10-26-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookieshunter NFL 26October2014

Chiefs -7 vs Rams (2)
Jets -3 vs Bills (3)
Cardinals M/L vs Eagles (2)
Steelers +3.5 vs Colts (3)
Packers @ Saints Over 55 (3)

Jets/Bills "AFC GOM"
Packers @ Saints "NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR" as per bookieshunter

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

BREAKFAST CLUB Cincinnati

3 GAME - st louis - tennessee - cincinnati and breakfast club included

PERSONAL FAVORITE Tampa Bay

BLUE CHIP TOTAL - seattle/carolina under

MAIN EVENT - saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Win or Lose Sports Betting NFL

251 DET -3 (Buy the half)

256 NE -6

258 KC -7


262 NYJ -3

264 Mia / Jax UN 43

267 BALT -2

269 PHIL +1.5

271 INDY -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole | NFL Total

triple-dime bet 255 CHI / 256 NEP OVER 50.0 5Dimes
Analysis: 3**** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL (50 pts)

double-dime bet 275 GBP / 276 NOS OVER 55.5 Hilton
Analysis 2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Randall the Handle's
BEST BETS

Vikings (2-5) at Buccaneers (1-5)
LINE: TAMPA BAY BY 2½
When QB Christian Ponder is your other option, continuing to nurture Teddy Bridgewater is the more sensible way to go. The Vikings are not a contending team and they may as well see what they have in their young draft choice. Trouble is, that you lose a lot of games during this audition stage. Sure, Teddy caught some lightning in a bottle against the Falcons (who doesn’t?) about a month ago, but it’s been downhill from there. After returning from an injury two games ago, Bridgewater has not thrown for 200 yards in a game. He’s thrown one touchdown compared to five interceptions and Minnesota’s passing game has dropped to dead last in the league, averaging 183.9 yards per game. The Bucs have had issues stopping the pass, but it shouldn’t be a concern against this impotent aerial attack. Tampa has had an extra week to prepare and they’ll be plenty motivated, having yet to win at home in three earlier attempts. Despite Tampa’s dreary 1-5 start, they are just two games back of this meek division’s lead. Look for strong effort against an incapable guest.
TAKING: BUCCANEERS –2½

Seahawks (3-3) at Panthers (3-3)
LINE: SEATTLE by 5
Enough of this nonsense. It’s time for the Seahawks to get well and they may have picked a perfect opponent to do so. The Panthers are not the strong defensive unit they were a year ago. Myriad secondary losses and injuries have left Carolina’s defence as thin as the talent level in the woeful NFC South. These guys have allowed 174 points over their past five games, an average of almost 35 per contest. Things are so desperate that the Panthers have to start James Dockery at corner, their third corner in as many weeks and a guy that wasn’t on an NFL roster three weeks ago. The Seahawks have had issues of their own, both on and off the field. But QB Russell Wilson is playing his butt off and, with his leadership qualities, he’ll get his championship team reined-in sooner than later. Even though Seattle was upset in St. Louis last week, the Seachickens outgained the Rams by nearly 200 yards. Special teams and distractions did them in, but don’t expect the same against this defenceless foe.
TAKING: SEAHAWKS –5

Packers (5-2) at Saints (2-4)
LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 1½
No, this is not a pre-Halloween trick. You really do get to spot this small price with a New Orleans team that has won 19 straight on its own field. They’ve played two games here this year and won them both. So the Saints didn’t cover against Tampa Bay as an 11-point favourite, their first non-cover in those 19 consecutive wins. Let’s discount them right down to where they basically just need to win for a cover here? We understand that the Packers have elevated their game since an inauspicious start, but let’s not overlook that they weren’t very good in three of four road games thus far. Green Bay lost at Seattle and Detroit, before being very fortunate to take down the Dolphins in final seconds two weeks ago. We understand that the Saints sit a couple games below .500, but they’ve been losing the turnover battle, while Green Bay is among the league leaders in turnover ratio. These things tend to balance out and, in front of a crazed N’awlins crowd on Sunday night, we’re very comfortable needing the bounces to go New Orleans’ way in a stadium at which they never lose.
TAKING: NEW ORLEANS –1½


THE REST
Falcons (2-4) versus Lions (5-2)
at London, England
LINE: DETROIT by 3½
While this one will be played at Wembley Stadium in London, England, you’d be able to see the holes in this Atlanta defence from Planet Mars. The Falcons have been just average at home, but they remain brutal on the road. They’ve lost all four of their away games by a combined 59 points, an average of nearly 15 points per game. Atlanta’s two wins have come within this porous division, defeating a pair of NFC South foes who are a combined 3-9. Meanwhile, the Lions have become a top defensive club, holding five of seven opponents to under 17 points. Expect QB Matt Ryan to be running for his life here.
TAKING: LIONS –3½

