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MLB Game: Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays
Time: Tuesday 09/09 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Toronto -140 (moneyline)
The Chicago Cubs won’t be playing in October, and that is nothing new. While they have played respectable at home on the season where they are just a game under .500, the road has been another story all together where they are now 29-44 on the season. Mark Buehrle has the top mark in the last decade when pitching as a home favorite. While he has not recorded a win in six straight starts, the Jays have won four of those, so he continues to get it done. Jake Arrieta has a career 6.00 ERA vs. the Jays, and facing them on the road the already inflated ERA skyrockets to 7.31. Buehrle has destroyed losing teams, leaving the Jays at the top of the heap when he faces them at 18-3 in his last 21 starts vs. a losing team. Take Toronto.
Diamond Trends - Tuesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Mariners are 12-0 since August 31, 2013 after a win in which they drew 5+ walks and it is not the last game of a series for a net profit of $1255.
PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:
When Mike Leake starts the Reds are 10-0 since August 14, 2010 at home after he had a WHIP of at least 2 his last start for a net profit of $1000.
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
The Giants are 1-13-1 OU since August 28, 2012 as a 140+ favorite after a 5+ run loss.
CHOICE TREND:
The Rangers are 9-0 since May 01, 2004 as a home dog after a win in which they had 6 or fewer hits and it is not the last game of a series for a net profit of $1135.
ACTIVE TRENDS:
When Max Scherzer starts the Tigers are 23-1 since June 15, 2010 as a home 140+ favorite after more strike outs than hits allowed on the road last start for a net profit of $2155.
LAS VEGAS -- The Pittsburgh Pirates have been a hard team to figure out since the All-Star break. They're a moody bunch, full of highs and lows. Just when you think they're gaining some momentum, they go through a multi-game losing streak. And just when you think you can write them off, their scrappy nature reminds us that they are still a quality team.
Right now they're in the scrappy mood as they attempt to win a season-high fifth game in a row and increase their 1.5-game lead over the Atlanta Braves for the second wild card spot. But prior to their current run, they lost four straight (swept at St. Louis), won four straight, lost two, won three and then had a season-high seven-game losing streak.
Overall since the All-Star break, they've only had one one-game streak of anything. All the other wins and losses have come in pairs or higher, and fortunately for them, they've won more then they've lost, going 26-22.
In addition to going for their fifth straight win tonight, they are also going for the fifth straight win against the Phillies. They've gone 4-0 against Philly so far this season after winning 6-4 last night in the first of a four-game set.
The Pirates will turn to Edinson Volquez (11-7, 3.31 ERA), who has been their most consistent pitcher lately, going 3-0 with a 2.02 ERA in his last eight starts. He's 4-1 in five starts against the Phillies with a 1.72 ERA and comes in as a -131 favorite over David Buchanan (6-7, 3.95).
Pittsburgh hasn't been at their best on the road this season (31-40) and their four-game win streak has come on the road at the expense of two last-place teams, but it's a confidence builder that should carry them for a few more games until two critical series begin against the Milwaukee Brewers (Sept. 19) and Braves (Sept 22), two teams that are chasing them for the final wild card slot.
We'll find out what the Bucs are really made of then, but for now, with three more against the Phillies, then six at home against the Cubs and Red Sox, the near future looks bright for Pittsburgh.
Tuesday selections:
Pirates (Volquez) -131 at Phillies
Orioles (Tillman) -135 at Red Sox
Royals (Vargas) +161 at Tigers
Padres/Dodgers UNDER 7 (-105)
Twins/Indians OVER 8.5 (-105)
Cardinals (Wacha) -125 at Reds
Overall, my ratings favor the Monarchs by 24 ½ points and Eastern Michigan applies to a negative 22-60 ATS early season big road dog situation. I’ll take Old Dominion in a 2-Star Best Bet at -17 or less and for 1-Star up to -19 points.
dime bet – 927 HOU (+133) vs 928 SEA
Analysis: McHugh has been excellent and Elias may be the weakest starter on the Seattle rotation. Definite mismatch in bullpens here but I will take my chances with what I see as a mismatch in starters and the nice price.
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