9-21-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Medal Club- NFL Selections
#463 baltimore -1.5
10* #466 detroit -2.5
# 474 seattle -5
#472 arizona +3

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Esquire Picks

Packers vs Lions OVER 53 ($500)
Indianapolis Colts -6.5 ($2,000) TOP NFL PICK OF THE WEEK
Washington Redskins +6.5 ($500)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael esparza
Vegas Sports Informer
6* seattle-4.5....
3* cinn-7.....
3* no-10
3 Unit Play. #460 New Orleans -9 ½ over Minnesota (1:00p.m., Sunday, Sept 21 FOX)
Yes the Saints are one of the most surprising teams that are 0-2 but we all know the Saints are a totally different team on the road. This is the first home game for the Saints this young season and the Dome will be loud and crazy. Minnesota comes to the Dome in the Crescent City with Adrian Peterson drama and this distraction might show it's ugly head on the road Sunday afternoon. The Saints will be pissed off after losing to the Browns last week and the Saints defense will look to punish the Vikings. Saints 'D' was glory last year but the last 2 games have been pretty bad letting the Falcons score 37 points in Week #1 and last week the Browns scored 26 against the Saints ?D?. This game might be over by halftime and I see the Saints winning this game by double digits and again this game could get ugly quick.
3 Unit Play. #462 Cincinnati -6 ½ over Tennessee (1:00p.m., Sunday, Sept 21)
Doing my research in this game and I forgot how long the Bengals have been unstoppable at home. The Bengals have lost a home game since December 2012 against Dallas and last week the Bengals won at home against Atlanta. Cincinnati has yet allowed a sack (amazing) or suffer a turnover and Andy Dalton has played some very smart football in his last 2 starts. The Bengals could be without A.J. Green but of he doesn't play the Bengals still have enough weapons at home to beat a medico Tennessee squad. Tennessee is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games and the Bengals are an outstanding 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
6 Unit Play. #474 Seattle -4 ½ over Denver (4:25p.m., Sunday, Sept 21 ESPN CBS)
(Game of the Month) Seattle lost last week in San Diego and yes it was a small shocker but did we actually think the Seahawks were going undefeated. This is a rematch of the Super Bowl and this game is being played in Seattle and we all know what kind of noise will be produced in Seattle Sunday late afternoon. Yes Denver improved and Welker is coming back but again this game is being played in Seattle. San Diego scored 30 points on the Seahawks defense and Marshawn Lynch only had six carries in the game. Lynch will get the ball more as the Seahawks will want to slow this game down and keep the Denver offense watching football instead of passing football. This game is going to be the best game to watch this Sunday but for some odd reason we could see another Seattle blowout. Sometimes teams just have your number and I'm shocked that this number was only -4.5. Denver is 1-4 ATS following a SU win and the Seahawks are 5-1 ATS following a SU loss. Seattle is 16-5 ATS against a team with a winning

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Ferringo



SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS
5-Unit Play. Take #453 Dallas (Pk) over St. Louis (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
St. Louis is pathetic. We've seen how awful Tampa Bay is. And they almost beat the Rams. We've seen how bad Minnesota is. And they hammered the Rams. I have been as anti-Cowboys as anyone. And I still don't think they are a good team at all. But they at least have some NFL-caliber players. Tony Romo, DeMarco Murray, Jason Witten and Dez Bryant are better than anything that the Rams have going on offense. By a long, long ways. The Dallas defense is not good. At all. But they are playing above themselves right now. And after at least holding up for two weeks they now are stepping down to face a weak St. Louis team. All the anti-Dallas venom is holding this line down. Just as last week the anti-Dallas sentiment swung the line nearly a touchdown so that they were solid underdogs at Tennessee, who they handled. This is just what we need: Dallas to win a couple road games and get everyone thinking they aren't terrible so that we can bet against them down the line. The Cowboys wouldn't beat any of the top tier teams int he league, but they can beat one of the half-dozen worst ones.


