8-28-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BONES BEST BET (NCAAF) SOUTH CAROLINA -10 -105 (over TEXAS A&M) *5* BEST BET The biggest headline here is that Johnny Football is gone – that is not good for an A&M squad that was an absolute mess on defense last season – allowing 31.1 points per game over their final 10 games. A&M are starting 2 freshman in the secondary and South Carolina QB Dylan Thompson has plenty of experience under his belt. We think this could be a 17+ point blowout to start the season. MISSISSIPPI -10 -108 (over BOISE STATE) *4* Boise enters with a new coach and the weakest Boise State team in years. This is the first time that Boise State has entered a season unranked since 2008. Mississippi struggled out of the gate last year but reeled off 5 wins in their last 7 games. We believe Ole Miss could be a big surprise team this year and we think they start the season with a bang against this weak Boise State squad. UL MONROE ML -120 (over WAKE FOREST) *3* TEMPLE / VANDERBILT – UNDER 50.5 -110 *2* RUTGERS / WASHINGTON STATE – OVER 61.5 -105 *2* 4 TEAM ML PARLAY +105 *2* SOUTH CAROLINA MISSISSIPPI VANDERBILT OHIO STATE [8/30]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System extra bonus system for today: South Carolina -10½ (buy half point to -10) over Texas A&M (Bet Level 2) Spread Bet) (NCAA College Football) - Game Starts at 6:00 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE REAL ANIMAL SPORTS Free play – 2* Rutgers +8 This line looks suspicious to me. How is Washington State, a team with a cumulative 18-56 record since 2008, more than a touchdown favorite against a 2013 bowl qualifier? The Cougars have only been favored three times against a BCS opponent in the Mike Leach era. Last year they were chalk of exactly 1.5 points against California and Utah, who combined finished 6-18 straight-up. Rutgers has 16 starters back including senior QB Gary Nova as they prepare for life in the Big 10. Washington State loses three starters on the offensive line and that’s big considering the Cougars have allowed 276 sacks the last six years (most in the country). They are completely one-dimensional having finished DEAD LAST or #123 in rushing producing just 53.4 yards per game. They are abysmal defensively having allowed 32.5 points and 458 yards a game last year. Not good considering their out-of-conference schedule included Southern Utah and Idaho, two teams they outscored 90-10! So imagine how many points they allowed against teams with a pulse! How about 55 to Stanford, 52 to Oregon State, 62 to Oregon, 55 to Arizona State, and 48 to Colorado State in the New Mexico Bowl. Look on principle alone you shouldn’t be favored by over a touchdown alone if you allow 48 to CSU. Rutgers returns 99 career starts on their offensive line plus their top rusher and top receiver from 2013. The Cougars were #102 in total defense a year ago and have allowed 31.8 or more points in seven consecutive years. Certainly Coach Leach has improved this team offensively but they are still a disgrace on the defensive side. This trip shouldn’t be intimidating for the Scarlet Knights. They traveled west to open up the 2013 campaign-a one-point verdict at Fresno State. Former Maryland coach Ralph Friedgen is now the offensive coordinator at Rutgers. That should help Nova. Washington State is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in lined openers the last seven years. Washington State QB Connor Halliday piles up a ton of statistics with a favorable pass-first option attack but also throws his share of interceptions (22 last year). Note: This game is being played in Seattle where Washington State has been outscored 150-64 in their last three games here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday’s NFL Week 4 Preseason Primer Football fans looking for one last preseason fix may be risking overload Thursday night, with every team in the league playing its final exhibition tilt on a busy night on the gridiron. Here’s a look at betting notes for all 16 games: Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars (-4, 39.5) * The Falcons have an important position battle that should be settled Thursday night, with Sean Renfree and T.J. Yates tangling for the right to serve as the primary backup to quarterback Matt Ryan. Atlanta will look to improve its recent preseason standing against Jacksonville, having dropped four straight exhibition encounters and seven of 10 overall. * Both Week 1 starting quarterback Chad Henne and rookie backup Blake Bortles are expected to see limited action against the Falcons before giving way to Ricky Stanzi and Stephen Morris, who will battle it out for the No. 3 spot on the depth chart. The Jaguars are struggling to find a competent center, with Mike Brewster playing his way out of the spot and Luke Bowanko and Jacques McClendon likely dueling for the Week 1 start. Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills (-4, 41) * The Lions have themselves a heated battle at the wide receiver position, where Ryan Broyles, Corey Fuller, Kevin Ogletree and Kris Durham will have one last audition for the final two remaining spots. An injury to Kyle Van Noy has opened the door at strongside linebacker for Tahir Whitehead, who racked up three sacks and 10 tackles last week and my have the inside track on the Week 1 starting job. * While many teams will use their first-team offensive stars sparingly or not at all, Buffalo head coach Doug Marrone intends to play his starters in Thursday’s finale as he looks for more consistency and better execution. That includes quarterback EJ Manuel, who shook off a slow start against Tampa Bay last week to complete 10 straight passes for 131 yards and a touchdown in the second half. Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals (-3, 41.5) * The biggest decision the Colts will make following Thursday’s game is who to start at safety alongside LaRon Landry, with Colt Anderson, Sergio Brown and Mike Adams all in the mix entering the final preseason game. Head coach Chuck Pagano will also be paying close attention to several untested offensive lineman as he seeks a replacement for guard Donald Thomas, who will miss the season with a torn thigh muscle. * Between injuries to backups and a strong likelihood that starter Giovani Bernard won’t see the field at all, expect to see James Wilder Jr. and Jeremy Hill play the majority of the game at running back for the Bengals. A strong performance is pivotal for Wilder, who will hope to latch on as a fourth running back with an outside shot at surpassing BenJarvus Green-Ellis at some point during the season. St. Louis Rams at Miami Dolphins (-3, 39.5) * With starting quarterback Sam Bradford out for the season after tearing the ACL in his left knee last time out, new starter Shaun Hill will likely see limited action in the finale as the Rams look to keep him healthy for the opener. St. Louis ended a four-game road losing streak in exhibition games with a 33-14 victory over Cleveland last time out, behind 198 passing yards from third-stringer Austin Davis. * The Dolphins are expected to use the final exhibition game to showcase running back Daniel Thomas, who has missed the entire preseason recovering from a hamstring injury and will need a good showing to secure a roster spot. He should expect a serious challenge from undrafted free agent Damien Williams, who has looked sensational and could wind up the No. 3 option behind Lamar Miller and Knowshon Moreno. New York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5, 43.5) * With Nick Foles holding the clipboard in the preseason finale, the Jets are expected to get all three of their backup quarterbacks into the game, with Michael Vick leading things off and Matt Simms and Tajh Boyd relieving him. Fans shouldn’t expect to see much star power in this one; the teams have met in the final preseason game every year since 2001, and no first-team player has made an appearance in the contest since 2006. * Eagles backup quarterback Mark Sanchez is expected to see some time against his former team, and would love nothing more than to build on what are some impressive preseason totals to date (25-of-31, 281 yards, two TDs, one interception). Philadelphia head coach Chip Kelly will be paying close attention to how his defense plays, with neither the starters nor the reserves asserting themselves well so far. Kansas City Chiefs at Green Bay Packers. (-3, 42) * The most intriguing battle remaining on the Chiefs’ roster sees veteran placekicker Ryan Succop looking to fend off rookie Cairo Santos; both are expected to see time Thursday, though it isn’t known how the kicking duties will be divided. The backup quarterback battle remains undecided, as well, with Chase Daniel starting and playing the first quarter against Green Bay while Tyler Bray and Aaron Murray follow. * The backup quarterback position remains up for grabs in Green Bay, with Matt Flynn attempting to fend off Scott Tolzien for the opportunity to be the No. 2 man behind superstar Aaron Rodgers. The Packers have faced off against the Chiefs in the final week of the preseason every year since 2010 and 16 times overall in exhibition play; each team has won seven times and tied once. New England Patriots at New York Giants. (-3, 41) * Expect to see plenty of Jimmy Garoppolo in this one, with Patriots head coach Bill Belichick suggesting earlier this week that the rookie quarterback will likely play the majority of the final preseason game against the Giants – and maybe all of it. Garoppolo has been sensational so far, throwing for 334 yards with four touchdowns and zero interceptions while making veteran backup Ryan Mallett expendable. * The Giants are playing in their fifth preseason contest – they kicked off the exhibition campaign in the Hall of Fame Game – but head coach Tom Coughlin doesn’t intend to rest his starters, telling reporters he plans on playing them “a little bit” in the finale. That includes veteran quarterback Eli Manning, who has struggled in the preseason but will get 15-18 snaps Thursday before giving way to Ryan Nassib. Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5, 37.5) * The Panthers may have to lean on quarterback Joe Webb for the entire game – Cam Newton is out with a rib injury and likely to rest even if he were healthy, while backup Derek Anderson and his wife are expecting a child and Matt Blanchard was placed on IR. Fozzy Whittaker and Darrin Reaves will battle it out for the final running back slot, with Whittaker believed to have the edge entering Thursday. * Running backs Le’Veon Bell and LeGarrette Blount – both of whom were charged with possession of marijuana last week – are expected to play in the preseason finale while the remainder of the starters will likely sit. The most significant position battle heading into Thursday is at defensive end, where Nick Williams tangles with rookie Dan McCullers for a roster spot. Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3, 39) * Redskins head coach Jay Gruden will be paying close attention to the kicker competition, with starter Kai Forbath unable to put any distance between himself and rookie Zach Hocker; both are expected to see action in Thursday’s finale. Gruden told reporters he’s considering the possibility of letting some of his first-team offensive stars play after they failed to impress in the last preseason game. * With the Buccaneers have settled their left guard vacancy by acquiring Logan Mankins from the New England Patriots earlier in the week, right guard remains unsettled, with Patrick Omameh looking to hold off Rishaw Johnson and Kadeem Edwards for the starting spot. Veteran kicker Connor Barth has recovered from a ruptured Achilles tendon but will have to fend off free agent Patrick Murray for the No. 1 job. Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns (-5, 42.5) * Thursday is a pivotal day for Bears sixth-round pick David Fales – the quarterback will play the entire preseason finale, barring injury, and the coaching staff will likely use the performance to determine whether to keep him or cut him. Rookie running back Jordan Lynch will also look to make his mark, though the best-case scenario for the one-time Heisman Trophy finalist may be as a special teams contributor. * While the much-ballyhooed quarterback battle has finally been settled, both Brian Hoyer and Johnny Manziel will see action in the finale; Hoyer, the Week 1 starter, is expected to play the first quarter, while Manziel is slated to play the rest of the game. Josh Gordon’s year-long suspension may have opened the door for journeyman receiver Nate Burleson, though he’ll still need to impress in the finale to assure himself of a roster spot. Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys (+2, 43.5) * Broncos wide receiver Wes Welker has been cleared to travel with the team after suffering a concussion in last week’s exhibition tilt with Houston, but hasn’tr been medically cleared to play and won’t appear in the final preseason game. Welker likely wouldn’t have suited up, anyhow, with head coach John Fox expected to rest most – if not all – of his offensive and defensive starters. * The Cowboys expect defensive tackle Henry Melton to make his preseason debut against the Broncos, his first game action since suffering a torn ACL in his left knee nearly a year ago. Dallas traditionally enters the season with just two quarterbacks – Tony Romo and Brandon Weeden are locks – but Dustin Vaughn might be able to change some minds with a strong showing Thursday. Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans (-2, 42) * First-round pick Teddy Bridgewater may be secure as the No. 2 quarterback to start the season behind Matt Cassel, but another impressive performance Thursday may tighten the gap a little. Bridgewater, who is expected to see the bulk of the action in Minnesota’s preseason finale, is tied for second in the league with four touchdown passes while completing 65 percent of his attempts so far. * Tennessee head coach Ken Whisenhunt is expected to hand the offense over to rookie quarterback Zach Mettenberger, who has impressed so far in the preseason but remains firmly entrenched behind starter Jake Locker. The Titans are expected to give both kicker candidates Maikon Bonani and Travis Coons plenty of action Thursday, with Bonani owning a slight edge in the competition. Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints (-3, 43.5) * The Ravens hope they’ve found a gem in one-time Chargers starter and recent Vikings castoff Derek Cox, who should see plenty of action Thursday; the veteran cornerback was released by Minnesota following its third preseason game. While starting quarterback Joe Flacco hasn’t missed a start in his career, there remains a spirited battle behind him as Tyrod Taylor looks to hold on to his backup job. * The Saints are expected to hand things over to the reserves Thursday, with quarterback Drew Brees and the rest of the first-team offense enjoying the night off. New Orleans is one of several teams looking at a kicking battle that should come down to the wire, with veteran Shayne Graham and unheralded Derek Dimke each facing one more chance to impress the coaching staff. San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans (-3, 39) * Running back LaMichael James struggled in his preseason debut Sunday – carrying the ball seven times for