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XpertPicks.
SUNDAY
TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
Play San Francisco -9.5 over St. Louis----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL
4:00 PM EST
San Francisco has won 20 of the last 26 games when playing after the 1st month of the season and they have won 28 of the last 36 games when playing as a favorite. San Francisco has won 15 of the last 19 home games and they have won 14 of the last 18 games after having won two of the last three games.
Play Seattle -15.5 over Oakland----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL
4:30 PM EST
Oakland has lost 28 of the last 33 games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 17 of the last 19 road games. Oakland has lost 8 of the last 9 games when playing in the month of November and they are only averaging 12 points on offense in road games this season.
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BONUS NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
Play Cincinnati -11 over Jacksonville----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Kansas City -9.5 over New York Jets----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Baltimore -1.5 over Pittsburgh----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL BeatYourBookie.
SUNDAY
10* Play Miami -1 over San Diego (Top NFL Play)
San Diego is 2-5 ATS when playing in the month of November
San Diego is 5-12 ATS coming off an OVER the total in their last game
10* Play New England +3 over Denver (Top NFL Play)
New England is 51-30 ATS after having won four of the last five games
New England is 22-8 ATS when playing as a home underdog
10* Play Baltimore +1 over Pittsburgh (Top NFL Play)
Baltimore is 7-2 SU when playing in the month of November
Baltimore is 15-5 SU coming off a road game Winning Angle
SUNDAY
NBA BASKETBALL
Play Los Angeles Clippers -10 over Sacramento (NBA TOP PLAY)
Sacramento has lost 27 of the last 28 games when playing as an underdog of ten points or more and they have lost 63 of the last 82 road games. Sacramento has lost 19 of the last 28 games when playing on a Sunday and they have lost 20 of the last 27 games when playing in the month of November.
Play New York -3 over Charlotte (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Portland -3 over Golden State (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Washington -170 over Arizona (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Montreal -180 over Calgary (NHL TOP PLAY) Winning Angle Football
SUNDAY
Play Miami -1 over San Diego (NFL)
1:00 PM EST
San Diego has lost 5 of the last 7 games against the spread when playing in the month of November and they have lost 12 of the last 17 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game. San Diego has lost 9 of the last 13 games against the spread coming off a division game and they are allowing an average of 28 points on defense in their last three games.
Play New England +3 over Denver (NFL)
4:30 PM EST
New England has covered the spread in 51 of the last 81 games after having won four of the last five games and they have covered the spread in 22 of the last 30 games when playing as a home underdog. New England has covered the spread in 8 of the last 9 home games when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points and they are averaging 34 points on offense in home games this season.
Play Philadelphia -2 over Houston (NFL)
Play Baltimore +1 over Pittsburgh (NFL)
Kevin's Pick(s):
Tough one Thursday as turnovers in the first half cost us a chance at the OVER. I've added five plays below for Sunday and Kyle has a couple as well.
4 UNIT = St Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers - RAMS +10 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
2 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - JAGUARS +17.5 and RAIDERS +22 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
*This teaser was bet at 5Dimes.eu under "6 point ties reduce" teasers. You can find this at other sportsbooks as well, but it's important you get +17.5 or better for the Jags and +21.5 or better for the Raiders. If you can't bet this teaser I would make it a 2 unit play on each of these two teams against the spread.
