7-27-14

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

This ump is trending Over in the Bronx
Stephen Campbell

When umpire Joe West is behind the dish for games at Yankee Stadium, high totals tend to follow. In West's last 17 games in the Bronx, the Over is 14-3. He'll be calling balls and strikes for Sunday's matchup between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays.

BetOnline.com currently lists the Yanks as -133 faves with a total of nine.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Over the story when Porcello faces Angels
Stephen Campbell

In recent games when Detroit Tigers pitcher Rick Porcello has faced the Los Angeles Angels, the Over is 8-2. The 25-year-old takes the mound for the Tigers when they visit the Halos Sunday.

BetOnline.com presently has the Angels as -117 favorites with a total of 8.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

These two clubs love low totals
Stephen Campbell

The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets keep playing low-scoring ball games, and Under bettors keep making money in the process. In the last 10 meetings between the two clubs, the Under is 8-2 through Saturday. They'll face off again at Miller Park Sunday.

Per BetOnline.com, the Brew Crew are presently -131 faves on the moneyline with a total of 8.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

White Sox cashing in for Under bettors
Stephen Campbell

Eight out of the Chicago White Sox's last 10 games have gone under the total as of Saturday, which means smart bettors need to take note of this trend ahead of their meeting with the Minnesota Twins at Target Field Sunday afternoon.

BetOnline.com currently has the Twinkies as -123 faves with a total of nine.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

This umpire trend favors the Cubs at home
Stephen Campbell

The Chicago Cubs love seeing umpire Mike Winters behind the plate at home. In Winters' last nine games at Wrigley Field, the Cubbies are 8-1. He'll be calling balls and strikes when Chicago hosts the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday afternoon.

Per BetOnline.com, the Cards are currently -155 faves on the moneyline. A total for the game was not yet posted at the time of publication.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Over red-hot when Phils face LHP
Stephen Campbell

The Over has been the hot bet when the Philadelphia Phillies have faced left-handed pitching as of late. In Philly's last six games versus southpaws through Saturday, the Over is 5-1. Philadelphia faces lefty Vidal Nuno and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park Sunday.

The Phils are presently -116 faves on the moneyline with a total of 8.5, per BetOnline.com.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Reds struggling against RHP, face Fister Sunday
Stephen Campbell

It's been a tough go for the Cincinnati Reds recently, especially when facing right-handers. In their last nine games versus righties through Saturday, the Reds are an awful 0-9. That's bad news for the Reds and their backers as the right-handed Doug Fister will take the mound for the Washington Nationals for their matchup at Great American Ballpark Sunday.

According to BetOnline.com, the Nats are currently -113 faves on the moneyline with an O/U of seven.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn


Mighty missed with the Yankees on Saturday and likes the Yankees on Sunday.


The deficit is 318 sirignanos.

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Dodgers, Giants clash again Sunday night
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox


LOS ANGELES DODGERS (56-47) at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (57-45)


First pitch: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: San Francisco -110, Los Angeles +100. Total 7

The Dodgers and Giants continue their battle for the NL West on Sunday night.

Los Angeles is in the midst of a nine-game road trip in which it is playing three teams with winnings records. Over the first two series, the club was a poor 2-4, as they dropped to 1.5 games behind the Giants in the division. In the Dodgers' most recent set against the Pirates, they won the first contest, but were dominated over the final two games, as they were outscored 18-8. 1B Adrian Gonzalez has not been the problem during this recent poor stretch though, going 8-for-22 (.364) with two doubles, a home run and 5 RBI. San Francisco has not wanted to relinquish its hold on first place in the division and has been victorious in five of seven games coming into this series. The Giants nearly finished up a four-game sweep in Philadelphia earlier in this week, but were unable to get any offense going on Thursday night as they lost 2-1 while going just 1-for-4 with runners in scoring position. C Buster Posey (.284 BA) has been on fire since the All-Star Game, going 11-for-28 (.393) with three doubles, a home run and 7 RBI. The pitching matchup for this contest will pit LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu (11-5, 3.39 ERA) of the Dodgers against Giants RHP Yusmeiro Petit (3-3, 4.24). Before Friday, Los Angeles had been one of the best road teams in the league, putting together a record of 31-23 while San Francisco is 28-25 in its games by the bay. Coming into this series, the Giants held a solid 28-19 edge over the Dodgers in this matchup over the past three seasons, going 13-8 in home games and 7-3 this year.