nine yards – but will likely see plenty of action Thursday as he looks to challenge rookie Carlos Hyde for carries behind starter Frank Gore. Fifth-round pick Aaron Lynch showed the promise last time out that prompted San Francisco to take a chance on him, and the rookie linebacker is expected to be given an expanded role in Houston. * The Texans will start quarterback Case Keenum against visiting San Francisco, but the focus will be on fourth-round pick Tom Savage, who will get the majority of the snaps and may wrangle the No. 2 job with an impressive showing Thursday. Veteran receiver Mike Thomas has five catches for 53 yards in the preseason and could get plenty of looks as he competes for one of the remaining roster spots. Seattle Seahawks at Oakland Raiders (+5.5, 39) * Who will be Marshawn Lynch’s primary backup? That question has intrigued Seattle fans since the beginning of last season, and may – or may not – be settled Thursday night, as rookie Christine Michael looks to put together an impressive enough performance to wrest the No. 2 role away from Robert Turbin. Former Raiders quarterback Terrelle Pryor will see action Thursday as he looks to secure a roster spot. * Raiders starting quarterback Matt Schaub will watch the exhibition finale from the sidelines, giving rookie Derek Carr the opportunity to play the majority of the game. The top two running back slots have already been secured by veterans Darren McFadden and Maurice Jones-Drew, but the jockeying for position behind them continues into the final preseason game. Arizona Cardinals at San Diego Chargers (-3, 39) * The Cardinals are expected to welcome back a host of injured players, including safety Tyrann Mathieu (knee), linebacker Kevin Minter (pec), nose tackle Alameda Ta’amu (knee) and guard Jonathan Cooper (turf toe). Backup quarterback Logan Thomas is expected to play the entire game Thursday after struggling last weekend against the Cincinnati Bengals. * With the starters seeing little or no action Thursday, the Chargers’ offensive reserves will be tasked with improving the team’s third-down efficiency – San Diego was just 4-for-14 last weekend – and short-yardage conversions. Neither team is expected to give away much in the way of strategy; they’ll face off again 11 days from now in the regular-season opener for both clubs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDE VEGAS / Cory Kluge 1 MLB Sharp Play 3pm est. -Colorado Rockies+185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREG SMITH Boise State.+11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime THURSDAY NCAA FOOTBALL 1000* Play South Carolina -10.5 over Texas A&M (TOP NCAA PLAY) South Carolina has won 19 of the last 20 games when playing as a favorite and they have won 6 of the last 7 games when playing in the 1st month of the season.South Carolina has won 12 of the last 16 games vs. SEC Conference Opponents and they only allowed an average of 17 points a game on defense at home last season. 1000* Play Wake Forest +2 over LA-Monroe (TOP NCAA PLAY) Louisiana-Monroe has lost 59 of the last 76 non-conference games and they have lost 41 of the last 53 games when playing in the 1st month of the season.Louisiana-Monroe has lost 88 of the last 130 games when playing as an underdog and they allowed an average of 30 points a game on defense last season. 1000* Play Vanderbilt -13.5 over Temple (TOP NCAA PLAY) Vanderbilt has won 9 of the last 10 non-conference games and they have won 13 of the last 15 games when playing as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points.Vanderbilt has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 home games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 52 points and they averaged 32 points a game on offense at home last season. ================================================ THURSDAY NFL FOOTBALL---(Preseason) 25* Play Buffalo -4.5 over Detroit (TOP NFL PLAY) 25* Play Cleveland -5 over Chicago (TOP NFL PLAY) 25* Play Pittsburgh -5 over Carolina (TOP NFL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime MLB Baseball 1000* Play Kansas City -135 over Minnesota (TOP MLB) Minnesota has lost 33 of the last 52 games when playing on a Thursday and they have lost 63 of the last 107 games when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher.Minnesota has lost 59 of the last 101 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have lost 29 of the last 50 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season. ================================================== === 50* Play Cleveland -130 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY) 50* Play San Francisco -170 over Colorado (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks THURSDAY TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAYS Play South Carolina -10.5 over Texas A&M----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL Texas A&M has lost 30 of the last 42 games against the spread when playing as a road underdog and they have lost 11 of the last 16 games against the spread when playing on a Thursday.Texas A&M has lost 4 consecutive games against the spread when playing in the month of August and they allowed an average of 36 points a game on defense in road games last season. Play Wake Forest +2 over Louisiana-Monroe----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL Louisiana-Monroe has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread when playing in the month of August and they have lost 7 of the last 10 home games against the spread.Louisiana-Monroe has lost 21 of the last 26 games when playing in the 1st two weeks of the season and they allowed an average of 35 points a game on defense in their last three games last season. Play Tulsa -6.5 over Tulane----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL Tulane has lost 61 of the last 112 games against the spread when playing as a road underdog and they have lost 78 of the last 140 games against the spread vs. conference opponents.Tulane has lost 35 of the last 64 games against the spread when playing in the 1st month of the season and they have lost 8 of the last 9 games vs. Tulsa. Play Mississippi -10.5 over Boise State----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL Mississippi has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 non-conference games and they have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games when playing in a dome stadium.Mississippi has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 neutral field games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 points and they have covered the spread in 9 of the last 13 games when playing in the 1st half of the season. Play Washington State -8 over Rutgers----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL Rutgers has lost 9 of the last 10 games against the spread when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they have lost 3 of the last 4 games against the spread when playing in the 1st two weeks of the season.Rutgers has lost 4 of the last 5 games when playing on a Thursday and they allowed an average of 37 points a game on defense in road games last season. ================================================== =========== TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS Play Miami -3 over St. Louis----RISK 1% OF YOUR BANKROLL Play Jacksonville -4 over Atlanta----RISK 1% OF YOUR BANKROLL Play Tampa Bay -3 over Washington----RISK 1% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks THURSDAY BASEBALL Play New York Yankees -110 over Detroit----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll) 1:00 PM EST New York has won 12 of the last 15 games when playing on a Thursday and they have won 39 of the last 63 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents. New York has won 95 of the last 150 games when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher and they have won 92 of the last 155 day games. Play Oakland -110 over Los Angeles Angels---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll) 10:00 PM EST Oakland has won 90 of the last 157 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have won 27 of the last 46 games when playing on a Thursday. Oakland has won 57 of the last 91 road games when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher and they have won 71 of the last 111 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie ================================================== ============ THURSDAY MLB BASEBALL 10* Play NY Yankees -110 over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY) New York is 12-3 when playing on a Thursday this season New York is 39-24 vs. AL Central Division Opponents New York is 92-63 in day games the last three seasons 10* Play Oakland -110 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB TOP PLAY) Oakland is 90-67 vs. left-handed starting pitchers the last three seasons Oakland is 27-19 when playing on a Thursday Oakland is 57-34 when playing as a road favorite of -110 or higher ============================================= 5* Play Chicago Cubs -110 over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY) 5* Play Tampa Bay +120 over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie ================================================== ============ THURSDAY MLB BASEBALL 10* Play NY Yankees -110 over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY) New York is 12-3 when playing on a Thursday this season New York is 39-24 vs. AL Central Division Opponents New York is 92-63 in day games the last three seasons 10* Play Oakland -110 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB TOP PLAY) Oakland is 90-67 vs. left-handed starting pitchers the last three seasons Oakland is 27-19 when playing on a Thursday Oakland is 57-34 when playing as a road favorite of -110 or higher ============================================= 5* Play Chicago Cubs -110 over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY) 5* Play Tampa Bay +120 over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access (NFLX) Bills -4 (NFLX) Bears +5 (NFLX) Raiders +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra sports nflx Chicago Bears +5 Baltimore Ravens +3.5 Tulsa -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER NFAC CFB Move = (1st Half) 1144) UNDER 31.5 – RUT/WSU