10-12-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lyle

Miami +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Pinnancle - Dolphins
Inner Circle - Bills
Perfect Play - Bucs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

3* minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

7* Chargers -7
3* Giants +3
3* Seahawks -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
7*-over-43-bal-tb...
4*-over-45-det-minn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy


3* O 45 Detroit/Vikings
8* Under 51 NYG/Eagles


3-Unit Play. #262. Take Over 45 Detroit vs. Minnesota (Sunday @ 1pm est)


Regardless if Johnsonplays or not, what you will see is a relatively big public play here on Detroitand Minnesota is likely to have a solid output here. Detroit looked terrible onthe offensive end in their last game as Schwartz was carried off the field muchto the dislike of players like Golden Tate. But the point is Shwartz knew hisformer team well and stifled their offense in a low scoring affair that favoredthe Bills and they ended up winning - in part b/c of the Detroit's lack ofkicking game. But that of course will change with the signing of Prater (whoholds the NFL record for longest field goal ever when he was a Bronco). Lookfor Bridgewater to get this offense going as he did against the Falcons. Thisis whey they are a small underdog at home. Look for the Lions offense to getback on track as Caldwell was the former offensive coordinator for the SuperBowl Champ Ravens and this team will likely put up their fair share of pointseven without Johnson as they have plenty of weapons that stretch the field. TheOver is 35-15-2 for the Lions after scoring 15 points or less in their previousgame and the Over is 6-1 for the Vikings when they face a team with a winningrecord and 8-2 to the Over when they face a team with a winning road record aswell.






8-Unit Play. #276. Take Under 51 NY Giants vs. Philadelphia (Sunday @ 8:30pm est)


This is a fantastic publicfade on a Sunday Night game which is part of the reason why we are stepping outhere. The latest consensus poll had this over about 80% but the fact is thatthese two teams are more defensive minded than people would like to give themcredit for. The last time these two teams met, if you remember we stepped outlast year on the Total in this game for a 5-unit play on an Under of 49 pointsand the final score was 15-7 in Giant Stadium on a total of 49 points.Now, the total sits at 51 in a similar type of game. Both these teams havegotten their act together as you see a 3-2 Giant team on the road atPhiladelphia. These are the games the Giants thrive on. The last time onprimetime they demolished Washington 45-14 Outright. Then they scored 30 pointson Atlanta's defense at home. But, Philly's defense is much better than folksgive them credit. Throw out the Rams game where they gave up more than 30points. They were probably looking ahead to this game and its hard to get upfor the Rams. But, against elite teams with strong prep, they gave up 26 pointsto San Fran on the road. This Giant defense also gave up 17 points to Houstonat home and 25 points to Arizona in which they were skewered for that loss.Notice, the line in this game is just 2.5 indicating that they are expecting astrong performance from the Giants on the road here. The Giants coaching staffwill pride itself on keeping Kelly's offense in check for the most part andwill likely challenge Foles to beat them in the air which their cornerbackswill thrive on. Note the Under is 9-2 for the Giants when facing teams on theroad with a winning home record. The Under is also 6-2 for the Eagles afterallowing 250 yards in their previous game in passing yards and the Under is 4-0in Philadelphia as well to boot. Look for this contest to be a 24-21 type offinal as it lands in the mid 40's rather than the low 50's in which it is set.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN



8-Unit Play. Take #267 Baltimore (-3) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. The Ravens are a much better team than Tampa Bay. The Bucs are still getting used to Lovie Smith's system. They are struggling defensively and have one of the worst offensive lines in football. Tampa Bay's quarterback situation is not strong either. The Bucs are coming off a deflating overtime loss to a divisional opponent. They blew a big lead on the road at New Orleans and that one will stick with them. The Ravens are angry after their loss on the road to Indianapolis. I think they have a much better chance to bounce back. That was the first time all year they were outgained by an opponent and it snapped a three-game winning streak. The Bucs haven't played at home since their first two games of the season and they lost both of them to Carolina and St. Louis. The Ravens have proven that they are better than both of those teams. The Buccaneers are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight regular season games and this team is 1-5 ATS after a loss. Tampa Bay is 13-31 ATS in its last 44 home games and they do not have a strong home field edge at all. The Ravens have big advantages on both sides of the ball. I think they will score at ease against this bad Tampa Bay defense and that will help them beat this spread. Take the better team and the more motivated team. Play the Ravens.