Hyun-Jin Ryu has been a tremendous addition to the Dodgers staff since entering the majors last season and has compiled a 25-13 record with a 3.14 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his first 49 starts. While his ERA has improved this year by nearly a half a run, some of his other numbers have declined, as he has walked 2.3 batters this year compared to just 1.8 last season. He has also had a lot of trouble against lefties on the year, allowing them to hit .280 against him over 111 batters faced. With that said, Ryu has been an extremely reliable starter and has pitched at least six innings while allowing three or fewer runs in 15 of his 19 starts. If you take away his start earlier in the month against the Tigers (2.1 IP, 10 H, 7 ER), Ryu is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 23:1 K/BB ratio in his three other July outings. He’s already faced the Giants seven times in his young MLB career, putting together a 3-3 record with a 3.24 ERA (1.44 WHIP) and has struck out just 5.0 batters per nine innings with one home run allowed in 41.2 frames. OF Hunter Pence (8-for-18, 2 doubles, 5 RBI) and 2B Marco Scutaro (5-for-12) have had no issues seeing the ball out of Ryu’s hand while SS Brandon Crawford is hitless with two strikeouts in 10 at-bats against the lefty. Coming into this series, the Dodgers’ bullpen has gone 8-17 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.34 WHIP while successfully saving 32-of-38 (84%) games. Kenley Jansen (3.32 ERA, 29 saves) has been absolutely amazing in his past 11 games, allowing a meager five hits with no runs while striking out 14 batters in 11 inning. For the season, the closer has struck out 13.9 batters per nine innings.

Yusmerio Petit has jumped between the bullpen and the rotation plenty this year with this being his 28th appearance (six starts). He has been much better out of the bullpen though, pitching to a 2.45 ERA in the relief role and a bloated 6.32 ERA over his games that he has started. Also, despite actually pitching 5.1 innings more out of the ‘pen, he has given up just one homer compared to six in 31.1 innings of work when starting. In his last outing, Petit was roughed up by the Phillies as he gave up five runs on seven hits and two walks with five strikeouts over five innings while earning a no-decision. He has thrown 11 times (4 starts) against the Dodgers over his career, going 1-3 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.21 WHIP while giving up eight home runs in only 29.2 frames. Amazingly, the players that are currently on the Dodgers’ roster have gone a woeful 9-for-49 (.184) with 10 strikeouts as a group against Petit, but four of those nine hits have left the yard. Entering Friday, the Giants’ relievers had combined to go 20-9 with a solid 2.72 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, while converting 32-of-45 (71%) save opportunities. Closer Santiago Casilla (1.16 ERA, 7 saves) has already blown three saves this year while getting lucky with batters hitting .208 BABIP.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatSystemsSports
Rounding The Bases - Sunday

#925 OAKLAND @ #926 TEXAS
TV: 7:05 PM EST, FSN Southwest
Line: Athletics -185, Total: 9, -105

The Texas Rangers haven’t won a series since late June and have a chance to end that dubious fact when they host the Oakland Athletics on Sunday in the finale of a three-game set. Texas has lost 28 of its past 34 games after falling to the Athletics on Saturday and last won a series when it took two of three from the Minnesota Twins from June 27-29. Oakland bounced back from Friday’s series-opening loss by pounding four homers in Saturday’s 5-1 win.

John Jaso hit a two-run homer in the sixth to get the Athletics’ power display going and Yoenis Cespedes, Josh Donaldson and Josh Reddick added solo shots as Oakland improved the best record in the majors to 64-39. "Home runs are part of our game,” manager Bob Melvin told reporters afterward, “so you just have to stay with it at times when you go into some droughts a few innings in a row and know that one swing can get you going.” The struggling Rangers possess the worst record (41-63) in the big leagues and also own the worst home mark at 19-31.