4-Unit Play. Take #456 Philadelphia (-6.5) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
I won with the Eagles on Monday Night Football to cap a winning NFL Week 2 and I think I'll go right back to them here. I think the Eagles have more momentum off their comeback win over Washington than the Redskins gained by blowing out the Jaguars. There is no doubt that Kirk Cousins is a better quarterback - by a wide margin - than Bob Griffin. But there are still some fundamental problems with Washington, particularly in the secondary, and the Eagles should exploit those weaknesses. Philadelphia is going to be nearly impossible to beat at home this season and I think that they are going to wear teams down and tack on those extra couple fourth quarter scores to keep them ahead of a lot of lines. They have won their last five regular season home games by an average of 17 points and those differentials were by 17, 43, 14, 3 and 8 points. Even if you kick out the 43-point outlier the other four wins were by an average of 10.5 points per game. The Eagles are only 7-21 ATS in their last 28 home games. But those numbers are set up for a huge regression and I can see the Eagles going 6-2 or 7-1 ATS this season on their own turf. This Philadelphia team is one of the best in football. And even though Washington has some solid defensive stats working in their favor they have also faced Ryan Fitzpatrick and Chad Henne this year. This will be the best offense the Eagles have faced to date and I don't know that they're up for it. The action is split almost 50-50 in this game and the Redskins are taking the lion's share of the moneyline action. But this isn't a 50-50 game at all. Philadelphia will pull away late and I can see them winning this one by between 13-17 points.


1-Unit Play. Take #461 Tennessee (+7) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
I have kind of an irrational belief in the Titans this year. Jake Locker is a loser. But I kind of like what the rest of the team has to offer. I think they are going to bounce back offensively this week even though they are facing a significantly better defense from the Bengals. The public is all over the Bengals. And why not - they have dominated people at home. But this line is pretty stiff. A.J. Green is likely to play. But he's not 100 percent. And if he doesn't play or doesn't play well then this game takes on an entirely new tenor. I see this game giving us some scoring and I think the Titans are going to give as good as they get. I can see this game finishing around 26-21 or 27-23 but I think Tennessee finds a way to scum out a cover here and put a scare into the Bengals, who could get a little lazy looking ahead to that bye.


2-Unit Play. Take #463 Baltimore (-1) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
Yeah, I'm not buying Cleveland. I know they have covered their first two games and pulled an upset over New Orleans. Well, the Saints suck on the road and on grass and they simply didn't play well last week. And they still should've beaten the Browns. Cleveland's defense has not looked good the first two games and I think Baltimore is going to be able to exploit that. The fact is that both of these teams run the same offense. The exact same system. So this game is going to come down to one thing: talent. Who has better players on both sides of the ball? That would be Baltimore. They are more experienced and more talented, and they have absolutely dominated the Browns over the last decade-plus. This line is giving the Browns too much credit. And at the end of the day on Sunday I'm going to wish that this had been a bigger play.


2-Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay (+2.5) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
I'll take a stab with Green Bay as an underdog here. Detroit hasn't been that impressive in either game and the same problems that have plagued them the last few seasons - penalties, turnovers, general stupidity - are still there. In fact, they may have been exacerbated by a kind of clueless coach in Jim Caldwell, who has made a coaching career by riding the backs of great players. I took a shot with the Packers last week and missed so I am a little more apt to jump back on the bandwagon this week. I think they were taking the Jets lightly and were in kind of a look ahead/let down situation last week.


2-Unit Play. Take #467 Indianapolis (-6.5) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
Some times it is hip to be square. I've gone against the Jaguars the first two weeks of the season and I'll go against them here. And I hate the Colts. I've been anti-Colts for the past three years. But that is how little respect I have for the Jags. They are garbage. I heard more than one prognosticator and bobblehead talking them up this preseason and I just laughed. Their skill position players are awful. Their quarterback is awful. Their offensive line is a mess. Their back seven is an uncoordinated disaster. Oh, but they have a really, really good defensive line. See where that will get you. The Colts have wrecked the Jaguars the last three times they have faced them and I don't see any reason why it won't be more of the same.


