8-12-14

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NonStopSportsPicks

1.5* A's/Royals Under 7.5 (-125)

Playing this one for 1.5* as you all know how I feel about juice. Lester hasn't had ANY problems with the Royals in his career, and I don't see that happening tonight. In 2 starts this season against KC, he has a sub 2 ERA. Guthrie is in a nice little groove, and he's just getting it done. In fact, he just threw 6 shutout against the As out in Oakland and we're going to not overthink this one and just fire. Should baseball being played & we're on the UNDER here.

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Scott Delaney

Tuesday

My 60 Dime Winner for tonight is on the Over Phillies/Angels as my Interleague Total of the Month

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Falcon Sports

TB -125 listing Hellickson/Tepesh

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REFUND CAPPER

MLB
Cardinals/Marlins – Over 7 runs (-120)

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VEGAS RUNNER

RLcrew Late MLB Move = 902) MIAMI RL+1.5 and ML (+125)

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OC DOOLEY

2* Philadelphia Phillies ML+220

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LVWHITESHARK:

Final Card 8/12

Game 919- Toronto ML +110 over Seattle
Game 916 – Minnesota / Houston under 8 -115
Game 930 – San Francisco ML +110 over Chicago White Sox
Game 925 – Boston ML +120 over Cincinnati
Game 909 – Colorado ML +130 over San Diego
Game 921 – Detroit ML +115 over Pittsburgh


Bait the lines fellas,

LV The White Shark

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Worlds Worst Picker

Mets
Miami
Cincy
Milwaukee

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SHEEP:

COLORADO +130
WAshington -150
Minnesota +130
Kansas City RL +1.5 (-130)

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Vegas Runner

UNDER 4.5 (-125) ARZ/CLEV 1st 5
Over 7.5 Milw /Chic
Kansas City +135
Boston +120

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Highroller sports picks

nationals-135

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SHAKER’S SHORTS

#920 Seattle Mariners – Team Total OVER 3.5 -115

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DIAMOND DOG SPORTS

#915: Twins: +115 (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Pino/McHugh

#913/914: Rays/Rangers: Under 9.0 (+105) (1*)
Listed Pitchers: Hellickson/Tepesch

#923/924: Diamondbacks/Indians: Under 8.0 (+100) (3*)
Listed Pitchers: Collmenter/House

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VEGAS BUTCHER

Today’s POD’s

#1: St Louis Cardinals -133

#2: Toronto Blue Jays +112

St. Louis Cardinals 62-55 (53%) @ Miami Marlins 58-60 (49%)

A. Wainwright, my #29 ranked SP, starting for St. Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 2.72 (#11 in MLB), xFIP of 3.41 (#35 in MLB), and SIERA of 3.54 (#42 in MLB), with a BABIP of .264, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -0.44. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.44, with a WHIP of 1.02, and opponent BA of .211. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 32% for a 1.42 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.

J. Cosart, my #122 ranked SP, starting for Miami Marlins, has a FIP of 3.98 (#92 in MLB), xFIP of 4.24 (#118 in MLB), and SIERA of 4.39 (#135 in MLB), with a BABIP of .299, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.53. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.47, with a WHIP of 1.45, and opponent BA of .26. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 57%, FB%: 25% for a 2.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

St. Louis Cardinals have the #11 bullpen, #16 offense (#16 vs Righties / #9 vs Lefties), and are rated #11 in fielding. They have a road record of 29-30 (49%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

Miami Marlins have the #14 bullpen, #18 offense (#19 vs Righties / #16 vs Lefties), and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a home record of 32-28 (53%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

Odds: STL -139 (58%) MIA +128 (44%) O/U = 7.5
Analysis:

In the last 5 days, Cishek appeared 4 times (pitched yesterday, day-off on Sun, and 3 straight appearances prior) and has allowed 9 hits and 5 ER’s in the process. After throwing 26 pitches and allowing 2 ER’s, it’s hard to see him being ‘available’ today as clearly he needs some rest. This will make this Miami bullpen much weaker overall, and given the fact that Cosart has failed to get through 6th inning in 5 straight starts, that could be a problem. St Louis’ BP is fresher as their key guys all had a day off yesterday. As far as starters go, Cosart is making his first start against the Cards so the ‘unfamiliarity factor’ is in play. Of course Wainwright hasn’t faced Miami since 2010, so most of these Marlins hitters have never seen him either. Overall pitching advantage is in St Louis’ favor in this one.

Lean: STL
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Toronto Blue Jays 63-57 (53%) @ Seattle Mariners 63-55 (53%)

J. Happ, my #97 ranked SP, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 3.98 (#92 in MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#104 in MLB), and SIERA of 4 (#93 in MLB), with a BABIP of .306, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.05. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.47, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .258. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 40% for a 1.02 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

C. Young, my #169 ranked SP, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 4.81 (#155 in MLB), xFIP of 5.18 (#170 in MLB), and SIERA of 5.24 (#170 in MLB), with a BABIP of .231, LOB% of 82%, and E-F of -1.48. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.89, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .222. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 23%, FB%: 58% for a 0.4 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

Toronto Blue Jays have the #29 bullpen, #3 offense (#1 vs Righties / #22 vs Lefties), and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a road record of 30-31 (49%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

Seattle Mariners have the #1 bullpen, #24 offense (#14 vs Righties / #29 vs Lefties), and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a home record of 32-32 (50%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

Odds: TOR +104 (49%) SEA -113 (53%) O/U = 7.5
Analysis:Seattle stinks against lefties and Happ has been decent in the last 30-days: 4.2 K/BB, 24% K-rate, 3.6/3.6/3.3 FxS. By comparison Young has an E-F of -1.5 as his 4.8 FIP is much higher than his 3.3 ERA. his 5.2 xFIP and SIERA are even higher, ranking 170th out of 171 pitchers in my database. Today he’s facing the #1 offense in the league against right-handers and I’m wondering if his ‘luck’ starts running out. Solid spot to fade him off a strong outing against a weak-hitting ATL squad.

Lean: TOR

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SPORTS PICK PREDICTIONS

Milwaukee Brewers/Chicago Cubs – UNDER 7.5, -110 (3 units)
Los Angeles Dodgers/Atlanta Braves – UNDER 8, -110 (2 units)
Tampa Bay Rays -122 (2 units)
San Francisco Giants -114 (2 units)
Toronto Blue Jays +101 (2 units)