7-29-14

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DAVE AQUINO


Today's Selections

MLB: Cleveland, Toronto, Oakland, Colorado


WNBA: Tulsa -4.5, Phoenix -10.5, sparks/mercury under 163


CFL: none

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Goodfella

Tuesday MLB Team Total

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES OVER 3.5 RUNS (-115 @BOL)

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Andre Gomes

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 Philadelphia Phillies ML (w/ C. Hamels) @ -117 / 1.85 on 5 Dimes

We easily won w/ the Mets last night but truth be told, the Phillies had some great chances to score but failed to convert them, that’s why they produced just one run despite smacking 13 hits!!

For today, I think that we have another pitching mismatch, but this time, PHI has the edge!

Cole Hamels has been pretty sharp lately… his 19/1 K/BB ratio in his L2 starts is outstanding alongside w/ 0.99 & 1.39 FIP! He might be traded for a contender sooner or later, and obviously, he wants to “shine” in front of them. NYM is ranked #21 vs. LHP’s this season, so I expect him to be decent tonight.

On the other end, I’m fading once again D. Gee…

On my play w/ MIL against him I’ve wrote:

“MIL is feeling good right now after winning 3 straight contests vs. CIN. They will face NYM’s Dillon Gee who is primed for a regression in this 2nd half of season. His 2.92 ERA mark is great for the season but his 4.19 FIP / 4.00 xFIP / 4.04 SIERA stats line are telling us that he is way overrated! In his last start, he didn’t do well @SD as he allowed 4ER’s in just 5IP’s! Allowing 2 HR’s @SD is really a bad sign for him, and I expect a healthy MIL lineup to do some damage today.”

Well, he got crushed by allowing 6 ER’s in just 5IP’s! His Fastball speed (average) was the lowest in all season w/ 88.0 MPH! I expect PHI offense to do some damage. Note that they are hitting quite well lately by being ranked #6 in the league L7 days!


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 919 Chicago White Sox ML (w/ J. Quintana) @ +154 / 2.54 on BetOnline

I just can’t pass w/ the White Sox @ this current price w/ Quintana on the mound!

I had a play w/ him vs. KC but we lost it, certainly it was not because of his performance as he allowed just 1 ER in 7 IP’s of work. He has been simply brilliant lately w/ 2.95 FIP mark in June and 1.82 FIP in this month! I’m aware that the Tigers will be a tough matchup for him tonight, but I expect him to give his team a chance to win the game.

Note that we’ve ride w/ Sanchez in his last start @ARI:

“On the other end, Anibal Sanchez is coming from a strange outing vs. CLE in which he dominated in the first 6 IP’s just to implode in the 7th while giving up 4 ER’s. Nevertheless, his 7/1 K/BB ratio and 1.31 FIP & 1.94 xFIP numbers were good indicators for him. We must also not ignore the fact that CLE is a top 3 ranked team vs. RHP’s, so we have some good signs that Sanchez will bounce back today and be decent against this ARI offense.”

We won the play but he didn’t “bounce back” at all in that game: 11 hits, 5 ER’s & 4/1 K/BB ratio! He has now 3 subpar performances in his L4 starts, and IMO, Quintana is pitching clearly better right now.

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Topshelfpicks

Carson K

Orioles +114

Braves +143

Twins +183 Why the Twins? I have won a few times this year with Gibson coming off a loss. The last time he threw back to back bad games was in late April.

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WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

Chicago Sky +4 @SA Silver Stars 8:00PM EST


Chicago Sky hade put together a mini streak on the road before the lost at Tulsa a few days ago, but they looked like the winner deep in the 3rd quarter, Sky still without Delle Donne and Vandersloot, but Sylvia Fowles makes the difference in the defense AND offense, also Breland is playing a great season

there is surely a missmatch today as the Sky have the way bigger line up, so the Silver Stars need to score from the outside which they didnt do in the last games,they played very weak in the last home game against Indiana who also have a strong physical defense like Chicago

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Steve Fezzik

WNBA Phoenix -6 (1st half)

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Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Cincinnati Reds ML

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BEHIND THE BETS

Cleveland Indians -108

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NEMO

ShipIT – LA Angels -124

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Inside Vegas Sharp Info Plays / Cory Kluge

2 MLB Sharp Plays

San Diego Padres-115ML

LA Dodgers -150ML

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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (WNBA)

8 Unit Play. Take #660 Phoenix -10 ½ over Los Angeles (10:05 p.m., Tuesday, July 27)
(Game of the Year)

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spartan | MLB Money Line

dime bet - 912 LOS (-150) vs 911 ATL

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Dave Cokin

San Diego

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Greg Shaker


Miami Under 7

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Sean Murphy Tuesday night Underdog Grand Slam

Texas