2-Unit Play. Take #471 San Francisco (-3) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
Yeah, you're only going to go so far with Drew Stanton. I love Bruce Arians. But his team could very easily be 0-2 right now. They shouldn't have beaten San Diego and I still don't know how they beat the Giants by double-digits with Stanton under center. (The Giants are obviously just THAT bad.) San Francisco was that close to blowing Chicago out of the water and then they would have a pair of double-digit wins under their belt to start the season. But some ridiculous individual efforts by some Bears short-circuited that and now the 49ers aren't good enough to beat Stanton? I don't think so. I will agree that San Fran has not looked good in either game this year. But Arizona has just as many distractions as the 49ers do right now. The difference is that the 49ers have more talent and a better quarterback.


1-Unit Play. Take #474 Seattle (-4.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
This game will not be a blowout. There is no doubt in my mind that Denver keeps this one competitive for all four quarters. But the reality is that Seattle just absolutely wrecks people at home. Yes, they lost to the Chargers last week. But Seattle has been wobbly on the road at times and it took a Herculean effort from some Chargers to make that happen. I'm not saying Denver isn't capable of that. I'm just saying its not likely because the Seahawks still wreck people at home. The Seahawks were too fast for Denver in February and they will be too fast for them now.


3-Unit Play. Take #476 Miami (-4) over Kansas City (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
I think this is a great spot for Miami. If this team is good enough to dominate New England then they are good enough to dominate the Chiefs. Ryan Tannehill has been terrible so far this year and he knows he needs a breakout game. Now he is facing a rebuilt Chiefs secondary that could be without stud safety Eric Berry. The Dolphins did not play as poorly as their nearly three-touchdown loss last week would indicate. They just ran into a Bills team that is playing above itself right now and was riding a wave of emotion. But Kansas City is in the opposite posture. They just took a big swing and miss at Denver on the road and now they have to head to into the humid South Florida air. Remember: this is the same Chiefs roster that won all of two games two seasons ago. I was riding their bandwagon last year, but that's because the schedule set up perfectly for them. But its not as kind this time around and it is working against them in a big way here. Miami should extend its lead in the second half of this one.


Today's Totals
4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.5 Baltimore at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)


3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 43.0 Tennessee at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)


2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.5 Kansas City at Miami (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)


2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.5 Pittsburgh at Carolina (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)


1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 50.0 Washington at Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)




MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
2-Unit Play. Take #480 N.Y. Jets (-2.5) over Chicago (8:30 p.m., Monday, Sept. 22)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports
5* Bengals -7
4* Saints -10
4* 49ers -3
4* Panthers -3
4 Unit Play. #460/#808 Take New Orleans Saints -10 over Minnesota Vikings (Sunday 1 pm FOX) New Orleans will be a strong public play this week, but that will not deter us from using them as they are desperate for a win. The Saints are 0-2, but they have yet to play in the Superdome this season, and we all know they are a completely different at home. New Orleans is 17-0 straight up and 16-1 ATS in their last 17 games that Sean Payton has coached. Minnesota showed their true colors last week against New England, and playing on the road will be too much to overcome and keep this a one-possession game.




5 Unit Play. #462/#798 Take Cincinnati Bengals -7 over Tennessee Titans (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Top NFL Selection of the Weekend. Tennessee got manhandled by Dallas last week and they are just not a very good team. Cincinnati continues to shine. The Bengals have won and covered the spread in 10 straight regular season home games. If Cincinnati can shut down the Titans run game I believe that they will win this game convincingly. Tennessee is 2-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against AFC teams. Cincinnati is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games played on Fieldturf.




4 Unit Play. #471/#815 Take San Francisco 49ers -3 over Arizona Cardinals (Sunday 4:05 pm Fox) The Cardinals are living on the edge and should be 0-2 on the season. They had no business beating the Giants last week, and their luck is about to run out today against a desperate team that does not want to drop to 1-2 on the season. Arizona will likely be without Carson Palmer, and Drew Stanton will not be able to carry the load in this game. Unlike the Giants, San Francisco is solid on defense and will not beat themselves. San Francisco is 9-1 straight up in their last 10 games against Arizona (8-2 ATS).




4 Unit Play. #478/#822 Take Carolina Panthers -3 over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) The Panthers continue to win football games despite the turmoil surrounding Greg Hardy, and we fully expect them to move to 3-0 on the season. Pittsburgh has their own issues with the quarterback - coordinator relationship, and that does not bode well for them in this game. Cam Newton is due to play a good game since he was held out of week 1, and expect him to get much better in his second game of regular season action. Pittsburgh is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games played during the month of December. Carolina is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 home games.




Best of Luck - Doc's Sports. Our College Football Game of the Year is slated to go next Saturday assuming the line comes in where we believe it will. Do not forget to sign-up for Doc's MLB Baseball as we are up +$14,255 on the season and expect even bigger things during the postseason.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY

3-Unit Selection. #452. Take Buffalo Bills -2over San Diego Chargers (Sunday @ 1pm est)

The Bills are not theBills of old. This team is well aware of their previous 2-0 starts before notmaking the playoffs but that is likely to change this year. The Bills couldvery well start the season 3-0 as they are in a very nice spot. The Bills notonly beat a very good Miami team at home (who had a let down post Patriotsgame) but also beat a very good Bears team on the road (which the Bearsbounced-back and beat the Niners on MNF). Now the Bills face the Chargers whocome off a big win over the defending Super Bowl Champs and find themselvesunderdogs. It's not by accident they are underdogs as this is a let down spothere for the Chargers after that big win. Let's roll with Buffalo where its avery difficult place to play, who are playing quality offense and defense rightnow and to send a bit of a shockwave around the league to start the season 3-0.At that point they will have ATS let downs but they catch San Diego off a bigwin and a let down and likely start the year 3-0 here. We have the Billswinning by 6 points here.

4-Unit Selection. #474. Take Seattle Seahawks-4.5 over Denver Broncos (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)

Everyone loves PeytonManning. But that doesn't mean we get everything we want. The Seahawks had alet down against the Chargers after the big public win over the Packers onnational television dominating them from start to finish. They roll into SanDiego, a team that can play against anyone when they are a big underdog roleand struggled against them. Don't expect that here against Seattle at home anddespite the Broncos having big revenge, it doesn't matter. Seattle and theirhome field advantage is very difficult, plus, if there is one thing the Broncoscannot do well and that is to handle physical cornerbacks. Seattle'spreparation is second to none and after a poor performance last week, this willbe a big bounce-back opportunity, fantastic public fade and though it might notbe a rout like last time, we do have Seattle in our models to win by 8 pointshere as Denver still does not get their revenge yet. They will have to waituntil this year's Super Bowl likely to get their revenge.

3-Unit Selection. #476. Take Miami Dolphins-4 over Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)

The Dolphins playedpoorly against the Bills and that has to sting as they return home. The Chiefsover achieved frankly on the road against Denver and that makes up for a nicepublic fade here. Keep in mind the Chiefs have not won a game this year butthis team is just not that good. They are vastly overrated and they can be goodas heavy underdogs but not as small favorites or small underdogs. Take a look athe Titans running this team over but hung in as a big dog against the Broncos.The Chiefs are small underdogs here and note that the Dolphins are one of thebest bounce-back teams in the league and after getting routed in Buffalo, lookfor them to have a big bounce-back effort here. The defensive line for theDolphins is one of the best in the league and Alex Smith struggles againststrong defensive lines (such as Tennessee) and with the Dolphins having balanceand the ability to run, don't be surprised to see the Dolphins take down thepublic here. We have the Dolphins winning by 9 per our models.