PITCHING MATCHUP
•Athletics LH Scott Kazmir (11-3, 2.32 ERA, WHIP: 0.989) - Kazmir is 2-0 over his last four starts, allowing just three earned runs and 17 hits in 26 1/3 innings during the stretch. He wasn’t involved in the decision against Houston in his last turn despite giving up only one earned run and seven hits in seven innings. Kazmir is 7-4 with a 3.22 ERA in 15 career starts against Texas, including a victory April 29 when he allowed three runs and seven hits in five innings.

•Rangers RH Miles Mikolas (1-2, 7.48 ERA, WHIP: 1.524) - Mikolas turned in the best start of his major-league career when he defeated the New York Yankees on Monday. He allowed two runs and four hits while pitching a career-long 7 1/3 innings. Mikolas has been roughed up in both his home starts, giving up 13 earned runs and 21 hits over nine innings.

•PREGAME NOTES: Oakland will likely activate INF Alberto Callaspo (hamstring) prior to Sunday’s game.... Texas SS Elvis Andrus is 8-for-23 against Kazmir, while 3B Adrian Beltre has struck out 11 times while going 6-for-29 with a homer.... Jaso left Saturday’s game with soreness in his left knee but is expected to be available for the finale.

•KEY STATS
--TEXAS is 8-28 (-22.0 Units) against the money line versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.6, OPPONENT 5.4.

--TEXAS is 16-39 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 3.3, OPPONENT 4.3.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: OAKLAND is 26-22 (+7.1 Units) against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons. 25 of 45 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons (Under= +1.7 Units).

--Games This Season: TEXAS is 5-5 (+1.9 Units) against OAKLAND this season. 6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season (Over= +1.5 Units).

--All Games at TEXAS Over The Last 3 Seasons: OAKLAND is 13-11 (+6.0 Units) against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons. 12 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons (Under= +1.8 Units).

--Athletics are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Texas.

•RECENT TRENDS
--OAK is 42-15 in their last 57 Sunday games.
--OAK is 42-16 in their last 58 games as a favorite.
--OAK is 5-1 L6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

--TEX is 0-7 in their last 7 Sunday games.
--TEX is 0-12 L12 games during game 3 of a series.
--TEX is 0-7 L7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

•UMPIRE TRENDS - Jim Wolf
--Road team is 6-1 in Wolfs last 7 games behind home plate vs. Texas.
--Over is 5-1-1 in Wolfs last 7 games behind home plate vs. Texas.
--Home team is 4-1 in Wolfs last 5 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
--Under is 4-1-1 in Wolfs last 6 games behind home plate vs. Oakland.

--Athletics are 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games with Wolf behind home plate.
--Home team is 19-9 in Wolfs last 28 games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
--Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Wolf behind home plate.
--Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Wolf behind home plate.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Home teams (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start.
(37-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.2%, +29.1 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +100.4
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 3.2 (Average run differential = +2.3)

The situation's record this season is: (6-0, +6.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-4, +21.1 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (104-76, -1.6 units).

**StatSystemsSports Prediction: Athletics 5, Rangers 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SUNDAY, JULY 27th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Sunday, 7/27/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
•Nats Asked After Beltre With Zimmerman Absent: With Ryan Zimmerman out with a hamstring injury, two baseball sources revealed on Friday that the Nationals inquired about Rangers third baseman Adrian Beltre, but the "Nationals were rebuffed" one of the sources said. Beltre, 35, is considered a solid defensive player and would have provided power missing during Zimmerman's absence. Entering Saturday's action, Beltre is hitting .325 with 14 home runs and 54 RBIs for Texas. If the Nationals were able to acquire Beltre, Anthony Rendon would be the everyday second baseman and Danny Espinosa would be back on the bench. Currently, Rendon is the regular third baseman, while there could be a platoon at second between Espinosa and Zach Walters.

