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3* free play Saturday is Wisconsin ‘OVER’ 50
7-for-7. The ‘OVER’ is 7-0 the last seven meetings in Wisconsin between Minnesota and the Badgers. Wisconsin has scored 59 and 52 points in their last two home games. Minnesota has scored at least 24 points in their last eight games. Both of these teams can really tote the rock. Wisconsin is #3 in the country while Minnesota is #25. The Badgers’ defense might be slipping a bit allowing 24 points in each of their last two games. I’m kind of a sucker for Wisconsin ‘OVER’ at home. Then again the Badgers are averaging 46.8 points in Madison and the ‘OVER’ is 4-1 this year so it’s justified. This team is 54-33 ‘OVER’ as a home favorite in their last 77. Minnesota very deep at RB despite David Cobb because listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.
The Rockets are playing without Howard, Beverley, and Jones, 3 starters. And it’s beginning to show. Yesterday this team shot 39% from the field and Harden continued to struggle with his efficiency. In addition, both Harden and Ariza played 38 minutes and fatigue could be an issue today. Bucks played last night as well, but they had an easy win and nobody logged in more than 27 minutes. Milwaukee has the 6th ranked D, they are deeper than Houston, and of course they’re at home for this one. I expect another tough game for the Rockets here. They’ve overachieved without Howard/Beverley in the last week or so, but I think the absence of those key players is catching up to them now.
Utah Jazz +5.5
This is LA’s 7th straight road game, and the last road game of this long trip. They’re also on a b2b and 3in4 spot, while Utah had 2-days off. With the Clippers already being 5-1 on this road-trip, the focus might not be there tonight in addition to fatigue. Utah is trying to end their 4-game losing streak so I would expect a little more effort out of them.
OC Dooley:
"1 UNIT" NATIONAL-TV LATE AFTERNOON COLLEGE (Ole Miss +3 at home versus Mississippi State in a 3:30 eastern kickoff televised on CBS): This is one of the many rivalries dotting the college football landscape as the regular season winds down but it involves a very unusual handicapping situation that has me gladly "taking" points with the home underdog. Today marks only the third time in FIFTY-SEVEN YEARS that the in-state matchup known as the Egg Bowl has featured both schools with national Top-25 rankings. In the case of Mississippi State they still have a shot at being in the top four of the inaugural College Playoff system. But the fact of the matter is both sides have the same number of ATS triumphs (7) and in this series the HOME team has won at a resounding 9-1 clip spanning the past decade. It seems like an eternity since Ole Miss started off both 7-0 SU/ATS and long term when coming off a sloppy effort (3+ turnovers committed) they have COVERED the spread at a "9-2" clip in the following outing which indicates excellent coaching
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