of their last 15 games.

Ten of last eleven Toronto games stayed under.

Twins-Mariners
Correia is 2-3, 2.70 in his last five starts.
Iwakuma is 1-1, 6.60 in his last three starts.

Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
Mariners won seven of their last nine games.

Last five Correia starts stayed under the total.

Interleague game
Orioles-Nationals
Tillman is 2-0, 2.18 in his last three starts.
Strasburg is 1-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.

Orioles won six of their last seven games.
Washington won seven of its last eight games.

Eight of last eleven Washington games went over.

Giants-A's
Vogelsong is 0-2, 2.07 in his last two starts; Giants scored one run for him.
Chavez is 2-1, 2.00 in his last four home starts.

Giants won four of their last five road games.
Oakland won nine of its last ten home games.

Over is 9-4-1 in Giants' last fourteen games.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Minor 3-12; Matsuzaka 2-7
-- Jackson 7-17; Leake 3-17
-- Hamels 2-14; Estrada 6-17 (3 of last 4)
-- Morton 3-17; Wainwright 3-17
-- Kennedy 5-18; Matzek 1-5
-- Koehler 2-17; Anderson 2-10


-- Greene 0-0; Masterson 4-18
-- Shields 5-18 (3 of last 4); Odorizzi 1-17
-- Carroll 3-7; Buchholz 4-12 (0 of last 5)
-- Cosart 8-17 (3 of last 4); Mikolas 0-1
-- Happ 2-12; Weaver 4-18
-- Correia 4-17; Iwakuma 3-12 (3 of last 5)

-- Tillman 8-18 (8 of last 13); Strasburg 5-18 (1 of last 10)
-- Vogelsong 3-17; Chavez 5-17

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Today's MLB Picks

San Francisco at Oakland

The A's open up their interleague series against a Giants team that is 2-9 in its last 11 games at Oakland. Oakland is the pick (-160) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-160). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

MONDAY, JULY 7 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 14.694; NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 15.595 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7; Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Under

Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 13.601; Cincinnati (Leake) 17.854 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4; 9 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-175); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-175); Over

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.378; Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.318 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 6 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); Under

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.184; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.556 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Over

Game 909-910: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 16.355; Colorado (Matzek) 14.632 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Under

Game 911-912: Miami at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 11.109; Arizona (Anderson) 15.189 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4; 10 Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 9 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Over

Game 913-914: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Greene) 16.864; Cleveland (Masterson) 15.464 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 915-916: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 15.864; Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 17.235 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Over

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Carroll) 14.108; Boston (Buchholz) 17.150 Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 11 Vegas Line: Boston (-175); 10 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Over

Game 919-920: Houston at Texas (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Cosart) 15.464; Texas (Mikolas) 14.314 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-105); Under

Game 921-922: Toronto at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 16.449; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.502 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+145); Under

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 13.682; Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.513 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3; 8 Vegas Line: Seattle (-195); 7 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-195); Over

Game 925-926: Baltimore at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 15.366; Washington (Strasburg) 14.342 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-175); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+155); Under

Game 927-928: San Francisco at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 12.717; Oakland (Chavez) 16.080 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 3 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 8 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-160); Over

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Braves sizzling hot as faves

Bettors backing the Atlanta Braves as faves have been cashing in a big way lately. In Atlanta's last 12 when listed as a fave, the Braves are a lights out 11-1 through Sunday.

Sportsbooks currently lists them as -126 road faves against the New York Mets Monday. The O/U is presently at 7.5.



Leake, Reds owning Cubs as of late

In Cincinnati Reds pitcher Mike Leake's previous six outings against the Chicago Cubs, the Reds are a spotless 6-0. Leake will take the mound when the Reds host the lowly Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park Monday.

Cincy is currently -172 faves with a total of eight.

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Two worst money pitchers in baseball traded
Stephen Campbell

To say Brandon McCarthy and Jeff Samardzija were in need of a change of scenery would be a massive understatement. Through Sunday, the two starters ranked as the worst money pitchers in the majors (Samardzija $-1204, McCarthy $-1115).

