8-31-14

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Jimmy Boyd

2014-09-06 (6 days)

NCAA-F Premium Picks

NCAA-F	Aug 31 ,2014	7:00p	[401] Utah State [402] Tennessee	Utah State +5-105 at bovada
4* Utah State/Tennessee NCAAF Vegas Insider on Utah State + Utah State is coming off a surprising finish to last season. The Aggies won the MWC Mountain division over Boise State, despite losing star quarterback Chuckie Keetan to a season-ending knee injury just 6 games into the year. Utah State would come up short against Fresno State in the MWC Championship Game, but would go on to beat Northern Illinois 21-14 in the Poinsettia Bowl for a 9-5 overall record. With Keetan returning, I look for Utah State to give the Volunteers all they can handle. Tennessee hasn't been able to get anything going over the last few years and I don't see them breaking out in 2014 with just 10 returning starters. There's a solid system telling us to fade the Volunteer. A home team in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more losses in last 5 game s, with 5 offensive starters returning are just 10-35 ATS over the last 10 years. That's a 78% system in favor of the Aggies. Takes Utah State +5!

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MLB Premium Picks

MLB	Aug 31 ,2014	1:10p	[951] Philadelphia Phillies [952] New York Mets	New York Mets -113 at Pinnacle
3* NL East Main Event on Mets - The Mets are showing great value as a small home favorite against division rival Philadelphia. I believe New York has a big edge on the mound in this one with Dillon Gee starting against A.J. Burnett. Gee has a solid 3.54 ERA and strong 1.136 WHIP over 10 road starts, while Burnett is just 3-8 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.494 WHIP over 14 road starts this season. Adding to this is the fact that Burnett is just 1-9 in his last 10 road starts after giving up 1 earned run or less in his last outing. The Phillies as a team are also just 9-27 in their last 36 road games played on a Sunday. There's also a strong system in play on New York. All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher hitting .250 or worse as a team against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games a re 110-46 over the last 5 seasons. That's a 71% system in favor of the Mets. Take New York!

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FantasySportsGametime

SUNDAY NCAA FOOTBALL

5000* Play Tennessee -4.5 over Utah State (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Utah State has lost 53 of the last 72 games when playing in the 1^st month of the season and they have lost 7 consecutive games vs. SEC Conference Opponents.Utah State has lost 90 of the last 117 road games and they have lost 104 of the last 125 games when playing as an underdog.


5000* Play Baylor -33 over SMU (TOP NCAA PLAY)

SMU has lost 19 of the last 21 games vs. Big XII Conference Opponents and they have lost 15 of the last 18 games when the total posted is greater than 63 points.SMU has lost 20 consecutive games when playing as a road underdog of 21.5 points or more and they are allowing an average of 33 points a game on defense last season.

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50* Play Saskatchewan -7 over Winnipeg (BONUS CANADIAN PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play Baltimore -170 over Minnesota (TOP MLB)

Wei-Yin Chen has won 41 of the last 62 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 26 of the last 42 games when pitching in the 2^nd half of the season.Wei-Yin Chen has won 26 of the last 41 home games and he has an ERA of 2.84 over his last three starts.

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50* Play Tampa Bay -150 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Kansas City -140 over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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Doc's Sports

Monday

Miami Florida @ Louisville

4* Louisville -3.5 -110

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CKO

11 UTAH STATE over *Tennessee

Late Score Forecast:

UTAH STATE 28 - *Tennessee 21

Along with our CKO sources, we believe oddsmakers not showing sufficient respect to MW Mountain Divisiondefending champ Utah State, which is a 6½-point underdog at presstime (The Gold Sheet makes UT only 3-pt.
chalk). The Utags, who’re relishing the opportunity to grab attention on the national stage vs. an SEC foe, have
come oh-so-close in tight non-conference road losses at Auburn, Wisconsin, & Southern Cal over the last three
terms (those defeats by combined 9 points!). So, can’t pass up extra value with confident USU, well-equipped to
spring minor upset vs. still-vulnerable Vols (4 straight losing seasons), who’re the only team in America replacing
all starters on both lines. Utags’ now-healthy multi-skilled sr. QB Chuckie Keeton (18 TDs, 2 ints., 241 YR prior to
knee injury in 6th game LY) bedazzles an unproven UT defense (29 ppg LY; fewest sacks in SEC L2Ys) still on a
youth movement, with as many as 13 newcomers likely to see action in opener. Meanwhile, the Vols’ journeyman
sr. QB Justin Worley (10 TDs, 8 ints. LY) hard-pressed to solve a stingy USU defense (17.6 ppg L2Ys), spear-
headed by the all-league trio of DE B.J. Larsen & LBs Kyler Fackrell & Zach Vigil.

