11-22-14

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Big Al

5* COLLEGE FOOTBALL FAVORITE OF THE YEAR

Tennessee

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BEN BURNS

FOOTBALL

BREAKFAST CLUB - central michigsn
SHOCKER - oklahoma st
BEST BET - arizona
PERSONAL FAVORITE - notre dame
MAIN EVENT - ucla

NHL

San Jose Sharks

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Sports Insights
NCAAF Best Bets 58-44 +8.66 units


Game Time (ET)

Play

Best Line

11/21 9:30 PM 120 Play on SDSU -4-110
11/22 7:00 PM 126 Play on UVA Under 49.5-110
11/22 3:30 PM 182 Play on NO-TX Under 48-110
11/22 7:00 PM 198 Play on MIDTN -7-110
11/22 10:30 PM 207 Play on FRES Over 60-110

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Maddux Sports

NCAAF

10* Purdue +3
10* Central Michigan +1.5
10* Central Florida -26.5
10* UCLA -3

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Dave Cokin

2 Units - Baylor -27.5

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Ken Thomson - CFB UAB +20

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Dr. Bob

Best Bets


(128) ***Tennessee (-3) 3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars up to -6
(148) **Purdue (+1 ½) 2-Stars at -1 or better
(152) **East Carolina (-17) 2-Stars at -17 or less, 1-Star up to -19.5

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Trev Rogers

Iowa +10.5

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GoodFella



"One & Only CFB Game Of The Year" on LOUISVILLE CARDINALS +3.5



Note:
I have played a (3*) size wager on the +3.5 points and an additional (1*) on the Louisville money-line (+145).

So, we have a (4*) on this game, which is really just "double the size" of our (2*) standard best bets. As always, please wager within your means. This is just one game & as always anything can happen.



I really love the scheduling spot that we have for this game on Saturday. I love the fact that Louisville had last week off due to their bye-week. That is such an advantage (especially late in the season). The Irish are coming off a couple of very disappointing losses. They had their playoff hopes dashed away losing at Arizona St and then followed that up with an outright home loss to Northwestern last week. Rumors of Brian Kelly leaving only add to this teams issues. We all know that Ville lost their starting QB Will Gardner their last game vs B.C. on the 8th. The Cardinals have very good 2nd QB in freshman Reggie Bonnafon. He played excellent in the B.C. game throwing 2 TD's and running in another TD. His running ability really makes him dual threat & tough to prepare for. The Cardinals also are scheduled to get back 2 of their best defensive players back for this game (Mauldin & Vatuvei). A tough task to stop Notre Dame on offense, but this Cardinal defense is the 5th best in the country & have had the extra week to prepare/game plan/get healthy. Bottom line for me here is I really believe that Louisville is the better overall team and have been impressed with how they've played vs their top competition. I trust the Ville QB to protect the ball and make plays not only with his arm, but his legs as well. IMO< a definite head coach edge here too with Louisville. IMO, Louisville gives the Irish all they want & I've fired my biggest CFB play of the season.

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Doc Sports


ACC Game of the Year

7 Unit Play. #180/#164 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3 over Louisville Cardinals (Saturday 3:30 pm NBC)

Notre Dame is coming off a humiliating loss to Northwestern, and many believe that their season is crumbling at the moment. I am not one of those people and feel they will bounce back in a big way today against Louisville. Both teams have issues at quarterback as the Cardinals will be playing their back-up quarterback in this game in Reggie Bonnafon. Despite their performance the last couple of weeks, I still believe in this Notre Dame defense and feel they will be able to contain the running game of Louisville. Everett Golson is an effective quarterback when he does not turn over the football, and he will be able to move the football on this aggressive Louisville defense. Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Louisville is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of November.



4 Unit Play. #127/#177 Take Missouri Tigers +3.5 over Tennessee Volunteers (Saturday 7:30 pmSEC Network)

The Tigers continue to get very little respect despite being the team atop the standings in the SEC East. Missouri dominated this matchup last season, winning 20-3 and having a 502-334 edge in total yards. Missouri has won 4 straight games, and if they win out they can be a respectable 10-2 on the season. Missouri has won 9 straight road games, and getting them this week with points is too good to pass up. Tennessee already has lost twice at home, including to Florida, a team that fired their head coach. Tennessee is 3-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games following an ATS victory in their previous affair. Missou is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games.


