11-11-14
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BEN BURNS
BEST BET - akron/buffalo over -
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NHL
Hot teams
-- Islanders won last three games, allowing three goals.
-- Pittsburgh won last seven games, allowing eight goals.
-- Winnipeg won six of its last eight games. Canadiens won five of their seven home games.
-- St Louis won seven of its last eight games.
-- Edmonton won its last two games, allowing three goals. Predators won three of last four.
-- Tampa Bay won last six games, scoring 31 goals.
-- Coyotes won three of their last four games.
-- Canucks won seven of their last nine games.
Cold teams
-- Minnesota lost last three games, outscored 11-2. Devils lost last four games, scoring seven goals.
-- Avalanche lost six of their last eight games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five games.
-- Columbus lost its last eight games, allowing 35 goals. Washington lost three of last four at home.
-- Florida lost last three games, outscored 12-6. Sharks lost seven of last eleven games.
-- Sabres lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Chicago lost three of its last four home games.
-- Dallas Stars lost last seven games, allowing 28 goals.
-- Senators lost four of their last six games.
Series records
-- Devils lost three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Islanders lost three of last four games with Colorado.
-- Rangers beat Pittsburgh 4-3 in LY's playoffs, after being down 3-1.
-- Blue Jackets won last two games with Washington, after losing previous five.
-- Canadiens won nine of last eleven games with Winnipeg.
-- Sharks lost four of last five games with Florida.
-- Blues won last four games with Buffalo, allowing four goals.
-- Oilers won three of last four games with Edmonton.
-- Lightning won four of last five games with Chicago (four of five in OT/SO).
-- Dallas Stars lost five of last six visits to Arizona.
-- Canucks won five of last six games with Ottawa.
Totals
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Minnesota games. Last three Devil games went over.
-- Last three Colorado games went over the total. Last five Islander games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Ranger games went over total.
-- Five of seven Columbus road games stayed under. Over is 7-1 in last eight Washington games.
-- Five of last six Winnipeg games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten Florida games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1-3 in last twelve Buffalo games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Nashville games.
-- Last eight Lightning games went over. Under is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Chicago games.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Ottawa games stayed under total.Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
NHL | TAMPA BAY at CHICAGO
Play On - Road teams against the money line (TAMPA BAY) after 6 or more consecutive overs, quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period
48-14 since 1997. ( 77.4% | 37.3 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.1 units )
NHL | DALLAS at ARIZONA
Play On - Home Favorites against the money line (ARIZONA) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
63-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.8% | 39.8 units )
6-1 this year. ( 85.7% | 4.8 units )
NHL | COLORADO at NY ISLANDERS
Play On - Home Favorites against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
63-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.8% | 39.8 units )
6-1 this year. ( 85.7% | 4.8 units )Comment
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NBA
Hot Teams
-- Raptors won/covered six of their first seven games.
-- Memphis won five of last six games (1-1 HF).
-- Milwaukee covered three of last four games, is 1-0 as HF.
-- Kings won/covered five of their last six games.
-- Portland won its three of last four games (4-0 vs spread).
-- Warriors won/covered five of first six games.
Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost five of first seven games, is 2-1 as road underdog.
-- Lakers lost five of first six games, covered three of last four.
-- Thunder lost five of first seven games (1-3 as AU).
-- Mavericks lost two of last three games (1-2 as HF).
-- Hornets are 0-3 on road, losing by 3-9-15 points (1-1 AU).
-- Spurs split first six games (1-5 vs spread, 1-2 on road).
Series Records
-- Raptors won their last eight games with Orlando.
-- Lakers lost six of last eight games with Memphis.
-- Thunder won four of last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Kings lost 18 of last 20 games with Dallas; Mavs' last three series wins were all by 4 or less points.
-- Hornets lost last six visits to Portland (0-6 vs spread).
-- Spurs won last six games (5-1 vs spread) with Golden State.
Totals
-- Five of seven Toronto games went over total.
-- Four of last five Laker games went over total. Last five Memphis tilts stayed under. Four of last five series games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Oklahoma City games this season.
-- Last three Dallas games stayed under total. Over is 3-0-1 in last four Sacramento games.
-- Five of seven Portland games stayed under total.
