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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369690

    #31
    Game of the Day: TCU at Texas

    TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Longhorns (+6.5, 55)

    Fifth-ranked TCU and host Texas roll into their Thanksgiving Day meeting on win streaks. While the Longhorns are playing well and already bowl-eligible, the Horned Frogs have bigger goals in their sights. TCU is in striking distance of a College Football Playoff berth and can claim at least a share of its first Big 12 Conference title with two more wins.

    "You don't get very many chances to win championships," TCU coach Gary Patterson told the Fort Worth Star-Telegram last week. "I know our fan base would love to be in the playoffs, and so would we. But for us, right now, the best way to do that is to win a conference title." Trevone Boykin leads a TCU offense - ranked second nationally in points scored at 45.9 - that is the nation's most improved. Texas has been solid defensively during its three-game win streak, allowing a combined 36 points.

    TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.

    LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Frogs as 6.5-point road faves. The total has dropped to 55 from the opening 56.5.

    INJURY REPORT: TCU - RB B.J. Catalon (Questionable, upper body). Texas - WR Jaxon Shipley (Probable, leg), WR Armanti Foreman (Out, head).

    WEATHER FORECAST: Temperatres are expected to be in the mid-50s with wind blowing across the field at 3 mph.

    WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "When the season began in August, the look ahead advance line was Texas -7 for this game which is substantially different than the real line now. The underdog has won both meetings straight up the past two seasons, including a 30-7 road win by Texas last year, so this is a revenge game for TCU. TCU holds a substantial edge on offense as they average 46 points per game and 542 yards per game (6.7 yards per play), while Texas only averages 24 ppg and 367 total yards (5.2 yppl) this season. However, Texas actually has the better defense, allowing just 21 points per game and 4.6 yard per play, while TCU permits 23 ppg and 5.1 yppl." - Steve Merril

    ABOUT TCU (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS, 7-3 O/U): The Horned Frogs' improvement in total yards (plus-196.8) and points (plus-20.8) lead the nation and are on pace to set a Big 12 record while the offense can also set school marks for points, first downs, passing yards and total offense in a single season. Boykin (3,021 passing yards, 24 touchdowns; 548 rushing yards, seven scores) ranks third nationally in total offense. Josh Doctson leads TCU, winner of five straight, with 43 catches for 693 yards and seven TDs and Kolby Listenbee has 33 catches for 606 yards and three scores.

    ABOUT TEXAS (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS, 3-8 O/U): Tyrone Swoopes has grown into a solid leader of the Texas offense, completing 58.8 percent of his passes for 2,152 yards, 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. Running backs Malcolm Brown and Johnathan Gray have combined for 1,281 yards and 13 scores while John Harris (59 catches for 976 yards and seven TDs) and Jaxon Shipley (58 catches, 571 yards, one score) lead the receiving corps. The Longhorn defense - led by linebacker Jordan Hicks' 136 tackles - has allowed just 5-of-30 third-down conversions in the past two games.

    TRENDS:

    * Horned Frogs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
    * Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last seven Thursday games.
    * Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last five road games.
    * Under is 14-3 in Longhorns last 17 games in November.

    CONSENSUS: 65 percent of bettors are backing TCU.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369690

      #32
      Michigan Godfather

      5 unit

      (NFL) #305 Chicago Bears +7 (-110)
      (NFL) Philadelphia / Dallas Over 55 points (-105)
      (NCAAB) #503 Kansas -8 (-110)
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369690

        #33
        FSOTB - Fat Side Of The Bacon - Wooley B

        FIRST OFF IM BLOWING THE WHISTLE ON BEVO, FAVORITE TURKEY PLAY OF THE DAY.