2 UNIT = San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins - CHARGERS +1.5 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cleveland Browns - BUCCANEERS +7 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
2 UNIT = Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys - OVER 44.5 POINTS (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Sent earlier:
4 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - JETS +17 and RAVENS +7.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
** This was sent earlier in the week and Jets +17 won't be available anymore if you didn't get the bet in because of line movement. If you didn't get this bet in I would add a 2 unit play on Ravens +1.5.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = N.Y. Jets @ K.C. Chiefs - CHIEFS -8.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Before I go any further I have to mention one thing about this game and other peoples perceptions. I am reading and hearing from multiple people that the Jets defense is going to keep them in this game to give them a cover. Maybe the Jets' defense puts on one hell of a defensive effort on Sunday, but these claims are being made with little justification. This is NOT the same Jets team that had Revis in his prime. This is NOT the same Jets' defense that made Mark Sanchez look like an adequate quarterback and beat the Patriots in the playoffs a few years back. All of the focus is on how bad their offense is, and while it is not great, the defense hasn't been shouldering their share of the load either. The last four weeks the Jets have allowed 43, 27, 31, and 31 points. That 43 points was against the horrible Buffalo Bills' offense. Those four games equated to an average of 33 points allowed. Prior to those games they didn't fair that much better either. On the season the Jets are surrendering 29 points per game. They're holding teams back yardage wise for the most part, but what good is it if they are giving up almost 30 points a game, including 43 to the lowly Bills. This is one of those games where it is hard to see the Chiefs scoring less than 27 points. I foresee 30 points for the Chiefs. KC is averaging 25 points per game, so 30 looks like a reasonable prediction. Note that the Chiefs are 1st in the NFL against the pass. They'll be defending against Michael Vick and a Jets attack that is 28th in the NFL in total offense and dead last passing the football, 32nd. There aren't any weapons in the Jets' offense for the quarterback to work with. I don't find Geno Smith to be good, and Vick is just about running on empty, but no one else in the offense does anything either. There is a reason that the Jets are 1-6-1 ATS this season. I originally liked the OVER 42, but I find it hard to believe the Jets find points. The Chiefs cover here.
2 UNIT = Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers - OVER 47.5 (+102)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.04 units)
If I told you the Steelers were 3rd offensively in the NFL you'd probably tell me I was crazy. However, it is in fact true that Pittsburgh is 3rd in the league in total offense. Even more, the Steelers are 4th in passing. Ben Roethlisberger is among one of the most underrated quarterbacks out there and this year no different. Have you heard much talk regarding Roethlisberger this season? No, can't say that I have. Although, I think after last weeks performance, it is about time he gets some recognition. Roethlisberger passed for 522 yards with 6 touchdowns on 40-49 passing which made for one of the most impressive passing feats of all time against the Colts. Big Ben has been playing well all season long, he has thrown only 3 interceptions, and had a 10:3 touchdown to interception ratio even before that torrid outing. At home this season it is 12:1. The previous week he was also quite solid, passing on the Texans for 265 yards and 2 touchdowns. Roethlisberger is on pace to have the highest quarterback rating of his career if he can continue to play well. The offense passes for almost 300 yards per game at 291. They are averaging 418 yards as a team in total. The defense has taken a back seat to the Steelers' offense, where they are allowing 25 points per game, and are 16th in the NFL in yards allowed. Most people see this rivalry as lots of defense and pounding the ball on the ground. However, in 2014 both offenses are in the top 10 of the NFL. The Ravens have been scoring consistently as well, scoring 27 points per game and 375.5 yards a game. The Steelers come in with the 3rd best offense and the Ravens a solid 9th. The OVER is 4-0 last four Steelers home games. The OVER is on a 10-4-1 run in Pittsburgh when the Ravens and Steelers meet at Heinz Field. Several years ago I don't think anyone would think we'd see a total this high in a Ravens/Steelers game, and today I am feeling confident about it going OVER the total at 47.5.
**May have an additional play coming.
HIT THE PROS HARD.....JUST A FEW HIGH QUALITY PLAYS
JOE DIMAGGIO 5 PLAYS....THE JOEY D
MIAMI DOLPHINS MONEY LINE...... NEG BODY CLOCK
ARIZONA CARDINALS PLUS 4 1/2......... MY BACK HURTS
OAKLAND RAIDERS PLUS 15 1/2.......... FOR BIG BUBBA
BALTIMORE RAVENS MONEY LINE..........RAY LEWIS REINCARNATED
NEW YORK FOOTBALL GIANTS PLUS 3 1/2.........ELI BYE WEEK WORKS
The hype this year just is not the same as it has been when Manning and Brady get together, but both guys are amazing to watch. Remember a month ago when people were writing off this Pats team? Brady responded with 4 big wins, but a lot of that is because of weak teams he has played. There is no doubt that the best team in the NFL is the Broncos and it is not even close. This is a team that has few flaws on either side of the ball where New England has a lot of defensive injuries and still does not have a solid offensive line to protect Brady. I am glad the Patriots won their last 4 games because we have a low spread in this game. I have to go with the much better football team. Take the Broncos.
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