11-15-14

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XpertPicks

SATURDAY

TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Ohio State -13.5 over Minnesota----RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROL
12:00 PM EST

Ohio State has won 21 of the last 22 games vs. conference opponents and they have won 10 consecutive road games when playing as a favorite. Ohio State has won 9 consecutive games when playing in the month of November and they are averaging 46 points a game on offense this season.


Play Nebraska +6 over Wisconsin----RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
3:30 PM EST

Nebraska has won 15 of the last 19 games coming off a home game and they have won 8 of the last 9 games when playing in weeks ten through thirteen. Nebraska has won 40 of the last 56 games coming off a bye week and they have won 26 of the last 35 games when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points.

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Play Arizona State -7.5 over Oregon State---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Miami +3 over Florida State---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Virginia Tech +4 over Duke---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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Winning Angle Football

SATURDAY

Play Nevada +2.5 over Air Force (NCAA)
2:00 PM EST

Air Force has lost 23 of the last 34 games against the spread and they have lost 15 of the last 21 games against the spread vs. conference opponents.Air Force has lost 11 of the last 14 games against the spread coming off a road game and they have lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread coming off a game where they forced no turnovers.


Play Nebraska +6 over Wisconsin (NCAA)
3:30 PM EST

Nebraska has won 12 of the last 15 games when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they have won 16 of the last 22 games vs. conference opponents.Nebraska has won 40 of the last 56 games coming off a bye week and they have won 8 of the last 10 games when playing in the month of November.


Play Alabama -8.5 over Mississippi State (NCAA)
3:30 PM EST

Alabama has won 17 of the last 18 games when playing as a home favorite and they have won 20 of the last 23 games vs. conference opponents.Alabama has won 13 of the last 15 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they are only allowing an average of 8 points on defense in home games this season.


Play Georgia -2 over Auburn (NCAA)
7:15 PM EST

Georgia has won 13 of the last 15 games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their last game and they have won 16 of the last 17 games when playing as a home favorite.Georgia has won 9 of the last 11 games when playing in the month of November and they are averaging 47 points on offense in home games this season.


Play Miami +1 over Florida State (NCAA)
8:00 PM EST

Miami has covered the spread in 4 consecutive games when playing as a home underdog and they have covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 games coming off a win by 17 points or more.Miami has covered the spread in 17 of the last 23 games after covering the spread in four of the last five games and they are averaging 41 points on offense in home games this season.


Play Arizona State -9 over Oregon State (NCAA)
10:45 PM EST

Oregon State has lost five of the last six games against the spread and they have lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread vs. conference opponents.Oregon State has lost 11 of the last 15 games against the spread coming off a game with one or less turnovers and they are allowing an average of 40 points on defense in their last three games.

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Winning Angle

SATURDAY

NBA BASKETBALL

Play Memphis -9.5 over Detroit (NBA TOP PLAY)

Detroit has lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread and they have lost 14 of the last 20 games against the spread vs. Southwest Division Opponents.Detroit has lost 18 of the last 19 games when playing as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points and they have lost 53 of the last 63 non-conference games.


Play Golden State -10 over Charlotte (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Dallas -10.5 over Minnesota (NBA BONUS PLAY)



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NCAA BASKETBALL

Play Manhattan +10 over Florida State (NCAA TOP PLAY)

Manhattan has covered the spread in 18 of the last 25 games when playing as an underdog and they have covered the spread in 18 of the last 29 road games.Manhattan has covered the spread in three consecutive games vs. ACC Division Opponents and they are averaged 77 points a game last season.


Play Portland State +10.5 over USC (NCAA BONUS PLAY)
Play Cal-Poly Slo +4 over Nevada (NCAA BONUS PLAY)

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NHL HOCKEY

Play Ottawa +130 over Calgary (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Minnesota +135 over Dallas (NHL TOP PLAY)

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BeatYourBookie

SATURDAY

10* Play Nebraska +6 over Wisconsin (Top NCAA Play)

Nebraska is 8-1 SU when playing in weeks ten through thirteen
Nebraska is 12-3 SU when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points


10* Play Alabama -8.5 over Mississippi State (Top NCAA Play)

Alabama is 22-1 SU after allowing 14 points or less in their last game
Alabama is 17-1 SU in home games the last three seasons


10* Play Miami +1 over Florida State (Top NCAA Play)

Florida State is 2-7 ATS when playing as a favorite this season
Florida State is 2-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games


10* Play Arizona State -9 over Oregon State (Top NCAA Play)

Oregon State is 1-5 ATS over the last six games
Oregon State is 4-11 ATS coming off a game with one or less turnovers

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KEVIN's PLAYS

We picked up a 4 unit winner with the OVER last night going 2-1 with the three selections overall.
For the weekend I've added a few systems, tweaked some others, and have a rating system to limit the picks to only the strongest from the systems. Hopefiully this can help us turn things around. 8 picks for Saturday below including a 4 unit play late...
2 UNIT = Nevada @ Air Force - [343] NEVADA +3 (-120)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.67 units)
2 UNIT = Ohio State @ Minnesota - [326] MINNESOTA +14 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
2 UNIT = Temple @ Penn State - [323] TEMPLE +12 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.81 units)
2 UNIT = Clemson @ Georgia Tech - [339] CLEMSON -2.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.81 units)
2 UNIT = Mississippi State @ Alabama - [396] ALABAMA -8 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.81 units)
2 UNIT = Michigan State @ Maryland - [400] MARYLAND +12 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.81 units)
2 UNIT = Texas State @ South Alabama - [348] SOUTH ALABAMA -6.5
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.81 units)
4 UNIT = San Diego State @ Boise State - [359] OVER 56 POINTS (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.77 units)
Cheers,
Kevin

