9-10-14

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Hondo

Hondo’s Brave rave

Hanigan blocked Hondo’s deficit-reduction plan Tuesday when he slapped the tag on Stephen Drew, which led to a Yankees loss that elevated the accounts payable to a beefy 1,620 bragans.

Wednesday night: Mr. Aitch will harangue the Braves for some assistance — 10 units on Aaron to outduel Strasburg.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | MINNESOTA at CLEVELAND
Play On - Home teams (CLEVELAND) bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70)-AL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game
116-79 since 1997. ( 59.5% | 50.0 units )
16-13 this year. ( 55.2% | 1.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at BOSTON
BALTIMORE is 49-29 (+21.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.3) , OPPONENT (3.3)

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Bookiemonsters

Pittsburgh Pirates -135 (POD)


Money Generators

New York Mets -130

Boston Red Sox +125

Detroit Tigers -115

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PAUL LEINER

100* Over 7 Mets/Rockies
50* Brewers -130

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PERRY'S SOCCER CLUB season record (-3.66)

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS
GABON @ LESOTHO - UNDER 2 -102 (1PM)

BRAZIL SERIE A
CRICIUMA @ PALMEIRAS SP - UNDER 2 +110 (630PM)

ENGLAND CONFERENCE
BARNET FC @ DOVER ATHLETICO - UNDER 2.5 -115 (245PM)

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Worlds Worst Picker

Balt
Wash
Det
T bay

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Game of the Day: Braves at Nationals

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-180, 7)

Stephen Strasburg has spent the past six weeks re-establishing himself as one of the National League’s top pitchers, and the Washington Nationals’ right-hander looks for his fourth consecutive victory Wednesday as the NL East leaders host the Atlanta Braves. Strasburg has allowed one or zero runs in six of his past eight outings, helping propel Washington’s second-half surge. The Nationals have taken the first two games of the series from Atlanta and lead the Braves by nine games in the East.

Atlanta’s hopes of repeating as division champions have all but evaporated, as the Braves have dropped seven of 10 and sit 1 ½ games behind Pittsburgh for the NL's second wild card. Atlanta first baseman Freddie Freeman has three homers in 22 career at-bats against Strasburg, and is 29-for-59 against Washington pitching this season. Justin Upton hit a two-run blast in Tuesday’s 6-4 loss, his first homer and first two RBIs this month after blasting seven homers with 28 RBIs in August.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, SportSouth (Atlanta), MASN2 (Washington)

LINE HISTORY: Online book SportsInteraction opened the Nats as -210 faves, but are now -195. The total has held at 7.

INJURY REPORT: Braves - 2B Tommy La Strella (Questionable, migraine), C Evan Gattis (Doubtful, throat). Nationals - SS Ian Desmond (Questionable, back).

POWER RANKINGS: Braves (-166), Nationals (-195)

WEATHER REPORT: Partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the low-70s. Wind will blow in from centerfield at 9 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Aaron Harang (10-10, 3.87 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (11-10, 3.43)

Harang gave the Braves an outstanding first four months, but has struggled mightily since mid-August while going 1-4 with a 6.91 ERA and a .350 opponents batting average in his past five stars. The 36-year-old lasted just 3 2/3 innings Friday at Miami, giving up six runs on 10 hits. Harang, who gave up one run on seven hits over seven innings against Washington on Aug. 9, is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts against the Nationals in 2014.

Strasburg gave up seven runs in five innings to the Braves on Aug. 8 and five runs to San Francisco in four innings on Aug. 24, but has allowed only four earned runs in the other 42 2/3 innings pitched since July 29. He got a no-decision Friday against Philadelphia despite giving up one run on four hits in six innings, and sports a 0.92 WHIP in his past eight outings. Strasburg, who leads the NL with 215 strikeouts, is 3-6 with a 4.62 ERA lifetime against Atlanta.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Strasburg's last four starts vs. Braves.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in umpire Marty Foster's last four games behind home plate.
* Braves are 1-9 in Harang's last 10 starts.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 61.91 percent of wagers are backing the Nationals.

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Jeff Clement

8* Blue Jays -150

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Totals Play

Hump day card led by the MLB Total Of the Week backed with a Powerful League Wide totals system that averages over 12 runs. Top N.L. Play cashed out on Tuesday. Free MLB Play below.


On Wednesday the free MLB Play is on the Under in the Arizona at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 963/964 at 10:15 eastern. Arizona has struggled at the plate of late averaging just 2.6 runs the past week. They have played under in 10 of 12 games as a road dog from +150 to +175. This game also fits a nice league wide system that has gone under in 16 of 20 games for home favorites at -140 or higher with a total that is 8 or less if they are off a home favored win at -140 or higher and scored 5 or more runs on 10 or more hits with no errors and are playing an opponent like Arizona that lost as a road dog and scored 2 or less runs and had 4 or less hits. Arizona has Collmenter pitching and he has been solid of late with a 0.83 era in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 starts vs the Giants he has allowed 2 runs in 10 innings. Vogelsong for San Francisco has pitched under in 10 of 14 starts and has a solid 2.97 home era. So based on the system and angles we will back the one to stay under the total. On Hump day we bring the bang in bases and the lead play is the MLB Total Of The Week from an amazing totals system that averages 12 runs. Last night we nailed the MLB Top play. Tonight get on the "Giving End" Hump day. For the free play take the Diamondbacks and Giants to play under the posted total. GC

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XpertPicks

WEDNESDAY BASEBALL

• Play Washington -170 over Atlanta---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

4:10 PM EST

Washington has won 52 of the last 74 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have won 39 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September. Washington has won 46 of the last 73 home games and they have won 99 of the last 143 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher.

• Play Toronto -160 over Chicago Cubs---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
  7:10 PM EST

Chicago has lost 42 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September and they have lost 44 of the last 70 games when playing on a Wednesday. Chicago has lost 80 of the last 124 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have lost 45 of the last 74 road games.

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BeatYourBookie

WEDNESDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Washington -170 over Atlanta (MLB TOP PLAY)

Washington is 52-22 when playing on a Wednesday
Washington is 39-24 when playing in the month of September
Washington is 46-27 in home games this season


10* Play Toronto -160 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago is 21-42 when playing in the month of September
Chicago is 26-44 when playing on a Wednesday
Chicago is 44-80 when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher

=============================================

5* Play Kansas City +115 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Miami +125 over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play Oakland -170 over Chicago White So (TOP MLB PLAY)

Oakland has won 39 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September and they have won 97 of the last 151 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.Oakland has won 83 of the last 118 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 66 of the last 117 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents.

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50* Play Seattle -230 over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Los Angeles Angels -160 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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Kevin's Pick(s):

Well at least Kyle continues to provide the winners lately. We had a 2-1 game going into the bottom of the 7th and then a 4-2 game in the bottom of the 8th, but the Cubs bullpen blew up and the total soared over the total late. Three system plays today...

2 UNIT = Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays - BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+130)
Listed Pitchers: Hendricks vs Hutchison
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.60 units)

2 UNIT = Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers - RANGERS TO WIN (+164)
Listed Pitchers: Shoemaker vs Tepesch
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.28 units)

2 UNIT = Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Indians - TWINS TO WIN (+134)
Listed Pitchers: Gibson vs House
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.68 units)

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PowerPlay Wins

Pittsburgh -135
St. Louis -130
LA Dodgers -155

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Johnny Wynn

Kansas City +105