8-3-14

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | KANSAS CITY at OAKLAND
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL)
130-54 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.7% | 51.4 units )
34-17 this year. ( 66.7% | 7.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | SEATTLE at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 87-57 (+44.5 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

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MLB

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles August 3, 01:35 EST
When Mariners send right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma to the mound in the rubber match Sunday they'll have conditions on their side. Mariners have won 6 of Iwakuma's 7 games away from Safeco Field this season. The M's have won 4 of the hurlers last 5 August road starts. Orioles' Chris Tillman is 1-5 in ten home starts this season (5-5 TSR).

Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros August 3, 2:10 EST
Blue Birds looking to save face down in Houston after dropping the last two will be in good hands as they send Marcus Stroman to the mound. The righty has been light's out winning his last three allowing a single run over 21.0 innings of work. Stroman in great KW form with 20 strikeouts, 4 walks his last three, Astros 1-8 last nine with Feldman and the hurler sporting a 2-5 career team start record versus Toronto, 2-8 team start record in August consider backing Jays in this one.

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Advanced sports investments

perry’s soccer area
denmark – 1st division
9:30am- aarhus gf @ bronshoj bk – under 2.5 +110
germany – 2nd bundesliga
9:30am 1. Fc union berlin @ karlsruher sc – over 2.5 -105
romania – liga 1
12:00pm fc brasov @ fc astra giurgiu – under 2.5 -110
sweden allsvenskan
9:00am if brommapojkarna @ kalmar ff – over 2.5 -125
norway – 1. Division
9:30am sandefjord fotball @ strommen – over 2.5 -125

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Cappers Access

MLB

Giants -120

Dodgers RL -1.5 +113

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Wunderdog Sports

Free HOF Game Pick

New York Giants vs. Buffalo Bills

New York Giants+3 -115

The Giants had an awful season last year, and I think that they have the mindset here to start a new clock, and get rid of the notion that this team is destined to struggle once again. The Giants' typical punishing running game did not exist a year ago, and Eli Manning became a turnover machine, despite otherwise putting up strong numbers. The Giants made significant upgrades to their secondary with Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Walter Thurmond, and should be vastly improved in that area. The Bills apparently have a long way to go, and their chances of improvement will rely on second year QB E.J. Manuel. The Bills' defense is now in the hands of Jim Schwartz, and he will make the switch from a 3-4 to a 4-3. I never liked him in Detroit as his teams tended to underachieve, so I think his hire as Defensive Coordinator is a mistake for the Bills. Buffalo has never showed up in Canton as they are winless in their three appearances. The Giants are only 2-11, but have won their last two trips to Canton. This will be the fifth NFL preseason meeting between these clubs, and the Giants own a 3-1 mark in the first four. Look for the Giants to take control of this one, so take the points on New York

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Sam Martin

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets 1:10PM

5* San Francisco Giants

Reason: 5* Play on San Francisco. Last night we scored a huge +180 runline winner on the Mets in their 4-2 victory. Today, we'll come back with the other side and back San Francisco to rebound with a win. The Giants won the series opener 5-1 but couldn't break through until it was too late against a red hot pitcher in DeGrom. Better chance today against Colon, and we give them the edge in pitching with Bumgarner on the mound.

Madison Bumgarner has literally been "money" away from home this season, going 8-2 with a 9-3 team start record and earning 6.4 units of profit in those 11 games. He has a fantastic 1.75 ERA on the road this year and has allowed 1 or 0 earned runs in five of his last six road starts (only exception came in AL ballpark against Oakland). And with a career 1.80 ERA in three starts against the Mets, we'll back him to lead SF to the win today! 5* Play on San Francisco.