6-Unit Selection. #480. Take New York Jets-2.5 over Chicago Bears (Monday @ 8:30pm est)

What a fantasticpublic fade this is. The Jets come off a great effort against the Packers,essentially should have won that game frankly and hung in there and took careof Oakland at home. This is a game we believe they will win to get to 2-1 asthey very well could be headed to the Playoffs this year outside of thedifficulties they face in the AFC East. The Bears come off a stunning comebackon the road at San Francisco and are in a classic let down spot here as theyface the Jets on Monday Night Football. The theory is that if the Bears canbeat the Niners on the road Outright as heavy Underdogs, why can't they do itto the Jets? It's because the Jets are good. They have a quarterback whoreturned, some consistency in the passing game with some decent receivers, astrong running game and an offensive line with a defensive that can beextremely disruptive. Cutler has never done well against strong defensive lines(check the Bills game) and this should be a terrible matchup for him. Don't besurprised to see the public absolutely get buried here on Monday Night Footballas this is a difficult matchup for the Bears, classic let down spot, the Jetsoff a loss and and a good public fade to boot. We'll roll with the Jets here aswe have them winning by 7 in our models.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman
6*-chargers+2.5.....
5*-under-42-nyg-hou.....
4*-dallas-1....
3*-saints-10.....
3*-bal-2....
3*-det-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports
5* - #458 New York Giants (+2.5) over Houston
7* - #462 Cincinnati (-7) over Tennessee
3* - #476 Miami (-4) over Kansas City

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Cappers Access

NFL

Giants pk
Seahawks -4.5
Panthers -3

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Jeffrey James (YouWinNow)

NFL Play of the Day - Over 52.5 Lions/Packers

Who is going to stop anyone in this game? The Lions weakest position is in the secondary to begin with and now they are crushed at that position with injuries. Not a good situation going up against the Packers offense. The Detroit offense can score as well - especially at home - and especially against the weak Packers defense. Remember last Thanksgiving? The Lions hung 40 points on Green Bay in Detroit. Look for the scoreboard operator to put in for overtime pay in this one.

[golden contender]

GC: NFL SYSTEM CLUB Play

Sunday Huge NFL Card has the 6* going + 24-0 NFL Game of the Month, an early Triple system 5* AFC Winner, a 17-3 dog system that dates to 1977, the Sunday night Total with Perfect angles that added up are 52-0, an Early NFC Game with 8 Perfect angles and a solid 3 team undefeated teaser. NFL Cashed big on Thursday and is an amazing 59 games over .500 the last 5 years. MLB 45-3 Early system winner up too. Free NFL System Club Play below.



On Sunday the free NFL System Club Play is on the Under in the Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars game. Rotation numbers 467/468 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that dates to 1980 and plays to the under for game 3 teams that are off back to back straight up and ats losses that allowed 30 or more points in the first 2 games. Both of these teams allowed 30+ and this should be much lower scoring as the last 4 in the series have played under and all with less than 40 points scored. The system above is 80% and the Colts are 9 of 11 under in division games and 8 straight under as conference favs of 5 or more. The Jags are 7 of 8 under at home vs a division opponent. The Colts have gone under the last 6 times if they did not have a 20+ yard catch last game . Look for this one to stay under today. Message to Jump on Today as we end the week big with the 6* 24-0 NFL Game of the Month, an early Triple system 5* AFC Winner, a 17-3 dog system that dates to 1977, the Sunday night Total with Perfect angles that added up are 52-0, an Early NFC Game with 8 Perfect angles and a solid 3 team undefeated teaser. Big 45-3 MLB Early system winner also up. NFL Cashed big on Thursday and is an amazing 59 games over .500 the last 5 years. For the free NFL Play take the Under in the Colts at Jaguars game. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 3
By Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Giants are 13-0 ATS (15.7 ppg) since December 22, 2002 as a dog after they allowed more than 9 points fewer than their season-to-date average last week.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Titans are 0-12 ATS (-14.7 ppg) since 2004 facing a team which averages over 8 yards per passing attempt put less than 5 yards per rushing attempt.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

