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Game: Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners
Time: Friday 08/08 10:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Seattle -160 (moneyline) at BetOnline
The Seattle Mariners buried the Chicago White Sox last night 13-3. The White Sox are an improved team, but their bullpen is amongst the worst in the league. Outside of Chris Sale, who seems to work deep into games, their pen is exposed on a near nightly basis. Seattle is right in the thick of things for a Wild Card berth, and they have two pitchers at the top of the rotation that can matchup with anyone. Hisashi Iwakuma is 9-6 with an ERA on the season of under 3. He has allowed 2 runs or less in six of his last seven starts, and is pitching well. Chicago has caved in on the road when facing a winning team where they are an ugly 28-66 in their last 94, and 5-13 behind tonight's starter Quintana in that role. The M's are now 18-8 behind Iwakuma vs. a losing club. Back Seattle.
1000* Play Pittsburgh -130 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)
San Diego has lost 39 of the last 70 games when playing on a Friday and they have lost 80 of the last 142 games after having won two of the last three games.San Diego has lost 49 of the last 72 games when playing as a road underdog of +125 to +150 and they have lost 52 of the last 76 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 7.5 runs.
Texas is 20-37 when the line posted is between +125 to -125
Texas is 25-41 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs
Texas is 30-52 in night games this season
10* Play San Francisco -115 over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)
San Francisco is 10-2 vs. AL Central Division Opponents
San Francisco is 83-69 vs. left-handed starting pitchers
San Francisco is 45-28 when batting .240 or worse over the last 15 games
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5* Play Detroit -120 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Cincinnati -120 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Atlanta has lost 5 of the last 6 preseason games against the spread when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they have lost 14 of the last 19 preseason home games against the spread when the total posted is between 35.5 and 38 points.Atlanta has lost 3 consecutive preseason home games against the spread when playing as a favorite of seven points or less and they have lost 6 of the last 8 preseason non-conference games against the spread.
1000* Play Carolina +1.5 over Buffalo (TOP NFL PLAY)
Buffalo has lost 19 of the last 26 preseason games against the spread after allowing 14 points or less in their last game and they have lost 26 of the last 42 preseason games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total in their last game.Buffalo has lost 21 of the last 35 preseason games against the spread coming off a win in their last game and they allowed an average of 25 points a game on defense in preseason games last year.
1000* Play New Orleans +3 over St. Louis (TOP NFL PLAY)
New Orleans has covered the spread in 32 of the last 44 preseason road games and they have covered the spread in 30 of the last 47 preseason games when playing as an underdog.New Orleans has covered the spread in 28 of the last 47 preseason games when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they only allowed an average of 16 points a game on defense in preseason games last year when playing in a dome stadium.
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FRIDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL
50* Play Edmonton -5 over Montreal (BONUS CFL PLAY)
50* Play British Columbia -6.5 over Hamilton (BONUS CFL PLAY)
Kevin's Pick(s):
An afternoon winner with the Brewers getting things done for us. One play here today and I'm splitting up the 2 units between the moneyline and the run line.
1 UNIT = Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros - ASTROS TO WIN (-115)
1 UNIT = Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros - ASTROS -1.5 (+175)
Listed Pitchers: Mikolas vs Oberholtzer
(Note: I'm risking 1.00 units to win 0.87 units)
(Note: I'm risking 1.00 units to win 1.75 units)
The Texas Rangers won their final two of their most recent series vs the White Sox, but are just 2-4 in their last 6 overall and 45-69 on the season (24-36 on the road). The Astros have a slightly better record at 47-68 and 26-33 at home, but have lost three straight after winning three straight over the weekend. Tonight's starter for Texas is Miles Mikolas who is 1-4 with a 7.29 ERA, .294 OBA and 1.53 WHIP. He has pitched much better on the road, but overall he has been shaky in his 6 starts. Houston faced him back on July 7th and they scored 9 runs on 12 hits against him in just 3.1 innings. The Astros will send Brett Oberholtzer to the mound who has started to pitch pretty well. He is 4-7 with a 4.17 ERA, .291 OBA and 1.38 WHIP overall on the season, but over his last 8 starts he is 4-1 with a 3.08 ERA and the team has gone 6-2 in those 8 starts. Take note that the Rangers are 14-39 in their last 53 games overall, 6-21 in their last 27 road games, and 4-14 in their last 18 road games as an underdog. They are also 1-5 in Mikolas' last 6 starts. The Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games, 4-0 in Oberholtzer's last 4 starts and 4-1 in his last 5 home starts. Houston has won 5 straight vs Texas, with four of those five being by at least 2 runs. I'm taking the Astros to win and also putting a unit on them to win by a couple or more with a nice price on the run line.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals - GIANTS TO WIN (-114)
Listed Pitchers: Bumgarner vs. Vargas
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.75 units)
Rick Porcello did all he could do for the Tigers yesterday, but the offense couldn't scratch a run across the plate. Their offense seemingly comes and goes whenever it desires to. Today we take a look at an interleague matchup between the Giants and Royals.
By all accounts this is a game that is shaping up to be about Madison Bumgarner. I expect him to lock down the Royals in this spot Friday night and the offense should be able to take care of Jason Vargas who seen better days in his career than what he produced in his last start. Vargas has a 3.69 ERA which is fine, but most of his good starts came months ago near the beginning of the season. Vargas has an ERA of 4.76 in his last three games and got destroyed for 7 runs in his last start against the Oakland Athletics. He's been getting hit at home this season, sporting a 4.77 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. His last start at home against the Angels he gave up 6 runs and 9 hits in only four innings of work. It's really been a lot of the same for Bumgarner this season at home, but he'll be far away from San Fran in Missouri for this contest. It is quite the contrast, a 5.60 ERA at home compared to 1.58 on the road. Also, while Vargas has found trouble in his most recent starts, Bumgarner allowed no runs twice in two of his last three starts, both of those on the road. Outside of one porous start against the A's, Bumgarner has given up more than 2 runs on the road only once, a start that came in Colorado. The Royals have been playing well lately, winners of their last four games, but I feel like Bumgarner and the Giants will bring that to a halt tonight in Kansas City.
Cheers,
Play Carolina +1.5 over Buffalo---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Carolina has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 preseason non-conference games and they have covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 preseason games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points.Carolina has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 preseason games when playing as an underdog and they have covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 preseason home games.
Play New Orleans +3 over St. Louis---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
New Orleans has covered the spread in 8 of the last 9 preseason games and they have covered the spread in 27 of the last 37 preseason road games when playing as an underdog.New Orleans has covered the spread in 19 of the last 23 preseason road games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 38 points and they averaged 26 points in preseason road games last year.
Play Minnesota -3 over Oakland---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Oakland has lost 39 of the last 69 preseason non-conference games against the spread and they have lost 35 of the last 60 preseason games against the spread when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points.Oakland has lost 23 of the last 38 preseason road games against the spread and they allowed an average of 25 points a game on defense in preseason games last year.
Play Jacksonville -1 over Tampa Bay---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Miami +3 over Atlanta---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Houston -120 over Texas----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST
Texas has lost 26 of the last 36 games when playing as an underdog of +100 to +150 and they have lost 24 of the last 32 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season. Texas has lost 26 of the last 43 games vs. division opponents and they have lost 21 of the last 34 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers.
Play San Francisco -115 over Kansas City----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST
Madison Bumgarner has won 56 of the last 97 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 14 of the last 22 games when pitching on a Friday. Madison Bumgarner has won 4 of the last 5 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents and he is 9-2 in road games this season with an ERA of 1.58.
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