3-Unit Play. Take #265 New England (-3) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. I was not surprised by the first two picks from the NFL 411 System this week. I was surprised by this one. The Bills are playing strong football. The Patriots have not been very good this year even though they are off a blowout win on Sunday night over the Bengals. But Tom Brady has dominated this series. The Patriots have won 22 of 23 games over the Bills. The Pats have a big edge at quarterback and in coaching. They are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 meetings and the Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Buffalo. The Bills lost at home in their toughest game this year, falling to the Cahrgers. I think it will be more of the same in this one. The Patriots own the Bills and they are going to take care of business again this Sunday. Lay the points.



4-Unit Play. Take #258 Atlanta (-3) over Chicago (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)
I will go with the home team in this one. The Falcons put a good scare into the Giants last Sunday on the road. They were leading that game before they ran out of gas in the fourth quarter. They were also leading Minnesota going into the fourth quarter before fading. But both of those games were on the road. Now Atlanta is back home and the crowd will keep them in it. The Bears are playing back-to-back road games and their third road game in four weeks. They have to be disappointed about blowing their big lead in Carolina last week. Chicago's defense has not played well and Matt Ryan and the Falcons should be able to pick it apart. The Bears are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games against NFC opponents and 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games overall. Chicago is 2-14 ATS in its last 17 games in Week 6 and I think they will get blown out today.



3-Unit Play. Take #271 Dallas (+8.5) over Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)
I will take the points in this matchup. Teams that win on Monday Night Football are not good bets the following week. Especially when they are favored. The Cowboys are a very public team. But now the Seahawks are a very public team too because they are the champions. The Cowboys have been strong at the window this year, going 3-2 ATS. They were undervalued coming into this season because expectations were so low. But this is a very good team playing up to its talent. The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in this series. The Cowboys have been a strong underdog. They are 12-5 ATS the last 17 times they have taken the points. I do not think that they can win this game. But I think they will keep it close and not get blown out and the points will hold up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs


4 Unit Play. #253/#609 Take Pittsburgh Steelers +2 over Cleveland Browns (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Pittsburgh just does not lose to Cleveland. QB Ben Roethlisberger is 17-1 straight-up against the Browns and getting the better team as an underdog is too good to pass up in this game. Cleveland is feeling good at the moment after their great comeback against Tennessee but after further evaluation I realized that Tennessee is a terrible team. Pittsburgh was way up in the first meeting before a late rally by Cleveland tied it up but Pittsburgh is still the much better team. Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Cleveland is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games.


4 Unit Play. #265/#605 Take New England Patriots -3 over Buffalo Bills (Sunday 1 pm FOX) We used the Patriots last week when most of the experts thought they would get run out of the stadium and will follow that up this week with a selection on them again. This is a much more important game for the Patriots as it is a division game, and New England has yet to record a victory in the AFC East this season. Buffalo is coming off a gift victory last week in Detroit in a game they never should have won were it not for three missed field goals by the recently-cut Lions kicker. New England has won 20 of the last 21 games against Buffalo. Enough said.


5 Unit Play. #270/#622 Take Oakland Raiders +7 over San Diego Chargers (Sunday 1 pm CBS) TOP NFL Game of the Week. If the Raiders are ever going to put forth an effort during the 2014 season, it will come this week. Oakland made a coaching change during their bye week, and I expect them to play better under new coach Tony Sparano. San Diego has not played well against Oakland in recent years, going 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The Chargers will also be looking ahead as they have Kansas City and Denver on deck. Oakland is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games played during October. This game means more to Oakland and expect a solid effort under a new coach.

