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Play Pittsburgh -105 over San Francisco---Top Play (Risk 20% of your Bankroll)
8:10 PM EST
Pittsburgh has won 60 of the last 105 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have won 76 of the last 132 games coming off four or more road games. Pittsburgh has won 72 of the last 117 home games when the line posted is between -100 to -150 and they have won 41 of the last 76 games when playing on a Wednesday.
Play Pittsburgh -105 over San Francisco---Top Play (Risk 20% of your Bankroll)
8:10 PM EST
Pittsburgh has won 60 of the last 105 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have won 76 of the last 132 games coming off four or more road games. Pittsburgh has won 72 of the last 117 home games when the line posted is between -100 to -150 and they have won 41 of the last 76 games when playing on a Wednesday.
1000* Play Pittsburgh -105 over San Francisco (TOP MLB PLAY)
Pittsburgh has won 83 of the last 155 games after having lost two of the last three games and they have won 96 of the last 165 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game.
10* Play Pittsburgh -110 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY) Pittsburgh is 60-45 vs. left-handed starting pitchers Pittsburgh is 76-56 coming off four or more road games Pittsburgh is 72-45 at home when the line is -100 to -150
Kevin's Pick(s):
Not a bad way to start the postseason huh? Wow. The Royals come back to win in the bottom of the 12th inning to make for a pretty much break even night last night. The NL Wild Card is next tonight and I've got a system total play going... 2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (+100)
Listed Pitchers: Bumgarner vs Volquez
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Take: Pittsburgh Pirates +103
in 3h
20* Giants/Pirates NL Wild Card Rout on Pittsburgh +103
The Pittsburgh Pirates have made the postseason for a second consecutive year. They continue to get no respect from the books as a home underdog in this winner-take-all wild card game against the San Francisco Giants. I'll take advantage and back the Pirates, who are 51-30 at home this season, and 20-13 against left-handed starters.
Edinson Volquez is in the midst of a career year. The right-hander has gone 13-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.230 WHIP in 31 starts and one relief appearance. He really stepped it up down the stretch, going 2-0 with a 0.43 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in his last three starts. Dating back further, he is 5-0 with a 1.36 ERA in his last 10 starts, allowing 10 earned runs in 66 innings.
There's no denying that Madison Bumgarner is one of the better starters in baseball, but he's getting too much respect from the books as a road favorite here in a hostile environment. He gave up four runs and three homers over 7 1/3 innings in his final start of the season against the Dodgers. Bumgarner has been beat up in his last two starts against Pittsburgh, going 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA while allowing eight earned runs, two homers and 19 base runners in 12 innings with only seven strikeouts.
Volquez is 20-6 (+15.6 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. The Pirates are 21-4 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last two seasons. The Pirates are 9-1 in Volquez's last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Pittsburgh is 6-0 in Volquez's last six starts after scoring two runs or less in its previous game.
The Giants are 5-12 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record. San Francisco is 1-7 in its last eight games with a total set of 6.5 or lower. Pittsburgh is 7-0 in its last seven during Game 1 of a series. The Pirates are 6-1 in their last seven vs. a left-handed starter. Pittsburgh is 39-18 in its last 57 home games. The Pirates are 42-17 in their last 59 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Pittsburgh is 6-2 in its last eight home meetings with San Francisco. Bet the Pirates Wednesday.
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