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CFL
Winnipeg @ B.C. LIONS
Winnipeg +8 -110 over B.C. LIONS
(Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)
Depending on where you shop, there are several different lines for this game. SportsInteraction has B.C. -9 +100, Pinnacle has them -8½ +102, Betfair has them -7½ -125 and bet365 has them posted at -8 -110. When the sportsbooks aren’t all on the same page, it’s usually a good sign for the dog and in this case we’ll play Winnipeg at bet365 taking back 8 points. You might want to wait until game time because eight will be available all day until game time and if you wait, you may get a better price.
This number is actually a gross overreaction to last week in which B.C. woke up and throttled Montreal 41-5 while the Bombers were whacked at home, 26-3 by Edmonton. Had this game been scheduled last week instead of this week, the Lions would’ve likely been about a 4½-point favorite and we say that with conviction because B.C. opened as a 6½-point favorite in that game against a Montreal team that can’t move five yards. Surely the Bombers are superior to the Als, thus, if B.C. opened as a 6½-point favorite over Montreal, how can they open as an 8-point choice over the Bombers. We repeat, this number is an overreaction/under-reaction to last week’s results, which sets up this “buy-low, sell-high” opportunity. We could break down the numbers to support the Bombers as well.
Drew Willy has thrown for almost 200 more yards than Kevin Glenn and Willy’s passer rating is a significant 12 points higher. Glenn has also thrown six picks, which is double the total of Willy. Take away last week’s game against Montreal in which the Lions outgained the Als by almost 400 yards (373) and B.C. would rank in the bottom three in every single key offensive category. The Bombers have just one loss, it was an ugly one but they had been scoring an average of 36 points per game prior. No question the Lions are gaining steam and their defense is much better than the Bombers but we can’t endorse an inflated favorite. Furthermore, teams’ often bounce back from a lame performance and that applies here for the Bombers. Reports are that the Winnipeg had an outstanding week of practice and they’re mentally ready for this one. Winnipeg has also had two extra days to prepare. Lastly, every player in this day and age is very aware of the point-spread. One Winnipeg player even tweeted out that he was rather shocked at the disrespect. That’s another motivating factor for the Blue Bombers. An Inflated number with two extra days to prepare with the superior QB prompts us to take the points.
CFL
Winnipeg @ B.C. LIONS
Winnipeg +8 -110 over B.C. LIONS
(Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)
Depending on where you shop, there are several different lines for this game. SportsInteraction has B.C. -9 +100, Pinnacle has them -8½ +102, Betfair has them -7½ -125 and bet365 has them posted at -8 -110. When the sportsbooks aren’t all on the same page, it’s usually a good sign for the dog and in this case we’ll play Winnipeg at bet365 taking back 8 points. You might want to wait until game time because eight will be available all day until game time and if you wait, you may get a better price.
This number is actually a gross overreaction to last week in which B.C. woke up and throttled Montreal 41-5 while the Bombers were whacked at home, 26-3 by Edmonton. Had this game been scheduled last week instead of this week, the Lions would’ve likely been about a 4½-point favorite and we say that with conviction because B.C. opened as a 6½-point favorite in that game against a Montreal team that can’t move five yards. Surely the Bombers are superior to the Als, thus, if B.C. opened as a 6½-point favorite over Montreal, how can they open as an 8-point choice over the Bombers. We repeat, this number is an overreaction/under-reaction to last week’s results, which sets up this “buy-low, sell-high” opportunity. We could break down the numbers to support the Bombers as well.
Drew Willy has thrown for almost 200 more yards than Kevin Glenn and Willy’s passer rating is a significant 12 points higher. Glenn has also thrown six picks, which is double the total of Willy. Take away last week’s game against Montreal in which the Lions outgained the Als by almost 400 yards (373) and B.C. would rank in the bottom three in every single key offensive category. The Bombers have just one loss, it was an ugly one but they had been scoring an average of 36 points per game prior. No question the Lions are gaining steam and their defense is much better than the Bombers but we can’t endorse an inflated favorite. Furthermore, teams’ often bounce back from a lame performance and that applies here for the Bombers. Reports are that the Winnipeg had an outstanding week of practice and they’re mentally ready for this one. Winnipeg has also had two extra days to prepare. Lastly, every player in this day and age is very aware of the point-spread. One Winnipeg player even tweeted out that he was rather shocked at the disrespect. That’s another motivating factor for the Blue Bombers. An Inflated number with two extra days to prepare with the superior QB prompts us to take the points.
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