11-6-14

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Delicatetips (Soccer)

Besiktas -1.25

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA | DALLAS at PORTLAND
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, first half of the season
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )

NBA | DALLAS at PORTLAND
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) after allowing 85 points or less against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more
30-11 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 20.0 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at HOUSTON
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line slow-down team averaging 76 or less shots/game on the season, good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game
486-320 since 1997. ( 60.3% | 134.0 units )

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NHL | PITTSBURGH at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (PITTSBURGH) good offensive team - scoring 2.85+ goals/game on the season, after 4 straight wins by 2 goals or more
44-21 since 1997. ( 67.7% | 39.3 units )

NHL | PITTSBURGH at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (PITTSBURGH) explosive offensive team - scoring 3+ goals/game on the season, after 4 straight wins by 2 goals or more
41-20 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.3 units )

NHL | PITTSBURGH at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (PITTSBURGH) good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game, after 4 straight wins by 2 goals or more
42-22 since 1997. ( 65.6% | 36.4 units )

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CFB | CLEMSON at WAKE FOREST
Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in weeks 10 through 13
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )

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Insider Sports Report

4* Cincinnati -6 over Cleveland (NFL)
Range: -4.5 to -8.5

3* San Antonio/Houston UNDER 202.5 (NBA)
Range: 204.5 to 199.5

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National Sports Service

4* Cleveland/Cincinnati OVER 44.5 (NFL)

3* Clemson -21 over Wake Forest (NCAAF)

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Elite Sports Picks

Wake Forest +21.5 over Clemson (NCAAF)

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NY Sports Genius

4 units
(European Cup) Estoril/Dinamo Moscow over 2.5 goals (-115)
(European Cup) Warsaw/ Metalist Kharkiv over 2.5 goals (+104)


3 units
(NHL) Predators/Stars under 5 goals (+135)


2 units
(NHL) Penguins -1..5 (+190)

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PAUL LEINER

1500* NFL Over 44.5 Browns/Bengals


100* Over 42.5 – Clemson/Wake Forest
50* Blazers -2.5

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY
TOP FOOTBALL PLAY

Play Clemson -21 over Wake Forest----RISK 35% OF YOUR BANKROLL
7:30 PM EST
Wake Forest has lost 7 of the last 8 games when playing in the month of November and they have lost 20 of the last 25 games when playing as an underdog. Wake Forest has lost 12 of the last 14 games coming off two or more UNDER the totals and they have lost 15 of the last 20 games vs. conference opponents.
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BONUS FOOTBALL PLAYS
Play Cleveland +6 over Cincinnati----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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ART ARONSON

10* NBA WEST-CONF O/U “BEST OF THE BEST!”

Spurs vs Rockets – OVER 199

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Vegas Winning Crew

NFL 15 Dime Play — Cincinnati Bengals-6

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Dr. Bob :
***Utah State (-6) 32 WYOMING 17

Fri Nov-07-2014 at 05:00 PM Pacific Rotation: 115 Over/Under 46.0

Utah State has a very good defense and the Aggies became an underrated team when Darell Garretson took over for an ineffective and injured Chuckie Keeton in the middle of their week 3 game against Wake Forest. I had a couple of Best Bet winners with Utah State with Garretson at quarterback (their upset win as a 21 point dog at BYU and an 18 point win over Air Force) but Garretson was injured against Colorado State and 3rd string quarterback Harrison played at the same low level that Keeton played at. Harrison suffered a knee injury late against UNLV in week 9 and it looks like the quarterback position may be back in good hands with freshman Kent Myers, who has completed 17 of 20 passes while averaging 9.8 yards per pass play. That’s obviously a small sample, but it’s doubtful that a bad quarterback would complete 17 of 20 passes and Myers was very accurate playing high school ball in Texas, where he completed 71% of his passes with 42 touchdown passes against just 5 interceptions. I realize that there is a big difference between high school and college but accuracy is accuracy and it translates well at the next level. Obviously, I don’t expect Myers to continue to complete 85% of his passes but he should be able to play at or close to the level that Garretson played at and I’d favor Utah State by 14 points in this game even if he played at the average level of the Utah State quarterbacks. I think he’ll be even better than that and it doesn’t even take a special quarterback to move the ball against a sub-par Wyoming defense that’s allowed 6.2 yards per play this season to teams that would average 5.6 yppl against an average team. The unit is even worse lately with multiple injuries to key defensive players, including LB Mark Nzeocha, who is their best defensive player, and 2 starting defensive backs (and a 3rd, Jesse Sampson, is questionable). My math model had Utah State moving the ball well even before adjusting for Wyoming’s injury situation and the Aggies should score around 30 points barring an unforeseen breakout of turnovers.

Utah State’s defense continues to play consistently well, as the Aggies have allowed between 14 and 24 points in 8 consecutive games while yielding just 4.6 yards per play for the season (against teams that would average 5.2 yppl against an average team). Wyoming’s loss of star RB Shaun Wick (705 yards at 6.3 ypr) doesn’t seem as painful after Brian Hill’s big game last week at Fresno and Hill is now averaging 6.4 ypr – so Wyoming’s rushing attack still rates at 0.5 yards per rushing play better than average. However, Utah State is very good defending the run, allowing just 3.8 yprp this season (to teams that would average 4.7 yprp against an average team). The Aggies are also good against the pass and Wyoming’s mediocre pass attack is projected to be limited to a modest 5.7 yards per pass play in this game while the rushing attack projects at 4.7 yprp. Overall, the Cowboys’ attack is projected to slowed to 317 yards at 5.2 yppl, which will make it tough to keep up with a Utah State offense seemingly once again in capable hands.

The math model liked Utah State here before adjusting for an improved quarterback situation for Utah State and for Wyoming’s banged up defense and I’ll take Utah State in a 3-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less, for 2-Stars up to -8 and for 1-Star up to -9

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Vip-Picks

Legia Warsaw – Metalist Kharkiv
Tip: Legia Warsaw -0.5, 1

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Fezzik
*2 Cincinnati