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The Cards have seen at least 8 runs scored in 7 straight games. The Cards had scored at least 4 runs in 10 straight games before last night. The Pirates have only went under in 2 of their last 9 games. The Pirates have scored at least 3 runs in 9 straight games. Lackey since the trade has a 1.40 WHIP and 5.40 ERA. In his 4 starts with the Cards the average game total has been 8.6 runs. Liriano was hammered in his last start vs the Braves and has been bad at home all season. In 63 innings pitched at home this year he has an ERA over 5.00 and a WHIP over 1.50. This total should be at least 8.
NATIONALS ML -144 *4*
Looked into the -1 line here for this one but at a discounted price of just 28 cents off the money line price, the value simply isn’t there. These Nationals are as hot as it gets. They have now won 12 of their last 13 games and are scoring massive totals. Now they get AJ Burnett tonight who has been rough to say the least. 6-14 overall, 0-3 last 3 starts with a 6.41 ERA and 1.63 WHIP – good luck tonight against these guys AJ.
RAYS @ ORIOLES – UNDER 8 -120 *4*
Both Odorizzi and Tillman have been amazing of late with sub 0.8 WHIPs over their past 3 starts. Add in that both teams are seeing extremely low scoring games of late (Rays 5.4 L5, 6.6 L10 – Orioles 6.0 L5, 6.2 L10) and we have an under at 8 that we love here. Both the Rays and Orioles have played to just 2 overs in their past 10 games.
YANKEES ML +124 *2*
Just a great line here that we feel needs to be played. Pineda goes for the Yankees here tonight and has been fire since his return, giving up just 3 runs in 11 innings. Yankees need to keep winning in this competitive AL East and wild card run and can not afford a day off, they have won 6 of 8. Royals coming off a 3-1 loss to the Rangers Sunday night look to be headed for another let down game as they have the Tigers looking to get back at top the Central. We know it’s James Shields throwing and he has been awesome, Pineda has the chance to better him tonight and at the odds we will take a shot.
Pirates SP Liriano had a terrible outing his last start AT the Braves….However, he had been on a quite a roll….He had given up 2 runs or less in 8 of his L/9 starts before the snafu vs the ATL……The Cards are simply less potent vs LH pitching and on the flip side we have these Pirates in their best hitting posture (vs RH) pitching…..as only the Rockies have a better .OPS vs RH pitching in the enire National League. Lackey may have success the 1st time through the order, but I do expect these Pirates to get to him eventually. I like Liriano to come back with a strong outing tonight, as I believe his last start is giving us some VALUE on these Pirates tonight….Edge to Pittsburgh bullpen wise as well tonight. I really like the PIRATES in this ‘spot’ tonight.
Game: Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
Time: Monday 08/25 10:10 PM Eastern
Pick: San Diego +125 (moneyline) at Bookmaker
The Milwaukee Brewers got off to a surprisingly good start this season when they ripped off a 20-7 record to start the season. They have not resembled that team since as they are just one game over .500 since the big start, and have been a rather pedestrian team. San Diego returns home after an unsuccessful 10 game road trip where they went just 3-7, but that has been typical of this team all season. Things have been much different for this team at home where they are seven games over .500 on the season and are in the midst of an 11 game run at home that has seen them compile a 10-1 record. Lohse has not been a stopper for Milwaukee as the Brewers are 0-4 in his last four starts following a team loss in their previous game. San Diego has also been taking it to good road teams, as they are 7-2 in their last nine here vs. a team with a winning road record. Play on San Diego.
The Redsoxs have not been able to hit the ball this year like they have done so many years in the past and it will be tough going into this done against a left handed pitcher. Boston has not hit lefties that well and all it takes is a couple big blast from this powerful Bluejay lineup to get this game over with in a hurry. Take Toronto.
MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers
Sportingnews
The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox north of the border tonight, but it's not their home-field advantage or their starter -- J.A. Happ (4.39 ERA, 1.42 WHIP) -- that makes them a solid value at -115.
Instead, backing the Blue Jays is as much about betting against the BoSox's Clay Buchholz (5.94 ERA, 1.55 WHIP). In a way, it's almost impressive that Buchholz has been able to log 122.2 innings in spite of his helium-inflated stat line.
If allowing 1.5 base runners per inning and approaching an ERA of 6.00 isn't enough to convince you that the Red Sox should be bet against, consider Buchholz's 2014 numbers against tonight's opponent. In four starts against Toronto this season, he has allowed 18 earned runs, three homers, 28 hits and 13 walks in 22.2 innings. That is a 7.15 ERA and 1.81 WHIP.
Happ isn't anything to write home about himself, but he's at least been respectable in two starts -- both Blue Jay wins -- against the Red Sox, limiting them to four earned runs in 11 innings (3.27 ERA). He's also held David Ortiz, arguably Boston's most dangerous hitter, to a 1-for-7 (.143) mark.
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