Bears (3-4) at Patriots (5-2)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 6
Screwy Bears. Currently 0-3 at home and 3-1 away, Chicago travels again to face what appears to be a repaired New England team, one that most thought was broken after being crushed at Kansas City. Maybe the Patriots are okay, but facing a trio since then that included the suddenly mediocre Bengals, the Bills and the Jets, can we really be sure? New England has some injury concerns with key LB Jerod Mayo and RB Steven Ridley gone. Now the Pats get this NFC opponent that hails from a decent NFC division and it comes before a home date with arch-frenemy Peyton Manning and the Broncos next week. Bears leave it all out there this week.
TAKING: BEARS +6

Rams (2-4) at Chiefs (3-3)
LINE: KANSAS CITY by 7
While it is better to give than to receive, that doesn’t apply to these Chiefs. Kansas City has been underdogs in five of six games this year, covering four and pushing once. In the lone game that K.C. was giving, they were smoked 26-10 by the dreadful Titans. Granted, this will be Kansas City’s easiest contest in a month after facing the Patriots and Niners and upsetting the Chargers last week. But teams commonly play to the level of their opponent and since Andy Reid’s arrival here, his Chiefs have covered just two of their past eight as chalk. The Rams are high off a win over Seattle and should be motivated here for Missouri bragging rights.
TAKING: RAMS +7

Bills (4-3) at Jets (1-6)
LINE: N.Y. JETS by 3
The Jets have had a tough schedule, leading to their dismal 1-6 start. While things may get a little easier now, we’re still not prepared to spot points with a team that couldn’t even cover at home to Oakland. The Jets also lost straight-up when favoured here over the Bears. The Bills arrive with issues to their running game, but they still have skilled position players on offence where the Jets simply do not. Percy Harvin was acquired to help, but he’s expected to see limited action while he learns this offence. The Bills lead the league with 24 sacks and that doesn’t bode well for the Jets’ careless QB Geno Smith.
TAKING: BILLS +3

Dolphins (3-3) at Jaguars (1-6)
LINE: MIAMI by 6
The Fish have not given away this many road points since the Dan Marino days. However, the line sometimes shouts directions at you and we’re hearing them loud and clear. The Jaguars notched their first win of the year last week, but little has changed in Florida’s northeast. Rookie QB Blake Bortles somehow overcame three interceptions to defeat Cleveland, his 12th turnover in four games, and that is a sure recipe for losing in most cases. On the flip side, Miami QB Ryan Tannehill is in a groove and his squad won’t let up here as they remain in contention for the AFC East.
TAKING: DOLPHINS –6

Texans (3-4) at Titans (2-5)
LINE: HOUSTON by 3
QB Zach Mettenberger will get his first pro start for this one. That’s fine, as we’d fade QB Ryan Fitzpatrick as a road favourite even if Zach Galifianakis was the opposing starter. Fitzpatrick is a turnover machine and he’ll play against a defence that knows him from practice a year ago when he played in Nashville. The Texans are outgained in every game they play and, if not for the extreme defensive talents of J.J. Watt, this Houston team would be worse off than it already is. Houston is travelling for the third time in four games and this one takes place on a short week after a demoralizing loss in Pittsburgh on Monday.
TAKING: TITANS +3

Ravens (5-2) at Bengals (3-2-1)
LINE: BALTIMORE by 1
It may be difficult to get all revved up about the Bengals during this current slide, especially with the Ravens winning and playing at a high level. But, similar to New Orleans, we see great value with the home side. Cincinnati has not lost on this field since December 2012. That’s a streak of 11 games and now we’re asked to spot a measly point against a Baltimore team that Cincy already took down in the Ravens’ own backyard. The Bengals could get much-needed WR A.J. Green back for this one. His presence makes a huge difference — mentally and physically — for both combatants.
TAKING: BENGALS +1

Eagles (5-1) at Cardinals (5-1)
LINE: ARIZONA by 3
Not sure if either of these two will be deserving of a 6-1 record, but one of them is headed there. It very well could be the Eagles. Arizona’s depleted defence might be functional against the likes of the Raiders and Redskins, but we highly doubt it can hold up against Philadelphia’s rested and potent offence. Philly is healthier than it has been all year and it will get back some key players, including LG Evan Mathis. Picking up where they left off against the Giants, the Eagles’ fine group of tight ends (eight catches, 118 yards and two TDs) should be able to inflict similar damage to Arizona’s most gaping weakness.
TAKING: EAGLES +3

