8-7-14

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Advanced sports investments

perry's soccer area
uefa - europa league

12pm- rnk split @ chernomorets odessa - under 2.5 -147

1pm kardemir karabukspor @ rosenborg trondheim - over 2.5 +105

245pm ac omonia nicosia@ metalurg skopje - under 2.5 -120

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NO LIMIT SPORTS

5* Cincinnati Bengals +2

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | CHICAGO at MINNESOTA
Play Under – Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO
Play On – Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games
30-13 since 1997. ( 69.8% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under – Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a losing record
127-70 since 1997. ( 64.5% | 50.0 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 2.7 units )

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | HOUSTON at PHILADELPHIA
Play On – Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA >=4.50), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL)
80-39 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.7 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | MINNESOTA at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 75-35 (+40.5 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams – averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.5)

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RICH SPORTS

NFLx
3* Colts vs Jets - OVER 37
2* Washington Redskins (pk)

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Cappers Access

Nationals(RL) -1.5(+145)
Cubs -107

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Ben Burns

personal favorite: 10* Cincinnati Reds

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Game of the Day: Roughriders at Blue Bombers
By ANDREW AVERY

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+2.5, 54.5)

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers' league-best offence may meet its match Thursday night when the Saskatchewan Roughriders come to town in the opening game of Week 7 in the CFL. The West Division-leading Blue Bombers are coming off back-to-back road wins over BC and Hamilton following a one-sided loss to Edmonton in mid-July, but will need to be wary of a Roughriders team that has reeled off 75 points in consecutive wins over Toronto and Ottawa. The first meeting of the season between division rivals will pit Saskatchewan's potent running game against the Blue Bombers' stout rush defence.

The Roughriders average a league-best 125.6 rushing yards per contest, though they finished with just 88 in a 38-14 trouncing of the Redblacks in their last contest Saturday in Ottawa. Winnipeg won its second straight game - 27-26 victory over host Hamilton on July 31 - after suffering its only loss 26-3 in Edmonton on July 17. The Blue Bombers have allowed the third-fewest yards on the ground per game (94.8), but averages a league-worst 73.8.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened this as a Pick, but that has moved to Saskatchewan -2.5. The total is up to 54.5 after opening at 53.5.

INJURY REPORT: Roughriders - WR Taj Smith (Out, legal issues). Blue Bombers - SB Cory Watson (Questionable, hamstring)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The Riders appear to be in a favorable spot here as they try to close the gap on the Bombers in the West Division, but I'm not sure how they'll respond to the Taj Smith distraction. He's a key offensive cog and will undoubtedly be missed here. The Bombers are pretty lucky to have only one loss to this point with a couple of last second wins to their credit. Hard to say how long that luck will last. This is the start of a tough stretch that will see them face the Riders and Stamps exclusively in a four-game span." - Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The West division leader 5-1 Blue Bombers play host the 3-2 Roughriders. The Bombers are the top offensive team in the league averaging 28 points per game, while giving up 23.3 points per game. The Roughriders are 0-1 in division play so far this season, but are getting 90 percent of the action as a 3.5-point road favorite while the 54.5 total is seeing 73 percent of the action come in on the over." - Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag.

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (3-2, 3-2 ATS): Saskatchewan will be relying on a not-so-secret weapon in what is a pivotal early-season showdown with the division leaders. Running back Will Ford has been sensational for the Roughriders, scoring five touchdowns in two games since joining the club after spending the previous two seasons with the Blue Bombers. Ford, who was an East Division all-star last season but was cut earlier this year without appearing in a game, had a pair of one-yard TD runs to lead last week's rout of Ottawa.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (5-1, 5-1 ATS): Winnipeg has been the surprise of the CFL season, already surpassing its win total from a season ago and coming into Thursday's game on a high following last week's thrilling last-second win over the Tiger-Cats. But first-year coach Mike O'Shea isn't ready to plan any parades. "We still have a lot of room for growth," O'Shea told the Winnipeg Sun over the weekend. "To be where we're at right now, it's good so far. But there's still a lot of room to grow."