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River City Sharps

While we will concede that Jered Weaver is still a top-flight pitcher, he doesn't seem to have the same dominant stuff he has had in the last couple of seasons. That was evidenced by him being roughed up again in his last start vs. the Orioles, a game where these Sharps were definitely on the wrong side. Today he will get the ball vs. Jake Odorizzi (7-8, 3.80) and the red hot Tampa Bay Rays. Even though they traded away their ace in David Price, the Rays have won 10 of their last 13 games and are right in the thick of the wildcard discussion. Odorizzi has been really solid for these Rays and allowed fewer than three earned runs in his every one of his past nine starts. Pretty interesting to us that the Angels are 6-14 in Weaver's last 20 starts as a road underdog and Sundays have been pretty good for these Rays, posting a 6-1 mark in their last seven Sunday contests. They are 21-7 over their last 28 games overall and we think that success continues this afternoon vs. Weaver and the Angels. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - TAMPA BAY RAYS -110

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Road teams streaking with Wegner working the plate
Andrew Avery

Road teams are 7-1 in the last eight games when umpire Mark Wegner has worked behind the plate.

Overall this season, visiting ball clubs are 12-7 when he's been tasked with calling balls and strikes.

Wegner is back behind the dish in Florida as the Miami Marlins host the Cincinnati Reds Sunday. The Reds are -113 road faves.

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Indians hot in dog role with Bauer on the mound
Andrew Avery

The Cleveland Indians are 4-0 the last four games Trevor Bauer has started and they have been underdogs.

In those four games, the Indians have won at Detroit and Los Angeles (Dodgers) and defeated the Yankees and Angels at home.

Bauer takes the mound for the Indians as the underdog once again with Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers in town. Cleveland is currently a +112 home dog for the matchup.

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Andre Gomes

MLB Money Line

3 units (Single Dime Play) 965 Texas Rangers ML (w/ Y. Darvish) -112

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Topshelfpicks


Carson K

Milwaukee Brewers +117

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Maddux Sports

MLB

10* Seattle Mariners

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DAVE ESSLER

MLB SUNDAY

The Mets won yesterday and I can see them winning today. With a total of only 6.5 they think Bartolo might keep them in it. Perhaps Mets RL in some sort of parlay.

If I can get 7 in the Fish game I may take the over. Leake can hit and Turner isn’t likely going to last long.

The Nats hit LHP better, but it’s Hamels at +130 against what I think is an over priced Strasburg. However, after yesterday’s beating and the fact that it’s the Phillies, probably better games. I do lean over here as well.

I have to like Lackey and the under. Milwaukee hasn’t seen much of him and now he’s got a pitcher to pitch around whereas he did not in the AL. Like under here as well.

Not laying -200 on the Dodgers, but could see using them in a parlay. Jackson gives it up (or can) and it’s either that or Cubs RL, but with the total going up, you’d think that favors LAD.

I love the Pirates and wish I didn’t wait til this morning. I’ll fade Cahill at home every time.

Simply NOT taking Atlanta, so by process of elimination that leave the Padres. Slight lean to the over.

I want nothing to do with Texas as a road favorite no matter who is pitching.

Iwakuma on the road is not as lethal as he is at home. Baltimore is the better team.

I think the Rays are favored for a reason, and Weaver isn’t all that on the road.

As good as Quintana has been, CWS laying -170 isn’t cool. Something tells me to take the Twins.

I would probably go right back to the Houston RL. I don’t care who’s pitching.

I am not touching the Royals. Made that mistake yesterday. Under, probably.

I could see laying the -1.5 with Detroit. De La Rosa actually better in Coors Field.

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Diamond Trends - Sunday
By Vince Akins


SU TREND OF THE DAY

The Reds are 0-12 (+$1,200) since May 17, 2009 as a road dog after an extra inning loss.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

Jered Weaver has produced a team record of 19-0 (+$1,900) in his career when he is off a start in which he had a WHIP of at least two and they did not lose by more than seven, and his team isn’t an underdog or more than +110.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Indians are 0-13 OU since April 09, 2006 as a home dog when they are off two wins in which they never trailed and it is not the first game of a series.

CHOICE TREND:

The White Sox are 10-0 since September 28, 2008 as a home 140+ favorite after scoring 6+ runs in a loss for a net profit of $1000.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Jorge De La Rosa starts the Rockies are 10-1 since May 12, 2013 after the team lost their last three games for a net profit of $1011.

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vip-picks

Poland

Lech Poznan - Wisla Krakow

Tip: >2,5

Odds: 2,05