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The Reds dropped three games of a four-game set with the Rockies at Coors Field over the weekend which included Cincinnati blowing a four-run lead in the ninth inning of Sunday’s 10-9 loss in the opener of a doubleheader. Meanwhile the Cardinals continue their severn game home-stand coming off a 7-6 victory on Sunday over the Padres.
The Reds hand the baseball to righty Mike Leake tonight as he looks to bounce back after allowing 5 ER and 8 hits in just 5 IP last Wednesday against Boston. Leake is 5-5 in 13 road starts this season with a 3.66 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Opponents have hit .274 off Leake in those 13 road outings. In 11 career starts against the Cardinals, leake is 3-5 with a 4.85 ERA. Matt Holliday and Matt Adams are a combined 15-for-40 with 2 HR and 8 RBIs against Leake.
Opposing Leake will be recently acquired Justin Masterson, Masterson is 2-1 with a 6.00 ERA in three starts for the Cardinals and has struggled with his command all season long. He sports a 9-11 record with a 5.58 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over 22 starts in 2014. Masterson has given up at least 5 ER in 5 of his last 8 starts whilst issuing a staggering 23 walks in those 8 trips to the mound. The big righty has been rocked by left handed hitters this season to the sound of a .319 BAA and 1.83 WHIP.
It is fair to say that the Reds will be slightly bleary-eyed after not arriving at their hotel rooms in St. Louis until the early hours of Monday morning. I like the value on the OVER in this game, I foresee both teams being able to put up enough runs to end this game north of the 7.5 which the books are giving us.
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