Asked Friday afternoon if the Nationals were looking for a third baseman before the non-waiver Trade Deadline, general manager Mike Rizzo said, "We have a great third baseman. His name is Anthony Rendon. We have another Gold Glove-caliber guy. His name is Ryan Zimmerman, who is going to be back soon. We feel pretty confident, especially at that position. We like our depth, and we like the way our roster has been constructed. We like the guys that will have to step up and play to their potential. I think we have the man power to do it." Rendon affirmed Rizzo's faith by making a pair of spectacular plays at the hot corner during the Nationals' 4-1 win over the Reds on Friday.

•Hall Of Famers Set For Induction: Central New York looks more like the South this weekend. Seemingly every other person walking the tree-lined streets of the quaint village of Cooperstown are wearing Atlanta Braves caps, jerseys and T-shirts. Motor coaches from Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina are everywhere. The National Baseball Hall of Fame will induct six former players and managers Sunday in the field behind the Clark Athletic Center on the outskirts of town and a crowd of 60,000 or more is expected. All but one has ties to the Braves and one who does not was born and raised in Georgia and rooted for Atlanta.

Manager Bobby Cox led the Braves to an unprecedented run of success with 14 consecutive division titles from 1991-2005 (the 1994 postseason was cancelled because of a players' strike). Left-hander Tom Glavine and right-hander Greg Maddux played a major part in the Braves' success during that period. Furthermore, Joe Torre was a star player then later managed the Braves, Tony La Russa spent one season as a utility infielder in Atlanta and slugging designated hitter/first baseman Frank Thomas is a native of Columbus, Ga.

Cox managed in the major leagues for 29 seasons with the Braves and Toronto Blue Jays and his 2,504 victories are the fourth-highest total in major league history. He led Atlanta to five National League pennants and the city's only major professional sports championship when the Braves won the 1995 World Series. Glavine won 305 games over 22 seasons with the Braves and New York Mets, the fourth-highest total ever by a lefty. He won the NL Cy Young Award in 1991 and 1998. Maddux finished with 355 wins in 23 seasons with the Cubs, Braves, San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers and won four consecutive NL Cy Youngs from 2002-05. He is the eighth-winningest picture in major league history.

Thomas made a lot of memories for his fans by hitting 521 home runs in 19 seasons with the Chicago White Sox, Oakland Athletics and Blue Jays and won back-to-back AL Most Valuable Player awards in 1993-94. He is the first player to play more than half his games at DH and make the Hall of Fame. While his boyhood dream of playing for the Braves was never fulfilled, being elected to the Hall of Fame is a nice consolation prize. Thomas will be remembered as the greatest hitter in the history of the White Sox, the team that gave La Russa his first major league manager's job. La Russa also managed the Athletics and St. Louis Cardinals and won 2,728 games in 33 seasons to rank third on the all-time list while winning six pennants and three World Series.

The White Sox hired La Russa when he was 34 years old and managing their Triple-A Iowa farm club. La Russa thought general manager Roland Hemond was calling to tell him catcher Mike Colbern was being called up to the major leagues. Instead, it was La Russa who got the call after Chicago manager Don Kessinger had resigned. While Torre is remembered by younger fans for managing the New York Yankees, he was an outstanding player as a catcher and third baseman. He played for 18 seasons, participated in nine All-Star Games and was the NL MVP in 1971 while with the Cardinals. Torre also won six pennants and four World Series during 12 years as the Yankees' manager. He managed 29 seasons, in all, as he also had stints with New York Mets, Braves and Dodgers, finishing with 2,326 wins --- fifth on the all-time list.

•Jimenez Scheduled To Begin Minor League Rehabilitation Assignment Next Week: Orioles right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez threw a two-inning, simulated game before Friday’s game against the Seattle Mariners and is scheduled to begin a minor league rehabilitation assignment next week. Since Jimenez last pitched July 5 in Boston, lasting only 3 1/3 innings, manager Buck Showalter said he likely will need at least two rehab starts before he can come off the disabled list. If healthy, Jimenez is scheduled to make a rehab start Tuesday for short-season Single-A Aberdeen. He’ll also likely make a second rehab start with a higher-level minor league affiliate.

