7-17-14

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Thursday CFL

Edmonton Eskimos +3

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | CHICAGO at INDIANA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )

WNBA | SAN ANTONIO at TULSA
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (TULSA) after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season
25-10 since 1997. ( 71.4% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | CONNECTICUT at PHOENIX
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=76 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games
62-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.9% | 31.2 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

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Soccer Crusher
Corinthians + Internacional OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 609-21, won last game)
Overall Record: 609-501-87

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WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

Connecticut Sun@Phoenix Mercury - CONNECTICUT SUN +11.5

no doubt the Phoenix Mercury are the hottest team right now in the WNBA, but Connecticut is much underrated here, they crushed Seattle in their last road game with Alex Bentley making her best game of the season


of course the Phoenix Mercury dominated the Washington Mystics too and and won easy by 12, but the Mystics were without the veteran All Star guard Kara Lawson who did not dressed because of a back injury,in the second half Phoenix played sloppy and just brought the game which was in the bag at halftime home, i never was a fan of these big spreads in WNBA, and Connecticut is a talented young team with the rookie of teh year Chiney Ogwumike and lead by veteran Katie Douglas who is playing a great season free of injurys so far, I cant imagine that the Mercury blow out the sun today, they looked already a little bit tired against Chicago last week

CONNECTICUT SUN +11.5

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SPORTSWAGERS

CFL

Edmonton +2½ over WINNIPEG

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)

The Montreal Alouettes have had a tough time moving five yards but what they did to Winnipeg last week should not be ignored as a poor outing for the Bombers. It emphasized Winnpeg's big time flaws that were already exposed. The Als scored 33 points and racked up 411 yards of total offense. They outgained Winnipeg in net yards by 105. It took Winnipeg two defensive TD’s, not to mention a third and goal from the 15-yard line late in the fourth, and a couple of fortuitous bounces to escape with a one point win in Montreal. The Bombers also fell behind 14-points to the Redblacks the previous week before another late rally. Winnipeg deserves credit for finding ways to win but you can’t keep giving up massive yards every week and expect to win. Not only is Winnipeg giving up big yards in the air, they are also getting torched on the ground. The Bombers defense is getting shredded and things get a lot tougher here against Edmonton. Additionally, Winnipeg QB Drew Willy is not getting protection. He’s had his clock rung many times already and he’s getting up slower with each hit. Willy is taking some serious punishment back there and at some point it’s going to take a physical toll. You might see Willy getting rid of the ball sooner than he wants to in an attempt to avoid those bruising hits. Finally, Winnipeg has scored 45, 36 and 34 points respectively in its three games so far. However, the first two games were against the league’s weakest defenses in Toronto and Ottawa. Last week against Montreal, Winnipeg’s offense scored 20 points with the defense accounting for 14. Indeed the Bombers are 3-0 but their bubble is on the verge of bursting.


Edmonton’s résumé isn’t better in terms of strength of competition, as they defeated a lethargic B.C team in Week 1, a horrible Hamilton team in Week 2 and a lifeless Ottawa team in Week 3. However, the Eskies play outstanding defense and in fact, has only allowed a total of 55 points against in three weeks. Edmonton’s front four leads the CFL in sacks and hurries and should absolutely overpower a Winnipeg pass protection that’s already caused Willy to be sacked 10 times. Offensively, Edmonton has scored 27, 28 and 27 points respectively and while that’s not going to get a win every week, it’s more than adequate and they figure to get even better. Quarterback Mike Reilly has completed 67.6 % of his passes for 738 yards with seven touchdowns against just two interceptions, leading to an impressive 100.8 passer rating. Edmonton has the better personnel. They are vastly superior on both lines and defensively it’s not even close. Offensively, we’re also suggesting that the Eskimos can match anything the Bombers can do but the difference is Mike Reilly is getting protection while Drew Willy is not. This league is not like the NFL and college where single points do not occur and two-point safeties are rare. They are common in this league and that makes these 2½-points worth taking as oppose to playing Edmonton on the money line. We’re calling the upset but will take the points.

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Dave Aquino

Today's Selections

WNBA

Over 154 Washington Mystics/Los Angeles Sparks

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Vegas Sports Informer

WNBA

6-Unit Game of the Month

Over 159.5 Connecticut Sun/Phoenix Mercury