-- Cam Newton is 16-0 ATS (11.8 ppg) in his career when not more than a 10-point favorite in games this less than 13 days rest, after a game where he threw at least 33 passes and they did not lose by 21+.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Eagles are 0-11 ATS as a favorite when facing a team that has forced an average of at least 5.8 punts per game season-to-date.

NFL O/U TREND:

-- The Eagles are 0-10 OU (-13.60 ppg) since January 02, 2011 as a favorite vs a divisional opponent.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

-- Teams that attempted at least five field goals last game are 77-117-2 OU. Active on Buffalo.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Moves - Week 3
By Mike Rose

We're getting ready to head into another weekend of NFL betting action, and as always, there are a bunch of plays that are a lot sharper than others. Last week, we pointed out three plays and they went 2-1 but I'll give myself a pass on the Minnesota play due to the Adrian Peterson issue.

Check out some of the best and brightest plays that are on the board in Week 3!

(Rotation #468) Jacksonville +7 – All over the place, this was a +7.5 game just a couple days ago, but all of a sudden, there have been some big bets coming in on the Jags to make us think that they are headed towards their first cover of the season. Remember, for as bad as Jacksonville has looked, this is its first home game of the year, and it comes against a team which has had all sorts of consistency issues and has made gobs of mental mistakes. Not only is the insinuation there that the home standing Jags are going to cover this game, but it's there that they are going to end up winning it as well. Don't be stunned if it happens, as this is the sharpest play of the year, and it might be the sharpest play of the entire season as well.

Opening Line: Jacksonville +7.5
Current Line: Jacksonville +7
Public Betting Percentage: 73% on Indianapolis

(Rotation #478) Pittsburgh +3.5 – The Steelers being sharp in a primetime game just doesn't seem to make all that much sense, and this very well could end up reverting itself by the time Sunday Night Football actually rolls around. However, with over 60 percent of the betting action on Carolina, we have to take notice considering the fact that the line is eking just a bit in the other direction. The Panthers could be really thin in the backfield once again, and if by chance they have to put the ball in the air more often, we aren't so sure that that bodes well for the hosts. If you can catch this spread beyond three, you're going to be obviously be in a lot better shape than you'd be in getting just a field goal. It's only a mildly sharp play, but on a week where there isn't a ton of sharp action obvious, Pittsburgh isn't a bad play.

Opening Line: Pittsburgh +3.5
Current Line: Pittsburgh +3
Public Betting Percentage: 62% on Carolina

(Rotation #480) New York -3 – This one makes all the sense in the world to us. The Bears just played in primetime last week, and they ended up coming back from behind to beat the 49ers at Levi's Stadium. Now, the public is all high and mighty on itself, and playing against a Jets team that just found a way to blow a game against Green Bay makes for the perfect square/sharp play. The public really thinks there's no reason for Gang Green to be laying points in this game, but we see it much differently. Remember that this was a Jets outfit that scored 21 points in their first three drives last week at Lambeau Field. It's a very winnable game for New York.

Opening Line: New York -3
Current Line: New York -3
Public Betting Percentage: 64% on Chicago

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Broncos at Seahawks

Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks (-5, 48.5)

Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos certainly won't lack for motivation when they visit the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday with a chance to avenge a humiliating beating in last season's Super Bowl. It's only the sixth time in league history that a Super Bowl rematch will occur in the following regular season and gives Denver an opportunity ease the pain of a 43-8 thrashing at the hands of Seattle. To do so, the Broncos must upend an opponent that is 16-1 in its last 17 at home.