TRENDS:

* Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
* Roughriders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings in Winnipeg.
* Roughriders are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games in August.
* Over is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last five Thursday games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 52.97 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing the Rough Riders.

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MLB

Thursday, August 7


Thursday afternoon's must read weather update

There is a couple of games on tap Thursday afternoon with weather you should keep your eye on before you place your wagers.

The Detroit Tigers travel to Yankee Stadium to face the Yankees, where there will be a nine mile per hour wind blowing out to the short porch in right field. There is also a 12 percent chance of rain.

At Coors Field in Colorado, the Rockies host the Chicago Cubs, where there is a chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. There is also a 21 percent chance of rain.


Pirates' 3B Pedro Alvarez, questionable Thursday

Alvarez has been placed on the bereavement list and has missed the last two games. He is questionable to return for Thursday against the Marlins.

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Kevin's Pick(s):
Hutchison decided to have his best start of the season last night, and Chen seemed a little off giving up 4 early runs. Today we have two afternoon plays going between Kyle and I... lets pick up a couple of winners.
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers - BREWERS TO WIN (-132)
Listed Pitchers: Peavy vs Peralta
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.52 units)
The Giants and Brewers have split the first two meetings of this series, with Milwaukee taking the first 4-3 and San Fran winning 7-4 last night. The Giants will send newly acquired Jake Peavy to the mound who is 1-11 on the season with a 4.73 ERA, .267 OBA and 1.38 WHIP. He went 6.1 innings without giving up a hit in his last outing before allowing 4 hits and 4 earned runs over 7 innings in a loss vs the Mets. On the road this year he is 1-7 with a 5.80 ERA, and he has given up 3 or more earned runs against in 4 straight starts. Willy Peralta will take the rubber for the Brewers and he is 13-6 with a 3.52 ERA, .258 OBA and 1.28 WHIP on the year. At home his ERA rises slightly to 3.82, but his OBA and WHIP are better at home with a .254 OBA and 1.21 WHIP. Since a very rough outing on July 8th he has allowed just 5 earned runs against over his last 4 starts. Take note that the Giants are just 2-6 in their last 8 games as an underdog. The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a home favorite, 4-0 in Peralta's last 4 starts, 4-1 in his last 5 home starts, and 6-0 in his last 6 home starts vs a team with a winning record. The Brewers are also 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs the Giants and 7-3 in their last 10 meetings overall. Peralta has been pitching well lately, and I will back him and the Brewers at home this afternoon.


Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ N.Y. Yankees - TIGERS TO WIN (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Porcello vs. Greene
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
Didn't take long to get credited with a loss yesterday. I would rather get it over with quick and easy then get backdoored late like the game before. Lets get neither this afternoon in the fourth game of the Tigers/Yankees' series and pick up a winner.
Looking at this game I don't feel like the price is where it should be. I think Porcello is being a little bit disrespected with it. As I stated not that long ago, Porcello was on the edge of making the All-Star game and perhaps had a case for it. Porcello enters with a 3.18 ERA this afternoon and has been even stronger on the road with a 2.73 ERA and 8-2 record. He follows with a 1.09 WHIP and .280 away from home. Porcello went on a marvelous stretch, giving up no runs over three games and then he got blitzed for 7 runs. However, what I find impressive is the way he's respond after that game, not allowing more than 3 runs in any given start. Included in that was 1 run, 3, 0, and 2 allowed. His ERA was a sub 2.00 during that stretch, and his WHIP was 0.77 with a .215 OBP. On the other side Yankees' starter Shane Greene has been in all kinds trouble in his brief five games in the rotation. The ERA is okay at 3.68, but take notice of all of the runners he's been allowing to reach base safely. Most notably at home, where his WHIP is all the way up at 1.45 and he also has a .340 OBP. Greene's ERA is also much higher at Yankee Stadium, 5.73 ERA compared to 2.45 on the road. The Tigers dropped 2-1 from the Yankees so far in this series and I would be surprised to see them only take one. They have an excellent shot at splitting under these circumstances with Porcello going up against Greene. As I said I believe this price should be steeper, so ill gladly put my money on the Tigers in this spot.