Colts (5-2) at Steelers (4-3)
LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 3
Hard to gauge how good the Colts are as they’ve had a significantly soft schedule. That said, good teams defeat the teams they are supposed to and the Steelers qualify. Pittsburgh is playing winning football, but its record is better than it is. The Steelers have played the Browns twice, splitting with a narrow win and then being clobbered, the Jaguars in a close one and Houston on Monday night where they had a three-minute spurt that secured the game against a sloppy Texans team. Most important is Pittsburgh’s defence, a unit that can be easily exposed and, with Andrew Luck’s ascension as a top pivot in this league, he should have little trouble with this meager host.
TAKING: COLTS –3

Raiders (0-6) at Browns (3-3)
LINE: CLEVELAND by 7
It’s been a while since the Browns have been laying seven and this follows an embarrassing loss to the lowly Jaguars. Following up a loss to winless Jacksonville with another to these winless Raiders would set Cleveland back beyond their low point of recent years. We have to think they’ll rebound against an Oakland team that hasn’t won in 12 games and that has not topped 14 points in 11 of those 12 contests. Jacksonville was successful by stopping Cleveland’s run game. The Raiders don’t have that same ability, as they’ve allowed opponents to rush for 145 yards per game, fourth-most in the league.
TAKING: BROWNS –7

Redskins (2-5) at Cowboys (6-1)
LINE: DALLAS by 10
Wow, 10 points? This Dallas thing could be getting out of hand. We can’t deny how well the Cowboys are playing, seemingly unstoppable with DeMarco Murray shredding defences and Tony Romo taking advantage by not being forced to win games with his arm. But this is Redskins-Cowboys, a rivalry that goes beyond the merits of each team. Washington has covered seven of its past eight versus its rivals, and the two times it was receiving generous points like this, it lost by three and one respectively. Perhaps Colt McCoy starting for the Redskins has bolstered this spread, but is he really much of a dropoff from Kirk Cousins?
TAKING: REDSKINS +10


WEEK 8 SELECTIONS
FAVOURITE LINE UNDERDOG LONGLEY FIDLIN RANDALL
Lions 31/2 Falcons Lions Lions Lions
BUCS 21/2 Vikings Bucs Vikings Bucs*
PATRIOTS 6 Bears Patriots Patriots Bears
CHIEFS 7 Rams Rams Rams Rams
Seahawks 5 PANTHERS Seahawks* Seahawks Seahawks*
JETS 3 Bills Jets Jets Bills
Dolphins 6 JAGUARS Dolphins Jaguars Dolphins
Texans 3 TITANS Texans Titans Titans
Ravens 1 BENGALS Ravens Ravens Bengals
CARDINALS 3 Eagles Eagles Cardinals Eagles
Colts 3 STEELERS Colts Colts Colts
BROWNS 7 Raiders Raiders Browns Browns
SAINTS 11/2 Packers Saints Saints* Saints*
COWBOYS 10 Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins
BEST BETS (*) BEST BETS (*)
Last Week Season LAST WEEK SEASON
Sun NFL columnist Rob Longley 8-7 57-44-3 1-0 4-3
Sun NFL columnist Ken Fidlin 7-8 43-58-3 0-1 2-5
Randall The Handle 10-5 51-50-3 1-2 9-11-1

[golden contender]

GC: NFL System Play

Sunday NFC Game of the Year 3 Perfect systems and angles, 6* Early AFC Side has 5 Power systems. Sunday night Totals with 16 totals angles lead the card as NFL Remains ranked #1 on Several leader boards. Free NFL System Club Play below.

The Free NFL System Club Play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 268 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals were shutout last week by the Colts and now return home to face a Hot Baltimore team that they beat on the road in week 1. Cincy will look to get back on track and home teams that scored 9 or less points and lost on the road by 21 or more are perfect to the spread since 1989 v an opponent off a home win that scored 28 or more points. In Fact road teams that are off back to back wins by 15 or more points are 4-19 ats if the line is -3 to +2 and their opponent is off a loss. The Ravens are 1-14 ats on the road off a home win where they had 3 or more minutes in time of possession than their season average. The Bengals are 8-0 ats if they had a turnover margin of +2 or more. Look for the Bengals to get the win. On Sunday the NFC Game of the year is the lead play with 3 Never lost systems and Angles. In early action we have the 6* AFC Side with 5 Exclusive systems, a Dog with bite from a 24-3 system, the Sunday night Totals play with 16 Totals angles and more. NFL is ranked #1 on several prestigious leader boards. Message to Get on now and put Power of this devastating data on your side as we end the week big. For the free play take the Cincinnati Bengals. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

4* Indianapolis -3.5 over Pittsburgh (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5

3* N.Y. Jets -3 over Buffalo (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5