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Paul Leiner

100* Detroit Tigers -125

100* Over 7 Philadelphia Phillies/New York Mets

50* Los Angeles Dodgers -140

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Worlds Worst Picker

NCAAF

Under 75.5 SMU Mustangs/Baylor Bears

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Don Best Consensus

SMU Mustangs/Baylor Bears

Baylor Bears

LY Baylor opened at home vs Wofford and led 38-0 at the half. This game is a rematch of the '12 season where Baylor hosted SMU in the opener, a 59-24 Baylor win(24-3 HT). SMU loses 4 year QB Gilbert to the NFL and his replacement is bound to experience growing pains on the road. Bears senior QB Bryce Petty leads the Baylor offense to at least 5 first half TD's.

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Ecks and Bacon


E&B went 2-1 in College Football on Saturday.

(1) Alabama -26/West Virginia (L)

(2)Texas -25/North Texas (W)

(3) Wisconsin -+5.5/LSU (W)

"Mr Chalk" won in Mlb in the American League on Saturday with the Orioles -$175/Twins.

For Sunday in College Football E&B like Utah State +6.5/Tennessee.

For Sunday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Angels -$120/A's.

Ben lee is 6-3 +$115 for week forty four 201-227-5 -$2782

"Mr Chalk" is 70-51 -$355 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

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Incredible Stat of the Day / Playbook Newsletter Issue No. 2:

Utah State is 12-1 ATS as a non-conference dog of more than two points.

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R&R Totals

TOP MLB Over-Under

[955] Chicago Cubs/[956] St. Louis Cardinals

Over 8 +105

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Johnny Wynn

Utah State Aggies+5 -105

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Rocky Atkinson

Cincinnati Reds +120

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Sports Insurance Adjusters



We just can't seem to be able to get consecutive big winning days. Every time we have had a big day lately we come back with a terrible day.. Not the way we wanted yesterday to go at all!! Today we make it up with an easy 5* winner!!! Let's make this another FUN DAY SUNDAY!!!


MLB


5*****LA Dodgers RL -1.5 +120


Baltimore RL -1.5 +115


Kansas City RL -1.5 +120


Atlanta RL -1.5 +145

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SPORTS WAGERS

England Premier League

LEICESTER CITY +½ +108 over Arsenal

(Risking 1 units - To Win: 1.08)

Sunday, 11:00 AM EST. Asian Handicap. This key fixture will not be taken place at the Emirates, it will be at the King Power stadium in Leicester City and has so far proven to be a strong venue that the Foxes have defended well. Against Everton, Leicester City found itself trailing on two separate occasions and in both instances the crowd and the will of the Foxes propelled them to equalize and force a draw. A much more disparaging result followed when Leicester traveled to Chelsea the following week, but the Blues are virtually unbeatable at Stamford Bridge, losing only twelve games at home in the last 10 years (146-12-36).

A far different statistic accompanies the Gunners. Arsenal is a notoriously tough squad when they roam their home grounds of the Emirates or Highbury as it is known by many who hold endearment toward the North London squad. On the road in the last 10 seasons, Arsenal is 78-50-44, and overall have won less contests in away fixtures than draws or losses combined. This type of narrative can serve to be the imperceptible statistic that is instrumental in a Leicester City win or draw. The Foxes will have home pitch advantage and that’s something that works in their favor. Arsenal has the talent, but Leicester has another intangible at its disposal and it’s for this reason that we’ll play the dog NOT to lose.