Jimenez threw 44 pitches in Friday’s simulated game, with roughly 20 in each inning. He simulated game-like conditions by coming back to the dugout and resting for five to 10 minutes between innings as he pitched to outfielder David Lough and coach Einar Diaz. “I was able to throw all of my pitches, most of them for strikes,” Jimenez said. “I felt good out there.... Definitely facing hitters for the first time in a long time feels good. I’m going down the right path. It went fine today.” Jimenez said Friday was a significant step toward rejoining the Orioles’ rotation. “I didn’t have any problems with my ankle,” Jimenez said. “I didn’t have to think about it. Facing hitters isn’t the same as throwing a side. You don’t have anybody at home plate.... I think on a day like today, you’re going to get a good feeling, whether everything is OK or not.”

Saturday's MLB Roundup
-- The San Francisco Giants acquired right-handed starting pitcher Jake Peavy on Saturday, sending pitching prospects Edwin Escobar and Heath Hembree to the Boston Red Sox. Peavy, 33, is 1-9 with a 4.72 ERA in 20 starts this season. Boston acquired Peavy last July 30 from the Chicago White Sox in a three-team deal that also involved the Detroit Tigers. The Giants need a starting pitcher with right-hander Matt Cain on the disabled list with an elbow injury. Escobar and Hembree were pitching with the Giants' Triple A affiliate in Fresno. Escobar, 22, is a left-handed starter. He is 3-8 with a 5.11 ERA. Hembree, 25, is a right-handed reliever who was once considered the Giants' closer of the future. He is 1-3 with a 3.89 ERA this season.

-- The St. Louis Cardinals signed free agent veteran catcher A.J. Pierzynski to a contract on Saturday. Pierzynski was in the Cardinals' lineup against the Chicago Cubs batting sixth and starting behind the dish. Pierzynski, 37, is with his sixth team in 17 seasons. He was released by the Boston Red Sox 10 days ago. He batted .254 with four home runs in 72 games with the Red Sox. The Cardinals are in need of a catcher with All-Star Yadier Molina expected to miss eight to 12 weeks with a torn ligament in his right thumb. He was injured July 9 and had surgery two days later. The Cardinals designated catcher George Kottaras for assignment to make room for Pierzynski.

-- The National Baseball Hall of Fame announced Saturday that it is cutting the number of years that a player can remain eligible for induction from 15 years to 10 years. That means players including Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa will have less time to remain on Hall of Fame ballots. The Hall of Fame is also installing a new balloting and registration process for Baseball Writers' Association of America voting members. The changes are effective immediately and will reflected voting in 2015. It is the first time since 1991 and second since 1985 that the Hall is implementing new voting rules.

-- The Cleveland Indians recalled right-handed pitcher Zach McAllister from Triple-A Columbus and optioned right-hander Josh Tomlin to Columbus. McAllister, 26, is 3-5 with a 5.28 ERA in 12 starts with Cleveland. He was scheduled to start Saturday night's game against the Kansas City Royals. Tomlin, 29, is 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA in 15 appearances (14 starts) with Cleveland since being recalled from Columbus on May 6. He went 4-2 with a 3.12 ERA in his first seven outings (six starts), but has taken losses in five of his last six decisions covering eight starts since June 12.
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Betting Notes - Sunday

National League
•Nationals-Reds - 1:10 PM
--Fister is 3-0, 3.20 in his last three starts.
--Latos is 1-2, 4.00 in his last four starts.

--Washington won seven of its last ten games.
--Reds lost seven of their last eight games.

--Six of last eight Washington road games went over the total.

•Diamondbacks-Phillies - 1:35 PM
--Diamondbacks lost all three Nuno starts (0-1, 3.78).
--Hernandez is 1-3, 4.18 in his last five starts.

--Arizona lost eight of its last twelve road games.
--Phillies lost eight of their last eleven games.

--Seven of last ten Hernandez starts went over the total.

•Mets-Brewers - 2:10 PM
--DeGrom is 3-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.
--Nelson is 1-1, 6.19 in three starts this season.