3* Philadelphia +2.5 over Arizona (NFL)
Range: +4 to +.5

3* Green Bay/New Orleans OVER 55 (NFL)
Range: 53 to 57

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks

St. Louis +7 over Kansas City (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Pinnacle afc Gom Pittsburgh Steelers

inner circle nfl favorite of month
new orleans

perfect play divisional rival of month
cincinnati

no limit arizona

millionaires carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

5* Indianapolis -3.5 over Pittsburgh (NFL)

3* Chicago/New England OVER 50.5 (NFL)

3* Seattle -5 over Carolina (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INT Picks

Top
KC -7
Houston -3
Indiana -3 (-130)

Regular
Miami -6
NO -1

Free Pick
TB -2

MLB

Regular
KC/SF Over 6.5 (+100)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks

Version 3 (10/26): 1:00 PM BUF +3 (B)
4:25 PM IND -3 (pending above)


Rest of games...
MIA -6
NE -6
KC -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike O'Connor

Jets
Bucs
Chiefs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Lions vs. Falcons

Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons (+3.5, 46.5)

The Atlanta Falcons hardly look ready for prime time this season so perhaps a trip overseas is coming at an opportune time as the struggling club attempts to halt a four-game losing streak. The Falcons have dropped all four games by double digits and look to rebound against the Detroit Lions on Sunday morning at London's Wembley Stadium. “We need to worry about this coming week,” Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan said. “We need to prepare better, practice better and play better. We know what to do."

Even though the Falcons are designated the home team, not having to play in Atlanta is a boost for the Lions, who are tied with Green Bay atop the NFC North following last week's dramatic comeback win over New Orleans. Star wideout Calvin Johnson practiced on a limited basis Wednesday and Thursday and Detroit hopes he can rejoin the lineup after missing the past two games with a high ankle sprain. It marks the first international contest for both the Falcons and Lions and will be the first NFL tilt to ever be televised at 9:30 a.m. ET.

TV: 9:30 a.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Lions -3.5. O/U: 46.5

LINE HISTORY: The line has had no movement since opening at Atlanta +3.5. The total has dropped only half a point from a 47 point opening to 46.5.

INJURY REPORT: Lions - WR Calvin Johnson (Ques-Ankle), RB Reggie Bush (Doub-Ankle), TE Brandon Pettigrew (Doub-Ankle) Falcons - G Justin Blalock (Prob-Back), DT Jonathan Babineaux (Doub-Foot)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Mike Smith is squarely on the hot seat after a fourth straight loss. The Falcons head to London for a must win game before their bye week. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 after scoring 15 or less. Detroit stays atop the NFC North with a come-from-behind win over the Saints and now heads to London for an early start time." - Matt Fargo

ABOUT THE FALCONS (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS, 3-4 O/U): Atlanta came into the season with questions surrounding its defense, but the Falcons have struggled on the other side of the ball - blowing a 10-point second-half lead against the New York Giants in Week 5 and scoring only one touchdown in each of their last two losses to Chicago (27-13) and Baltimore (29-7). Ryan opened the season with a 448-yard, three-TD performance in a win over New Orleans, but he has been limited to one scoring pass in four of the past six games. An already-suspect running game has been further hindered by an injury-ravaged offensive line that is missing four starters. Atlanta is 30th overall in both points (28.4) and total yards (412.1) and has only seven sacks.

ABOUT THE LIONS (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS, 2-5 O/U): Johnson has been a non-factor since his ankle issues cropped up in Week 4, but Detroit has compensated for the superstar receiver's loss with a defense that permits a league-low 290.3 yards and ranks second with 15.0 points allowed. The Lions have also registered 21 sacks and could build upon that total against Ryan, who has been sacked nine times over the past two games. Lions quarterback Matt Stafford has thrown for only nine scoring passes versus six interceptions, but he rallied Detroit with two TD passes in the final 3:38 last week to erase a 13-point deficit against the Saints. Golden Tate had 10 catches for 154 yards and a TD last week and has at least seven receptions in four straight games.

TRENDS:

*Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
*Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.
*Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 52.83 percent are backing the Lions and 57.4 are backing the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NFL | BUFFALO at NY JETS
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

NFL | INDIANAPOLIS at PITTSBURGH
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) with a terrible defense - allowing 5.7 or more yards/play, after outgaining opp by 200 or more total yards in their previous game
26-12 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

NFL | ST LOUIS at KANSAS CITY
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ST LOUIS) with a good offense - averaging 5.4 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

NFL | HOUSTON at TENNESSEE
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

NFL | MIAMI at JACKSONVILLE
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

NFL | DETROIT at ATLANTA
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) with a good offense - averaging 5.4 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )