8-4-14

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McCarthy on fire since trade to Big Apple
Stephen Campbell

It's been quite the turnaround for Brandon McCarthy. Since being traded from the lowly Arizona Diamondbacks to the New York Yankees in June, the Yankees have won all four games McCarthy has started in pinstripes. He'll get the ball again for the Bronx Bombers when they host the Detroit Tigers Monday.

BetOnline currently lists Detroit as -127 faves on the moneyline with a total of -127.

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Rangers ice cold with this pitcher on the hill
Stephen Campbell

As the Texas Rangers woeful season continues, their backers won't have a lot of reason to be optimistic with Nicholas Martinez on the bump for their matchup against the Chicago White Sox in Illinois Monday. The Rangers are an ugly 0-8 in Martinez's last eight outings.

The ChiSox are currently -143 faves with a total of 9.5, per BetOnline.

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Giants struggling behind Hudson as of late
Stephen Campbell

After enjoying a nice start to the season, the San Francisco Giants have gone ice cold behind veteran pitcher Tim Hudson, winning just two out of the 39-year-old's last eight starts.

Hudson and the Giants will try to buck that trend when they visit the New York Mets at Citi Field Monday. According to BetOnline, San Fran is presently -121 faves with an O/U of seven.

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Monday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Tigers at Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
DET: Scherzer (13-3, 3.27 ERA)
NYY: McCarthy (3-0, 2.55 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Tigers finished off a three-game home sweep of the Rockies, capped off by Sunday’s 4-0 shutout as -230 favorites. The Yankees rallied past the Red Sox on Sunday night, 8-7 to take two of three at Fenway Park, while finishing their road trip at 3-3 by winning two straight.

What to watch for: Detroit has won each of Scherzer’s last four road starts, while the Tigers are 5-1 in his past six outings against the Yankees since 2011. New York has struggled in the role of a home underdog, posting a 2-9 record in this situation in 2014. However, the Yankees are 5-2 in their last seven home series openers, while McCarthy is unbeaten in his last six starts with New York and Arizona.

Reds at Indians – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
CIN: Simon (12-6, 2.84 ERA)
CLE: Kluber (11-6, 2.61 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Reds captured three of four games at Miami, as the offense finally woke up in Sunday’s 7-3 rout of the Marlins. Cincinnati’s pitching staff limiting Miami to just eight runs in the four-game set, while the ‘under’ is 6-1-1 in its past eight road contests. The Indians rallied on Sunday to top the Rangers in 12 innings, 4-3 to pull off the three-game sweep, as Cleveland held Texas to five runs in the series.

What to watch for: The home team has won each of the last 10 meetings of the Buckeye Series since 2012, while the Reds have dropped nine straight visits to Progressive Field. Kluber is coming off consecutive complete-game efforts, including a 2-0 shutout of the Mariners in his previous outing. After winning 15 of his first 18 starts, the Reds are 0-3 in Simon’s past three starts, while two of his worst efforts this season came as an underdog of at least +130.

Orioles at Nationals – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Gausman (5-3, 3.70 ERA)
WSH: Roark (11-6, 2.74 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Orioles needed just one run in Sunday’s 1-0 triumph over the Mariners as short home ‘dogs to take two of three from Seattle. The Nationals rebounded from a pair of losses to the Phillies by taking the final two games of their weekend set. Washington blanked Philadelphia on Sunday as -150 favorites, 4-0 to outscore the Phillies, 15-0 in the last two victories.

What to watch for: This is a make-up game from a rain-out on July 8, as the Orioles won two of the first three matchups in the Beltway Series. Baltimore has drilled the ‘under’ in 11 of its past 13 games overall, including seven straight on the highway. The Nationals have split 16 interleague contests this season, while Washington owns a 4-0 record in Roark’s past four trips to the mound.

Rays at Athletics – 10:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
TB: Cobb (7-6, 3.54 ERA)
OAK: Samardzija (2-1, 3.19 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Rays fell behind, 5-0 in the first inning of Sunday’s 7-5 defeat to the Angels as short home favorites to lose two of three in that set. Tampa Bay finished off its homestand at 5-4, while still trying to reach the elusive .500 mark. The A’s dropped two of three to the Royals at home, as Oakland scored just two runs in the two defeats.