--Mets lost 11 of their last 16 road games.
--Milwaukee won six of its last seven home games.

--Six of Mets' last seven road games stayed under.

•Cardinals-Cubs - 2:20 PM
--Wainwright is 4-2, 2.19 in his last eight starts.
--Cubs won both Hendricks starts (1-0, 2.77).

--St Louis lost four of its last five games.
--Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.

--Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve games at Wrigley Field.

•Dodgers-Giants - 4:05 PM
--Ryu is 4-2, 3.48 in his last seven starts.
--Peavy is making first start for Giants; he was 0-7, 5.30 in his last nine starts for the Red Sox.

--Dodgers outscored Giants 13-1 in winning first two games of series.
--Giants lost 18 of their last 24 home games.

--Six of last nine Dodger games stayed under total.

•Pirates-Rockies - 4:10 PM
--Volquez is 4-1, 2.02 in his last five starts.
--Morales is 1-2, 6.07 in his last five starts.

--Pittsburgh lost eight of its last ten road games.
--Rockies won their last three games.

--Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve games at Coors Field.

•Padres-Braves - 5:05 PM
--Stults is 1-7, 5.48 in his last nine starts.
--Minor is 1-2, 7.86 in his last five starts.

--San Diego won five of its last seven games.
--Braves lost four of their last six games.

--Under is 13-5-1 in last nineteen San Diego road games.

American League
•Blue Jays-Yankees - 1:05 PM
--Happ is 2-1, 3.24 in his last four starts.
--Greene is 2-1, 2.84 in three starts this season.

--Blue Jays won six of last eight games, but are 4-14 in last 18 road games.
--New York won eight of its last eleven games.

--Under is 11-4-2 in last seventeen Yankees home games.

•Red Sox-Rays - 1:40 PM
--Webster is making first '14 start; he was 1-2, 8.60 in seven starts LY, is 4-4, 3.10 in 20 AAA starts this season.
--Archer is 2-0, 4.05 in his last four starts.

--Red Sox lost their last five games.
--Tampa Bay won its last nine games.

--Seven of last ten Boston road games went over total.

•White Sox-Twins - 2:10 PM
--Carroll is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
--Pino is 1-3, 5.19 in his last five starts.

--White Sox won four of their last five road games.
--Minnesota lost seven of its last nine games.

--13 of last 18 White Sox games stayed under.

•Indians-Royals - 2:10 PM
--Salazar is 3-4, 5.72 in nine starts this season.
--Chen is 1-0, 2.61 in his last couple starts.

--Cleveland lost six of its last seven games.
--Kansas City won its last five games.

--Five of last seven Indian games stayed under total.

•Orioles-Mariners - 4:10 PM
--Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.28 in his last three starts.
--Elias is 1-3, 8.24 in his last four starts.

--Orioles won 12 of their last 18 road games.
--Seattle lost four of its last five games.

--14 of last 16 Seattle home games stayed under.

•Athletics-Rangers - 7:05 PM
--Kazmir is 2-0, 1.37 in his last four starts.
--Mikolas is 1-2, 7.89 in four starts this season.

--Oakland lost seven of its last ten road games.
--Rangers lost 29 of their last 36 games overall.

--Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kazmir starts.

•Tigers-Angels - 8:05 PM
--Porcello is 4-1, 2.27 in his last six starts.
--Santiago is 1-1, 3.73 in his last six starts.

--Detroit lost seven of its last eleven games.
--Angels won ten of their last fifteen games.

--Nine of last twelve Angel games stayed under total.

Interleague
•Marlins-Astros - 2:10 PM
--Turner is 2-2, 7.92 in his last four starts.
--McHugh is 0-5, 5.46 in his last five starts.

--Miami won five of its last six games.
--Astros lost six of last seven home games.

