8-26-14

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GOODFELLA

Tuesday Night MLB Team Total

SEATTLE MARINERS – OVER 4 RUNS

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INSIDE THE NUMBERS

L A Dodgers -110

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GUARANTEED SPORTS PICKS

Colorado vs SF Giants – OVER 6.5

Tampa Bay vs Baltimore - UNDER 7.5

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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (MLB)

8-Unit play - Game of the Year — Detroit Tigers ML-120

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JASON SHARPE (MLB)

7-Unit MLB – Game of the Year — Pittsburgh Pirates ML-125

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UNDER Umpire Streakers

#911 UN 6.5 +105 MIL/SD 1.00u/1.05u
Marquez 3ov/9un L12gms 75.0%

#913 UN 6.5 -120 CO/SF 1.20u/1.00u
Blaser 7ov/12un L19gms 63.2%

#927 UN 7.5 -115 TX/SEA 1.15u/1.00u
Fagan 10ov/16un L26gms 61.5%

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Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Pittsburgh Pirates -127 over the St. Louis Cardinals (Bet Level 3) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:05 PM EST

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Lance lock
padres- 125

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DIY SPORTS BETTING SYSTEMS Sam Oconnel

NY Mets +130

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SpOrTs-JuNkiE

08-27-14: MLB: Nationals vs Phillies (7:05 pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Phillies ML -104 Americasbookie <—— (Pending)

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Sportswagers

Cleveland @ CHICAGO
Cleveland +115 over CHICAGO
The White Sox have dropped six in a row. Over that span they are batting .214. Personally, I watched two of their three games in New York this past weekend and instead of being jacked up to play in the Big Apple like most teams get, the South Side looked completely disinterested. Errors, mental mistakes, poor base-running and swinging at pitches three feet out of the strike zone are all signs of a team going through the motions only. The trade of Gordon Beckham to the Angels last week sure hasn't been a lift for the South Side either, as Beckham was hugely popular in the dugout and he is a great defensive third baseman. Carlos Quintana is also trending the wrong way. Quintana has had some tremendous outings this season but all of the signs now point to a pitcher running on fumes. Santana threw 200 inning in 2012 split between the minors and majors. Last year he threw another 200 innings and this year he's already up to 161. Santana is 0-3 in his last three starts with an ERA of 4.91. His groundball rate has shown a significant decrease recently, going from 45% in the first four months of the year to 34% over his past five starts. In his last start he struck out three batters in six innings. The White Sox have lost each of Qunitana's last four starts by scores of 16-3, 4-1, 7-1 and 5-1. In all those starts he struggled miserably the second and third times through the order. Carlos Quintana is a pitcher in trouble right now pitching for a team that is also in trouble.

T.J. House has a mediocre 3.80 ERA and ugly 1.49 WHIP after 66 innings so far. As a result, he's being overlooked as just another mid to back-end rotation guy. A closer look suggests now's a good time to buy him low. His 3.43 xERA is the result of his solid command and very high groundball rate of 61%. House is beginning to figure things out quickly. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate of 65%/15%/20% over his last three starts is the best profile in the majors over any three-start span this season. Furthermore, left-handed hitters have very little shot chance against him, as House has posted 8.1 K's/9 and a 67% groundball rate against lefties. In the end we're left with a motivated Indians' team with an undervalued pitcher going against a White Sox team that is playing like they can't wait for the season to end.
Our Pick
Cleveland +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)

Chicago @ CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI -1½ +121 over Chicago
Johnny Cueto is not pitching his best baseball of the season right now, as his 3.92 xERA in August is by far his worst month of the season. He will be looking to improve that statistic against the free-swinging Cubs, who are averaging over 10 strikeouts per game in the month of August. That should bode well here for Cueto, who has still struck out 43 batters over his past 44 innings and that has 191 K's overall in 193 frames. Great American Ballpark has been the place to be for Cueto, where he has gone 9-3 with a 1.81 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, and 10.1 K's/9 in 13 starts. Cueto is one of the best but this one is still more about fading Travis Wood.

Wood is in terrible form, going winless over his last 12 starts, where he has only three pure quality starts while going 0-6 with a 5.45 ERA. Going on the road has been an adventure this season, as he is 4-7 with a 6.03 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in 13 starts. Wood has had the same groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate for three straight years at 35%/23%/42% and that's a profile that does not play well in hitters parks like Great American. Throw in Woods' shaky control (66 BB in 150 IP) and lack of confidence and you can see why he's a blowup risk every time he takes the hill. Seldom is it recommended to spot runs with the Reds but this is one of those games in which they figure to score plenty while giving up very little.

Our Pick
Cincinnati +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)
Our Pick
CINCINNATI -1½ +121 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)

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bookiemonsters

POD

NYY -105

MGs

PHI -105
ARZ +100
MIL +110

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Diamond Dog Sports

#924: Astros: +105 (5*)
Listed Pitchers: Hammel/Keuchel

#901/902: Cardinals/Pirates: Over 7.5 (+105) (3.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Lynn/Cole


#913/914: Rockies/Giants: Under 6.5 (-105) (4*)
Listed Pitchers: De La Rosa/Bumgarner

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Sports Pick Predictions

New York Yankees +100 (4 Units)
Atlanta Braves -145 (3 Units)
Pittsburgh Pirates -130 (2 units)
San Diego Padres -130 (2 Units)

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Steven Nover

Arizona Over 8