[golden contender]

GC: NFL System Club Play

Huge Sunday card led by AFC West Total of the Year with 6-100% systems and angles + 2 more Totals both with several Perfect angles and systems, a 37-3 Early 5* another big 3 team teaser and a Sunday night Side with over a doze angles and a solid system. NFL is ranked #1 on several major leader boards. Both Sat. Top plays cash big with Miss.St and Kentucky Free NFL System Club Play below.

The Free NFL System Club play is on the NY. Jets plus the 10 points. Game 252 at 1:00 eastern. The Jets are grounded last week in San Diego but have some solid bounce back angles on their side today. The Jets are 9-0 ats as a dog after scoring 10 or less points and 12-1 to the spread if they are a dog an under .500 off a non division game and have 2 or more division games on deck. The Broncos have failed to cover the spread 9 of 10 times in their fifth game of the season and 9 of the last 11 vs a non division team like the Jets if they played an NFC team last week. Teams like the Jets that forced 1 or less turnovers in 5 straight games have covered 41 of 53 times the last 31 seasons. Super bowl losers like Denver have failed to cover the spread 90% of the time vs any non division team that scored 3 or less points in their last game. Look for the Jets to stay in this game and cover the spread. Both Top plays Miss. St and Kentucky cashed big. On Sunday the Huge NFL Card is led by the AFC West Total Of The Year, that has an amazing 6 perfect systems and angles. There are 2 more Big totals system plays both backed with Undefeated angles and systems, a 37-3 Early system winner and the Sunday night play with a solid system and 13 Power Angles. These game have way too much data to list. NFL is ranked #1 on several major leader boards. Put the power of this industry leading data on your side. For the free play take the 10 points with the NY. Jets. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NFL | WASHINGTON at ARIZONA
Play Against - Favorites (ARIZONA) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )

NFL | WASHINGTON at ARIZONA
Play Against - Underdogs of +140 to +325 vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games
143-35 since 1997. ( 80.3% | 0.0 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

NFL | DALLAS at SEATTLE
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 after 4 or more consecutive wins, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks

NY Giants at Philadelphia

The Giants head to Philadelphia tonight where they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games versus the Eagles. New York is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 12 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (10/8)

Game 251-252: Denver at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 140.520; NY Jets 125.841 Dunkel Line: Denver by 14 1/2; 44 Vegas Line: Denver by 8; 47 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-8); Under

Game 253-254: Pittsburgh at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 132.593; Cleveland 130.826 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 43 Vegas Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 47 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+2 1/2); Under

Game 255-256: Jacksonville at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 117.219; Tennessee 127.141 Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 10; 48 Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6; 42 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6); Over

Game 257-258: Chicago at Atlanta (4:25 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 129.213; Atlanta 128.352 Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1; 56 Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 53 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Over

Game 259-260: Green Bay at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 134.613; Miami 128.047 Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 6 1/2; 45 Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 49 Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Under

Game 261-262: Detroit at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 134.822; Minnesota 130.203 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4 1/2; 41 Vegas Line: Detroit by 2; 44 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2); Under

Game 263-264: Carolina at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 133.323; Cincinnati 137.176 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4; 48 Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7 1/2; 44 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+7 1/2); Over

Game 265-266: New England at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New England 139.140; Buffalo 133.506 Dunkel Line: New England by 5 1/2; 41 Vegas Line: New England by 3; 45 Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Under

Game 267-268: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 132.651; Tampa Bay 131.513 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 48 Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 43 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3 1/2); Over

Game 269-270: San Diego at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 141.199; Oakland 122.380 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 19; 38 Vegas Line: San Diego by 7; 43 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-7); Under

