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MLBPredictions / Kevin
2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays – RAYS TO WIN (-140)
Listed Pitchers: Buehrle vs Archer
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.43 units)
Toronto has lost 6 of their last 7 games, and the news gets worse for them as another regular, Adam Lind, is out with a foot fracture. The team that had one of the deepest hitting lineups in the league are now missing three of their key peices – Encarnacion, Lawrie and Lind, and are putting out a below average lineup. The Rays on the other hand have been playing well winning 4 of their last 6 games and 9 of their last 12. The Blue Jays will send lefty Mark Buehrle to the mound who is 10-6 with a 2.60 ERA, .260 OBA and 1.24 WHIP. He’s been pretty consistent all season long, but his ERA has been rising slightly each month. Tampa Bay will counter with Chris Archer who is 5-5 witha 3.16 ERA, .243 OBA and 1.29 WHIP. At home Archer is 3-2 with a low 2.59 ERA, .232 OBA and 1.17 WHIP. After a slow start to the season Archer has been great lately, posting a 1.95 ERA in 6 June starts (and allowing just 2 earned runs over 8.1 innings in his lone July start). Over 5 career starts vs Toronto he has a 2.22 ERA, .226 OBA and 1.16 WHIP. Take note that the Blue Jays are just 1-8 in their last 9 road games, and 1-5 in Buehrle’s last 6 starts. The Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 divisional games, 8-3 in their last 11 vs a team with a winning record, 9-4 in Archer’s last 13 home starts, and 6-2 in his last 8 starts at home vs a team with a winning record. Also take note that the Rays have owned Toronto in Tampa Bay winning 45 of thier last 61 meetings at home vs the Blue Jays. Lay a bit of chalk here on the Rays, as I would of expected this line up closer to -165.
Kyle’s Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners – UNDER 6 RUNS (+104)
Listed Pitchers: Samardzija vs. Hernandez
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.08 units)
We’ll take the Royals win the other night, as the Rays blew a save to open the door for them to come in and steal one. Those ones sure feel good when you’re on the winning side.
Jeff Samardzija finally got his wish by getting traded to a legitimate team. It took him awhile to get his first win with the Cubs even though he had a top notch ERA, but the wins should come a little easier on the Athletics. This may not be that game, as King Felix will present a formidable challenge for the A’s. Both pitchers are absolutely locked in, and are two of the hottest you’ll find at the moment outside of Kershaw. I like this game to be similar to the game Kershaw pitched last night actually, a 2-1 final for the Dodgers. Samardzija was great in his debut with the Athletics, finishing the contest allowing only 1 run and 4 hits. He has a 2.74 ERA, but I feel like it could have been even better in Chicago. His motivation was waning and he certainly didn’t want to be a Cub, so I think his numbers will be even better as a member of the Athletics. Not to mention he’ll be pitching in a rather friendly park for pitchers. This game isn`t in Oakland, but Safeco is kind to pitchers as well. Samardzija has a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts, but note in two of them he gave up just 1, 5 was given up against the Nationals. Hernandez has been red hot, with no bad starts since May 12th where he gave up 4 runs. That was eleven starts ago. Since that time he hasn’t given up more than 2 runs a game. He’s been magnificent, carrying a 1.57 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, and .169 OBP his last three. Classic pitching duel is what I foresee in this matchup.
2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays – RAYS TO WIN (-140)
Listed Pitchers: Buehrle vs Archer
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.43 units)
Toronto has lost 6 of their last 7 games, and the news gets worse for them as another regular, Adam Lind, is out with a foot fracture. The team that had one of the deepest hitting lineups in the league are now missing three of their key peices – Encarnacion, Lawrie and Lind, and are putting out a below average lineup. The Rays on the other hand have been playing well winning 4 of their last 6 games and 9 of their last 12. The Blue Jays will send lefty Mark Buehrle to the mound who is 10-6 with a 2.60 ERA, .260 OBA and 1.24 WHIP. He’s been pretty consistent all season long, but his ERA has been rising slightly each month. Tampa Bay will counter with Chris Archer who is 5-5 witha 3.16 ERA, .243 OBA and 1.29 WHIP. At home Archer is 3-2 with a low 2.59 ERA, .232 OBA and 1.17 WHIP. After a slow start to the season Archer has been great lately, posting a 1.95 ERA in 6 June starts (and allowing just 2 earned runs over 8.1 innings in his lone July start). Over 5 career starts vs Toronto he has a 2.22 ERA, .226 OBA and 1.16 WHIP. Take note that the Blue Jays are just 1-8 in their last 9 road games, and 1-5 in Buehrle’s last 6 starts. The Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 divisional games, 8-3 in their last 11 vs a team with a winning record, 9-4 in Archer’s last 13 home starts, and 6-2 in his last 8 starts at home vs a team with a winning record. Also take note that the Rays have owned Toronto in Tampa Bay winning 45 of thier last 61 meetings at home vs the Blue Jays. Lay a bit of chalk here on the Rays, as I would of expected this line up closer to -165.
Kyle’s Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners – UNDER 6 RUNS (+104)
Listed Pitchers: Samardzija vs. Hernandez
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.08 units)
We’ll take the Royals win the other night, as the Rays blew a save to open the door for them to come in and steal one. Those ones sure feel good when you’re on the winning side.
Jeff Samardzija finally got his wish by getting traded to a legitimate team. It took him awhile to get his first win with the Cubs even though he had a top notch ERA, but the wins should come a little easier on the Athletics. This may not be that game, as King Felix will present a formidable challenge for the A’s. Both pitchers are absolutely locked in, and are two of the hottest you’ll find at the moment outside of Kershaw. I like this game to be similar to the game Kershaw pitched last night actually, a 2-1 final for the Dodgers. Samardzija was great in his debut with the Athletics, finishing the contest allowing only 1 run and 4 hits. He has a 2.74 ERA, but I feel like it could have been even better in Chicago. His motivation was waning and he certainly didn’t want to be a Cub, so I think his numbers will be even better as a member of the Athletics. Not to mention he’ll be pitching in a rather friendly park for pitchers. This game isn`t in Oakland, but Safeco is kind to pitchers as well. Samardzija has a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts, but note in two of them he gave up just 1, 5 was given up against the Nationals. Hernandez has been red hot, with no bad starts since May 12th where he gave up 4 runs. That was eleven starts ago. Since that time he hasn’t given up more than 2 runs a game. He’s been magnificent, carrying a 1.57 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, and .169 OBP his last three. Classic pitching duel is what I foresee in this matchup.
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