4 Unit Play. #160/#180 Take UAB Blazers +20 over Marshall Thundering Herd (Saturday 12 pmASN)

The Thundering Herd are in good position to become the highest ranked team from the 5 non major conferences and thus wind up in a good bowl game. The Blazers need to win won of their remaining two games to become bowl eligible and I believe they will give them all that they can handle. The home team is 7-2 straight-up in this series including 5 times the underdog has won the game. This is the last home game for UAB and I expect them to remain competitive for 60 minutes losing by 13-16 points giving us the cover. UAB is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning road record.


4 Unit Play. #206/#208 Take UCLA Bruins -3.5 over USC Trojans (Saturday 8 pm ABC)

I am not a big Jim Mora fan as a coach, but he seems to be the King of LA. His Bruins have beaten the Trojans the last two years (underdog in both of those games). UCLA has been playing better of late, and Brett Hundley is still a solid quarterback that can beat you with his arm or his legs. USC will have their moments, but they are just not the same type of team that they were in the last decade. USC is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games. UCLA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of November.


4 Unit Play. #207/#201 Take Fresno State Bulldogs +7.5 over Nevada Wolf Pack (Saturday 10:30 pmESPN U)

Fresno State is coming off a bye, and they are playing better of late. Nevada is coming off a tough loss to Air Force, and they suffered some injuries in that contest. Nevada is not an explosive offensive team to take advantage of a weak Bulldog defense. I expect this game to be close and go down to the wire. Both teams are still alive in the West Division of the MWC, and Fresno needs to win out to go bowling. Expect this game to go down to the wire, and we will collect with whoever comes out on top. Fresno State is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games against teams with a winning home record.

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Prediction machine

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick%
128 7:30 PM MIZZOU @ TENN 47.5 53.8 Over 59.7
182 3:30 PM FIU @ NORTX 48.5 43 Under 57.6
168 10:15 PM BOISE @ WYO 55 63.8 Over 57
158 3:30 PM WISC @ IOWA 51.5 47 Under 56.2
206 7:00 PM USC @ UCLA 61 69.2 Over 56.2
208 10:30 PM FRES @ NEVADA 60 67.9 Over 55.8
134 12:00 PM RUT @ MSU 57.5 62.3 Over 55.7
164 1:30 PM NM @ COLOST 64.5 73.3 Over 55.5
148 12:00 PM NW @ PURDUE 50 46.4 Under 55.2
198 7:00 PM FLAATL @ MIDDTN 57.5 61.6 Over 54.8
180 3:30 PM LOU @ ND 53 48.1 Under 54.8

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Sides



Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick%
185 5:00 PM APP @ UL-LAF 10 0.8 59.1
149 1:00 PM WESTMI @ CENTMI 1.5 5.1 58.3
201 4:00 PM UL-MON @ NMST -7 13.2 58
176 3:00 PM @ HOU TULSA -20 26.5 57.8
208 10:30 PM @ NEVADA FRES -8 16.2 57.6
161 1:00 PM LATECH @ ODU -12 17.9 57.2
180 3:30 PM @ ND LOU -3.5 9.7 56.7
153 3:30 PM BC @ FLAST 19 -14.1 55.8
181 3:30 PM FIU @ NORTX 2.5 1.8 55.4
142 3:30 PM @ MICH MD -5 8.2 55.2
148 12:00 PM @ PURDUE NW 2 1.9 55.2
206 7:00 PM @ UCLA USC -3 8.9 55.2
134 12:00 PM @ MSU RUT -22 27 55.1
155 12:00 PM PSU @ ILL -6.5 9.5 54.9

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Jason Sharpe

7*Western Michigan +1

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Indian Cowboy


7-Unit Play #192 Take Clemson-40.5 over Georgia State (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)