Samardzija is on the move from the Chicago Cubs to the AL-West leading Oakland Athletics, while McCarthy leaves the Arizona Diamondbacks to join the Bronx Bombers in New York. Considering their struggles this year bettors have good reason to be wary of the two pitchers, but the move to a new league combined with the opportunity to play in front of much better teams could make them an attractive play for the rest of the season.

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Yankees trade for RHP McCarthy; DFA Soriano
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

The New York Yankees acquired right-handed pitcher Brandon McCarthy and cash considerations from the Arizona Diamondbacks for left-hander Vidal Nuno on Sunday.

The Yankees also designated veteran outfielder Alfonso Soriano for assignment.

The Diamondbacks will pay half of the $4.1 million owed to McCarthy for the rest of the season and the Yankees will pay the $1 million in his assignment bonus, according to ESPN.

McCarthy is 3-10 with a 5.01 ERA in 18 starts this year.

The 30-year-old is 45-60 with a 4.21 ERA in 193 games (139 starts) over nine major league seasons with the Chicago White Sox (2005-06), Texas Rangers (2007-09), Oakland A's (2011-12) and Diamondbacks (2013-14).

McCarthy was struck in the head on a line drive hit by Erick Aybar of the Los Angeles Angels on Sept. 5, 2012 while pitching for the A's and needed emergency surgery to relieve pressure on his brain caused by internal bleeding. He had a seizure in June 2013 that doctors said was related to his head injury.

The Yankees made the move to acquire McCarthy after facing the reality that left-hander CC Sabathia may be done for the season with a right knee injury and right-hander Michael Pineda is at least a month away from returning to the majors. The bottom three starters -- David Phelps, Nuno and Chase Whitley -- have been inconsistent.

Nuno, 26, is 3-7 with a 4.78 ERA in 22 games (17 starts) over the last two seasons with the Yankees. He was signed as a minor league free agent in June 2011.

Soriano, 38, has a batting line of .221/.244/.367 with six home runs and 23 RBIs in 238 plate appearances this season. He has been in a platoon in the outfield with Ichiro Suzuki getting most of the starts in right.

The Yankees re-acquired Soriano from the Chicago Cubs in the second half of last season. He had a batting line of .256/.325/.525 with 17 home runs and 50 RBIs in 58 games with the Yankees after the trade. The Cubs are paying $13 million of his $18 million salary this year. The Yankees still owe him $5 million.

Soriano is in the final year of an eight-year, $138 million contract. He has said he may retire at the end of this season.

By clearing the roster spot, the club recalled right-hander Bruce Billings from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. Billings, 28, has a 5.31 ERA in 11 Triple-A starts this season. He will provide the Yankees with long-inning relief help.

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Monday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Orioles at Nationals – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Tillman (7-4, 4.21 ERA)
WSH: Strasburg (7-6, 3.53 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Orioles took two of three games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park, including a 12-inning victory on Sunday as +120 underdogs. The Nationals also won two of three contests, capturing the final two contests against the Cubs at home. In each win, Washington cashed as a favorite of least -175, while improving to 5-1 on its current homestand.

What to watch for: Baltimore won three of four matchups against Washington last season, while three of those games finished ‘over’ the total. The Nationals are 7-3-1 to the ‘over’ in the past 11 games, while posting a 5-1 record in the last six home interleague contests. The O’s have rolled on the road with Tillman starting, compiling an 8-2 team record in 10 starts away from Camden Yards.

Pirates at Cardinals – 8:15 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
PIT: Morton (5-9, 3.30 ERA)
STL: Wainwright (11-4, 1.89 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Cardinals stubbed their toe in the final two games against the Marlins, falling at home on Sunday as a short favorite, 8-4. The Pirates pulled ahead of the Redbirds for second place in the NL Central after sweeping the Phillies at home, as Pittsburgh has won 12 of its past 15 contests. In eight of the last 10 games, Pittsburgh’s pitching had held the opposition to two runs or fewer.

What to watch for: Pittsburgh has put together an 11-2 record in its past 13 series openers, while the Bucs have won seven of Morton’s 10 starts under the lights this season. Wainwright has beaten the Pirates four straight times at Busch Stadium, while the Cardinals have hit the ‘under’ in each of his past four starts overall.