Game 271-272: Dallas at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 137.281; Seattle 141.807 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 52 Vegas Line: Seattle by 8 1/2; 47 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+8 1/2); Over

Game 273-274: Washington at Arizona (4:25 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.276; Arizona 135.763 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 10 1/2; 48 Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 45 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3 1/2); Over

Game 275-276: NY Giants at Philadelphia (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 136.244; Philadelphia 135.280 Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 46 Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 50 Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

San Francisco at St. Louis

The Giants look to follow up last night's 3-0 win in the series opener as they face a Cardinals team that is 0-4 in Lance Lynn's last 4 home starts versus San Francisco. The Giants are the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has San Francisco favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 12 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 957-958: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Peavy) 15.809; St. Louis (Lynn) 14.750 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 5 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Baylor (-7 1/2) on Saturday and likes the Steelers on Sunday.

The deficit is 992 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo goes with his Besties

The Irish didn’t have enough fight in them to cover 17 Saturday night, but the Giants came up large in St. Louis, so Hondo’s debt dipped slightly to 1,340 alworths.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will try to hit pay dirt with his BGBBs (Bettor’s Guide Best Bets) — 10 units apiece on the Broncos, Chargers and Arizona Cardinals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Sunday

A solid day in college football on Saturday! Five NFL selections on my card for Sunday. I will most likely add a play on the Sunday night game between the Giants and Eagles that will not be posted here on the website. Follow my Twitter account or email me to get on the text list so you don't miss any added plays. Best of luck.

-EZ

2* (252) New York Jets +10

I have to be honest when I say that there are not any "football" reasons to like the Jets in this match up. This is more of a gut feeling and fade of Floyd Mayweather's 11 million dollar bet on the Broncos. The Jets were hammered last week in San Diego and we all know about the circus that is Geno Smith. Now they face Peyton Manning and company and the whole world will be on Denver. The fact of the matter is that since 2009, double digit home underdogs are an incredible 16-2 against the spread. Take the points.


2* (253) Pittsburgh Steelers PICK

The Browns almost knocked off the Steelers in week one at Pittsburgh thanks to a big second half comeback. Cleveland caught the Steelers defense by surprise with the no huddle, but I don't see that happening this time around. The Browns are coming off of a huge comeback win against Tennessee last week, but the Steelers have owned this series winning 18 out of 19 games. Pittsburgh has too many offensive weapons for Cleveland's 30th ranked defense that will have star cornerback Joe Haden at less than 100%. Play on Pittsburgh.


2* (260) Miami Dolphins +3

The Packers offense is starting to click, but the Dolphins have had extra time to get ready for Aaron Rodgers and company after wiping out the Raiders in London two weeks ago. This will be Miami's toughest test so far this season, but the Dolphins defense is second in the league in total defense behind the Seahawks. The question is how will Green Bay who has the worst rushing defense in the league stop Miami who is 8th in the NFL in rushing. Ball control will be the key and the Dolphins are the home underdog with the better defense. Take the points.


2* (266) Buffalo Bills +2.5

New England killed Cincinnati on national TV last week but should we believe that their offense is clicking like the Patriots of old? Buffalo's defense is playing well, and with Kyle Orton at quarterback who threw for over 300 yards last week at Detroit, you have to at least respect Buffalo's ability to get the ball down field. This opens up more opportunities for the Bills running game. It took a last minute field goal for the Patriots to escape with a two point win in Buffalo last season and I expect this one to go to the wire as well. Take the points.

2* (258) Atlanta Falcons -3

This is a bad match up for a Bears team that is still stinging from blowing the lead last week in Carolina. After back to back road losses at Minnesota and New York, Atlanta gets back to the Georgia Dome where they are a totally different team. The Falcons have scored 93 points in their two home wins. Matt Ryan and company should have a field day against the banged up Chicago secondary. Chicago has plenty of weapons on offense as well, but I'll take quarterback Matt Ryan over mistake prone Jay Cutler any day. Lay the small number.