The Seahawks' defense was the toast of the NFL after shutting down Manning and a high-powered attack that eclipsed the league record for points scored in a season, but Seattle did not look so invincible in last week's 30-21 setback at San Diego. Manning, who shattered NFL single-season marks for touchdown passes (55) and yards (5,477) in 2013, is off to another fast start with three touchdown passes in each of Denver's first two wins. Wide receiver Wes Welker makes his season debut for the Broncos after his four-game suspension was cut in half by the league.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened with the Seahawks -4.5, but that is now -5. The total has held at 48.5.

INJURY REPORT: Broncos - WR Wes Welker (Probably, suspension), LB Lerentee McCray (Out, knee). Seahawks - TE Zach Miller (Questionable, ankle), RB Marshawn Lynch (Questionable, back), RB Christine Michael (Questionable, hamstring).

POWER RANKINGS: Broncos (-7.5) - Seahawks (-6.25) + home field (-3.0) = Seahawks (-1.75)

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low 80s with wind blowing from the west at 3 mph.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Seahawks' pass defense showed some signs of weakness last week when the lost outright 30-21 as a 5-point road favorite at San Diego. Seattle allowed 7.5 yards per pass and 76 percent completions in that game. Now Seattle returns home where they are 18-1 SU / 14-5 ATS the with QB Russell Wilson at the helm. It will be interesting to see if the crowd noise hinders Denver QB Peyton Manning and his "Omaha" audibles at the line of scrimmage." Steve Merril.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The Rematch. Last year's Super Bowl combatants face off against each other in in Seattle where Manning will need to deal with the 12th man at full strength this time around. We have been bouncing between Seahawks -5, -4.5 all week as the action has been fairly even with the Seahwaks getting 63% of the action up to this point." Michael Stewart.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS, 1-1 O/U): While the revenge factor - “This is what we've been waiting for,” wideout Andre Caldwell said - cannot be overstated, Denver must figure out a way to keep its collective foot on the throttle after nearly blowing big halftime leads in home wins over Indianapolis and Kansas City. "We're still figuring out what our strengths are, what things we can improve on and what things we can eliminate," Manning said after the Broncos scored a combined 10 second-half points in their first two games. Newcomer Emmanuel Sanders (team-high 14 catches) has thrived in the absence of Welker while tight end Julius Thomas already has hauled in four scoring passes, but running back Montee Ball has rushed for only 127 yards and is averaging 3.6 per carry. Denver's retooled defense, featuring DeMarcus Ware, Aqib Talib and T.J. Ward, ranks 30th in passing yards allowed (300.5).

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U): Although Seattle had no answer for tight end Antonio Gates in last week's loss, it is a different team playing at rowdy CenturyLink Stadium, as evidenced by a dominating 36-16 victory over Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay in the season opener. "They're really loud, they're really raucous and they always have great energy," All-Pro cornerback Richard Sherman said of the league's loudest venue. "It really gives us a chance to feed off their energy." Although quarterback Russell Wilson, who played flawlessly in the Super Bowl victory, has four TDs and is completing nearly 68 percent of his passes, the normally dominating defense gave him few chances by allowing San Diego to hold the ball for over 42 minutes. Wideout Percy Harvin has more yards rushing than receiving, but the key for Seattle is Marshawn Lynch, who rushed for only 36 yards on six carries last week.

TRENDS:

* Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last four games on fieldturf.
* Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last four games in September.
* Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Week 3.

CONSENSUS: 56 percent of wagers are backing the visiting Broncos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rain, thunder could plague Chargers-Bills showdown
Andrew Avery

The unbeaten Buffalo Bills will host the San Diego Chargers from Ralph Wilson Stadium Sunday, but rain and thunder could an appearance during the game.

According to forecasts, there is an 83 percent chance of thunderstorms leading up to and during the 1 p.m. kickoff.

Temperatures in Buffalo will be in the high-60s to low-70s and wind will blow across the field at 8 mph.