-- Five of six San Antonio games stayed under.Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
NBA | SACRAMENTO at DALLAS
Play On - Underdogs (SACRAMENTO) good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season, in November games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
NBA | LA LAKERS at MEMPHIS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) off a home win, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season
60-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.9% | 32.5 units )
NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at MILWAUKEE
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line slow-down team averaging 76 or less shots/game on the season, good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game
490-320 since 1997. ( 60.5% | 138.0 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 4.0 units )Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
CFB | E MICHIGAN at W MICHIGAN
Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (W MICHIGAN) off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in November games
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
CFB | E CAROLINA at CINCINNATI
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (E CAROLINA) good passing team - with a completion pct of 58% or better
195-127 over the last 5 seasons. ( 60.6% | 0.0 units )
32-19 this year. ( 62.7% | 0.0 units )
CFB | TEXAS at OKLAHOMA ST
Play Against - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (TEXAS) off an upset win as a home underdog
67-31 over the last 10 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )Comment
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NCAA Football Game Picks
Toledo at Northern Illinois
The Rockets head to Northern Illinois tonight where they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Huskies. Toledo is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+5). Here are all of this week's NCAA Football picks.
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 11
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. ESTGame 301-302: Akron at Buffalo (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 68.254; Buffalo 62.576
Dunkel Line: Akron by 5 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Akron by 3 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-3 1/2); UnderGame 303-304: Toledo at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 80.212; Northern Illinois 75.181
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 5; 63
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 5; 59
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+5); OverComment
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Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with the Hawks (-1 1/2) on Monday and likes Toledo on Tuesday.
The deficit is 888 sirignanos.Comment
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Today's NBA Picks
LA Lakers at Memphis
The Lakers (1-5 SU) head to Memphis tonight to face a Grizzlies team that is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games versus teams with a losing SU record. LA is the pick (+10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by only 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+10 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 11
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. ESTGame 501-502: Orlando at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 124.239; Orlando 111.365
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 13; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 10 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-10 1/2); OverGame 503-504: LA Lakers at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 115.577; Memphis 122.969
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 7 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 10 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+10 1/2); UnderGame 505-506: Oklahoma City at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 121.645; Milwaukee 115.453
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 185 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+3); UnderGame 507-508: Sacramento at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 117.935; Dallas 127.468
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 9 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 205
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-7); OverGame 509-510: Charlotte at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 114.181; Portland 127.825
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 13 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 511-512: San Antonio at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.584; Golden State 129.407
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AComment
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Today's NHL Picks
Tampa Bay at Chicago
The Lightning head to Chicago tonight and come into the contest with a 5-0 record in their last 5 games versus the Blackhawks. Tampa Bay is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+140). Here are all of today's NHL picks.
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 11
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. ESTGame 1-2: Minnesota at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.832; New Jersey 10.764
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-105); UnderGame 3-4: Colorado at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.211; NY Islanders 11.654
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-150); OverGame 5-6: Pittsburgh at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 13.580; NY Rangers 10.443
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 3; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-145); OverGame 7-8: Columbus at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.627; Washington 12.200
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-200); UnderGame 9-10: Winnipeg at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 12.422; Montreal 11.170
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+130); OverGame 11-12: San Jose at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.144; Florida 10.425
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-140); UnderGame 13-14: Buffalo at St. Louis (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 9.714; St. Louis 11.718
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-440); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-440); OverGame 15-16: Edmonton at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 12.223; Nashville 11.314
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+170); UnderGame 17-18: Tampa Bay at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.420; Chicago 11.361
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+140); OverGame 19-20: Dallas at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.372; Arizona 11.778
Dunkel Line & Total: Arizona by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Arizona (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-115); UnderGame 21-22: Ottawa at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.314; Vancouver 11.192
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+140); UnderComment
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Football Crusher
Buffalo +3.5 over Akron
(System Record: 26-5, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 26-28-2
Rest of the Plays
Buffalo + Akron OVER 47.5Comment
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Basketball Crusher
Sacramento Kings +7 over Dallas Mavericks
(System Record: 7-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 7-6
Rest of the Plays
Memphis Grizzlies -10 over LA Lakers
Orlando Magic +10.5 over Toronto Raptors
Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 over OKCComment
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Hockey Crusher
St Louis Blues -1.5 over Buffalo Sabres
(System Record: 18-1, won last game)
Overall Record: 18-11-1
Rest of the Plays
San Jose Sharks -145 over Florida Panthers
Dallas Stars +101 over Arizona Cayotes
New York Islanders -145 over Colorado AvsComment

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