Blue Jays at Angels – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
TOR: Happ (7-4, 4.38 ERA)
LAA: Weaver (9-6, 3.56 ERA)

Previous series recap: Toronto’s offense dried up in a four-game sweep at Oakland, plating only four runs in the four defeats. The Angels stayed on fire by winning their 10th consecutive home game on Sunday, topping the Astros, 6-1 to pull off a four-game sweep. How impressive have the Halos been at Angel Stadium recently? Los Angeles owns a 19-2 record at home since late May, while scoring at least five runs in eight consecutive home contests.

What to watch for: The Angels grabbed three of four games at Toronto in early May, while Los Angeles has won eight of the past 10 meetings. The Jays will be without Edwin Encarnacion, who was placed on the 15-day DL with a quad injury. Toronto is just 1-9 in its last 10 road games, with the lone victory coming at Cincinnati after the Jays fell behind, 8-0. The struggles of the Jays’ offense have translated into plenty of ‘unders’ of late, with the ‘under’ going 9-2 in the last 11 contests.

Giants at Athletics – 10:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
SF: Vogelsong (5-5, 3.86 ERA)
OAK: Chavez (6-5, 3.23 ERA)

Previous series recap: Oakland is cruising along with the best record in baseball (55-33) after sweeping Toronto this past weekend. The A’s improved to 9-1 in the last 10 home games, while the ‘under’ has hit eight times in this stretch. The Giants picked up their first series win in their last four tries, taking two of three games at San Diego. In spite of their recent struggles (6-15 last 21 games), San Francisco has won four of its last five away contests.

What to watch for: Since an 8-1 team record in his first nine starts, the A’s are just 4-4 in Chavez’s last eight trips to the mound. In Vogelsong’s seven road outings this season, the Giants have won six times, but San Francisco is 1-4 in his last five starts overall. Last season, the A’s won three of four meetings from the Giants, including a pair of blowout victories at home.

Twins at Mariners – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
MIN: Correia (4-10, 4.95 ERA)
SEA: Iwakuma (6-4, 3.33 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Mariners return home following a 4-2 road trip, but were tripped up by the White Sox on Sunday, 1-0. The Twins continue to struggle after dropping three of four at home to the Yankees, including a 9-7 defeat on Sunday in which Minnesota fell behind early, 9-0.

What to watch for: Minnesota has lost 10 of its past 11 games away from Target Field, while posting a 2-6 record in its past eight road series openers. The Twins did beat the Mariners two of three times at home back in May, with each victory coming by one run. Since losing five straight home games in mid-June, the M’s are rolling at Safeco Field with a 7-2 record in the last nine home contests. However, the Mariners are 1-5 in the past six home starts made by Iwakuma.

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MLB

'Home Cookin'

MLB Handicappers taking a look at Monday's matchup between Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays in Anaheim will discover a slew of positive betting numbers in favor of Angels. The Angels have enjoyed home cookin' lately winning 15 of their last 16 in Anaheim and 19 of the past 21 in front of the friendly crowd. Those digging deeper to get a better take on the situation will have also noted Halos have owned the series winning 3-of-4 this season, 9-of-11 the past two seasons and 5 of the past 6 running the bases in Angel Stadium. If that were not enough, Mike Scioscia sending right-hander Jered Weaver to the mound should have MLB bettors rushing to the window to make a play on LAA. The Halos are 11-3 as home favorites opening a series w/Weaver, Halos have a 9-2 stretch vs Toronto with the hurler. The clincher, Weaver and the month of July go together like baseball handicapping and baseball betting. The Angels have won 19 of Weaver's last 20 home games in the month of July.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at OAKLAND
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (OAKLAND) with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings
199-95 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.7% | 66.7 units )
30-21 this year. ( 58.8% | 1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TORONTO at LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 30-10 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was: LA ANGELS (5.4) , OPPONENT (3.5)

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Giants +140

Angels -1.5 +118

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play 14-2 run MON: Cinci w/ Leake -170

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Hondo

Hondo rebounded from Saturday’s Yankees debacle by scoring Sunday with Kluber and the Tribe, who breezed by the Royals to slash the accounts payable to 1,400 howsers.

Monday night: Mr. Aitch expects to keep the beat going with the one and only Jimmy Shields — 10 units on KC to slay the Rays