10-2-14

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Today's MLB Picks

Detroit at Baltimore

The Tigers open up their ALDS series in Baltimore today and come into the contest with a 4-0 record in Max Scherzer's last 4 starts as a road favorite. Detroit is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 2 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Detroit at Baltimore (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 17.322; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.706 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Over

Game 903-904: Kansas City at LA Angels (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 14.212; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.778 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Under

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Paul Leiner

100* Arizona/Oregon Over 78.5
100* Houston -3
50* Tigers -110

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BeatYourBookie


THURSDAY

10* Play Minnesota +8.5 over Green Bay (Top NFL Play)

Green Bay is 1-4 ATS after scoring 35 points or more in their last game
Green Bay is 3-6 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in their last game


10* Play FAU -6.5 over FIU (Top NCAA Play)

Florida Atlantic is 12-3 ATS in road games the last three seasons
Florida Atlantic is 15-3 ATS when playing with six or less days of rest


10* Play Central Florida +3.5 over Houston (Top NCAA Play)

Central Florida is 15-2 SU vs. conference opponents the last three seasons
Central Florida is 11-1 SU after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games


10* Play Arizona +24 over Oregon (Top NCAA Play)

Arizona is 13-4 SU when the total posted is greater than 63 points
Arizona is 11-2 SU coming off an OVER the total in their last game

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BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Baltimore +105 over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY)

Baltimore is 37-18 when playing on a Thursday
Baltimore is 49-38 when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher
Baltimore is 78-52 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs


10* Play Kansas City +170 over LA Angels (MLB TOP PLAY)

Kansas City is 47-34 in road games this season
Kansas City is 64-48 in night games this season
Kansas City is 21-8 after having won six or seven of the last eight games

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY BASEBALL

• Play Kansas City +170 over Los Angeles Angels---Top Play (Risk 10% of your Bankroll)

9:10 PM EST

Kansas City has won 47 of the last 81 road games and they have won 64 of the last 112 night games. Kansas City has won 9 consecutive games after scoring nine runs or more in their last game and they have won 21 of the last 29 games after having won six or seven of the last eight games.

• Play Baltimore +105 over Detroit---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY

TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY

• Play Florida Atlantic -6.5 over Florida International----RISK 35% OF YOUR BANKROLL

7:00 PM EST

Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 road games and they have covered the spread in 15 of the last 18 games when playing with six or less days of rest. Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games when playing in the month of October and they have covered the spread in 6 consecutive games after allowing 37 or more points in their last game.

• Play Central Florida +3.5 over Houston----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• Play Arizona +24 over Oregon---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play Florida Atlantic -6.5 over Florida International (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Florida International has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread when playing as a home underdog of 7 points or less and they have lost 22 of the last 29 games against the spread coming off two or more UNDER the totals. Florida International has lost 16 of the last 21 games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games and they have lost 23 of the last 34 games against the spread when playing in the month of October.


5000* Play Central Florida +3.5 over Houston (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Central Florida has won 7 consecutive games when playing in the month of October and they have won 9 of the last 11 games after they forced one or less turnovers in their last game. Central Florida has won 10 of the last 12 games after scoring 37 points or more in their last game and they have won 4 consecutive games when playing on a Thursday.

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50* Play Arizona +24 over Oregon (BONUS NCAA PLAY)
50* Play Minnesota +8.5 over Green Bay (BONUS NFL PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play Baltimore +105 over Detroit (TOP MLB PLAY)

Baltimore has won 38 of the last 63 games after scoring one run or less in their last game and they have won 91 of the last 152 games after having lost two of the last three games. Baltimore has won 72 of the last 122 games after batting .240 or worse over the last ten games and they have won 90 of the last 143 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

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50* Play Kansas City +170 over Los Angeles Angels (BONUS MLB PLAY)

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GC: NCAAF Play

Thursday 100% MLB Playoff System Game of the Week, Triple system NFL and a Double system College Football play lead the Card. Prime time plays cashing over 72% long term after winners on the Over in the Dallas game and the Chiefs on Monday. Free College system play below.


On Thursday the free NCAAF Play is on Florida Atlantic. Game 303 at 7:00 eastern. Florida International comes home off a big road dog win as a 14 point dog. That win sets them up in a system that plays against home teams that are now an underdog and are playing an opponent off a win with a win percentage of .600 or less. Florida Atlantic has played a tougher schedule and has some gaudy trends on their side. FAU has covered 8 of 10 on Turf, the last 4 on the road if the total is 42 to 49, 8 of the last 9 in weeks 5-9 and 15 of the last 18 on 6 or less days rest. Florida International has lost straight up and ats the last 2 times as a home dog in this range. We will back the better team in Florida Atlantic/ On Thursday night there are 3 Big Top plays up, including the MLB 100% Playoff Game of the Week, the Triple system NFL Play and a Huge Double Perfect College Football system winner. Football combined is 73 games over. 500 the last 6+ seasons after cashing big on the Over in the Dallas game and KC on Monday. Jump on now and put the power of this industry leading data on your side. For the free play. Take Florida Atlantic. GC

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Kevin's Pick(s):
That's a tough loss as we got a complete game shutout from Bumgarner, but Volquez didn't pitch too well leading to a 8-0 Giants victory.
- No system play from me today

Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ L.A. Angels - ANGELS -1.5 (+126)
Listed Pitchers: Vargas vs. Weaver
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.52 units)
I haven't lost that badly in quite a long time as I did on Tuesday. Entertaining game nevertheless. The Royals earned the right to play the Angels tonight, winning in dramatic fashion over the Athletics. I wish I could tell you I like betting on post-season baseball more than the regular season, but it doesn't take a statistician to tell you tell you chances of winning go down with such small cards.
Not to say we can't win money, I have made money the past two playoffs. Tonight the Royals try and have short memories, as the celebration is over and they look towards a series with the Angels. I think Kansas City is going to make a good series out of it, but in game 1 I don't see it. It will be hard for them not to have a hangover effect after winning their first post-season win in decades. The Angels will have the benefit of going with their ace, Jered Weaver, while Kansas will have to go with Jason Vargas. Vargas is one of the more inconsistent pitchers in the majors. He started off horribly, had a good stretch, and now is pitching some of his worst ball of the season. His last three starts have yielded an ERA of 9.60 with a 1.66 WHIP. His last four starts have produced 4, 5, 5, and 4 runs against. Additionally, Vargas has given up 22 runs in his last five starts. The Angels are hitting .270 against left-handed pitching. I can't say that Weaver has been lights out, 3.60 ERA his last three starts, but before allowing 4 in his last start, Weaver went 8 in a row without allowing more than 3 runs. The Royals haven't played Weaver since 2012, in two starts he allowed just 2 runs. Vargas gave up 6 runs in his last start against the Angels this season. The Angels are not just supposed to win a series this year, they're a favorite to win it all. They should show some muscle immediately tonight. At a pretty nice price I'll take them at -1.5.

Kevin's Pick(s):
As we enter Week 6 of the college football season I hope to start narrowing down our systems to only those performing well this year as well as historically. There is a lot of great games on the schedule this week, and the action kicks off on Thursday with four college games and three plays going...
2 UNIT = Central Florida @ Houston - [306] HOUSTON -3 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
2 UNIT = Arizona @ Oregon - [308] OREGON -23.5 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.84 units)
2 UNIT = Arizona @ Oregon - [307] OVER 79 POINTS (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.87 units)
Cheers,
Kevin

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Jason Sample - Not exactly reinventing the wheel here, but I think the Packers ML is as low as it's gonna get (-400 in some plays, -420 at 5dimes where I do most of my action...and it was a high as -550 yesterday I believe) so time to parlay.

2 UNITS- Packers/Saints/Broncos/Chargers (+156)
2 UNITS- Packers/Broncos/Chargers (+115)
2 UNITS- Packers/Saints/Eagles (+102)

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POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play Of The Day

NFL: Green Bay Packers -8.5

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EXECUTIVE

200% Central Florida

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Big Jay Dotson NCAA Thursday Night Parlay

1000****
FIU +7 and Under 46.5 FAU/FIU

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Cappers Access

(NFL) Packers -8
(CFB) Houston U -3.5
(CFB) Oregon -23.5