What to watch for: Oakland grabbed two of three at Tropicana Field in late May, as the lone victory by Tampa Bay came on a walk-off, three-run homer in 11 innings in the series finale. The Rays have won six of Cobb’s eight road starts, including each of the last five on the highway. The A’s are 4-1 in Samardzija’s five starts since he was acquired from the Cubs, but each of the past two wins came as a heavy favorite against the Astros.

Angels at Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Richards (11-4, 2.74 ERA)
LAD: Greinke (12-6, 2.65 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Angels concluded an East Coast swing at 3-3 at Baltimore and Tampa Bay, including a 7-5 triumph at Tropicana Field on Sunday to capture the weekend set. The Dodgers were tripped up by the Cubs this past weekend, including Sunday’s 7-3 defeat as nearly a -200 favorite. It was the third home series loss by the Dodgers since the start of June, which also includes series defeats to the White Sox and Indians.

What to watch for: The home team finished 4-0 in the Freeway Series last season, which included the Dodgers rallying from a 6-1 deficit with Greinke on the hill to beat the Angels, 8-7 in the series opener at home. Following an eight-game winning streak from June through the All-Star break, the Angels have lost each of Richards’ last three outings, all in the favorite role. Since last July, the Dodgers are 13-3 in Greinke’s past 16 home starts, which includes a pair of wins over AL foes.

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Tampa Bay +140

Texas/Wsox over 9

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Mon

Nationals w/ Roark -140

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Reds Sunday and likes Indians on Monday.

The deficit is 401 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo missed badly Sunday with Stroman and the Blue Jays, who by failing their assignment in Houston caused the accounts payable to balloon to 1,325 triandoses

Monday night: Mr. Aitch will avoid Gausman, who pales in comparison to Tanner Roark — 10 units on the Nationals.

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Heavy Cy: Yanks set to face Detroit's three aces
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Now all the Yankees have to worry about is facing the past three American League Cy Young Award winners over the next three nights.

Detroit Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer, the 2013 winner, on Monday.

Left-hander David Price, the 2012 winner making his Tigers debut, on Tuesday.

Tigers right-hander Justin Verlander, who won it in 2011, on Wednesday.

Oh, and then there's Detroit right-hander Rick Porcello (13-5) on Thursday.

However, the Yankees, whose bats have struggled all year, come into the series on a bit of an offensive roll.

They scored 14 runs in their last two games -- both wins -- in Boston, including an 8-7, come-from-behind win over the Red Sox on Sunday night.

"Hopefully we can take this momentum home with us this week against the Tigers and get on a little roll and maybe get a little winning streak going," left fielder Brett Gardner said after his fifth homer on a six-game road trip proved to be the winner Sunday.

The win lifted the Yankees to 57-53 on the season, five games off the American League East lead but just 1 1/2 games out of the second AL wild-card spot.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | DETROIT at NY YANKEES
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL)
121-94 since 1997. ( 56.3% | 51.3 units )
11-14 this year. ( 44.0% | -0.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at WASHINGTON
BALTIMORE is 87-57 (+44.5 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

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Today's MLB Picks

LA Angels at LA Dodgers

The Dodgers open up an interleague series against the crosstown rival Angels tonight and come into the contest with a 20-4 record in Zack Greinke's last 24 home starts. The Dodgers are the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 4 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: San Francisco at NY Mets (12:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 16.403; NY Mets (Gee) 14.989 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under

Game 903-904: Detroit at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 17.899; NY Yankees (McCarthy) 16.323 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Under

Game 905-906: Texas at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Martinez) 14.309; White Sox (Noesi) 12.422 Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 10 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-160); 9 Dunkel Pick: Texas (+140); Over

Game 907-908: Tampa Bay at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 17.402; Oakland (Samardzija) 16.332 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 7 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+140); Over

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Simon) 15.664; Cleveland (Kluber) 17.208 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-200); 7 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-200); Under

Game 911-912: LA Angels at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.988; LA Dodgers (Greinke) 18.402 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over

Game 913-914: Baltimore at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 16.521; Washington (Roark) 15.430 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-160); 7 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Under

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HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Tigers(-129)

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PowerPlayWins

Plays Of The Day

1 Unit Washington Nationals -135 (Roark)
1 Unit Detroit Tigers -125 (Scherzer)
1 Unit Los Angeles Dodgers -125 (Greinke)

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Livewebpicks

Dodgers