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BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Philadelphia -115 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Houston is 1-10 vs. NL East Division Opponents this season
Houston is 13-28 when playing on a Thursday
Houston is 21-63 in road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs


10* Play LA Angels -110 over LA Dodgers (MLB TOP PLAY)

LA Angels are 37-15 when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
LA Angels are 34-14 at home when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher
LA Angels are 30-21 when playing in an inter-league game

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5* Play Pittsburgh -125 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Cincinnati -120 over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

• Play New York Jets -3 over Indianapolis---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

New York has won 32 of the last 52 preseason games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points and they have won 23 of the last 36 preseason home games.New York has won 28 of the last 40 preseason games when playing as a favorite and they averaged 32 points a game on offense at home in preseason games last year.

• Play Baltimore -1 over San Francisco---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Baltimore has won 35 of the last 59 preseason non-conference games and they have won 24 of the last 41 preseason games when the line posted is between +3 to -3.Baltimore has won 22 of the last 35 preseason games when playing as a home favorite and they averaged 29 points a game on offense in preseason games last year.

• Play Seattle -1 over Denver---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Denver has lost 5 of the last 7 preseason games against the spread vs. NFC West Division Opponents and they have lost 4 consecutive preseason home games against the spread.Denver has lost 4 of the last 6 preseason games against the spread when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points and they allowed an average of 26 points a game on defense in preseason games last year.

• Play San Diego -2.5 over Dallas---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

San Diego has won 27 of the last 40 preseason games when playing as a favorite and they have won 26 of the last 42 preseason home games.San Diego has won 3 of the last 4 preseason games vs. Dallas and they only allowed an average of 280 yards on defense in preseason games last year.

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TOP CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAY

• Play Saskatchewan -2.5 over Winnipeg----RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY BASEBALL

• Play Philadelphia -115 over Houston----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Collin McHugh has lost 9 of the last 11 games when pitching in the 2^nd half of the season and he has lost 8 of the last 10 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. Collin McHugh has lost 14 of the last 19 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 7 of the last 10 road games.

• Play Los Angeles Angels -110 over Los Angeles Dodgers----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  10:00 PM EST

CJ Wilson has won 40 of the last 66 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he has won 44 of the last 70 games when the line posted is between -100 to -150. CJ Wilson has won 51 of the last 80 home games and he has won 21 of the last 37 games when pitching in the 2^nd half of the season.

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FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY NFL FOOTBALL

1000* Play Washington -1 over New England (TOP NFL PLAY)

Washington has won 7 of the last 8 preseason games and they have won 6 consecutive preseason games when playing as a favorite.Washington has won 4 consecutive preseason home games and they have won 5 consecutive preseason non-conference games.


1000* Play Baltimore -1 over San Francisco (TOP NFL PLAY)

San Francisco has lost 21 of the last 32 preseason games when playing as a road underdog and they have lost 6 of the last 7 preseason road games when the total posted is 35 points or less.San Francisco has lost 7 of the last 10 preseason games when playing on artificial turf and they have lost 2 of the last 3 preseason games vs. AFC North Division Opponents.


1000* Play Kansas City -1 over Cincinnati (TOP NFL PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 33 of the last 54 preseason games when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they have lost 26 of the last 42 preseason road games.Cincinnati has lost 34 of the last 59 preseason games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points and they have lost 31 of the last 49 preseason games when playing as an underdog.

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THURSDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL

50* Play Saskatchewan -2 over Winnipeg (BONUS CFL PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Seattle -160 over Chicago White Sox (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago has lost 27 of the last 44 games when playing on a Thursday and they have lost 72 of the last 118 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175.Chicago has lost 95 of the last 160 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have lost 63 of the last 115 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers.

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50* Play Pittsburgh -125 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play St. Louis -175 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)