We haveClemson by possibly as much as 60 in this contest similar to the South CarolinaState game when they won 73-7.
Perthis game, we expect Clemson to absolutely trounce Georgia State for a varietyof reasons the least of which is the fact this team looked extremely anemicagainst Georgia Tech in their last game. It was a very disappointing game for ateam that looked like they were lost on the offensive end given how competentand potent this offense is. Don't look for this team to struggle on theoffensive end as their quarterback situation will quickly be solved coming intothis game. Note Clemson comes off its lowest output of the season of just 6points, a team that has historically done very well with large spreads withDabo at the helm and note that this team routed South Carolina State earlierthis year 73-7 as -34 point favorites so to think that this team cannot score abounty of points, and rout this team coming off a frustrating loss and embarassinga foe in Georgia State is not beneath Clemson. Look for Clemson to start andlook to rout Georgia State from start to finish as if State found Troydifficult losing 21-45, then certainly Clemson could be a daunting task facingthis team as well. The public is actually on State here given how poorlyClemson played in their last game and note the Panthers are 1-4 ATS coming offa straight up loss of 20 or more points and Clemson is 6-1 ATS coming off astraight up loss and 5-2 ATS when facing the Sun Belt ass well.


3-Unit Play #129 Take Over 56South Alabama vs. South Carolina (Saturday @ Noon est)

WithSouth Carolina coming off such an exciting win over Florida, though you cantell Spurrier felt bad because that win was the straw that broke the camel'sback if you will for Muschamp, look for the Gamecocks to likely have a bit oflet down here after such a big win. That win was a must for South Carolina ifthey wanted to go to a bowl game and certianly now they will go as they long asthey don't lay a complete egg against South Alabama. This team has their rivalClemson on the horizon as well which is always an interesting game given therivalry between those teams and these coaches now. But per this game, SouthAlabama is certainly going to look forward to this game much more than SouthCarolina and given the relatively low line, with Clemson on deck for SouthCarolina, look for USA to be a decent active dog here and likely send this gameover the posted total. The public is heavily on South Carolina coming into thisgame, the Over is 6-1 for the Gamecocks when they face the Sun Belt and if this3 touchdown+ Underdog can hang tough or be a good dog early on, that should beenough to send this contest over the posted total.


3-Unit Play #137 Take Vanderbilt+30.5 over Mississippi State (Saturday @ 7:30pm est) (If you wait closer togametime, line will likely go up)

Vanderbilthas continued to do well as heavy underdogs as all year and though Miss Statecomes off a loss, we will still roll with Vandy here on the road as State hasOle Miss on deck. It's hard to for State to get up to play an SEC East Dwellergiven that they come off tough loss to Alabama on the road. But, they are stillin the top 4 and if this team can prep for Ole Miss and win then they areindeed in. Notice the total in this game is set at 53. So basicall you have ateam that is favored by more than 4 touchdowns and the total is sitting at 53which says a lot. So to get 30.5/53 is not a bad fraction for us andconsidering that Vandy is known to slow the pace of the game down and playpossession football it makes for a decent play here. Plus, Vanderbilt'sstrenghth is indeed their defense. Vanderiblt has slowly gotten better as theyear has gone on and this coaching staff is going nowhere. This is a teamremember that lost to Missouri by just 10 points 14-24 as a 22.5 point dog,comes off a tough loss to Florida at home, lost to Geogia within the 33.5 pointspread, lost to Kentucky by 10 points on a 14.5 point spread and with Statehaving Ole Miss on the docket, it's hrad to imagine this team might not bethinking ahead. Plus, we like the fact that this team was placed in the top 4in State as they will look to have less of a chip let's say instead of TCU whogot booted out of the top 4 from a poor game against Kansas (though that's notfair to TCU as Kansas was getting better each week, note the Iowa State win onthe road). We like Vandy here as the Commodores are 5-0 ATS in their last 5road games against teams with winning records meaning when this team playselite teams on the road, they hang tough with the big spread and the Bulldogsare 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games when they face teams with a losing roadrecord - meaning when State faces lower rung teams at home they have troublewinning by the wide margin set against them.