--Over is 14-7 in last 21 Houston games.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Fister 10-3; Latos 3-4
-- Nuno 6-8/0-3; Hernandez 6-11
-- DeGrom 5-8; Nelson 2-1
-- Wainwright 15-5; Hendricks 2-0
-- Ryu 11-8; Peavy 5-15/0-0
-- Volquez 10-9; Morales 6-8
-- Stults 7-13; Minor 7-8

-- Happ 9-5; Greene 2-1
-- Webster 0-0; Archer 10-10
-- Carroll 4-6; Pino 3-3
-- Salazar 4-5; Chen 4-2
-- Gonzalez 8-8; Elias 10-10
-- Kazmir 15-5; Mikolas 1-3
-- Porcello 13-6; Santiago 4-9

-- Turner 5-5; McHugh 5-9

•Umpires Trends
-- StL-Chi-- Five of last seven Winters games stayed under.
-- Wsh-Cin-- Nine of last eleven Basner games went over.
-- Az-Phil-- Under is 8-4 in last dozen Scott games.
-- SD-Atl-- Over is 7-1-3 in last eleven Morales games.
-- NY-Mil-- Underdogs won six of last eight Bellino games.
-- Pitt-Col-- Underdogs won last five Hallion games.
-- LA-SF-- Seven of ten Marquez games stayed under.

-- Tor-NY-- Seven of last ten West games went over total.
-- Blt-Sea-- Four of last five Gonzalez games went over.
-- Bos-TB-- Six of last eight Carapazza games stayed under.
-- Cle-KC-- Underdogs are 8-7 in last fifteen Emmel games.
-- Chi-Minn-- Favorites won nine of last eleven Kellogg games.
-- A's-Tex-- Underdogs won nine of last twelve Wolf games.
-- Det-LAA-- Four of last six Joyce games went over total.

-- Mia-Hst-- Five of last six Tichenor games went over.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Expect a strong effort Sunday from St. Louis Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright as he faces the host Cubs. Wainwright is coming off a (7-2) loss to Tampa Bay last time out; the Cardinals have followed all four of their previous losses in Wainwright starts with victories in his next outing. The right-hander is also 12-1 against the money line (92.3%) in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last two seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo ended up treading water Saturday night, hitting with the Reds but missing with the Padres to remain 1,450 colemans below sea level.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will back Lincecum look-alike deGrom to deny the Brewers — 10 units on the Metamucils. Also, he expects Wainwright the do-gooder to do badly at Wrigley — 10 units.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Sun: SF Giants w/ Peavy PK

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at San Francisco

The Dodgers look to follow up last night's 5-0 win over the Giants and come into tonight's contest with a 15-4 record in Hyun-Jin Ryu's last 19 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. LA is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 27 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Washington at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Fister) 14.997; Cincinnati (Latos) 15.817 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105); Under

Game 903-904 Arizona at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Nuno) 14.961; Philadelphia (Hernandez) 13.475 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (deGrom) 13.966; Milwaukee (Nelson) 15.475 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); Under

Game 907-908: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 18.342; Cubs (Hendricks) 17.015 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); N/A

Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.943; San Francisco (Peavy) 13.270 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 7 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); Over

Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Volquez) 13.870; Colorado (Morales) 14.995 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 11 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-135); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Over

Game 913-914: San Diego at Atlanta (5:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 15.756; Atlanta (Minor) 14.639 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-180); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+160); Over

Game 915-916: Toronto at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 15.558; NY Yankees (Greene) 14.255 Dunkel Line: Toronto 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); Under

Game 917-918: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Webster) 15.176; Tampa Bay (Archer) 17.488 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Carroll) 14.069; Minnesota (Pino) 15.566 Dunkel Line: Minnesota 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); Over

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 17.231; Kansas City (Chen) 15.703 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-110); Under

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.556; Seattle (Elias) 14.512 Dunkel Line: Baltimore 1; 7 Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Under

Game 925-926: Oakland at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Kazmir) 16.313; Texas (Mikolas) 14.736 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Oakland (-200); 9 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-200); Over

Game 927-928: Detroit at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.803; LA Angels (Santiago) 18.454 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-125); Over

Game 929-930: Miami at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 15.571; Houston (McHugh) 14.106 Dunkel Line: Miami 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A