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king Creoles 4* best bet? 4**** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL (53.5 points) For the second week in a row, we’ll be ‘All OVER’ (pun intended) another New England Patriots game. We realize this call on OVER the Total is as ‘square’ as it gets. But at least we have the OU ammo from our database to back it up. And it doesn’t hurt us that this New England / Denver SERIES has gone a PERFECT 3-0 O/U in the last three meetings, with an average of 60.3 points per game. So ‘Weather be damned’. We’ll stick to our guns regardless of any rains or winds. With a big Thursday win in their rearview mirror, the BRONCOS qualify in the same HIGH-scoring situation that New England was in last week. That worked out well for us, so we’ll ride it again: 19-0 O/U s’2008: ALL teams off a THURSDAY home win that went ‘Over the Total’ (DEN). This week starts a stretch of 3 straight road games in a row for the Broncos. 8-0 O/U s’2007: All teams in the first of 3 STRAIGHT road games (DEN) when the gameline is < 8 pts and the OU line is 45 > points. The mighty Denver offense has scored 41, 31, 42, and 35 points in their last four games. 21-5 O/U s’97: All non-division teams who scored 31 > pts in EACH of their last 4 games (DEN). These teams have gone 9-1 O/U in the last 4 years. On the flip side, New England is in a complete opposite scheduling situation. This will be their 3rd straight ‘homie’ in a row. 11-0 O/U last 2 years: All teams in their 3rd STRAIGHT home game (PATS) vs any non-div opponent (BRONCOS). The Patriots were favs of -5.5 pts vs the Bears last Sunday, and won by 28 points. 16-2 O/U last 2 years / 4-0 O/U THIS season: All teams off a SU home win of 28 > pts in which they were favored by > 3 pts (PATS). With a Bye Week upcoming, the Patriots should have the pedal to the medal. 18-4-2 O/U s’07: All non-division home DOGS (PATS) before their Bye Week (Dogs of > 3 have gone 7-0-1 O/U). The Pats are in the AFC East while the Broncos are in the AFC West. 18-5 O/U S’94: All AFC EAST home DOGS (PATS) vs a AFC WEST opponent (BRONCOS). At last look, the OU line in this one was on the VERY high side (55-56 pts). A high line like that is USUALLY justified: 17-2 O/U last 2 years: ALL non-div NFL games w/ an OU line of 52 > pts (Den @ NENG). We locked in our play at the opening line of 53.5 points. Get YOURS in ASAP. Last team with the ball wins? Final score: 35 to 31….
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