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ROBERT FERRINGO (NFL)
7-Unit Play. Take #110 Cincinnati (-6.5) over Cleveland (8 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 6)
I think that the Bengals are going to pound the Browns tonight. I don’t think that Cleveland is any good at all and I think that they are going to get wrecked in Thursday Night Football. And it isn’t like that hasn’t been the theme all year in these Thursday games. Of the nine Thursday night games seven of them have been decided by 14 points or more. And one of the ones that wasn’t was a blowout (Colts-Texans) before the home team made a furious rally. The rest of these Thursday games have been awful. I think that this one has the makings of another blowout. First of all, Cleveland is not that good. I know everyone is excited for them because they are 5-3. But that is a completely misleading 5-3. First off, they have played five of their last seven games at home. Secondly, in the last month they have faced the Titans, Jaguars, Raiders and Bucs; that’s four of the five worst teams in football. And if you have watched those games rather than just looking at the final results you would see a Browns team that is playing some ugly football. They probably shouldn’t have beaten the Bucs last Sunday. It was 9-6 in the fourth quarter against the Raiders the week prior. And this team actually lost – got blown out, actually – on the road against the Jaguars. That’s not inspiring. Cleveland has the situational disadvantage of having to travel on this short week and they are dealing with some major injury issues. They are likely going to be without their two best receivers, Jordan Cameron and Andrew Hawkins. The rest of the Cleveland receiving corps is less than awe inspiring. And that is what this beleaguered Bengals back seven needs to face at the moment. Cincinnati’s linebacking corps is pathetic. But I don’t know that the Browns will be able to take full advantage because they don’t have healthy skill people of their own. I have been betting pretty hard against Cincinnati over the last month. They are not nearly as good as people think they are. But this team has been awesome at home. They are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games and a lot of those wins have come against lines like this. The Browns have been awful on the road this year. They were getting blown out by the Steelers and the Titans before coming back in those games and they were beaten by 18 by the hapless Jaguars. The Bengals offense has a completely different look now that Muhammed Sanu has some confidence and A.J. Green is back from injury. The Bengals played an awfully sloppy game last week against the Jaguars and they still won by 10 points. I think they can find a way to gut this one out and I think that if they get Cleveland down – as the Browns have been in all of their road games – then the Bengals will find a way to drive a stake through their heart.
7-Unit Play. Take #110 Cincinnati (-6.5) over Cleveland (8 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 6)
I think that the Bengals are going to pound the Browns tonight. I don’t think that Cleveland is any good at all and I think that they are going to get wrecked in Thursday Night Football. And it isn’t like that hasn’t been the theme all year in these Thursday games. Of the nine Thursday night games seven of them have been decided by 14 points or more. And one of the ones that wasn’t was a blowout (Colts-Texans) before the home team made a furious rally. The rest of these Thursday games have been awful. I think that this one has the makings of another blowout. First of all, Cleveland is not that good. I know everyone is excited for them because they are 5-3. But that is a completely misleading 5-3. First off, they have played five of their last seven games at home. Secondly, in the last month they have faced the Titans, Jaguars, Raiders and Bucs; that’s four of the five worst teams in football. And if you have watched those games rather than just looking at the final results you would see a Browns team that is playing some ugly football. They probably shouldn’t have beaten the Bucs last Sunday. It was 9-6 in the fourth quarter against the Raiders the week prior. And this team actually lost – got blown out, actually – on the road against the Jaguars. That’s not inspiring. Cleveland has the situational disadvantage of having to travel on this short week and they are dealing with some major injury issues. They are likely going to be without their two best receivers, Jordan Cameron and Andrew Hawkins. The rest of the Cleveland receiving corps is less than awe inspiring. And that is what this beleaguered Bengals back seven needs to face at the moment. Cincinnati’s linebacking corps is pathetic. But I don’t know that the Browns will be able to take full advantage because they don’t have healthy skill people of their own. I have been betting pretty hard against Cincinnati over the last month. They are not nearly as good as people think they are. But this team has been awesome at home. They are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games and a lot of those wins have come against lines like this. The Browns have been awful on the road this year. They were getting blown out by the Steelers and the Titans before coming back in those games and they were beaten by 18 by the hapless Jaguars. The Bengals offense has a completely different look now that Muhammed Sanu has some confidence and A.J. Green is back from injury. The Bengals played an awfully sloppy game last week against the Jaguars and they still won by 10 points. I think they can find a way to gut this one out and I think that if they get Cleveland down – as the Browns have been in all of their road games – then the Bengals will find a way to drive a stake through their heart.
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