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steve budin

100 dime fsu

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sean michaels

50 dime arkansas

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Scott Spreitzer | CFB Side Sat
Triple-dime bet364 Arkansas -2.5 (-110) BetOnline vs 363 LSU
Analysis: I'm laying the points with Arkansas, my first release for Saturday, Nov. 15. Analysis posted later. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Nov 10 2014 1:09AM PST

Double-dime bet341 Virginia Tech 4.5 (-110) BetOnline vs 342 Duke
Analysis: I'm taking the points with VA Tech on Saturday. Revenge will be on the minds for the Hokies after losing last year's game 13-10 at home. The final score didn't tell the entire story as the Hokies out-gained Duke, 387-198. VA Tech was a 12-point favorite in that one and this week they're getting points. Duke is off a 27-10 win over Syracuse, another misleading final score. I had the Orange, unfortunately, and the game was tied at 10 in the fourth quarter. Duke then scored on a punt return, a 16-yard drive, and on a 54-yard pass when the game was all but over. Duke gained a grand total of just 259 yards on just 3.92 yards per play. The Blue Devils have played a very soft slate and since losing 22-10 to their stiffest opposition, Miami, they have eked out wins over Ga Tech, Virginia, a double-OT win over Pitt, and the misleading win over Syracuse. I'm betting the good fortune ends against a VA Tech squad still in search of bowl eligibility at 4-5 SU. The Hokies rank 9th on defense against the pass and 30th in total defense and they've had two weeks to prep for this game. VA Tech is 13-4 ATS as a road underdog of 3 1/2 to 7. I expect another winner here. I'm grabbing the points with VA Tech, my DogPound release. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Nov 14 2014 1:37PM PST

Triple-dime bet376 Marshall -21.0 (-113) BetOnline vs 375 Rice
Analysis: I'm laying the points with Marshall on Saturday afternoon. The Thundering Herd remains perfect as they head into the home contest against Rice. The Herd not only looks to remain perfect, but also looks to gain a measure of revenge after losing 41-24 to the Owls in last season's conference championship game. Marshall is playing great football on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Rice has been winning a few games themselves. The Owls lost their first three games of the season to Notre Dame, Texas A&M, and Old Dominion, allowing 48, 38, and 45 points in the process. They have since won six straight games both SU and ATS, but the schedule has been filled with cupcakes. The step-up in competition is going to be tough to deal with in this one and we believe the Owls will fail. The Rice defense got crushed in the three losses, allowing 528 yards per game on 8.47 yards per play! They allowed 345 yards passing per game on 10.55 yards per attempt with 11 TDs and just 1 INT in 98 passes. The run defense was an equal opportunity offender, allowing 6.17 yards per carry. The Herd has the offense to make Rice pay for their shortcomings on defense and we'll lay the big points. Marshall enters on a 13-1-1 ATS run at home against teams with a winning road record. The Thundering Herd are also backed by a 24-4 CFB-wide situation backing favorites of more than 21 points and less than 31 1/2 points, if they're averaging at least 6.2 yards per play and are facing a defense that allows 4.8-5.6 yards per play, provided the favorite has gained at least 7.25 yards per play over the previous two games. Marshall fits. And the angles are just the icing on the cake in what I believe will be a mismatch. I'm laying the points with Marshall, my Tapout on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Nov 14 2014 2:19PM PST

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Totals4U
2014 Atlantic Coast Conference Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Clemson/Georgia Tech under 59 1/2

Early NCAA Best Bets
Temple/Penn State under 39
Ohio State/Minnesota over 54 1/2
Virginia Tech/Duke under 47 1/2
South Carolina/Florida over 57 1/2

2014 Southeastern Conference Showdown Total of the Year!!!!!
Mississippi State/Alabama under 54 1/2

Mid-Day NCAA Best Bets
Nebraska/Wisconsin under 56 1/2
Oklahoma/Texas Tech under 62
Washington/Arizona under 60 1/2
Northwestern/Notre Dame over 51

2014 Sunshine State Showdown Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Florida State/Miami- Florida under 61 1/2

Late NCAA Best Bets
Auburn/Georgia over 69 1/2
Texas/Oklahoma State under 47 1/2
LSU/Arkansas under 50 1/2
Arizona State/Oregon State under 61

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Hall of Fame Sports

356 Stanford(-8)
360 Boise State(-13)
369 South Carolina(+7.5)

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Elite Sports Picks

Arizona St. -8 over Oregon St. (NCAAF)

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National Sports Service

4* Duke -4.5 over Virginia Tech (NCAAF)

3* Mississippi St. +10 over Alabama (NCAAF)

3* Auburn +2.5 over Georgia (NCAAF)

3* Arkansas -1 over L.S.U. (NCAAF)

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Jack Jones
25* Ark
20 clem
15 ore st
15 fsu
15 kansas

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Jason Sample:
Each 1 UNIT:

Kent St. -3
Tulsa/Ohio/FSU/USC/LSU MLs (+120)

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Gabriel DuPont

100 Dimes #345 South Florida -10.5