        BEVO ON THE BONE
        I WOULD PLAY SLIGHTLY ABOVE YOUR AVERAGE UNIT PLAY
        TEXAS LONGHORNS PLUS 7

        STUFFING AND GRAVY ONE UNIT PLAYS
        DETROIT LIONS MINUS 6 1/2
        LIONS/CHI UNDER 47
        PHILADELPHIA EAGLES PLUS 3 1/2
        EAGLES/BOYS OVER 55
        SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS MONEY LINE
        NINERS/HAWKS UNDER 40
        TEXAS A@M FIGHTING AGS PLUS 3 1/2
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369690

          #34
          Kelso

          25 texas
          20 eagles
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369690

            #35
            R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Thanksgiving Day

            3* = SAN FRANCISCO
            3* = PHILADELPHIA
            2* = Texas
            2* = Lsu
            2* = "over" on Eagles/Cowboys
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369690

              #36
              LINEBEATERS

              Turkey Day Football
              Bears +7
              Eagles +3
              49ers (pick)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369690

                #37
                Coach Capper (NFL)

                Seattle Seahawks+ 1
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369690

                  #38
                  NHL

                  Hot teams
                  -- Predators won seven of their last nine games.

                  Cold teams
                  -- Edmonton lost its last seven games, outscored 26-13.

                  Series records
                  -- Nashville beat Oilers twice already this season, 4-1/3-2, both in Edmonton.

                  Totals
                  -- Over is 3-1-1 in Edmonton's last five visits to Nashville.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369690

                    #39
                    StatFox Super Situations

                    CBB | CS-FULLERTON at WRIGHT ST
                    Play Against - Neutral court teams (WRIGHT ST) slow-down team from last season averaging 53 or less shots/game, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better
                    62-28 since 1997. ( 68.9% | 31.2 units )
                    3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

                    CBB | KANSAS at RHODE ISLAND
                    Play Against - Neutral court teams (RHODE ISLAND) excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse
                    35-21 since 1997. ( 62.5% | 33.2 units )

                    CBB | SAN DIEGO at XAVIER
                    Play On - Neutral Court favorites vs. the 1rst half line (XAVIER) in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
                    67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
                    2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369690

                      #40
                      Sports Lab

                      NFL:

                      San Francisco -1 *1 unit
                      Philadelphia +3 *1 unit
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369690

                        #41
                        NFLBetting Picks / Kevin

                        Kevin’s Pick(s):

                        2 UNIT = Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions – LIONS -7 (+102)
                        (Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.04 units)

                        Kyle’s Pick(s)

                        2 UNIT = Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys – COWBOYS -3 (-120)
                        (Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.67 units)

                        I faded Mark Sanchez on the road a couple weeks ago in Green Bay for a big game, and I’ll look to do it again today against the Cowboys. While Dallas escaped the Giants it was done in impressive fashion. Of course not on the scoreboard, it was only a 3 point win, but the way they did it by coming back was impressive in itself. The Cowboys and Tony Romo have been criticized in the past for playing dead after facing a little bit of pressure, but they rose up and came from behind to beat the Giants in the 2nd half. I am sure they were looking ahead to this game as well. After dropping two games to the Redskins and Cardinals, everyone seemed to give up on them. Some people need to understand that Brandon Weeden was at the controls in both of those games. Romo was out with an injury, so we can’t put the blame there. The Cowboys were on a six game roll before Weeden had to take over, so then, the only loss Romo has to his credit was week 1 against the 49ers, where he didn’t look healthy in that one. Sanchez and the Eagles blew past a terrible Titans team at home last week. However, they looked awful in a big game against the Packers prior to then. This is a HUGE game for the Eagles and Cowboys. I know it sounds funny saying I trust Romo in a big game, but I sure as heck trust him more than Sanchez who the verdict is still out on. The Cowboys’ defense has done considerably well despite what was expected of them before the season started. They’re allowing 21.8 point per game and are 16th in yardage allowed. The Titans are 32nd against the run, a part of that game that the Eagles took care of. The Dallas 12th ranked run defense should be able to contain it enough to force Sanchez into winning the game. The winner of this game takes the division lead and I don’t trust Sanchez will be able to do that here. I look for a Cowboys win and cover.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369690

                          #42
                          ATS LockClub


                          3 Det -7
                          3 Dal/OVR 55.5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369690

                            #43
                            Wolkosky Milan


                            20* Detroit Lions -7
                            20* Bears / Lions Over 47
                            20* San Francisco 49ers -1
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369690

                              #44
                              Pointwise Phones

                              3* Detroit
                              2* Dallas
                              2* TCU
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369690

                                #45
                                Hall of Fame Sports; 7-4 in hoops since 11/4

                                Georgia Tech -4.5
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